WEBVTT

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I think the silver wave may be in play for a couple of years and then it's going to move

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on to a different metal, okay? And then anything that's utility grade is going to go to sodium

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because even though it's not as efficient, it's dirt cheap, okay? And everybody knows

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it's sodium, sodium acid, you know, versus lithium, sodium is a seawater. That's going

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to be utility grade. And then I think you'll move on to aluminum from silver at some point too.

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Good afternoon, everyone. Thanks for joining us once again this month. Exciting times all around us.

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Bob Kudla joining me. Remember that. Trade with 2030.com. We wanted to talk about silver,

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gold, copper, Bitcoin. Are they going to reach record highs again? How about the tariffs?

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I mean, does it even matter? They're just passing the cost on us and you've seen

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everybody's cost of living rise. So I mean, what are these going to happen with the

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tariffs moving forward and how much more our lives are going to cost? And then what's going to

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break out truly? You know, you're looking at everything kind of descending for a moment,

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but what's going to pop out by the end of the year as we enter into a new four-year cycle?

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Those of you who found the crypto know we're getting closer to the half again

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after 2026, those last couple years. And where does it go from here? You know,

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everything in life seems to be getting, even though it seems stable and static on every other

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thing in the world, prices just keep going up and up. So how do you, you know, keep up with

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that change and have enough funds to be able to continue to pay these higher and higher prices?

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That's the question. So here to talk about it today, Bob Kudla. Thanks for joining me.

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And let's get into a lot of people waiting. Your fingers are just, well,

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what are the answers, Bob? Yeah, I have a totally different view. I think

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we've probably seen the tops of inflation and, you know, we're probably on the cusp of a deflationary

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wave. And I'll give you my reasons for it. Number one is China is already in a deflationary

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collapse. They're producing way too many goods, you know, for number one, their economies to absorb

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and they're desperately trying to push out as much of those goods out onto the world market

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as possible, which then suppresses prices around the world. Even if it doesn't directly affect

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the country, it'll affect the country because they may be exporting the same products into

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those markets and it weakens those companies. So China is number one on that list. It doesn't

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change. China is, they don't have a domestic market. And so they're just going to do everything

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they can to push product out the door until their companies can't cover fixed costs and then

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they'll shut down. Number two is everybody knows this AI wave is real. And what it's going to

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affect is really the meat of the American economy. You're talking mid-level white collar jobs

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are going away. Organizations are going to pancake and they're going to get wider. And we've

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seen that I have customers that have, that had multiple manager direct reports underneath them

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and then the people reporting to them all got pancaked up to that person. And now they

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have a wider scope and they have what they call AI agents to assist in the management function.

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I have another friend who has a company that he's an executive to that basically when you come

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into work in the morning and if you're in sales, you know, typically, you know, you get your

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call list out. You come to your desk, you sit down and those calls are just waiting for you

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and they measure, you know, how long you were on the call, how many calls you were on,

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whether you got the appointment, whether you got the deal, it listens to you

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and makes suggestions to you as to how to improve the call next time. It provides data

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upfront on the person who you're calling so that you can understand who they are.

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And what that means is in the past, you may have me five or six salespeople to make, you know,

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the company number that can be skinny down to three or four now. And that's going to go

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across the whole entire United States. And what that's going to do is, is just going to drive

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out these $100,000 a year jobs are going away. And so the follow on to that is that the

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United States economy is the most vibrant in the world, but it's vibrant for two reasons.

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One is that we produce excess cash to what we need to live on. And number two, we have a robust

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service economy. Well, most of the services are what I would call non essential, you know,

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gym memberships, getting your hair done, going on vacation, coaching for your little

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leager, right? All those things, when you start losing that excess capacity to spend,

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those jobs go away. And that's almost 30% of our GDP. And so you're just going to see companies,

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and this is restaurants too, right, going out to eat. So you're going to see this,

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you're going to see this squeeze in, you know, before whatever the next wave of efficiency

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productivity produces, the new wave of entrepreneurs. So, so what I'm, what I'm telling everybody here

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is that be careful. Okay. So, you know, you have silver and gold, copper, energy,

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all of them have been pumping hard. And, you know, I made a statement to, to my clients last

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week, I said, Hey, I seriously doubt gold and silver will make newer highs and they already

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made. Okay. I'm confident that the AI boom, the tech bubble has broke. Okay. And so the only thing

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really left to push higher is in the energy space, because we haven't produced enough of it.

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And it's geopolitical turmoil. So what I've been inching people towards is saying, Hey,

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take a look at the buy signals on energy, and make sure that you have a good

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size portfolio in US Treasury bonds, because that's where it's coming. And so that's what I

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think is going to happen. And you'll start seeing it. I know, you know, we, we hear and see things

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about prices going up. But actually, you know, rents have been falling. Okay. And, you know,

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Trump's rolling out the thing with prescription drugs. And, and you're going to see wages

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falling. And I think you're just going to see a general destruction of price increases going

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forward. It'll be, we'll have negative CPI prints in the next 12 months.

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Wow, that's a big statement. You know, and then just to come roll back to the UBI,

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you mentioned mid level types of management, white collar, like on a UBI basis, what do you

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think they'd be satisfied with without working to be able to get what, 6,000 a month, 7,000

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a month, but then somebody who was, say, working at a lower level entry position,

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are they going to get the same 6, 7,000 a month for universal basic income? Or is there going to be a

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stratified, stratified UBI based on what your previous type of management levels were?

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UBI is communism. Okay, it's this package communism. You know, there's no way human nature is

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going to allow me to get more than you. Okay, people will be screaming. Okay,

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that why does this person get more than I get? And remember, UBI is going to be rolled out

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on the young for the old, right? So everybody's going to be screaming is not going to be enough

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money. People don't, UBI is such a failed policy. You can't have UBI. You know, the problem

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with UBI is that the prices of the have to have goods just rise to spend it all, right? You know,

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you have health, food, rent and energy, you know, the four horsemen of have to have to spend those

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prices all rise with your income. Okay, if everybody has the same income, you know, they're

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going to have to then say, well, you can't raise rent or you can't raise food prices. Well,

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that's communism. That's what communism does. And that's where we're going to end up this whole

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notion that you're going to get money, you don't have to work. It's stupid. You know, you have

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to produce more goods than the money supply. You know, if you want to have people to have

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higher standards of living, if not, we're just going to collapse into despondency. So

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push this is the solution for all of the unemployment coming through AI. And you know,

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when I hear government funded, that's not government funded, it's taxpayer funded,

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because the last time I looked, they sell that or scrape taxes from us to push out these

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government funded programs. It's all taxpayer funded. Please remember to sign up for our show

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civilization cycle and thank you for all the support. And you know, I would like to get your

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thought on this where you talked about bonds, treasury bonds that moving over into the stable

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coin issuance where tether has to, you know, every time they, they have to have something

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backing when they mint out these tokens. So the I would say artificial need for treasury bonds

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seems like it's going to go through the roof, especially with the finally the genius

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act, stability act, all these things taking form here. So how's that going to drive the demand

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for treasury bills if there's truly a stable coin issuance going on act that's solidified

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that shows what is truly allowed from prediction markets all the way through stable coins,

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are they going to have any interest associated with them? Can you get another coin to swap

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to trade to get interest off of holding something? You know, all this will finally be

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you know, written into law. So where does this get the because all I'm seeing is,

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you know, they confiscated gold and 33 revalued it. I'm looking at the same thing where they're

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going to possibly force people into stable coins and then drive that artificial demand

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for us treasuries and then at some point in the future, write that debt down and then

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again, the bag holder will be the American public. No doubt that stable coins are absorb

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treasury issuances. And so the other thing too with gold is that they can reprice gold and that

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becomes cash available to the treasury. So I think we'll see that at some point too. That's why

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they're not going to try to cap gold as much as they can is that they can they can convert the

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value of gold from when they did it last time to today. And now you're looking at probably

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a there's probably a trillion dollars of repricing there that can go into the treasury. So

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yeah, you're not wrong there. That's what's going to happen. Look, I don't know how much

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choice we have. I mean, with everybody retiring and everybody absorbing entitlements,

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it's not going to those those won't change until there's more people that aren't getting it than

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are getting it. And they voted vote in means testing, you know, everything they're messing

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around with, they're trying to mess around with non realized gains to that's another recipe

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for communism. All it does is destroy the value of the asset because most people will have to sell

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the asset to pay the tax and you start a down here spiral. Those things only help China because

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then they keep those investors from overseas can just come in and buy our stuff on the cheap.

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You know, so that probably won't go anywhere there. Netherlands is trying to vote it in.

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I mean, it's just like suicide pack for the Netherlands. I don't I don't

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I like to see somebody try it so people can see what it actually looks like. California

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just whispered it and lost half their billionaires. Okay, just whispered it.

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$1 trillion of assets, taxable assets have left the state of California since the

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knuckleheads tried to send a trial balloon up there on it. And they tried to do a trial

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balloon on mileage tax to versus gas tax. And people just screamed and that got put on the

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shelf. So we're really at a detente here. You know, they want to keep raising rates,

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but you're raising you're trying to raise taxes in an environment where where there's

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only there's no blood left in the stone. Yeah, swinging back, you spoke about just

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electric vehicles and thing I'll swing it back on that. I was looking at some silver and

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they were saying 235 million physical ounce deficit this year compared to demand. And

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then the last five years have been running something similar. So at what point do we

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really hit this point where there's not enough physical silver to satiate the demand of all

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the manufacturers that need it now for literally every product, even these cheap led lights or,

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you know, cameras and all these things that are going up, not just the flock system, but

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any kind of home devices, they all need a tiny bit of silver, every electronic device,

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the new phones, computers, everything that we use now requires some sort of silver in it.

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So where's this finally going to that magic mark going to crossover where there literally is not

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enough physical out there any longer because minds are pumping it full. Who knows what the

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disruptions down in Mexico now with what's going on down there. So I'm just wondering if there

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is a magic number where we do roll over that and then it becomes unobtainium where they

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have to really pay anything to get it back and wrestle it free from the fingers of those who

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hold it. Yeah, I think we're getting to that point because when companies that are the manufacturer

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of the material goes direct to the supplier and bypasses the futures market, you know,

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we're close. So Samsung and I think Inex in Korea are going directly to the Mexican minds for silver.

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So the next step after that is, you know, somebody like Elon Musk just goes ahead and buys a mine.

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And I think that's, that's when you know the end is there when they just say, you know what,

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I'm going to vertically integrate, I'm going to buy the mine, okay, that produces the metal

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that I want. And I think that's when you know, that's when you know we're going to go to

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peak. Interesting thing about silver is that battery technology, you know, has been moving

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around and the next area is really aluminum, okay. So an aluminum is uber abundant and it's easily

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to recycle. So I think the silver wave may be in play for a couple years. And then it's going to

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move on to a different metal, okay. And then anything that's utility grade is going to go to

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sodium, because even though it's not as efficient, it's dirt cheap, okay. And everybody knows what

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the sodium, sodium acid, you know, versus lithium sodium is a seawater, okay. You know, I could take

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I could take a bucket of seawater and put an anode and a cathode on either side of it and get a

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current, okay. So you know, you're going to look at sodium ion batteries that are just dirt

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cheap and just super stable. And I wouldn't be surprised that those are the sodium ion batteries

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in the next 10 or 15 years, they'll be sitting next to your house, okay. You know, collecting,

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being a capacitor for the overnight cheaper energy production. But that's going to be,

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that's going to be utility grade. And I think you'll move on to aluminum

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from silver at some point too. Copper is interesting to me because until the AI boom

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busts, you know, they're going to have to upgrade the upgrade the grids and there's not enough copper.

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And so, you know, I already have some FCX, you know, it's a copper gold company and I think it's

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going to do well over time. It broke through 60 and that was a magical number to me for it to get

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to 120. And now it's hovering around 65. So what do you think about the disruption? And it

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doesn't matter what metal because Mexico is a massive producer of so many of the metals that we

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consider critical. So with the cartels controlling nearly every zone across Mexico, where all the

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mining was, I was looking at at least 15 major silver mines being completely closed off right now.

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I was going to disrupt some, but how long will the disruption go and really really

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send a ripple through the market enough to where people will start. I wouldn't say panic

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and just like the realization moment would hit like we're too reliant on certain sources,

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this is going to cause a problem here. I don't know. I mean, it's already calmed down quite a bit.

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So, you know, remember, these cartels probably have interest in those mines already, so they're

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not going to cut their own nose, right? I would think that would probably that would probably

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calm down over over time. I think the bigger worry for the cartels is that Trump essentially

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took off the number one guy, you know, narco in the world. He just put everybody

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else on notice. If I get this guy, get you. You know what I mean? And so I don't believe

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anything around it that was a Mexican operation. You know, they might have had, they might have,

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they might have been wearing Mexican Navy SEAL uniforms, but they were speaking gringo. Okay.

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And, you know, you don't take a guy out like that without, you know, probably Delta Force

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sitting right in the middle of that stuff. You know, that was a big deal too, because,

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you know, that guy, that guy was pretty bad news.

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Yeah. So the reason I was trying to trend into this, you're talking about breakouts just

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previously before we got on the interview here about, you know, what was going to be breaking

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out. So that was my thing is looking at, okay, well, there's a short term event that's going

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to cause a breakout possibly. I'm wondering what you think is going to break out during this

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time based on, it doesn't have to be this specific Mexican event going on here for silver,

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but copper is going to break out next. Silver already broke out. Silver has to prove that it

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can make a new high right now. Okay. See, the longer it takes silver to make a new high,

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the more likely it is silver won't make a new high. Okay. So that's just the way it goes.

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Let's see, it then it gets kind of stuck. So silver's high was at like 140 or something

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like that. Some crazy one, 123 as at $86. So, and it's already been almost a month. Usually when

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you have a, when you, when you're going to make a new high, you should already made a new high

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from that high. So to me, this looks what's what I call it a busted parabola. And so it has to

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now make a new high. If not, it's going to roll over. And then what happens is you get what's

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called the Eiffel Tower effect. And then, then basically silver will retrace 87% of that move

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higher. So it would bring it back down probably to 55 or $60. Those are just, those are ways this

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to math works, you know, in these environments. Now, I'm not saying it won't happen, but right

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now my prediction is that it will fail to make a new high. And then we'll have, we'll have

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a lower low from that low that it came in at $64. We'll beat that down lower. And then,

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and then we'll see what happens. Usually it goes flat for a while after that. It just blows people

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away because, you know, that's what everybody thinks. But that's, that's what causes these

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parabolas to bust when everybody's leaning the same way in the boat.

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I hit you with the question. Now, Chinese New Year, all the metals exchanges in China were

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closed for almost 10 days. And, you know, over here, you think that JP Morgan and organized

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alleged silver manipulators allegedly would smash the price down. So that was that did not

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happen or occur actually silver increased in price as the full Chinese markets were closed,

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where there could have been the most of manipulation allegedly if they could. But

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I'm wondering why that didn't happen and why prices continue to rise on the very

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best possible times to allegedly manipulate silver if they could and it didn't happen.

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Yeah, it's called hope. I own a lot of silver. So I'm not embarrassed on silver per se.

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I'm just trying to regulate people's enthusiasm. Silver has to go up another

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50%, all right, to recover the losses that it took last month. 50, 50%. That's a big ask.

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Is that, look, I have most of my IRAs sitting in silver and gold, a mining company. So I'm

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rooting for it. It's just that you have to be a little bit myopic on this, you know,

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not be myopic on this stuff and just, you know, hope it happens. You have to like, hey, it failed.

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You know, I told people to run trailing stops on gold and silver and miners,

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you know, when this thing was rising and a lot of people got out with only 12%

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losses, okay? Then you could buy back in here and now you're catching a second wave.

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So people that were, you know, were crypto bros on this thing and leveraged long,

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they lost everything. You know, a lot of people lose everything in a bull market.

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How do you do that? Because you don't practice good trade management. You have to be willing

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to walk away from something that could possibly go higher in order to protect you for tomorrow.

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And a lot of people don't do that and they should.

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Wise advice, Bob. Yeah, take those gains when you can. Even if you think you could eke out a

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couple, five more, 10 more percent, if you're already up enough, then just call that an even

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and just thank the universe for those gains. And then if it does fall or it does increase,

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then I'll just find something else that I've done enough research on that I think would hit.

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Yeah. You know, what I tell people is do trailing stop. You can start with a wide

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trailing, like 25%. If you truly believe in it and you don't want to get stopped out, you know,

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on a stop run, you know, and then when you start, look, this thing, I'm looking at silver right

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now as we're talking. So I'm not being Helen Keller being blind here. I'm looking at different

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charts. So silver broke over three standard deviations of a six month channel. Okay. That

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is a 95% chance it's going to go back to the trend line. That's what I told people

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look at. Now you got to aggressively manage this. When it pushes up like that, don't stay that way.

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The other thing is when it goes vertical, it doesn't stay. Never. Okay. The reason why it's

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going vertical is because people who are shorting it or covering it, they're not new buyers.

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And what people make the mistake of is that you should be scaling out into these moves

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because you're going to get in at a lower price. And that's all. So that's what I'm

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saying. So copper needs to make a move yet and energy still needs to make a move yet.

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So there's places to play. And you know, if you want to talk about the most stable one is

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probably uranium because they're still building new plants and the fuel is such an insignificant

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part of the plant that people will buy it higher than they would normally like to

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because for the amortization, it just doesn't matter.

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What's uranium at pushing toward 100 now?

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Yeah, I don't follow the price per se. I just own some uranium stocks in my iron just don't even look at

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them. Yeah, I want to say one thing, you know, Bob, you have those charts with a trade genius where

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it does show the deviation pattern going, whatever the trend is either either up or down, but you

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can see when it breaks to the downside to if it's three standard deviations downside to

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is definitely going to bounce up, but it's a good indicator where it's going to hit at the

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top and then where it's going to hit maybe at price maximum and where it might flat out and

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then return back to some sort of, you know, baseline there at zero again, but it's just a good indicator

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to see if it's too high on the pricing level. It's way overbought or way oversold way outside

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the ranges that it normally would be. And you got that whole chart pattern there that I

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dive into regularly when I'm looking at to see where it sits on the actual pricing compared

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to historical. Our algorithm actually displays on the trading view chart. In fact, if you were a

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silver buyer on a daily, it told you to get back in at $77.39 and our target for this move is $92.31.

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But yeah, we put the target out there. We put the stop loss if we're wrong. And

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it's a really cool system. And you can get it, you know, just, you know, go to Dave's landing page,

25:49.500 --> 25:54.260
you know, we have two programs running, one if you want to be in the chat room, one if you want to

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be actually in a voice trading room and trade with us. And we do quite well. And because it's

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all map based, I don't rely on my own judgment. There are rules to trading. And if you follow

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them, you can't help but make money. And we think we have a pretty decent system that wins enough

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times. But most importantly, has what's called a positive profit factor, meaning you win more

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when you win versus you lose when you lose money. And that's how you build wealth over time.

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Yeah, and a few strategies with that, don't use leverage. Whatever direction you're going,

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don't use leverage. Just be happy with what you're doing. You don't need to. You don't

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be surprised. You know, if you made one or 2% a week, I think it gets lost on people. You know,

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my average gain is one and a half percent over three days. And we went two out of three trades.

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So, you know, so we're operating at a 60 to 80% annualized, you know, and, and the only reason

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why that, you're not 100% invested. So you have to kind of monitor that. But we double,

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we have a customer that monitors all my trades versus the S&P 500. And we doubled it,

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you know, where I think 104% of the S&P 500, we're higher than the tech and we're higher than the

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small cap. So, so we know what we're doing is we're doing well. And that's, that's looking

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back over the last 16 months of trading. When we had big moves in the indexes, we still,

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we still beat it. I put them out, I did go on notifications, you know, it's up to you to take

27:33.420 --> 27:39.320
them or not. Trade with 2030.com. You can check out more information there, see if this is something

27:39.320 --> 27:43.420
that would, it'd be of interest for you moving forward, because you're going to have to try to

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stay at pace, at least with the rising costs of everything. Now it could go deflationary,

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as you said, eventually. But for now, it does seem like prices are going to continue to

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trend up because I just don't see things in the supermarket getting cheaper. And then

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one thing I do see is every single store needs now to any kind of purchase to ask you for your idea.

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They try to scan the back of your idea to get you in on. Now this is just maybe an off topic here.

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To know at least three years zip code is what your average house price is in this on-demand

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pricing when you go to shop online or these new digital price tags that are in the stores

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with the on-demand price structure that they're moving to, which is going through the courts

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now to see if it's legal to do such a thing and charge people a little bit extra based on

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rounding of the pennies currently of that extra four cents, getting you closer to round up a penny,

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getting you on that price because they know you might not be able to afford it or pulling you

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back way over where they can scalp four cents off every item that you're buying just based

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on the zip code you're living in because they scan the back of your driver's license,

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they know where your house is and how much that is comparatively to within the counties

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or within the states. Now all based on algorithmic projections that's where it goes. Now what do we

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do away with the nickel then they get 10 cents a wiggle room so you know things are just getting

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more expensive as they try to round and you know prices keep going up so you're going to have to

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keep pace with that so whatever you know legal means you can do that and this is one of the

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greatest ones here so Bob I appreciate your time trade with 2030.com Bob any last comments here?

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Trump's playing rope a dope with with uh with Iran hoping that then they make a mistake

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and uh because he doesn't want to be in a quagmire right you know and cause uh you know oil to spike

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so we're gonna see kind of how you know all that plays out.

