WEBVTT 00:45.650 --> 00:50.130 To have dignity, to have respect, to have our human rights. 00:50.670 --> 00:54.910 The occupation is not just the soldiers, it's not just the settlements, it's everything. 00:55.930 --> 00:59.990 What will separate the condition of humanity from the barbarism of the past, 01:00.370 --> 01:03.990 which we like to think we have since changed and progressed from? 01:04.590 --> 01:09.190 That might have been the work of American imperialism and international Zionism. 01:09.770 --> 01:14.250 We come here to investigate what this means for the people living here. 01:14.950 --> 01:18.110 It's a violation of international law, it's a war crime. 01:18.370 --> 01:23.570 These are the real journalists achieving liberation to unite the people in a way that we've never seen before. 01:28.770 --> 01:34.910 Welcome back to another edition of Foreign Policy with me, Robert and LeCache, 01:35.170 --> 01:37.390 for the last American vagabond. 01:38.010 --> 01:43.490 And today we're going to be talking about Donald Trump and his threats that he seems to have made, 01:43.490 --> 01:48.650 at least six or seven times now, to destroy Iran's civilian infrastructure 01:49.030 --> 01:51.510 and why he keeps backing down from this. 01:51.990 --> 01:54.810 Well, the short answer is it's very simple. 01:55.230 --> 01:56.730 He has two options here. 01:57.290 --> 02:01.910 And these two options that he is presented with are either escalate 02:01.910 --> 02:04.090 and attack Iran's civilian infrastructure, 02:04.430 --> 02:08.410 and open up a wider war across the region, 02:08.410 --> 02:13.690 or simply do a deal with Iran and finish this war. 02:14.010 --> 02:18.310 Now, Trump has signed on to a memorandum of understanding, 02:18.330 --> 02:21.230 which he quickly acted to break. 02:21.830 --> 02:25.750 And there were a number of these ceasefires which appeared. 02:26.170 --> 02:30.590 They even got the Lebanese government to sign on to an agreement 02:30.590 --> 02:35.410 that recognized Israel in order to forward this process, 02:35.690 --> 02:37.270 or at least that's what we were told. 02:37.990 --> 02:43.910 But now we're back in this cycle where Iran has explicitly said that there is no ceasefire. 02:44.310 --> 02:46.770 Trump is claiming there is negotiations yet again. 02:47.090 --> 02:48.670 There are still missiles flying. 02:49.250 --> 02:52.850 Now Yemen has broken into the conflict properly, 02:53.290 --> 02:55.450 imposed a blockade on Saudi Arabia. 02:55.930 --> 02:58.370 So the Strait of Hormuz is of course closed. 02:59.010 --> 03:00.610 There's Iran's blockade. 03:00.810 --> 03:04.170 Then there is the US blockade on top of the blockade, 03:04.170 --> 03:08.510 an expert move that apparently Alan Dershowitz came up with. 03:09.030 --> 03:14.250 So, aside from that, there is now Baben Mende that is closed, 03:14.470 --> 03:18.690 which of course is the waterway that Yemen has the power to control, 03:18.970 --> 03:21.510 and it is blockading it for Saudi shipping. 03:22.270 --> 03:27.510 Now, this is very important because this means there is a stranglehold on the global economy. 03:27.970 --> 03:33.150 Around 25% of global oil just isn't happening at the moment. 03:33.150 --> 03:35.390 There's that lack of the supply there. 03:35.710 --> 03:41.330 And we're seeing that there is obviously market manipulation that keeps going on 03:41.330 --> 03:46.990 in order to bring down the price of what is called Brent crude futures. 03:47.470 --> 03:50.230 This is the projected price of oil. 03:50.710 --> 03:56.390 But that's not the real price of oil as many will have come to understand right now. 03:56.850 --> 04:00.410 And so the clock is now ticking for the Trump administration. 04:00.410 --> 04:05.270 Either they can go ahead and they can actually commit themselves to an agreement 04:05.270 --> 04:10.490 and it's going to take some convincing of the Iranians to actually get to this agreement 04:10.490 --> 04:14.870 because the memorandum of understanding that the United States decided to just break 04:14.870 --> 04:19.330 and start bombing Iran after they went into the Strait of Hormuz 04:19.330 --> 04:21.450 and tried to carve out an alternative route, 04:21.550 --> 04:25.750 which was something that the Iranians made very clear they were not allowing to happen 04:25.750 --> 04:27.130 and weren't going to allow it to happen. 04:27.130 --> 04:29.090 So the Iranians, of course, acted. 04:29.330 --> 04:30.970 They struck a number of vessels. 04:31.290 --> 04:34.090 But this is the United States still with its military there 04:34.090 --> 04:39.350 still not having lifted the sanctions, not abided to its side of the agreement. 04:39.810 --> 04:44.970 And it appears as if the United States believes that this conflict is like other conflicts 04:44.970 --> 04:48.590 that you don't have to actually abide by your agreements, 04:48.770 --> 04:51.930 that your words written down on paper don't mean anything at all. 04:52.110 --> 04:55.130 Well, with Iran it sort of does because Iran can fight back 04:55.130 --> 04:59.210 and that's the key difference here between this conflict and other conflicts. 05:00.230 --> 05:01.990 So a lot of people might ask, 05:02.390 --> 05:06.770 why doesn't the United States just go ahead and bomb Iran and try and take them out? 05:06.830 --> 05:11.470 Well, we saw during the 40-day war that the United States tried that 05:12.150 --> 05:14.030 and they got nothing from it. 05:14.130 --> 05:16.170 In fact, the Strait of Hormuz is still closed. 05:16.590 --> 05:22.470 There is another Qamana'i, the son of Ayatollah Sayyed Ali Qamana'i 05:22.470 --> 05:26.290 who was killed by the Americans, his son took his place 05:26.290 --> 05:30.410 and the system is still exactly the same in Iran. 05:30.610 --> 05:32.710 They didn't change anything at all. 05:32.970 --> 05:36.870 If anything, they made Iran stronger and their position in the region stronger. 05:37.170 --> 05:39.290 So now the only way to actually weaken Iran 05:39.290 --> 05:41.370 is to go after that civilian infrastructure, 05:41.510 --> 05:43.070 which is what Trump keeps on threatening. 05:44.070 --> 05:45.890 So why doesn't he just do it? 05:46.470 --> 05:51.150 Well, at this point around 80% were to believe the reports 05:51.150 --> 05:56.290 which are coming out now of the U.S.'s interceptor missiles have been depleted already. 05:56.970 --> 06:03.730 This means there's a dangerously low number that are still in existence of U.S. interceptors. 06:04.090 --> 06:05.550 And these interceptor missiles, 06:05.990 --> 06:10.270 because we're not talking about Iranian military production here, 06:10.510 --> 06:12.690 we're not talking about the way that the Iranians do things 06:12.690 --> 06:16.190 and it's very quickly they can mass produce munitions. 06:16.490 --> 06:17.450 The U.S. doesn't do that. 06:17.450 --> 06:21.890 The U.S. likes to spend billions, hundreds of billions, trillions on projects 06:21.890 --> 06:26.070 which take decades and just producing some munitions. 06:26.670 --> 06:29.910 It's not quite as quick as many people would think 06:29.910 --> 06:32.670 even though of course the Patriot missile system, 06:33.110 --> 06:34.370 it's still in existence. 06:34.550 --> 06:37.230 This is the backbone of the U.S. air defense 06:37.230 --> 06:39.910 and then you have the THAAD systems 06:39.910 --> 06:42.510 which are the best systems in the world 06:42.510 --> 06:44.270 or at least that's what they're marketed as 06:44.270 --> 06:46.950 at catching and taking down ballistic missiles 06:46.950 --> 06:50.390 and of course that is crucial to defending the Israelis. 06:50.830 --> 06:53.230 Of course we have to talk about Israel here 06:53.230 --> 06:56.310 because Israel is the reason why this war is even happening 06:56.310 --> 06:59.270 and of course taking on Iranian civilian infrastructure 06:59.270 --> 07:02.330 is not really going to do anything for the United States. 07:02.430 --> 07:06.250 In fact, there are many things that Iran can do to retaliate 07:06.250 --> 07:10.090 but just looking at these interceptor missiles, dangerously low. 07:10.990 --> 07:17.350 Also, the majority of the U.S.'s long-range precision missiles 07:17.350 --> 07:19.370 have also already been used. 07:19.730 --> 07:24.310 Those munitions have been used to target in a lot of cases 07:24.310 --> 07:28.350 these same exact sites time and time again like missile bases 07:28.350 --> 07:33.730 because the United States wasn't able to penetrate Iran's missile cities. 07:34.250 --> 07:39.350 It wasn't able to penetrate its nuclear facilities in many cases. 07:39.350 --> 07:42.870 When they went after them and what they did instead 07:42.870 --> 07:46.150 is they decided to bomb the entrances and exits 07:46.790 --> 07:48.810 that's what they've done at least for the missile cities. 07:49.190 --> 07:51.190 So they would bomb them time and time again 07:51.190 --> 07:54.790 to try and suppress the rates of Iranian fire 07:55.290 --> 07:58.010 because if those missile cities are of course closed 07:58.010 --> 07:59.210 the exits and entrances 07:59.210 --> 08:01.270 then the Iranians have to dig them out 08:01.270 --> 08:03.290 in order to pull the missiles out and to fire them. 08:04.470 --> 08:06.390 But the real question is here 08:06.390 --> 08:09.750 you've wasted all of these long-range precision missiles 08:09.750 --> 08:12.250 which you would need for other conflicts 08:12.250 --> 08:14.790 if you're dealing with the likes of China. 08:15.370 --> 08:18.650 Well, China has a rather sophisticated air defense system 08:18.650 --> 08:20.290 you're going to need those munitions 08:20.290 --> 08:21.550 you won't stand off munitions 08:21.550 --> 08:24.850 you don't want to be flying your fighter jets over Chinese airspace 08:24.850 --> 08:26.870 just the sake of argument here 08:26.870 --> 08:29.850 because the United States likes to larp on 08:29.850 --> 08:31.690 about fighting all of these wars 08:31.690 --> 08:34.290 and being the number one military superpower 08:34.290 --> 08:37.570 so if it is going to go ahead with any aggression against China 08:37.570 --> 08:40.850 if China was to take Taiwan, something like that 08:40.850 --> 08:42.990 the US would be in a pretty bad position 08:42.990 --> 08:44.530 in fact to defend itself 08:44.990 --> 08:47.370 the United States is wasting all of its munitions 08:47.370 --> 08:48.850 and again not gaining anything 08:50.090 --> 08:52.770 so why not just go after that civilian infrastructure 08:52.770 --> 08:54.230 well that is very simple 08:54.230 --> 08:56.970 the answer to that question is perfectly clear 08:56.970 --> 08:59.650 if you go after Iran's civilian infrastructure 08:59.650 --> 09:01.390 like power plants 09:01.390 --> 09:04.970 then Iran is going to go after all of the power plants 09:04.970 --> 09:05.810 in the Persian Gulf 09:06.390 --> 09:08.430 and that means all of those Gulf allies 09:08.430 --> 09:11.330 which Trump has pledged that are you know 09:11.330 --> 09:13.910 or said that they've pledged trillions 09:13.910 --> 09:16.010 to invest in the US 09:16.010 --> 09:19.350 they're no longer going to be inhabitable 09:19.350 --> 09:22.470 if you want to take out Iranian desalination facilities 09:22.470 --> 09:24.550 well the majority of Iranians 09:24.550 --> 09:26.350 don't get their water supply 09:26.350 --> 09:28.610 from water desalination plants 09:29.410 --> 09:32.110 when we're talking about power plants 09:32.110 --> 09:34.730 Iran has about 500 of them 09:34.730 --> 09:35.750 across the country 09:35.750 --> 09:37.990 they're going to have to go after substations 09:37.990 --> 09:40.490 they're going to have to hit these power plants 09:40.490 --> 09:42.270 a lot of them time and time again 09:42.270 --> 09:45.070 because a lot of them are built with war in mind 09:45.530 --> 09:47.250 we're talking about in the Persian Gulf 09:47.250 --> 09:49.690 you know it's a handful in comparison 09:49.690 --> 09:52.010 that Iran has to take out with its ballistic missiles 09:52.010 --> 09:53.390 and now remember again 09:53.390 --> 09:55.570 that a lot of those interceptors 09:55.570 --> 09:57.570 the Patriot missile system 09:57.570 --> 09:59.610 and the Thad missile system 09:59.610 --> 10:01.430 is not going to be as effective 10:01.430 --> 10:02.750 and what Iran has been doing 10:03.570 --> 10:05.150 over the past weeks 10:05.150 --> 10:07.790 until the United States halted 10:07.790 --> 10:09.890 its missile strikes against the Iranians 10:09.890 --> 10:12.670 they were focusing very heavily 10:12.670 --> 10:15.090 on taking out radars in the region 10:15.090 --> 10:17.070 and the reason that is important is because 10:17.070 --> 10:20.330 if you can't see those missiles coming 10:20.330 --> 10:22.270 well it makes them a lot harder 10:22.270 --> 10:24.790 for you to be able to shoot down 10:24.790 --> 10:28.430 but also you have limited interceptors 10:28.430 --> 10:31.950 so now Iran is more easily able to target 10:31.950 --> 10:33.930 all of those facilities in the region 10:33.930 --> 10:35.850 and it will come with a vengeance 10:35.850 --> 10:38.350 if its own civilian infrastructure is targeted 10:38.350 --> 10:41.750 so all those Gulf allies are going to be 10:41.750 --> 10:43.370 severely punished 10:43.370 --> 10:46.130 and then the Israelis are also open 10:46.130 --> 10:48.810 to massive ballistic missile attacks as well 10:48.810 --> 10:50.490 and we are not even 10:50.490 --> 10:53.970 opening the conversation about the allies of Iran 10:53.970 --> 10:55.230 and what they could possibly do 10:55.970 --> 10:57.150 because the United States 10:57.910 --> 11:00.150 has a number of rather desperate strategies 11:00.150 --> 11:01.470 that it can try and open 11:01.470 --> 11:04.930 for example they have started actually 11:04.930 --> 11:07.090 using the Saudis 11:07.090 --> 11:10.110 to do a joint bombing campaign against Iraq 11:10.110 --> 11:11.910 well there are 11:11.910 --> 11:14.790 hundreds of thousands of Iraqi fighters 11:14.790 --> 11:16.250 who are aligned with Iran 11:16.830 --> 11:18.830 as part of what is known as the 11:18.830 --> 11:20.270 Islamic resistance in Iraq 11:20.270 --> 11:22.750 and they have not yet 11:23.270 --> 11:24.610 shown their full power 11:25.040 --> 11:27.270 these fighters can attack Saudi Arabia 11:27.270 --> 11:28.090 if they wanted to 11:28.090 --> 11:30.050 they could attack Kuwait if they wanted to 11:30.050 --> 11:31.390 they could of course 11:31.390 --> 11:33.130 cross the border into Syria 11:33.130 --> 11:35.450 because another one of the schemes 11:35.450 --> 11:36.430 of the United States 11:36.430 --> 11:38.010 and Trump has said this very openly 11:38.010 --> 11:38.790 and very proudly 11:38.790 --> 11:41.480 that the former leader of Syria's 11:41.830 --> 11:42.910 wing of Al Qaeda 11:42.910 --> 11:45.050 who now occupies the position 11:45.050 --> 11:47.250 of president of Syria in Damascus 11:47.250 --> 11:48.450 Ahmed Al-Shara 11:48.450 --> 11:50.670 or Abu Muhammad Al-Shulani 11:50.670 --> 11:51.610 as he used to be known 11:52.570 --> 11:54.890 Trump wants him to go and invade Lebanon 11:54.890 --> 11:56.630 which is going to mean 11:56.630 --> 11:58.550 a bloodbath 11:58.550 --> 12:00.710 but if he does that the Iraqis 12:00.710 --> 12:02.250 have pledged to come over 12:02.250 --> 12:04.090 into Syrian territory 12:04.090 --> 12:06.310 so now we have the Iraqi front 12:06.310 --> 12:06.910 opened 12:07.450 --> 12:08.710 we have those fighters 12:08.710 --> 12:10.390 perhaps flooding into Syria 12:10.390 --> 12:12.790 we have Syria's militia 12:12.790 --> 12:13.570 groups 12:14.300 --> 12:16.370 and what constitutes now 12:16.370 --> 12:17.530 the Syrian army 12:17.530 --> 12:19.130 which are a collection 12:19.130 --> 12:21.170 of majority of these fighters 12:21.170 --> 12:22.910 formerly Al Qaeda 12:22.910 --> 12:25.010 aligned militants 12:25.010 --> 12:27.450 who will cross into Lebanon 12:27.450 --> 12:28.810 and attack 12:29.370 --> 12:31.130 what they consider to be 12:31.130 --> 12:33.450 non-Muslims from the Shia population 12:33.450 --> 12:34.050 there 12:34.050 --> 12:35.710 they will go after Christians 12:35.710 --> 12:36.810 and Alawi 12:36.810 --> 12:39.690 and other different groups in the region 12:39.690 --> 12:40.870 it will be quite bloody 12:40.870 --> 12:43.250 but then they will get fought back by the group 12:43.250 --> 12:44.550 there called Hezbollah 12:44.550 --> 12:46.110 which is resisting Israel 12:46.110 --> 12:47.490 of course again 12:47.490 --> 12:49.570 the strategy that Trump wants to enact 12:49.570 --> 12:50.630 against Lebanon 12:50.630 --> 12:52.490 which would plunge that country 12:52.490 --> 12:53.130 into chaos 12:53.130 --> 12:55.130 will plunge Syria into chaos 12:55.130 --> 12:57.570 will plunge Iraq into chaos 12:57.570 --> 12:58.570 all of this 12:58.570 --> 13:00.210 is for Israel 13:00.210 --> 13:02.390 because the ground force really 13:02.390 --> 13:03.950 of Iran in this conflict 13:04.200 --> 13:05.150 against the Israelis 13:05.150 --> 13:06.410 is Hezbollah 13:06.410 --> 13:08.690 that can actually fight them on the ground 13:08.690 --> 13:10.770 but it gets even worse 13:10.770 --> 13:11.590 than that 13:11.590 --> 13:13.070 because Yemen is right there 13:13.070 --> 13:15.290 if the Yemeni armed forces 13:15.290 --> 13:17.110 actually are to commit 13:17.110 --> 13:18.290 to an all-out offensive 13:18.290 --> 13:20.650 and Saudi is getting hit very hard 13:20.650 --> 13:21.830 there is a good chance 13:21.830 --> 13:24.430 that Yemen will come under the full control 13:24.430 --> 13:26.090 of the Ansara law government 13:26.090 --> 13:27.150 based in Sena 13:27.150 --> 13:29.790 the capital city of Yemen 13:29.790 --> 13:32.570 Yemen could also fire ballistic missiles 13:32.570 --> 13:33.490 most likely it will 13:33.490 --> 13:35.410 against the Israelis 13:35.410 --> 13:37.390 but then there is a wild card 13:37.390 --> 13:38.330 in all of this 13:38.330 --> 13:39.130 which nobody 13:39.130 --> 13:40.570 is talking about 13:40.570 --> 13:42.030 and most people have written off 13:42.030 --> 13:42.870 and it's important 13:42.870 --> 13:45.930 because recently there was a step taken 13:45.930 --> 13:48.250 which will perhaps escalate this front 13:48.250 --> 13:49.010 even further 13:49.010 --> 13:50.550 and that is the Gaza Strip 13:50.550 --> 13:52.390 where of course there has been a genocide 13:52.390 --> 13:53.310 that has been committed 13:53.310 --> 13:55.310 since October 7, 2023 13:55.890 --> 13:58.350 now the Palestinian armed factions there 13:58.350 --> 13:59.990 Israel has long been talking about 13:59.990 --> 14:00.970 they need to disarm 14:00.970 --> 14:03.050 and Hamas needs to give control up 14:03.050 --> 14:03.910 of the Gaza Strip 14:03.910 --> 14:06.210 well Hamas committed some time ago now 14:06.210 --> 14:08.810 to give up control of the Gaza Strip 14:08.810 --> 14:10.530 to a technocratic 14:10.530 --> 14:11.570 administration 14:12.490 --> 14:14.810 in Gaza to rule Gaza 14:15.530 --> 14:16.610 it agreed to that 14:16.610 --> 14:17.670 Israel didn't react 14:17.670 --> 14:19.510 Israel didn't want to go to the phase 2 14:19.510 --> 14:20.310 of the ceasefire 14:20.310 --> 14:22.210 and instead they upped the killing 14:22.210 --> 14:23.970 of civilians inside of the territory 14:24.310 --> 14:26.330 they started seizing even more land 14:26.330 --> 14:27.190 in the Gaza Strip 14:27.190 --> 14:29.090 after Hamas said it would have 14:29.090 --> 14:29.930 relinquished power 14:29.930 --> 14:32.030 of the civil administration of Gaza 14:32.030 --> 14:35.670 now something interesting has happened recently 14:35.670 --> 14:37.550 Hamas and all of the Palestinian 14:37.550 --> 14:39.450 resistance factions in Gaza 14:39.450 --> 14:42.730 all agreed to a disarmament plan 14:43.470 --> 14:45.290 with the Board of Peace 14:45.290 --> 14:46.710 controlled by Donald Trump 14:46.710 --> 14:47.570 the Board of Peace 14:47.570 --> 14:49.490 was supposed to be set up for Gaza 14:49.490 --> 14:51.090 but its own official charter 14:51.090 --> 14:53.050 doesn't mention Gaza or Palestine once 14:53.050 --> 14:53.850 I wonder why 14:53.850 --> 14:55.570 because of course it's a scheme 14:55.570 --> 14:57.290 which is seeking to replace 14:57.290 --> 14:58.350 the United Nations 14:58.350 --> 14:59.250 the UN system 14:59.250 --> 15:00.350 collapse what we had 15:00.350 --> 15:02.030 in the post-World War II order 15:02.030 --> 15:03.910 and bring in this new world order 15:03.910 --> 15:05.590 of absolute chaos 15:05.590 --> 15:08.170 and all to please the Israelis 15:08.170 --> 15:10.810 but the Palestinian factions agreed 15:10.810 --> 15:12.110 okay we'll disarm 15:12.110 --> 15:14.170 but there's going to be a process 15:14.170 --> 15:16.690 Israel has to withdraw from the Gaza Strip entirely 15:16.690 --> 15:18.510 Israel has to disarm the 15:18.510 --> 15:20.810 five different ISIS linked militias 15:20.810 --> 15:22.310 which it has created to fight 15:22.310 --> 15:24.790 against Hamas and the other Palestinian groups 15:24.790 --> 15:26.230 something they won't tell you about 15:26.230 --> 15:27.810 that Israel literally created 15:27.810 --> 15:30.250 five ISIS linked militias to fight 15:30.250 --> 15:31.050 against Hamas 15:31.050 --> 15:32.930 but they were telling you the whole time 15:32.930 --> 15:34.430 that Hamas is ISIS 15:34.430 --> 15:36.330 and they're literally there creating 15:36.330 --> 15:39.210 these ISIS linked militant groups 15:39.210 --> 15:40.610 to fight them 15:40.610 --> 15:41.690 but that aside 15:42.330 --> 15:43.270 they agreed 15:43.270 --> 15:45.550 but Israel then came back and said 15:45.550 --> 15:47.070 no absolutely not 15:47.070 --> 15:49.430 we're not agreeing to the 15:50.790 --> 15:52.830 the deal that was struck 15:52.830 --> 15:54.150 with the Palestinian groups 15:54.150 --> 15:55.510 to disarm 15:55.510 --> 15:58.270 now the reason why they didn't agree to it 15:58.270 --> 16:00.650 is because in that agreement 16:00.650 --> 16:03.130 that was signed by these Palestinian factions 16:03.130 --> 16:05.490 with the so-called Board of Peace 16:05.490 --> 16:07.290 inside of that agreement 16:07.290 --> 16:10.150 was that this would be a phased approach 16:10.150 --> 16:11.950 and that the weapons 16:12.650 --> 16:14.110 would be eventually 16:14.110 --> 16:16.290 that would be stored 16:17.710 --> 16:18.350 originally 16:18.350 --> 16:20.810 and decommissioned 16:20.810 --> 16:23.310 and then they would be handed over 16:23.310 --> 16:25.430 to a future Palestinian state 16:25.430 --> 16:28.470 that's the only people that would get hold of those weapons 16:29.170 --> 16:31.210 instead the Israelis want Hamas 16:31.210 --> 16:32.890 and all of the Palestinian factions 16:32.890 --> 16:34.090 to completely disarm 16:34.090 --> 16:36.210 before Israel even withdraws 16:36.210 --> 16:38.170 and whilst Israel is pledging publicly 16:38.170 --> 16:40.190 that it will never withdraw from the Gaza Strip 16:40.190 --> 16:42.210 and it will continue to conquer more land 16:42.210 --> 16:42.770 in the territory 16:42.770 --> 16:44.610 and it will not abandon 16:44.610 --> 16:46.490 its so-called defense strategy 16:46.490 --> 16:49.650 Israel doesn't want to do reconstruction 16:49.650 --> 16:50.470 in the Gaza Strip 16:50.470 --> 16:52.930 Israel wants to ethnically cleanse the Gaza Strip 16:52.930 --> 16:54.990 so if you take all of the weapons 16:54.990 --> 16:55.970 of all of the groups 16:55.970 --> 16:56.850 all at once 16:56.850 --> 16:59.250 well now no one is there to resist 16:59.250 --> 17:00.990 against a complete 17:00.990 --> 17:02.650 ethnic cleansing of the Gaza Strip 17:04.370 --> 17:06.870 but putting them in this position now 17:06.870 --> 17:08.770 this so-called ceasefire 17:08.770 --> 17:11.430 which was supposed to go into Phase 2 17:11.430 --> 17:13.730 of this agreement in Gaza 17:13.730 --> 17:16.330 you know we're now over 1200 17:16.330 --> 17:18.390 people killed in Gaza later 17:18.390 --> 17:20.590 with no retaliation 17:20.590 --> 17:22.470 from the Palestinian groups against the Israelis 17:22.470 --> 17:24.570 and the Israelis going deeper 17:24.570 --> 17:25.670 into the Gaza Strip 17:25.670 --> 17:27.110 and continuing to destroy 17:27.110 --> 17:28.370 civilian infrastructure 17:29.060 --> 17:31.510 and the remaining agricultural land 17:31.510 --> 17:33.050 that still exists in Gaza 17:33.050 --> 17:34.050 on a daily basis 17:34.050 --> 17:37.010 and months and months and months go by 17:37.010 --> 17:38.790 the only ones 17:38.790 --> 17:40.530 giving concessions to the Palestinians 17:40.890 --> 17:41.990 and the Israelis are not 17:41.990 --> 17:43.950 and the Israelis keep bombarding 17:43.950 --> 17:45.490 civilian sites 17:45.490 --> 17:46.970 and killing innocent people 17:46.970 --> 17:49.250 including since the ceasefire 17:49.250 --> 17:51.490 almost 500 children 17:51.490 --> 17:53.430 in Gaza have been killed by Israel 17:54.270 --> 17:56.090 so what do you think is going to happen 17:56.090 --> 17:56.570 with that 17:56.570 --> 17:58.570 well because Israel has refused 17:59.570 --> 18:01.530 to actually agree to 18:01.530 --> 18:02.250 Hamas 18:02.930 --> 18:03.970 removing itself 18:03.970 --> 18:06.370 from ruling Gaza and disarming 18:06.370 --> 18:07.470 because it's refused that 18:07.470 --> 18:08.650 then that front 18:08.650 --> 18:11.090 becomes a lot more likely to open up 18:11.090 --> 18:12.810 and that front by the way 18:13.450 --> 18:14.630 if it does open up 18:14.630 --> 18:16.450 in the midst of a regional war 18:16.450 --> 18:18.810 will perhaps be one of the most 18:18.810 --> 18:20.170 bloody offensives 18:20.170 --> 18:21.750 that we will possibly see 18:21.750 --> 18:24.590 because it will be a last ditched attempt 18:24.590 --> 18:26.750 in order to put down the Israelis 18:26.750 --> 18:28.190 to force them back 18:28.190 --> 18:30.070 and to defeat them 18:31.710 --> 18:33.270 and that's something to consider 18:33.270 --> 18:35.090 because they have literally no options 18:35.090 --> 18:36.930 at that point other than to do this 18:37.490 --> 18:38.050 so 18:38.050 --> 18:39.990 if we're being serious here 18:39.990 --> 18:42.190 if we're looking at what the Trump administration is doing 18:42.190 --> 18:43.910 well there's no wonder 18:43.910 --> 18:45.010 it's hesitating 18:45.270 --> 18:47.450 to go and attack Iranian civilian infrastructure 18:47.450 --> 18:48.510 or it has 18:48.510 --> 18:50.110 hesitated to do it 18:50.990 --> 18:52.070 time and time again 18:52.070 --> 18:54.350 because as soon as that 18:54.350 --> 18:55.970 regional war opens 18:57.590 --> 18:59.450 you're opening Pandora's box 18:59.450 --> 19:02.830 when you start going after Iranian civilian infrastructure 19:02.830 --> 19:04.750 well the gloves completely come off 19:04.750 --> 19:07.390 it's hard to strike a deal with them after that 19:09.350 --> 19:10.110 and so 19:10.670 --> 19:12.110 there will be immense pain 19:12.110 --> 19:12.990 immense suffering 19:12.990 --> 19:13.950 entire nations 19:13.950 --> 19:16.190 the way that they look are going to change 19:16.190 --> 19:19.130 and then we have to add in the other element here 19:19.130 --> 19:20.990 the Trump administration knows this 19:20.990 --> 19:23.090 people like Pete Hegzeff don't know this 19:23.090 --> 19:25.330 because Pete Hegzeff just the other day 19:25.330 --> 19:27.470 was talking about how Yemen is not involved 19:27.470 --> 19:28.550 in this regional war 19:28.550 --> 19:30.070 and literally complimenting Trump 19:30.070 --> 19:33.390 for bobbing them into submission back in 2025 19:33.390 --> 19:35.430 bridge to bomb the Houthis and say 19:35.430 --> 19:37.770 we will maintain freedom of navigation 19:37.770 --> 19:39.730 I wonder why they're not involved in this conflict 19:39.730 --> 19:40.330 the Houthis 19:40.330 --> 19:41.670 even though they're a proxy Iran 19:41.670 --> 19:43.730 because they've felt the weight of American power 19:43.730 --> 19:44.950 for 45 days 19:44.950 --> 19:46.430 and you had the courage to do that 19:46.430 --> 19:48.510 but apparently you are the 19:49.170 --> 19:50.570 secretary of war 19:50.570 --> 19:51.730 and you don't know 19:51.730 --> 19:54.610 that Yemen is involved in this regional war 19:54.610 --> 19:57.190 and that they've imposed a counter blockade 19:57.190 --> 19:58.090 on Saudi Arabia 20:00.370 --> 20:01.670 at this point 20:02.190 --> 20:04.150 it's very clear who is in control 20:04.150 --> 20:06.370 and it's not Pete Hegzeff and it's not Donald Trump 20:06.370 --> 20:08.090 they don't know anything about what's going on 20:08.090 --> 20:10.290 they're just puppets that are there 20:11.170 --> 20:12.170 so Trump 20:12.170 --> 20:13.370 if he wants to go ahead 20:13.370 --> 20:15.050 he mentioned recently 20:15.050 --> 20:16.550 that they were about to go ahead 20:16.550 --> 20:18.590 with the largest bombing campaign 20:18.590 --> 20:19.830 since World War II 20:19.830 --> 20:20.850 and what does that mean 20:21.950 --> 20:22.450 well 20:22.980 --> 20:25.110 we can interpret a number of different ways 20:25.110 --> 20:27.070 but really 20:27.070 --> 20:28.790 if you're talking in that way 20:28.790 --> 20:31.310 you're getting at that perhaps you were considering 20:31.310 --> 20:32.830 using nuclear weapons 20:32.830 --> 20:35.210 which then brings us to another 20:35.210 --> 20:37.010 point that is 20:37.810 --> 20:39.410 beyond even the 20:39.410 --> 20:40.970 conversation of the regional war 20:40.970 --> 20:43.670 because if the United States 20:43.670 --> 20:45.570 decides to try 20:45.570 --> 20:47.910 and use a nuclear weapon against Iran 20:47.910 --> 20:50.790 this situation dramatically changes 20:50.790 --> 20:53.230 and it could draw in other actors 20:53.230 --> 20:55.350 and this could be a much broader war 20:55.350 --> 20:55.950 in situation 20:55.950 --> 20:58.910 let alone the immense civilian suffering 20:58.910 --> 21:00.750 and mass death 21:00.750 --> 21:02.170 that this will cause 21:03.230 --> 21:05.690 but this is a ridiculous decision 21:06.230 --> 21:06.950 to make 21:06.950 --> 21:09.310 an absolutely ridiculous decision 21:09.310 --> 21:10.850 that will only 21:10.850 --> 21:12.870 spell more chaos 21:12.870 --> 21:14.030 will not end this war 21:14.030 --> 21:15.150 you see 21:15.150 --> 21:17.010 the United States in the past was 21:17.010 --> 21:19.110 comfortable with 21:19.110 --> 21:19.950 its wars 21:19.950 --> 21:21.010 like in Afghanistan 21:21.010 --> 21:22.730 it spent trillions 21:22.730 --> 21:24.710 it wasted a lot of money 21:24.710 --> 21:25.830 and a lot of resources 21:25.830 --> 21:26.930 but ultimately 21:26.930 --> 21:29.210 what was the Taliban going to do 21:29.210 --> 21:30.550 about their presence there 21:31.390 --> 21:33.110 if they decided to stay 21:33.110 --> 21:34.610 they could have stayed even longer 21:34.610 --> 21:36.670 and there was really 21:36.670 --> 21:37.810 not much 21:37.810 --> 21:39.510 in the way of repercussions 21:39.510 --> 21:40.590 this time 21:40.590 --> 21:42.390 the Strait of Hormuz is still closed 21:42.930 --> 21:43.750 and those 21:43.750 --> 21:44.930 strategic 21:44.930 --> 21:46.630 petroleum reserves 21:46.630 --> 21:48.450 of the United States are already 21:48.450 --> 21:50.470 at such lows that they're 21:50.470 --> 21:51.630 at the levels they were 21:51.630 --> 21:54.130 in the early 1980s 21:54.130 --> 21:55.750 and it's going to get worse 21:55.750 --> 21:57.590 and that means that 21:58.290 --> 21:59.950 when it comes to your oil prices 21:59.950 --> 22:01.890 well don't be too surprised 22:01.890 --> 22:03.570 if they suddenly shoot up overnight 22:03.570 --> 22:06.210 at one point and things get very difficult 22:06.210 --> 22:08.650 and inflation gets much, much worse 22:08.650 --> 22:10.290 and again, remember 22:10.290 --> 22:11.670 this is all for Israel 22:12.790 --> 22:14.410 and here we are 22:14.410 --> 22:15.870 Trump can't get out of this 22:15.870 --> 22:17.370 because the Israel lobby is going to 22:17.370 --> 22:18.430 strangle hold over him 22:19.610 --> 22:21.570 he can't force the Israelis 22:21.570 --> 22:23.610 to do an agreement in Gaza 22:23.610 --> 22:25.330 to respect an agreement in Gaza 22:25.330 --> 22:26.730 to end the Gaza genocide 22:26.730 --> 22:29.610 which will completely avert 22:29.610 --> 22:31.710 any further warfare there 22:31.710 --> 22:32.750 if he was to do it 22:32.750 --> 22:35.210 the Palestinian factions all are ready 22:35.210 --> 22:36.210 to agree 22:36.210 --> 22:39.330 to even hand over their weapons 22:39.330 --> 22:41.970 to stop the fighting altogether 22:43.650 --> 22:44.710 in Lebanon 22:46.130 --> 22:48.270 the easy answer 22:48.270 --> 22:50.030 was to force Israel to withdraw 22:50.030 --> 22:51.470 from Lebanese territory 22:51.470 --> 22:53.390 but of course Trump couldn't do that 22:54.190 --> 22:55.610 because his boss is 22:55.610 --> 22:57.170 Benjamin Netanyahu 22:58.470 --> 22:59.990 there's no other way to put it 22:59.990 --> 23:00.630 at this point 23:00.630 --> 23:03.530 he couldn't force them to do anything in Gaza 23:03.530 --> 23:05.310 and the board of peace 23:05.310 --> 23:07.870 the second Israel said we're not agreeing to this 23:07.870 --> 23:09.850 went back and just changed its whole 23:09.850 --> 23:10.590 entire language 23:10.590 --> 23:13.130 everything it was saying about the disarmament 23:13.130 --> 23:14.630 of Hamas and the other factions 23:14.630 --> 23:17.330 instantly and reassured Israel 23:17.630 --> 23:19.570 basically apologized to their masters 23:19.570 --> 23:20.470 that 23:20.470 --> 23:22.430 we didn't actually mean 23:22.430 --> 23:25.350 what we said and what we put on paper 23:25.350 --> 23:26.750 and what we publicly announced 23:26.750 --> 23:28.630 and what even the US president announced 23:28.630 --> 23:29.730 we didn't actually mean that 23:30.810 --> 23:33.270 so Trump can't do anything in the way of 23:33.270 --> 23:35.290 Gaza restraining Israel there 23:35.290 --> 23:37.630 he can't do anything in the way of restraining 23:37.630 --> 23:39.090 the Israelis in south Lebanon 23:39.340 --> 23:41.710 and instead he's pushing for all these conspiracies 23:41.710 --> 23:43.530 and even when it comes to 23:43.530 --> 23:46.310 using Kurdish militia groups in northern Iraq 23:46.310 --> 23:47.250 well 23:47.250 --> 23:49.170 Iran has been doing 23:49.170 --> 23:51.510 these cross-border operations 23:51.510 --> 23:53.290 with its special forces units 23:53.290 --> 23:55.430 and smashing these 23:55.430 --> 23:57.710 Iranian Kurdish opposition groups 23:57.710 --> 23:59.650 with ballistic missiles and drones 23:59.650 --> 24:01.890 taking out many of their 24:01.890 --> 24:03.390 ammo depots 24:03.390 --> 24:05.490 and their headquarters 24:06.230 --> 24:07.530 assassinating key figures 24:07.530 --> 24:09.070 within these organizations 24:09.070 --> 24:11.710 and so Iran has been actively on top 24:11.710 --> 24:13.470 of that too and the question is 24:13.470 --> 24:14.190 where do you go 24:14.850 --> 24:17.910 do you do what Israel wants you to do 24:20.090 --> 24:21.430 or do you do 24:21.430 --> 24:23.150 what's in the best 24:23.150 --> 24:25.150 interests of the United States and we know 24:25.150 --> 24:27.370 at the end of the day that 24:27.950 --> 24:28.450 it's 24:29.770 --> 24:31.390 Trump is caught in between a 24:31.390 --> 24:33.590 rock and a hard place because he doesn't 24:33.590 --> 24:34.830 control his government 24:35.630 --> 24:37.050 he does what he's told 24:38.130 --> 24:38.890 and so 24:38.890 --> 24:41.290 even if he announces 5 24:41.290 --> 24:43.770 6 more agreements the Strait of Hormuz 24:43.770 --> 24:45.030 is not going to fully open 24:45.490 --> 24:47.350 and things are not going to return to normal 24:48.250 --> 24:49.610 until he grows 24:49.610 --> 24:51.650 a backbone and decides that he won't 24:51.650 --> 24:53.270 end up just violating the agreement 24:54.270 --> 24:55.610 and Iran is waiting 24:55.610 --> 24:57.270 there with its finger on the trigger 24:59.170 --> 25:01.050 and is capable of responding 25:01.050 --> 25:03.530 and it's not Iran that is running 25:03.530 --> 25:04.890 low on its munitions 25:05.450 --> 25:06.850 it's the United States 25:08.670 --> 25:11.310 so Trump is in a very difficult position 25:12.230 --> 25:13.110 objectively so 25:13.110 --> 25:14.390 I wouldn't envy that position 25:14.960 --> 25:16.590 and you had to ask yourself 25:16.590 --> 25:19.170 why is he so weak in front of the Israel lobby 25:19.870 --> 25:21.050 why can't he 25:21.050 --> 25:22.590 make decisions in favor 25:22.590 --> 25:23.930 of the US public 25:25.090 --> 25:26.630 well I think we can all 25:26.630 --> 25:28.690 come to those answers 25:28.690 --> 25:29.830 ourselves 25:31.090 --> 25:32.570 but at the end of the day 25:32.570 --> 25:34.390 it's important to understand 25:34.390 --> 25:36.170 what his position is in all of this 25:37.030 --> 25:38.390 this is not a president 25:39.070 --> 25:40.170 this is a puppet 25:40.690 --> 25:41.710 this is a weakling 25:41.710 --> 25:43.910 this is somebody that puts Israel first 25:43.910 --> 25:45.070 and now 25:46.430 --> 25:47.790 perhaps countless American 25:47.790 --> 25:49.870 more American service members 25:49.870 --> 25:52.830 have to be killed in this war for Israel 25:53.770 --> 25:56.010 and God knows the extent 25:56.010 --> 25:57.730 of the suffering that has to happen 25:57.730 --> 25:59.550 because the United States 26:00.210 --> 26:02.310 has been acting on behalf 26:02.310 --> 26:04.050 of the Israelis 26:04.050 --> 26:06.230 this is bad on every single level 26:06.230 --> 26:07.890 this is a strategic 26:08.470 --> 26:09.010 defeat 26:09.850 --> 26:11.490 that is just pending 26:11.780 --> 26:13.710 at the moment we're just waiting for the outcome 26:13.710 --> 26:15.370 is it going to be more catastrophic 26:15.370 --> 26:17.710 or is the United States going to 26:18.470 --> 26:19.970 see the reality 26:19.970 --> 26:22.250 wake up and smell the hot coffee 26:22.250 --> 26:24.770 and realize that it has to come to a deal 26:26.010 --> 26:27.950 and really from what we've seen 26:27.950 --> 26:29.730 in the track record it's hard 26:29.730 --> 26:31.910 to say that the United States 26:31.910 --> 26:34.110 can't even come to any sort of deal 26:34.110 --> 26:34.810 at this point 26:35.670 --> 26:37.930 but until that time until the 26:37.930 --> 26:40.230 escalation or de-escalation 26:40.790 --> 26:42.310 that's what everybody 26:42.310 --> 26:43.570 hopes for at least 26:43.570 --> 26:45.950 that there can be 26:45.950 --> 26:47.190 suddenly 26:47.750 --> 26:49.510 something that happens which forces 26:49.510 --> 26:50.550 the 26:51.850 --> 26:53.510 US administration to 26:53.510 --> 26:55.670 realize the position it's in 26:55.670 --> 26:57.390 to force the Israelis to withdraw 26:57.390 --> 26:59.470 from Gaza to withdraw from Lebanon 26:59.470 --> 27:01.930 and to close this conflict 27:01.930 --> 27:03.670 everyone hopes that that is the case 27:03.670 --> 27:05.430 but the reality here is 27:05.430 --> 27:07.770 that the United States doesn't have a very good 27:07.770 --> 27:09.530 track record with ending conflicts 27:09.530 --> 27:11.730 in the region when Israel wants it to do something 27:11.730 --> 27:12.990 and in fact 27:12.990 --> 27:15.890 Donald Trump has the worst record in the region 27:15.890 --> 27:17.810 so we can expect to see 27:17.810 --> 27:19.910 that the pressure is going to 27:19.910 --> 27:20.510 mount 27:20.510 --> 27:22.510 and we're 27:22.510 --> 27:23.610 now 27:24.090 --> 27:25.610 in uncharted waters 27:26.510 --> 27:28.330 and that is quite concerning 27:28.330 --> 27:30.290 but everyone should know 27:30.290 --> 27:32.130 what position 27:32.130 --> 27:34.850 Donald Trump has got the United States 27:34.850 --> 27:35.310 into 27:36.390 --> 27:38.590 the global economic implications 27:39.590 --> 27:41.490 are going to be enormous 27:41.490 --> 27:44.590 the implications on US security 27:44.590 --> 27:46.250 are going to be enormous 27:46.250 --> 27:48.730 there will be more US casualties 27:48.730 --> 27:49.930 if this escalates 27:49.930 --> 27:52.930 the US's allies are all going to be put 27:52.930 --> 27:55.050 through the meat grinder 27:56.250 --> 27:59.130 more innocent people are going to be killed 27:59.130 --> 28:00.610 entire countries 28:00.610 --> 28:02.590 may look different 28:02.590 --> 28:03.710 at the end of this 28:03.710 --> 28:04.950 and again 28:06.650 --> 28:08.930 nobody is gaining here 28:08.930 --> 28:10.790 except for the Israelis 28:10.790 --> 28:12.830 so until next time 28:12.830 --> 28:14.850 this has been another 28:14.850 --> 28:16.970 addition of foreign policy 28:16.970 --> 28:19.030 here for the last American 28:19.030 --> 28:20.010 vagabond