Brace yourself as the great shutdown begins.
Ladies and gents, this is only getting worse by the day.
And I don't think I remember the last time I saw the leader of multiple countries all doing an emergency press conference all on the same day.
We had, well, let's go to the shared screen a moment, we had the Australian PM, we've had Kirstammer of the UK, we have had the EU,
and we've got Trump as well actually doing, I'm not even sure what he's going to be saying later on,
but even he's saying he's given a big press conference about the war.
Well, I don't remember the last time I saw something like this outside of wartime events.
Now, I want to talk a lot today about the confirmed now, again, a lot of the stuff that I've been talking about for the last three to four weeks here has now been confirmed, of course,
but I want to talk about something that I've been reading today and doing my own calculations and forecasts on, and that's around flights.
So I want to go on to that, but I mean, there's so much that we're going to cover today.
There really is a lot to cover.
So let's just go on to, in fact, let's start with this for some context.
So a little bit of context, here's your update on the fuel aspect.
So you see, this is the largest demand destruction.
I know you can't see because my face is in the way, but it goes all the way down to the bottom of this line now, the destruction.
So this is worse than what happened during the COVID lockdowns.
So I made a post on X that seemed to have got almost 300,000 views in terms of traction.
So let me just talk through what this was about then here, and then we'll go on to a few more points.
So this is a cargo ship.
As of yesterday, about 24 hours ago when I posted this, showed where it was.
This, ladies and gentlemen, is the very last fuel ship that is on its way to the United Kingdom.
And that's it. And I'm not exaggerating this.
I'm not, whatever people keep saying, this is absolutely 100% true.
This is the last fuel ship that is docking tomorrow in the UK.
And they've said there is no other ship planned.
So that's it.
So even though the government and the media has kept saying every day, don't worry, don't panic, everything's fine.
And I've been saying, no, do the opposite of what the media and the government say.
They are not here to help you out.
I know they should be. That is in a normal society.
The government is there to help you out.
But in this case, they're not, they're not here to help you.
Okay. The stuff that they are saying is crazy.
Just carry on as normal, do everything as normal.
But we've also had big announcements from the EU.
And the EU, hold on, let's pull up what they've said there.
Okay. I wanted to say, actually, before we go into the EU announcement,
I wanted to tell you the date that I think Europe is going to run out of energy flow.
And I've got it down as April the 10th.
That's by my own forecast.
April the 10th.
So in nine days time, Europe will run out of predominantly jet fuel, but other energies as well.
Let's look at this couple of articles on this then.
So this was under the telegraph.
This is EU urges people to drive and fly less as last Middle East fuel tankers arrive.
So theirs are already arriving, by the way.
So the UK is tomorrow.
And they're warning of demand destruction, which is an economic term,
which basically means that as prices go up, demand will reduce.
So it's supply and demand.
And that's in effect what they're saying that people will.
And it's quite interesting when you listen to some of the interviews.
These are top diplomats of the EU.
They're saying that it's voluntary right now to reduce your travel.
They're recommending you work from home.
They're recommending you don't fly.
You don't take leisure.
I mean, this is a really bad, this is really bad advice saying not to even travel for leisure and things like that.
Do you realize that the mental health around the world has collapsed in recent years?
The UK is one of the worst now.
I think it's second.
It's either the worst or second from worst as at the last report.
And they're saying that you should just stay at home and be locked down at home.
This is why I called them two or three weeks ago energy lockdowns and people got really upset about this term.
But that is in effect what they are.
If there's no energy pouring in and you can't drive anywhere because there won't be enough fuel anyway.
They've already said now there's rationing.
The rationing has started.
I think it's about, I think it's 14 countries.
It could be 15 countries that there's now fuel rationing.
A lot of it is in Asia, but also the EU has announced there's a couple of countries in the EU.
Romania had just made an emergency announcement today around fuel.
So this is really happening, ladies and gents.
It's really happening now.
So let's have a look at what they have said.
This is today's article.
So the EU is urging people to cut back on driving and flying as the last shipments of diesel and jet fuel reach Europe.
The EU's energy chief warned that Europe facing economic disaster with no end in sight and urged governments to consider emergency measures.
So this is your keywords here to curb fuel use.
So what do you think that means?
They're not saying it because they know the damage it was caused during the COVID lockdowns.
But they're urging governments, so they're not saying it themselves because they don't want to be accused of the ones that are pushing it, pushing an agenda.
So they're telling the governments, the EU governments, you should do it.
So they're saying to use emergency measures.
Well, what do you think that's going to be that there is no more fuel coming in?
What do you think is going to happen?
Heathrow Airport put out an announcement as well.
They said that when this fuel comes in, they just don't know what's going to happen.
There is no more fuel coming in, especially jet fuel.
So what's the EU's advice?
Work from home.
Reduce highway speeds to the minimum.
Encourage public transport use.
Alternate private car access.
Now, isn't this interesting if you think back to my walk and talk two weeks ago when I said the IEA has sent the International Energy Agency.
Has sent out this report to governments around the world and they're all going to implement that.
People thought I was scaremongering.
They said, no, that's not going to happen.
This is never going to happen.
It's here, ladies and gents.
I don't say this stuff because I enjoy scaring people.
I'm saying it to try and help you to prepare, especially the psychological impact of this.
So this is from the EU senior minister.
He said there is no more jet fuel coming in.
There is no order.
There is no delivery.
What more can you say on that?
They then talk about eventual demand destruction.
There is the fight.
This is the last diesel tanker will be arriving on April the 10th.
And it will also carry a few days worth of jet fuel.
However, no more supplies will arrive after this one until the straight opens.
Well, Iran said the straight is not going to open.
And they're not going to be providing to the US's allies.
And it's quite interesting when you listen to the emergency speech today by Keir Starmer.
And it was, I don't know if you picked up on this, but he was very, I wouldn't use the word anti-American,
but he was very clear that he wants to move away from the US and back to the EU.
Well, firstly, the British people, whether anyone likes it or not, the British people voted to leave the EU.
Even though if you think about why they voted to leave the EU, immigration, things like that,
it actually got worse, the immigration.
So this is the way these things often work in these modern days with these certain politicians.
You vote for something that doesn't actually happen anyway.
Or you vote because they say they're going to do things and then as soon as they're in power, they don't do any of it, of course.
But this is what they're saying now.
The flights are going to be grounded.
The planes won't be able to take off because there is no, there may be no jet fuel.
And the deficit is 200,000 barrels a day, which is a quarter of all total demand.
And they haven't given a date, but I'm giving a date of 10th of April.
That is when I think you're going to see it run out.
There'll probably be, even though they're not saying there's going to be another delivery,
if you look at the cargo ships, there is one ship that looks like it may be going to Europe
and it's got jet fuel on it.
So even though they're saying it's going to run out, I think you may get a delivery somewhere around the middle of April.
But again, it's one delivery and that's it.
But even worse, remember I was talking about diesel.
Well, the three diesel containers that were coming to Europe have actually turned around.
They're not coming to Europe anymore.
They've gone elsewhere.
So there's all these arguments around breach of contract, we've paid for the diesel, etc.
Well, they're going to give you a refund.
They're taking the diesel elsewhere where they're going to be paying more.
So this is even worse.
They're not even talking about the diesel yet.
The politicians and the lead, they're not mentioning this aspect of it.
But yeah, these three ships that we're bringing all the diesel in, they've gone.
They're not coming to Europe anymore.
In the UK, jet fuel supplies are going to be the biggest problem because it's almost all imported.
Where does it come from?
Kuwait, India, UAE.
Yeah, that's basically it.
And then diesel then, most of the diesel comes from the US, Netherlands and Belgium.
Well, Belgium and Netherlands need it for themselves.
And whether the US is going to send the diesel to the UK, I assume so.
But how long is that going to take?
This is just, this is really worrying, ladies and gents.
I really do think it's worrying.
Truly.
But I wanted to share with you, I know a lot of you have taken the program now,
but I just wanted to speak into this for a moment because I do think it will help a lot of you out.
Because if you think about this, what's going to happen when your working come starts to sort of dry up
for some people who can't travel if we have these shocks?
It is going to happen to some people.
It's almost a guarantee there's going to be these shocks.
So if you're relying on a job that is all about commuting, what are you going to do?
That's what I want you to think about right now.
But I do think there's a way you can protect yourself, which is what I've done.
More than 600 people are going through the program at the moment.
And it's all about creating digital products and services because it will help to protect you.
Because it doesn't matter what's happening in the economy.
This business actually explodes because people are at home.
Do you remember what happened with Zoom and Netflix and all these others?
People are locked down at home.
They can't do a lot of things.
And this is why I actually created this program even before this crisis hits.
This is more like an academy than a program because it contains three courses within the program.
One is a digital blueprint, teaches you how to create these digital products and services.
The next one is the marketing.
It shows you how to market it and create the funnel around it.
And then the third part is the sales aspect.
And the sales aspect is an automated sales system.
So once you set it up, it will work for you.
So it doesn't matter.
You can create e-books, online courses, printables, templates, membership sites, coaching programs.
You can do all this without leaving the house.
You don't need to commute.
It doesn't matter if there's no diesel, no jet fuel, etc.
You create the product once.
You sell them forever 24-7.
It doesn't matter if you're sleeping.
The funnel will work for you.
So you'll learn all this stuff.
It basically covers everything.
Because this is going to get worse.
And I do think this will be a solution for many of you.
It's like the gold and silver course, remember I created.
A lot of people took that.
A lot of people still to this day email me,
thanking me for that course,
because they made a lot of money from gold and silver.
So the last thing I'd say is there's a 30-day money-back guarantee on it.
So there's no risk to you whatsoever.
The risk is on me if anything,
because I have to pay the penalty for refunds.
So there's absolutely no risk to you.
30-day money-back guarantee.
Just give it a try.
Have a go at it.
See if you like it.
I think you will.
We've only had one refund request so far.
So that should tell you.
And that's basically it.
I really hope that it solves the issue for a lot of people.
Now, there was a couple of other things that get back to this.
This was the EU energy minister then.
He said, this is how it started.
This was on the 30th.
So two days ago, this is how it started.
He did...
And it always works like this.
They say it softly.
He's asking member countries to consider...
So asking, consider cutting back.
Is voluntary right now.
Voluntary with particular attention to transport.
And I'll tell you why this is so serious
and why they're panicking about this now.
It's because...
And this was so funny.
I was...
Sometimes you just doom-scrolling, aren't you?
I was waiting for something earlier.
I had five minutes.
And I was just doom-scrolling, as they called it.
And it was this...
It was a typical person that just absolutely clueless.
Oh, I don't care.
I don't care if diesel goes to the moon.
It doesn't bother me.
And the guy's like,
where do you get your food from?
I'll go to the supermarket, isn't it?
And he says, well, you do realise.
How do you think that food gets to the supermarket?
And you should have seen her face.
She was like, why does that matter?
And he said, because your food gets delivered
with trucks, with diesel.
So if there's no diesel,
your food won't be there at the supermarket.
And it was just strange to me
that a lot of people haven't thought all of this through.
This is the way it's going.
This is why they're panicking so much.
They know what is coming.
And then we get on to flights, then.
Thousands of flights have been cancelled
as Jet Fuel costs soar.
They're warning that of a serious shortage.
It's less than a week away.
So if you've got flights booked,
then I mean, I've got a flight booked.
I'm going out to America.
I've got to do a business trip there.
And hopefully I'll get there fine.
And no doubt I'll get there back
if it fuels up in America.
But people who are flying around Europe,
I mean, really good luck.
Because already one in 20,
so that's 5% of flights were cancelled on Monday.
And you look at the prices,
Jet Fuel's gone from $742,
all the way up to $1,710.
That is staggering.
It's more than 100% increase already.
And this is if you can actually get it.
Airports were informing airlines
to prepare for a no-fuel scenario.
And no-fuel scenario.
And it just shows all the different airlines
that have cut already.
Air New Zealand, Scandinavian, SAS,
United Airlines has even cut.
And that's in the US, United Airlines.
You just think where this is going,
airlines are up 15% to 20% in airfares,
sorry, are up 15% to 20% in the last few weeks.
And this is what they're betting on.
There will be less demand and fewer people travelling.
And then this is even without getting into
the diesel aspect and the lockdowns
and everything else work from home policies.
Now, I thought this was something
that you would find really useful.
And this shows what happens.
Even if the Strait of Hamoose is open tomorrow.
Tomorrow.
Okay, let's just say day one here.
Day one to eight.
Sorry, week one to eight.
There'll be a port scramble and field restart.
But in Kuwait, it's going to take three months to restart.
Weeks two to six, refinery restarts.
Weeks four to 12, refining in Asia
gradually ramps up and crude products.
I can't read that from all the way back here.
But weeks eight to 12,
you're going to get more restarts.
This is not good, ladies and gents.
This tells you how long this is going to go on for.
We already covered this.
The tankers carrying diesel have turned around.
They're going elsewhere.
NATO, we've covered this.
Romania has declared a state of emergency
for their fuel crisis.
And then we had this as well.
Let's share the screen again.
They're talking.
I don't want to go through some of the headlines
because I think some of them are a little bit too alarmist,
but they're saying there's going to be empty shelves.
I don't think we're at that stage yet of empty shelves.
But all of the ministers have been meeting.
The warning has set off alarm bells
with G7 finance and energy ministers
alongside central bank governors
meeting virtually on Monday to assess the impact.
In Brussels, EU agriculture ministers are also holding talks.
There is a growing unrest among our farmers
because the prices of fertilisizers
and also the prices of energy
is growing now very rapidly.
Solutions may take time.
For now, unless fertilizer starts meeting soon,
the strain on food production is likely to show up
on supermarket shelves before long.
Actually, it has.
I tried to grab a video for you,
but on the platform I was trying to grab it from,
I couldn't download it.
But many of you might have seen it.
It was this British greengrocer.
If you know what that is, you are a certain age
if you know what the greengrocer is.
So if you don't know,
he sells fruit and vegetables on a market store.
And he was just walking around
and showing with his phone basically
the price of all of the vegetables,
fruit and vegetables that were coming in.
The prices were astronomical already.
They were up over 100% on almost every item.
Some items were up 200%.
So this is why a lot of farmers are saying now
they're not going to be planting this year.
If you're a farmer,
can you please leave a comment so we can all read
whether you are planting this year or not.
And I understand it will be different
depending on which country you're in.
But I think it'll be really, really useful.
Or if you know a farmer,
you've got a family member,
I think it'll be useful.
Because what I think they're all going to do
is I think that, especially for the UK,
because the weather hasn't been great,
it's been very wet,
there's that sort of gamble now.
If you've watched any of the shows,
you know, the TV, Clarkson's Farm and all the others,
I think a lot of us learned a lot of this.
It becomes a gamble.
If you get too late in the planting season,
what do you do?
Well, I think a lot of them
might consider either not doing a harvest this year
or they may sell that fertilizer.
Because if it's more than 100% up
and they bought it for a set price,
they'll make a profit instantly.
So, again, all of these knock-on effects
that we're seeing now is very, very, very worrying indeed.
So, Stan, let's just cover
what Stan said very briefly.
We don't need to go over all of it.
But he said he would use a summit
with the EU later this year to seek more cooperation
with the bloc on the economy and security.
Well, I wonder if there's going to be a vote on that.
I think there should be a vote.
It doesn't seem like it,
because Stan doesn't usually take a vote.
He just does things.
So, he said, this made me laugh.
I had to highlight this one.
The government has been ahead of the game
in its focus on the cost of living.
No, it hasn't.
What a load of nonsense.
They haven't been ahead of the game at all.
If you think, I've been at least a week ahead
of the governments on all of my forecasts
over the last four weeks.
At least, I mean, yeah,
at least a week ahead on there.
They're not ahead.
They started calling,
instead of calling for an emergency meeting on Friday
when a lot of things were changing.
It was sort of closer to five o'clock.
You remember what they did?
They said, we're going to call
an emergency meeting on Monday.
Who calls an emergency meeting on Monday?
You stay late.
You work for the people.
That is your job as politicians.
The people don't work for you,
and they seem to have forgotten this.
You stay late.
You stay until whatever time.
It doesn't matter if it's midnight.
If I were in that role,
I'd work through the night.
I'd work, even if it was 3 a.m., 4 a.m.,
it doesn't matter,
because your job is to serve the people
and their interests.
That's not what they're doing.
They said, we've come up with this revolutionary idea
to help people with the cost of living on fuel.
Go on.
Let me guess.
What's the revolutionary idea?
Are you going to cut the fuel duty,
which you're making billions of pounds on?
No.
They created an app.
What was it?
£180 million to create this app
on whatever cost it was?
Why do you need to spend that much money on an app?
That's obviously a scam.
There's some sort of scam going on,
just like during COVID,
with a lot of the PPE and apps
and other scams going on.
How much does it cost to create an app of fuel?
You look at the Australian one
that I showed you on last week's Walk and Talk.
Someone open sourced that
and the people did it.
It didn't cost anything.
He just ran it off his little server.
So why is the UK government spent millions,
however much it is.
I don't even know how much it is,
but I know it's millions of pounds
creating this app
when they could have just taken the duty off,
because a lot of fuel is duty.
It's tax and it's VAT.
This is what you often don't realise.
Not only do they put a fuel tax,
which is the bulk of the fuel,
but they put a VAT on the fuel tax.
Did you know that?
They put it on top of the fuel tax.
It's not separate.
It's not 20% on the fuel.
It's 20% on the fuel and the fuel tax.
It's such a scam.
So they can make it easier for people right away,
but they're not.
They're raking in all this extra money.
I can't stand this government.
I really can't.
Anyway, calm down there.
Relax, relax.
So the foreign secretary has said
that she is hosting 35 nations on Thursday.
So this will be tomorrow.
And this is to discuss the measures
to make the Strait of Homoos accessible
and for the safe passage of cargo ships.
Well, you can't do that.
So this was interesting because
I want to pull up another article.
I had to search this out with this article.
Here we go.
So I thought, OK, well, how exactly are you going to do that?
Ah, hold on.
More UK troops are being sent to the Middle East.
The Defence Secretary has confirmed.
This came out two days ago,
but I didn't see this article.
I don't know if you saw the article,
but I didn't see it.
I didn't see any of this on the news
that the UK was sending all of these troops
to the Middle East.
So that kind of makes sense now
with this 35 nations,
and they said they're going to deal with it.
How exactly are they going to deal with it?
Because it will be a suicide mission
to go into the Strait.
Why do you think the US hasn't gone into the Strait
with their aircraft carriers?
And yet what these 35 nations are putting something together?
I just think the whole situation is madness.
Absolute madness.
So let's get a bit of context on this then.
Details of the initiative.
It's been signed by the UK, France, Germany, Italy,
the Netherlands, Japan, and a load of others.
Goals of this then.
Initially it's diplomatic and political options
to reopen safe passage.
Well Iran's already said they're not going to be doing this,
and this is why you've seen Italy and Spain now
not allowing military aircraft,
so US or Israeli military aircraft.
They've said because, well they haven't said it,
but I think the reason why
is because they want to try and negotiate with Iran.
And I think that's probably what some of these other countries
are going to do, but if it doesn't...
Let's be honest here.
If they can't get this open,
what do you think is going to happen?
There's no other option.
They're going to have to be pulled into military action.
I don't see any other way around this.
I just don't.
So let's just think this through.
I know that my brain works differently
and I can just see forecast way ahead in the future,
but let's just look at this very rationally and logically.
They're about to run out of diesel.
They're about to run out of jet fuel.
No flights.
The supply chain breaks down.
Manufacturing breaks down.
Jobs breaks down.
I mean all sorts of employment scarring would take place.
It's not just driving jobs,
but anyone that drives to their job,
if you can't work from home, this isn't like COVID lockdowns.
This time there's no sort of key workers.
If there's no fuel, how are you can't move around?
The economy would start to crash.
The food would stop coming in.
There's no fertilizer anyway.
It's blocked, which means less food coming in,
less food produced, less food coming in.
That means higher prices at the supermarket
and shortages of certain products.
There's no way this would continue on.
And it gets worse from there.
This isn't the best-case scenario.
I was going to say this isn't the worst-case scenario.
It gets worse from there.
So what would happen?
I think they're going to have to go...
And it won't happen right away.
It's probably going to take one to three months
before they get to this stage.
But it's going to be militarily.
I can't see any other way unless they...
No, I don't see any other options at the moment.
But please leave comments for me,
because I love reading your comments,
and it gives me ideas when I see some of your ideas.
And I sort of take those in,
and then I can adjust my forecast
and I do more research based on what you say.
So please do leave me a comment.
I do appreciate it.
And again, thanks for being subscribers here.
I know I've gained a ton of new subscribers
right across all the video platforms.
I stream on six different video platforms
or make videos there.
Gained a ton of new subscribers.
So thank you, everyone, for subscribing.
I hope I'm delivering what you want
and trying to keep it as accurate as possible as well.
And just a reminder about the
Programmed Digital Income Mastery.
Have a look at that.
Just watch the video.
See what you think for yourself.
And apart from that,
take care. God bless you.
God bless your families.
And I'll see you on Friday
for The Walk and Talk.
Take care.