WEBVTT 00:02.190 --> 00:07.150 All right, we're back with Michael Jan and Doug Casey, of course, and the idea here is three 00:07.150 --> 00:12.570 Observations from the past week in one prediction. This is our third week doing it. So we'll see how it goes 00:12.570 --> 00:14.950 So Doug, what's your first observation for the week? 00:16.470 --> 00:16.950 Well 00:17.930 --> 00:19.730 I'm happy to observe this 00:19.730 --> 00:26.910 From my apartment Buenos Aires. I really loved being in the mysterious orient for the last month really did 00:26.910 --> 00:30.270 but I'm glad to be back home frankly so 00:31.070 --> 00:34.370 Having said that now the only thing that 00:36.210 --> 00:37.910 Is important well 00:40.750 --> 00:49.170 Is widely recognized as being important, let me put it that way and this last week is the stamped election which is coming up in a week 00:50.510 --> 00:58.390 That's what everybody's talking about so I've got a few anecdotal observations about the election and 01:00.270 --> 01:06.090 First thing on my list was it's interesting what Elon Musk is doing 01:07.090 --> 01:07.730 with 01:08.670 --> 01:11.010 Offering a million dollars a day 01:11.010 --> 01:18.330 To somebody that pledges to vote for Trump and what is it a hundred dollars to be anyway? 01:19.250 --> 01:22.510 The thing is is that at least one attorney general 01:24.210 --> 01:25.850 One of the states of 01:26.910 --> 01:33.750 Pennsylvania or is it Philadelphia? It doesn't matter because there's gonna be a bunch of them that are going to sue him for 01:35.650 --> 01:36.170 bribery 01:37.790 --> 01:38.710 Of the 01:39.830 --> 01:44.130 Public I mean you're not supposed to pay people for their votes is the bottom line on this 01:44.730 --> 01:45.490 So I think 01:46.170 --> 01:47.930 That's kind of a big deal 01:47.930 --> 01:53.010 The fact that musk is throwing all that money out there and taking a severe 01:53.570 --> 01:56.650 risk because it could be adjudicated as 01:58.210 --> 02:03.530 Manipulating through cash distributions. So anyway 02:04.590 --> 02:07.810 And as it just is an addendum to that thought 02:08.450 --> 02:14.070 I'd like to say that these elections should not be important at all 02:14.070 --> 02:20.810 At all and the reason I say that is that the government since its coercion 02:20.810 --> 02:26.970 I've said this before but it's worth saying many times because it doesn't sink in the government is forced 02:26.970 --> 02:33.130 It's pure coercion and therefore it should be limited to protecting people from coercion 02:33.130 --> 02:38.560 that means the military for coercion from abroad police coercion within and 02:39.610 --> 02:45.850 A court system to allow you to adjudicate disputes without resorting to coercion now 02:46.880 --> 02:48.610 If that's all 02:49.350 --> 02:51.750 Elections were just to 02:52.510 --> 02:53.970 elect the warm bodies 02:54.720 --> 02:56.190 That would do those things 02:57.130 --> 03:03.290 Most of the problems of the world would go away and we wouldn't have any of this going on and nobody would care to 03:03.970 --> 03:04.970 bribe somebody 03:05.970 --> 03:10.870 Bribe the voters to elect somebody because these are just administrative possessions 03:11.570 --> 03:12.150 so 03:12.910 --> 03:13.490 anyway 03:14.370 --> 03:16.370 this could be a big deal with 03:16.950 --> 03:23.670 A case of no good deed going unpunished with Elon Musk trying to help Trump out and to come 03:23.670 --> 03:29.650 Yeah, he's kind of got a Willy Wonka, you know the chocolate factory kind of vibe about him right now 03:29.650 --> 03:34.130 You know, he's just like the wizard solving the problems. He can make your dreams come true 03:34.130 --> 03:41.510 It's yeah, I've always liked Trump. I live a lot. Good heart of guy. I excuse me Elon, right? Good heart of guy 03:43.330 --> 03:44.890 All right, my interesting 03:45.570 --> 03:54.170 Oh, actually, I'll sit in here taking some notes is as Doug is talking like that like well first of all paying for votes some funny anecdotes 03:55.450 --> 04:01.890 When I was a kid my father would throw away a lot of junk mail and I would like to open mail because you know, I'm like nine 04:01.890 --> 04:07.990 You know and so I was going through mail one time and I opened it up and there was a dollar in it 04:08.500 --> 04:14.530 And I ran to my dad and I was like there's money in them in the you know, you know, I was like nine. That's big bucks 04:15.450 --> 04:15.910 And 04:16.610 --> 04:18.230 Plus it was way back then 04:18.740 --> 04:20.250 It was almost an ounce of gold 04:21.110 --> 04:24.570 Well, not that much, but you know what I'm saying and so 04:25.180 --> 04:27.550 Any guys it was amounts of silver back then 04:28.030 --> 04:28.750 was it 04:29.690 --> 04:33.230 Yeah, because up until uh up until 04:33.830 --> 04:35.810 Let me get this right 1965 04:36.450 --> 04:42.370 silver was price controlled by the u.s. government because we had silver coins and uh 04:43.090 --> 04:48.690 So that would have been about an ounce of silver back then because we had silver coins 04:48.690 --> 04:53.370 And if you had four quarters a dollar they added up to well not quite 04:53.370 --> 04:57.090 I think 0.77 of an ounce 04:57.810 --> 04:58.130 anyway 04:59.710 --> 05:00.890 Yeah, I 05:01.330 --> 05:05.790 I ran to my father with that dollar and I was like wow I can't believe it and uh 05:06.610 --> 05:07.410 and he goes 05:08.130 --> 05:13.970 I said why why did they put money in the letter and and he said because the somebody's trying to buy a vote 05:14.370 --> 05:20.730 It's a politician and that was the I was a little kid and I was like wow they actually pay you to vote for them 05:20.730 --> 05:26.730 You know, I I actually recognized something was wrong with that. I remember that he goes. Yeah, that's it's it's illegal 05:26.730 --> 05:33.490 but they're you know, anyway, they do it and uh, and so that's one way they get you to open their letters in any case 05:34.230 --> 05:37.090 You know, I lived in thailand for a spell 05:37.730 --> 05:42.350 And you you'll find that there's no alcohol allowed on thai election day 05:42.350 --> 05:48.870 And they don't allow alcohol on election day because people would pay people to come to the voting booths with whiskey 05:48.870 --> 05:52.890 So they'll you know after you vote they'll give you whiskey right free whiskey 05:52.890 --> 05:56.170 Another thing is uh, they would before the elections 05:56.170 --> 05:58.690 They would go out and hand out one shoe 05:59.210 --> 06:03.210 To all the huts and village, you know in the village and that sort of thing 06:03.490 --> 06:05.970 And then when you came to vote they would give you the other shoe 06:06.590 --> 06:11.050 All these sorts of clever bribes, you know, you just can't make up this stuff 06:11.950 --> 06:17.230 Yeah, anyway, when you when you talked about paying for the votes this stuff it never ends, obviously 06:17.790 --> 06:19.930 You know, let me say one thing about elan 06:20.610 --> 06:28.290 I just get this idea that he's going to be running for president next time and people are going to beg for that constitution to be thrown out 06:28.930 --> 06:31.070 And let him, you know, the wizard of oz 06:31.550 --> 06:37.890 Uh, you know totally just blatantly violate the constitution like, you know, obama 06:37.890 --> 06:44.830 I thought did as well, uh, but I I I just get that feeling maybe i'm wrong, but I would uh 06:44.830 --> 06:49.350 I would ascribe, I don't know 60 chance that he'll end up running for 06:50.010 --> 06:51.350 For president or being 06:52.430 --> 06:53.630 appointed anointed 06:54.110 --> 06:58.890 I don't think that's that far out of prediction michael and the reason is that 06:59.380 --> 07:03.150 For years they've talked about a constitutional convention 07:03.860 --> 07:04.230 to 07:05.280 --> 07:07.630 Actually come up with a new constitution 07:08.390 --> 07:10.510 And they might do it yet 07:11.260 --> 07:12.630 certainly if camala is 07:13.660 --> 07:14.030 elected 07:15.000 --> 07:15.370 that 07:16.590 --> 07:23.710 Movement to rewrite the constitutional wholesale throw it out and get a new one and uh, yeah 07:24.330 --> 07:30.670 That would be one of the changes probably anybody can do it you know often always said that uh, eventually 07:30.670 --> 07:35.090 Americans will demand a general, you know, it'll be somebody to take charge and fix it 07:35.570 --> 07:39.530 But maybe it's not exactly a general this time. Maybe it's someone else in the pub. Maybe it's elan 07:39.530 --> 07:42.550 Maybe it says someone in that public eye that can lead that can command 07:43.070 --> 07:43.830 effectively armies 07:44.350 --> 07:45.030 Well, the only 07:46.310 --> 07:47.710 No, go ahead michael 07:48.250 --> 07:53.010 I was gonna say it would be elan and then the next election someone straight from televive, you know 07:53.010 --> 07:58.090 That sort of thing. I mean, you know, I mean, let's be honest. I mean, it's it's there's something's not right 07:58.090 --> 08:02.910 You know, every they're all going to pay their respects at auschwitz in advance and that sort of thing 08:02.910 --> 08:05.250 I mean, it's it's really over the top 08:05.730 --> 08:09.190 They're really flagrant about what's going on on some levels 08:11.170 --> 08:11.610 Yeah 08:13.390 --> 08:14.270 Yeah, I 08:14.270 --> 08:15.790 I completely agree 08:16.830 --> 08:18.090 will it be a 08:18.090 --> 08:23.010 Will it be a general I I think since we're going into a time of warfare 08:23.710 --> 08:28.590 People will like a general more than elan who doesn't have a particularly military background 08:29.990 --> 08:33.290 I think that's an important consideration 08:33.890 --> 08:41.110 And also the problem with elan running for president, even if it was possible under a new constitution if you would 08:41.790 --> 08:42.430 is that 08:43.090 --> 08:47.950 he's kind of a libertarian oriented guy and is 08:48.090 --> 08:50.410 Michael more has pointed out to us in the past 08:51.110 --> 08:54.350 The average american is now so corrupt that 08:55.490 --> 08:59.830 They'll want to go for somebody with socialist instincts not free market instincts 09:00.570 --> 09:06.410 Yeah, it's true. Okay, michael. I think we got your prediction already here about elan being president 09:06.410 --> 09:10.430 Is there another an observation that you wanted to share before we go back to dug? 09:12.590 --> 09:14.470 Yeah, you know, I'll tell you 09:15.030 --> 09:21.070 Another anecdote and and to observe you mean in regard to politics or in regard to the last week things that you saw that were 09:21.070 --> 09:23.770 Noteworthy this week in particular. They want to bring to people's attention 09:25.310 --> 09:31.310 You know, um misako, and I had just I had just flown to um from thailand to 09:31.310 --> 09:32.630 to okinawa 09:33.410 --> 09:36.330 To to meet with somebody on on okinawa, right? 09:36.750 --> 09:40.090 So I went to get a haircut in advance with with with misako 09:40.650 --> 09:44.290 And misako kanaha and the barber was so interesting 09:44.290 --> 09:50.810 He had these fishing lures up on the wall and I started talking, you know, there must be 10,000 ways to fish, right? 09:51.070 --> 09:55.130 I've told you before I get along with farmers all over the world. I don't care if they're tally man 09:55.130 --> 09:57.110 I get along with them and and 09:57.110 --> 10:00.230 Likewise with fishermen for some reason I get along with them 10:00.230 --> 10:04.710 So we started talking about fishing and he had this lure for squid and all these sorts of things 10:04.710 --> 10:08.810 And then it come come to find out he had taken set soil samples 10:09.310 --> 10:13.350 All over okinawa because he's thinking about buying a farm, right? 10:13.790 --> 10:16.990 And he knows there's going to be food problems in advance coming, right? 10:17.490 --> 10:21.310 And so he showed us a map of all these places. He's been taking soil 10:21.310 --> 10:22.630 This is the barber, right? 10:23.010 --> 10:26.250 And then he started talking about gold and these sorts of things 10:26.250 --> 10:30.370 And so we invited him to dinner. We invited the barber to dinner 10:30.370 --> 10:32.450 He closed the shop and we went to dinner 10:32.450 --> 10:37.370 And and we talked with him for hours. This is the kind of thing that you see in japan 10:37.370 --> 10:43.850 I mean, you'll run into like a barber that you'll actually just like can you close the shop and come to dinner? 10:44.150 --> 10:48.470 And and we talked about all sorts of things like this that are going on with the food issues 10:48.470 --> 10:52.810 The energy issues and he weirdly is tracking all this stuff 10:52.810 --> 10:59.050 You just you know, it's japan. I mean you and he's been deep diving you can tell isn't that interesting? That is interesting 10:59.910 --> 11:02.270 That is interesting and incidentally 11:03.350 --> 11:04.450 Flying from 11:05.370 --> 11:07.750 Sri Lanka back to Buenos Aires here 11:08.510 --> 11:13.810 One of the movies that I watched was that clinti I watched two clinti's would war movies 11:16.070 --> 11:18.170 Flags of our fathers and 11:21.830 --> 11:22.510 Letters 11:23.510 --> 11:28.130 Letters from anyway it was about it was about Iwo Jima and 11:28.640 --> 11:30.630 it occurs to me that 11:30.630 --> 11:32.730 Since okinawa was even a 11:33.280 --> 11:35.270 worse battle than Iwo Jima 11:36.140 --> 11:41.390 Maybe there's maybe he shouldn't be trying to farm there so soon because there's undoubtedly 11:42.130 --> 11:46.130 Thousands and thousands of unexploded ordinance all around that island 11:46.820 --> 11:48.410 Might be dangerous to be farming 11:50.230 --> 11:55.250 Let me tell you flags of our fathers. You just mentioned that that's written by 11:55.800 --> 11:59.110 My friend James Bradley. He just sent me a note about you 12:00.250 --> 12:05.650 Two hours ago and um, so he apparently pays close. I know he pays close. He said 12:06.320 --> 12:09.770 Doug Casey is the Elvis Presley of commodities investing 12:10.490 --> 12:14.170 Oh, I like that. Yeah, he said I'm he said I'm a little choir boy 12:14.170 --> 12:18.750 Who can uh, who can hum a tune I was asking him about some gold issues actually 12:19.250 --> 12:24.410 Michael tell him I tell him. Thank you. Thank you very much. Oh, I will I will he 12:24.410 --> 12:30.050 Anyway, he said he said uh, you are with the genius if you are with Doug 12:30.650 --> 12:35.270 And I would be interested in what he would have to say he is a gold related stuff 12:35.270 --> 12:37.430 I was asking him about because he tracks gold quite 12:38.670 --> 12:39.150 Oh 12:40.030 --> 12:44.050 Do you think oh, that's it's dangerous to be a farmer there 12:44.170 --> 12:44.470 or 12:45.530 --> 12:49.770 For for for ux oh, uh unexploded ordinance. Um, no 12:49.770 --> 12:54.170 I haven't I haven't heard about anybody getting blown up now when it comes to ux 12:54.170 --> 12:56.670 Oh, I mean that's something I've come across a lot in the world 12:56.670 --> 13:01.130 Uh, just but whether it's a act of combat zones or just you know 13:01.910 --> 13:03.890 I mean it's out there by the unbelievable 13:05.070 --> 13:10.410 Amounts I was talking with one eod guy some years ago and uh, he was from belgium 13:10.410 --> 13:13.610 And uh, and and we were talking about low 13:14.240 --> 13:18.310 low magnetic uh signature mines and that sort of thing 13:18.310 --> 13:23.890 And uh, and he said they're still finding glass mines from world war one 13:23.890 --> 13:24.750 in 13:24.750 --> 13:27.410 In and in belgium, you know 13:27.410 --> 13:31.770 Mines made of glass so that they have low mag they had metal detectors way back then by the way 13:31.770 --> 13:37.030 But there is so much ux so out there unexploded ordinance that it's going to be everywhere 13:37.030 --> 13:43.090 And by the way, you know urney pile, which would be probably america's most famous and serious war 13:43.090 --> 13:47.170 Correspondent was killed on he would g or not ewo jima at um 13:47.670 --> 13:51.710 Okinawa on a little island called yoshie and I went there some months ago 13:52.230 --> 13:57.570 Uh, in in fact, he was shot. Uh, you know, he had done very well over in the european theater 13:57.570 --> 14:02.190 And then he was there for the you know invasion of okinawa, which was an incredibly bloody 14:02.830 --> 14:07.010 Battle, you know hacksaw ridge and all that and uh, and he was killed there actually 14:07.550 --> 14:10.290 You know, what's interesting about urney pile though. I read 14:10.970 --> 14:16.270 His books after I became a war correspondent. I never imagined becoming one, but after I became one 14:16.270 --> 14:20.430 Uh, people would talk about urney pile all the time and then I started so I read his work 14:20.430 --> 14:28.070 And to see what he had done and what was very interesting was urney piles experiences were extremely similar to mine 14:28.070 --> 14:36.210 Except his wars were bigger his wars were much bigger, but the experiences the he was having were like parallel for instance 14:37.370 --> 14:43.570 You know when you got when you come to a new battle zone when when you know when the flagpole hasn't been planted yet 14:43.570 --> 14:46.730 You can do anything you want like when I first showed up to iraq 14:46.730 --> 14:51.190 Here comes a helicopter landing. I would literally just go get on it and see where they're going to 14:51.190 --> 14:57.810 And they'd let me on you know and and uh, or you know, uh, I would go off on one mission with some combat troops 14:58.070 --> 15:04.510 Literally introduced myself like hey, you know, I got a camera. Can we take who are you? Yeah, you're a reporter guy 15:04.510 --> 15:10.790 Yeah, kind of let's go then I remember coming back to a base in bakuba after having gone on a combat mission 15:10.790 --> 15:14.150 Came right back to base. There was another unit lined up to go out 15:14.150 --> 15:17.190 I jumped out for those vehicles and jumped in the other one 15:17.190 --> 15:22.270 Never said anything to the commander went back on into combat, right? I mean 15:22.830 --> 15:24.870 Ernie pile talked about that sort of stuff 15:24.870 --> 15:28.550 But then when the flagpole catches up it's time to move on 15:28.550 --> 15:33.070 Because he said it would be hard to get on a boat hard to get in a jeep. But you know 15:33.990 --> 15:40.430 Experiences like that were were the same. He said every new unit that rotated in american troops. Anyway 15:40.990 --> 15:45.930 Uh, I think he was specific about that as I recall when american troops a new unit would come in 15:45.930 --> 15:49.130 They always had new equipment like a new sort of canteen cup 15:49.710 --> 15:50.010 new 15:50.700 --> 15:52.590 You know uniform new boots 15:52.590 --> 15:54.090 Which was exactly true 15:54.090 --> 15:59.530 You could always see the new troops because they would always have a considerable amount of new gear 15:59.530 --> 16:01.770 Which was pretty it was pretty, you know 16:01.770 --> 16:08.490 Interesting when it comes to the military industrial complex. I mean not only new gear they could show up with like, you know new 16:09.070 --> 16:13.430 Armored vehicles that you'd never seen before, you know, I mean it was just you know 16:13.430 --> 16:18.080 And he was going through the same experiences back in world war two. That's pretty interesting, isn't it? 16:18.080 --> 16:23.100 That really is actually one more thing that he said it was very very interesting 16:23.840 --> 16:27.240 When he would go back to the united states everybody wanted to see him 16:27.240 --> 16:33.400 Everybody wanted him to go do this that and the other and finally he just like he wanted to just go home and be alone 16:33.920 --> 16:36.900 Like it was the same with me because I would do really intense combat 16:36.900 --> 16:40.540 You know, I would go with the combat troops and being actually a lot of come 16:40.540 --> 16:43.200 So when I went back one time I was with my grandmother 16:43.200 --> 16:46.740 I just wanted to be with my grandmother like unplug everything and that's it 16:46.740 --> 16:50.500 I just wanted to hang out with granny, you know and everybody wants you to come see him 16:50.500 --> 16:56.220 And it's really like no seriously. I'm not even going across town. I'm not coming to washington. I'm not going to new york 16:56.220 --> 16:59.380 I'm being with my grandmother. Don't call me again, right and 16:59.880 --> 17:04.980 And and finally I would leave the wars and just go off to nipal and walk up in the mountains, right? 17:05.420 --> 17:06.840 And he talked about the same thing 17:06.840 --> 17:12.740 He didn't even want to go home because people are just bothering too much. That's pretty interesting, isn't it? 17:12.860 --> 17:15.920 same well, you know the the french have a praise for that 17:16.560 --> 17:16.900 which 17:17.740 --> 17:20.100 You're giving testimony to michael and that's 17:20.460 --> 17:26.460 La pluça change la pluça rest la mem the more things change the more than the same 17:27.280 --> 17:27.620 Yep 17:28.240 --> 17:28.920 Same stuff 17:28.920 --> 17:34.320 All right, Doug. What's uh, what's your second observation on the election this week? 17:34.940 --> 17:35.440 well 17:36.280 --> 17:37.380 once again, I will 17:38.700 --> 17:40.220 With a degree of shame 17:40.220 --> 17:41.100 Uh 17:43.340 --> 17:46.580 Tell people that yes, I'm a subscriber to 17:47.320 --> 17:48.620 the fag hag rag 17:49.240 --> 17:51.040 Wapo the washington post 17:51.860 --> 17:54.040 my excuse for that is that 17:54.780 --> 18:01.900 Down here in south america. I don't pay their I don't know what they charge americans 125 bucks or something like that 18:02.340 --> 18:03.320 but if you 18:04.060 --> 18:09.940 Are signing up from a foreign address at least down here. It's 10 bucks a year. I figured okay 18:10.460 --> 18:15.820 Uh, just to keep an eye on what these idiots are saying it's worth it. So I I subscribe to the post 18:16.360 --> 18:22.400 Uh, and I read it every day. Some of the articles are actually interesting, but they're all ultra ultra ultra left 18:22.400 --> 18:26.580 I'm trying to figure out which is the most left-wing publication 18:27.560 --> 18:30.160 major publication in the u.s. And 18:30.780 --> 18:36.460 To my knowledge and I'm sure I'm missing many possibilities. It's either the wapo or um 18:37.100 --> 18:43.300 The atlantic monthly which is just criminally left us to anyway. That's a tangent. That's not what I wanted to talk about 18:44.060 --> 18:45.640 exactly, but since 18:46.540 --> 18:47.400 Jeff Bezos 18:47.400 --> 18:53.860 A nixed wapo endorsing a candidate 18:55.620 --> 19:00.940 The numbers seem to have come up from reliable sources that 200,000 19:02.520 --> 19:05.960 Subscribers to wapo have canceled their subscriptions 19:06.540 --> 19:07.520 That's a lot 19:08.060 --> 19:12.480 And I presume most of them are paying a hundred bucks a year or whatever they charge in the u.s 19:13.040 --> 19:13.600 and 19:14.220 --> 19:19.520 That's about eight percent of their paid online subscriptions. That's what they say anyway 19:20.160 --> 19:20.720 so 19:20.720 --> 19:27.560 You know these lefties really take this stuff seriously and the one interesting thing about that is 19:28.000 --> 19:28.780 We know that 19:29.480 --> 19:33.460 Elon musk has become he's an intelligent guy, obviously 19:34.280 --> 19:36.320 Has become libertarian oriented 19:36.960 --> 19:42.300 More and more this time has gone by but we don't really know for a fact what bezels 19:43.520 --> 19:47.280 Political and philosophical views are he's a money guy. He's made 19:47.920 --> 19:52.180 A huge amount of money, but he's never talked about philosophy or this type of thing 19:52.650 --> 19:59.500 And I actually think he's a little bit like musk. He's interested in space exploration. I mean not 20:00.020 --> 20:01.980 Grumbling in the dirt dirt for politics 20:02.610 --> 20:05.580 but you know as an intelligent guy he's seen that 20:06.620 --> 20:11.500 Wapo's policy is running counter to reality. In fact, that's even the phrase he used 20:11.970 --> 20:15.900 And that's why he's not endorsing and interestingly three 20:16.570 --> 20:17.860 Of the post editors 20:18.360 --> 20:21.960 Have just resigned because they're not endorsing kamala 20:22.640 --> 20:25.820 And I'm wondering if at this point since 20:26.500 --> 20:30.560 Bezos has focused his attention on the publication he owns 20:31.040 --> 20:34.920 I'm wondering whether he might not replace those three editors 20:35.460 --> 20:39.140 with three at least middle of the road or perhaps 20:39.760 --> 20:43.100 Right-leaning or libertarian leading people, but 20:43.800 --> 20:50.540 Anyway, the subscribership of the post absolutely had a shit-fit with the fact that it didn't endorse 20:51.560 --> 20:52.620 Kamala, I mean 20:54.260 --> 21:00.420 I mean, it's crazy and not that it makes any difference who pays attention to what a newspaper says 21:01.020 --> 21:08.460 Endorsement wise anyway, but anyway these statistics about wapo and what's happening with bezels relative to it 21:08.460 --> 21:09.740 I think they're rather interesting 21:12.140 --> 21:16.660 Somebody's got to be on like lsd to think kamala here should be president. I mean 21:17.800 --> 21:20.380 I'm not seeing how that works out. You know 21:20.380 --> 21:28.680 But not not that I like trump and in a lot of people know my my thoughts on trump, but but kamala Harris. I mean, seriously 21:28.680 --> 21:33.800 I mean, she's stupid. She's a vapid. She's unknowledgeable 21:33.800 --> 21:37.600 She can't put together a sentence much less a 21:37.600 --> 21:38.880 Cogent lot 21:39.920 --> 21:40.960 It it's 21:42.080 --> 21:48.480 I'm just dumbfounded at the fact that these stupid democrats have are running her 21:49.160 --> 21:54.920 They're also the same who thought that thought that biden was of sound mind this whole time, right? Yeah 21:54.920 --> 21:58.260 Yeah, so they they diluted themselves or turned that into that belief 21:58.840 --> 22:04.300 They're showing a total lack of respect for the american republic, which is well deserved. I've got to say 22:04.300 --> 22:06.860 I mean, they're right on about that, but 22:07.500 --> 22:08.300 Still i'm shocked 22:09.240 --> 22:15.720 You know, new york times you brought them up. They're interesting that they just came up this week again 22:15.720 --> 22:17.760 somebody put a video together of my 22:18.300 --> 22:24.640 sort of semi-analysis of that gunshot during, you know, the ear thing with trump and and and um 22:24.640 --> 22:28.880 Now let me set the table with what i'm about preface it with what i'm about to say 22:29.420 --> 22:34.340 Years ago. I used to subscribe to new york times until they did the jason blair thing 22:34.340 --> 22:36.780 Jason blair was caught doing a lot of fraud 22:37.400 --> 22:38.860 and uh, he was a 22:39.820 --> 22:47.560 Diversity hire obviously and he was a black man and he was completely unqualified. He got caught. He was doing cocaine and all sorts of things 22:47.560 --> 22:48.560 and he was 22:49.640 --> 22:51.900 Publishing stories fraudulently. He got caught 22:52.780 --> 22:57.920 Then it came out that at least two editors knew about it, but let him slide and that was when I cancelled 22:57.920 --> 23:01.660 I was like that's enough. You know, I can see where you can have one fraudulent 23:02.240 --> 23:07.240 A journalist, but if you caught him and you fired him, I would have just kept the subscription and said well, that was stupid 23:07.240 --> 23:09.260 But I'm not gonna you know unsubscribe 23:09.260 --> 23:12.460 But they didn't they let him stay on anyway 23:13.240 --> 23:15.040 Later during the iraq war 23:15.660 --> 23:18.720 New york times wrote a glowing piece about me actually 23:18.720 --> 23:22.500 So this would be hurtful with what was to happen next 23:22.500 --> 23:27.400 I mean, I think they were trying to hire me. It was kind of obvious like they I was taking a break from the war 23:27.400 --> 23:32.520 Flew back to florida. They flew a journalist down from new york and interviewed me and it was a glowing piece, right? 23:33.140 --> 23:34.340 and um, and I thought 23:35.240 --> 23:39.560 Such a beautiful piece. They must want to hire me and anyway later 23:39.560 --> 23:42.220 They asked me to write a piece for him, but I never did but 23:42.220 --> 23:46.940 But the but point is then when I saw that gunshot happened, you know 23:47.440 --> 23:52.360 We all saw the the thing with trump and you saw the bullet trace photo, right? 23:53.000 --> 23:57.340 And and I thought something's not right now keep in mind 23:57.340 --> 24:01.520 I'm a professional photographer. I mean my skills are quite good, right? 24:01.840 --> 24:04.200 And I was a special forces weapons 24:05.420 --> 24:12.200 Specialist and I grew up with guns and and I was in a lot of combat and I've seen a lot of combat photography 24:12.200 --> 24:14.900 I have never seen somebody catch a bullet trace 24:14.900 --> 24:19.800 And so that immediately caught and then so I was like, what was the shutter speed? 24:19.800 --> 24:24.080 I found the shutter speed was one eight thousandth of a second, right? 24:24.580 --> 24:25.940 And I'm like now keep in mind 24:25.940 --> 24:31.500 I'm familiar with this camera because it's the camera. I'm looking at right now. It's a sony alpha one 24:31.500 --> 24:36.900 It's the exact same camera. It's the camera. I use it's the best camera money combined is the one 24:36.900 --> 24:41.500 I'm talking into right and so and and that's the camera that he was using and I'm like 24:41.500 --> 24:46.360 Why did he have it on one eight thousandth of a second and would that still catch? 24:46.360 --> 24:48.080 It was just very bizarre, right? 24:48.700 --> 24:51.880 And and people are saying are you saying he photoshopped it? I'm saying 24:52.600 --> 24:53.780 What I'm saying is 24:54.560 --> 25:01.600 It doesn't feel right, right based on my knowledge of weapons based on my knowledge of cameras 25:02.380 --> 25:09.800 And based on my knowledge of doing a tremendous amount of combat photography where I actually caught a bullet this far away 25:10.460 --> 25:14.880 Splashing off a wall right by a lieutenant's head. I've got the photo 25:15.540 --> 25:20.080 Bam of the wall going right by his and it's 50 millimeter lens. I'm this close, right? 25:20.140 --> 25:24.200 I've got all kinds of stuff like that people getting shot while I'm shooting the photos 25:24.200 --> 25:30.120 I mean literally getting shot while I'm shooting the photos like the cent com commander now got shot right in front of me 25:30.120 --> 25:31.940 while I was photographing him and 25:31.940 --> 25:34.400 That sort of thing so I'm very experienced with this 25:34.400 --> 25:38.900 So I happen to be the wrong guy that written a glowing article about me 25:38.900 --> 25:42.560 So it's kind of hard to just throw that out and also 25:43.100 --> 25:48.560 I just had the right skill set and I'm like this doesn't seem right and people are like well, how could they do that? 25:48.660 --> 25:53.180 How could they photoshop it so fast? Well, like well, let me tell you I know about that camera 25:53.180 --> 25:58.120 You can shoot a photo with that camera and it will upload immediately to your office 25:58.120 --> 26:02.860 There's a device you can buy from sony go to sony.com and look for the wi-fi device 26:03.280 --> 26:07.320 And or you can you can literally I can shoot a photo right now 26:07.320 --> 26:12.280 And go right and it would be in new york in one minute. And if you had made a bullet trace 26:12.980 --> 26:19.900 Layer, you know photoshop layer in advance and you did all the math, right? You could photo downloads and 26:19.900 --> 26:22.380 You could put it on a skilled 26:22.380 --> 26:25.260 You know photoshop guy to do that in a minute or two, right? 26:25.580 --> 26:29.940 Especially if they were planning to do that in advance. I am not saying that that's what they did 26:30.540 --> 26:38.080 So what I said was what I've said for years always shoot your photos in raw at some raw format, right? 26:38.360 --> 26:40.160 because it's very hard to 26:40.160 --> 26:44.960 To uh manipulate a raw without leaving artifacts that are easy to see, right? 26:45.440 --> 26:50.580 So I mean you can you know, if you if you provide that raw format photo to people 26:50.580 --> 26:55.520 They'll be able to detect that. Hey, this has been messed with so the first thing I said 26:55.520 --> 27:00.020 And by the way, there's times when people said my photos were fake and I'm like, here's the raw photos, right? 27:00.580 --> 27:01.260 Have fun, right? 27:01.760 --> 27:05.420 And now, you know, I'm giving you the raw photos now if you say that again 27:05.420 --> 27:07.820 I'll give you a lawsuit for defamation 27:07.820 --> 27:12.700 But here's the raw photos because these are the ones that will be in the courtroom, right? So so in any case 27:12.700 --> 27:18.340 You know people will back off always shoot in raw for one thing you get higher quality and secondly 27:18.340 --> 27:20.740 It's your insurance when people say it's fake, right? 27:21.260 --> 27:24.780 So I said just all he has to do is release the raw photos 27:24.780 --> 27:26.460 Which he wouldn't do, right? 27:26.960 --> 27:31.900 And so interestingly a lot of people started calling the new york times photographer out as named dug mills 27:32.440 --> 27:37.540 And somebody got him and interviewed him about those and I just saw that video a few days ago 27:37.540 --> 27:42.460 And they they took my video saying he should release the raws and this is you know 27:42.460 --> 27:47.800 The this is the problem set that I see with that photo and he wouldn't come off with the raw photos 27:48.460 --> 27:53.920 Something doesn't smell right. That's like, you know, where are the ballots type thing, you know? 27:54.780 --> 27:57.540 I'm not saying he did it, but I'm saying 27:58.360 --> 27:59.860 It quacks like a duck 28:01.760 --> 28:03.320 That's very interesting 28:03.320 --> 28:06.720 When you talk about raw 28:07.640 --> 28:09.140 Not being a photographer 28:09.800 --> 28:12.740 What's the distinction you're making with that word? 28:14.880 --> 28:18.360 Raw is a format you have all these different formats like 28:19.060 --> 28:20.000 JPEG, right? 28:20.700 --> 28:22.460 Most people will shoot in JPEG 28:23.460 --> 28:28.220 Always shooting raw and I know people you'll talk to your photographer friend, you know say no, no 28:28.220 --> 28:32.820 I shoot in JPEG. He doesn't know what he's talking about. Okay. Don't listen to him again. Listen to me shoot him raw, right? 28:33.220 --> 28:38.740 So always shoot in raw raw is all the data that comes off the sensor and on my 28:39.220 --> 28:42.100 Sony cameras, it's ARW, right? That's the raw format, right? 28:42.600 --> 28:47.940 So anyway, but all that the raw is all of the data or actually tiff is all of the data, right? 28:47.940 --> 28:53.200 But tiff is like these massive files and but raw is much larger files, right? 28:53.760 --> 28:55.420 But they have so much more data 28:55.420 --> 29:00.420 So it gives the photographer a lot of room later to play with the light and that sort of thing 29:00.420 --> 29:03.180 If you manipulate the light like make it darker or lighter 29:03.180 --> 29:07.800 That's not actually cheating or doing anything unethical or or illegal because sometimes, you know 29:07.800 --> 29:11.800 You're shooting the if you're in a light room doing it with the with the you know film 29:11.800 --> 29:15.780 You would you know change the way that you develop it and make it lighter or darker 29:15.780 --> 29:17.340 And you can do the same thing 29:17.840 --> 29:23.100 When you're using raw you have a lot more flexibility on your ability to 29:23.100 --> 29:27.740 Actually manipulate the photos to get the colors right when they come out of the camera and raw 29:27.740 --> 29:32.340 They don't actually look good actually because they're they're really just they're flat, right? 29:33.200 --> 29:35.600 But so it takes a little bit extra time 29:35.600 --> 29:37.820 So some people's camera like this camera here 29:38.280 --> 29:42.860 The one that he was shooting with you can shoot in raw and jpeg simultaneously, right? 29:42.860 --> 29:47.660 You can shoot and it'll save one to each right and it'll save one of each file 29:47.660 --> 29:53.560 But he should have absolutely shot in raw. It would be hard for me to imagine that he was not shooting in raw 29:54.940 --> 30:01.860 Very very difficult unless he just made, you know a terrible mistake as a photographer and somehow left it on jpeg 30:01.860 --> 30:07.360 Which would be like a soldier accidentally shooting his foot or something, right? I just don't see him doing that 30:08.180 --> 30:09.780 Anyway, nobody uses 30:10.820 --> 30:14.280 Silver film anymore in cameras. That's decades out of 30:14.920 --> 30:17.960 Out of time, isn't it? But you know those photos 30:18.740 --> 30:24.440 From the film those are better. Those are better. This I'm looking at the best digital camera in the world 30:24.440 --> 30:28.260 That's what I'm talking with you on right now. I mean DSLR right or it's not DSLR 30:28.260 --> 30:31.200 But anyway, it's a it's a it's sony alpha one, right? 30:31.200 --> 30:33.080 This is unbelievable camera 30:33.080 --> 30:38.500 But the phone that the uh the film cameras like that they took to the moon and that sort of stuff 30:38.500 --> 30:46.120 You look at those photos those photos. I think are objectively better than what can come through this $8,000 camera 30:46.120 --> 30:49.000 6,000. I think it's not as much as it used to be 30:49.680 --> 30:49.940 Yeah 30:50.640 --> 30:55.260 Interesting, but I'll tell you what I was always getting the top of the line cameras because I needed that 30:55.800 --> 31:02.820 Low low light and fast focus were the two main things for me. So if they they would come out with a new model that was 31:03.460 --> 31:08.540 Low do a little bit better low light and a little bit faster focus and I'll jump right on it 31:10.340 --> 31:14.620 So in other words when I saw that bullet going by I'm like 31:15.340 --> 31:21.140 Speed and low light. That's that's my world in combat. I need to get you know speed and low light 31:21.140 --> 31:24.040 But still it was very odd that he would be shooting on 31:24.040 --> 31:28.300 One eight thousandth of a second some people came out and defended him and say no, it's not odd 31:28.740 --> 31:35.260 Okay, so let's just say it was one eight thousandth of a second. I still find it extremely odd that he caught a bullet trace 31:35.840 --> 31:38.120 Could I kind of figure that? 31:38.880 --> 31:41.380 Although they'd like to take them out before the elections 31:42.100 --> 31:44.260 Can they be so bold is to try? 31:44.980 --> 31:47.920 A third time. I hope that the third time was a charm 31:50.220 --> 31:50.620 I 31:50.620 --> 31:55.820 Don't know. I don't know. I mean this is you know me. I think is there's big k-fabe going on 31:55.820 --> 32:01.560 I think there's a lot of but I don't know. I mean, we're talking about people that run Hollywood that can do anything 32:01.560 --> 32:05.400 You know, so I mean it's easy. I'm not saying it was faked 32:05.400 --> 32:08.260 But I am not discounting it at all 32:08.260 --> 32:13.820 And uh, and again, I'm not trying to prove one thing or the other, you know, let me let me say one thing 32:14.460 --> 32:16.660 Years ago. I was watching 60 minutes 32:17.380 --> 32:23.300 And there was this north korean guy. There's a book called escape from camp 14 or something like that 32:23.300 --> 32:28.440 Or it's camp 21 or something and this north korean guy had escaped now 32:28.440 --> 32:31.180 He's famous and he's running around the world doing these speeches 32:31.180 --> 32:35.220 I think he got an honorary degree from some big university and that sort of thing 32:35.220 --> 32:41.080 There was a best-selling book called escape from camp 21 or 14 or whatever some people watching this will 32:41.080 --> 32:45.780 Probably have read it, but I watched that guy. I watched the interview was on 60 minutes 32:46.660 --> 32:48.540 And uh, and I'm like that guy's a fraud 32:49.220 --> 32:53.880 And and I could tell he was a fraud and immediately and I immediately published it 32:53.880 --> 32:57.420 Like and I said you can find this online. You could just 32:58.040 --> 33:00.600 Type my name in and north korean fraud, right? 33:00.980 --> 33:03.520 And you'll see that I open up with something like now 33:03.520 --> 33:06.220 I'm taking a chance with the defamation lawsuit here 33:06.220 --> 33:11.060 But I'm saying this to demonstrate my ability to suss out certain frauds 33:11.580 --> 33:14.440 And there were certain things about him that were just not right 33:15.010 --> 33:18.940 One is people like that never know their birthdays 33:20.240 --> 33:24.820 Ever right, they don't know their birthdays. Uh, they don't know how to read a map 33:24.820 --> 33:29.180 They don't know there were certain things that you know, I was putting a few things together 33:29.930 --> 33:34.280 His body language was way off like body language for guys like that 33:34.830 --> 33:39.640 Or just it was just off, you know what I mean? I'm not saying it was deceptive with this body language 33:39.640 --> 33:45.940 I'm just saying that people that grew up in those sorts of places their body language is it's always more like this 33:45.940 --> 33:49.880 It's not like he's his body language is like an italian, right? 33:49.980 --> 33:50.460 You know what I mean? 33:50.860 --> 33:54.720 So I took a chance and I put and I made it, you know, I said a few other things 33:54.720 --> 33:58.460 I'm like I'm going to take a chance and I'm going to lose everything that I have 33:58.460 --> 34:03.660 This is how confident that I am that that guy is a fraud that he's on 60 minutes 34:03.660 --> 34:07.880 He's a superhero now and all this stuff and about two two and a half years later 34:07.880 --> 34:09.420 Boom, he admitted to it, right? 34:09.940 --> 34:13.820 So you could look that up and you'll see that not only was he caught he admitted to it 34:13.820 --> 34:21.200 And everybody's apologizing and I'm like how in the world did the new york times and all these other guys write all these articles 34:21.200 --> 34:25.420 Washington put long list, right the guy that wrote his book 34:26.000 --> 34:31.020 Forgotten his name, but he was somebody that wrote for nat geo. I think washington post. I think uh 34:31.780 --> 34:36.160 It's all the big ones. I remember looking at this pedigree like this is a guy 34:36.160 --> 34:40.440 Who should have done his due diligence? He didn't even pick up on the birthday thing 34:40.440 --> 34:43.320 He didn't pick up on the body language. He didn't pick up on 34:43.840 --> 34:47.660 I picked it up and I just watched like 15 or 20 minutes of 60 minutes 34:47.660 --> 34:51.900 These frauds are not always difficult to pick out. You just have to just go like 34:52.480 --> 34:57.920 No, I know everybody's buying off on the bullet trace thing, but I'm not and I'm a combat photographer and uh 34:57.920 --> 34:59.700 Smells like bullshit 35:01.740 --> 35:04.400 All right, what's your what's your third observation? 35:05.580 --> 35:07.300 Well, um 35:08.080 --> 35:08.800 polls 35:09.820 --> 35:10.660 polls who's 35:11.260 --> 35:14.520 Who who do they quote unquote? 35:15.040 --> 35:17.520 link is going to win and 35:17.520 --> 35:20.120 I read these things. I don't of course 35:21.000 --> 35:29.800 For a long time. I just don't believe anything. I mean anything that I read absolutely not anything that people say absolutely even pictures 35:29.800 --> 35:33.920 You know, it's um, I don't believe anything but 35:35.200 --> 35:45.100 ABC has a poll with some other group. I forget their name. It says it's 51 to 47 for Kamala 35:45.860 --> 35:48.500 well, I don't believe it but 35:50.180 --> 35:54.720 The reason that that I think a lot of these polls are 35:55.640 --> 35:59.920 Said to be so close is because if Kamala steals the election 36:00.510 --> 36:04.580 You have to have plausible deniability. Yeah, it was really really close 36:05.290 --> 36:10.340 And yeah, we won we squeaked it out when I think the average American 36:10.890 --> 36:12.500 in the heartland is going to work 36:13.090 --> 36:18.600 Is going to vote overwhelmingly for trump, but then again in 2020 36:19.460 --> 36:24.820 Even though I uh handicapped biden to win I published an article as to why 36:25.600 --> 36:26.520 basically theft 36:27.350 --> 36:28.320 but uh 36:28.980 --> 36:31.080 I thought that that 36:31.750 --> 36:36.620 There was so much enthusiasm for trump and so many people who were really 36:37.360 --> 36:41.000 Going on but but biden won and that was anyway 36:41.640 --> 36:48.700 Uh, none of these all these polls are unreliable. They're highly politicized. I don't believe any of them 36:49.280 --> 36:53.320 Uh, I guess the bottom line for the uh election next week is 36:53.920 --> 36:54.400 uh 36:54.980 --> 36:58.940 Trump will get a lot more votes, but I still think 36:59.700 --> 37:02.420 Uh, Kamala is going to be installed 37:03.400 --> 37:05.040 And I know there are arguments 37:05.840 --> 37:06.500 I mean 37:07.040 --> 37:09.300 I've talked to some friends. They say no 37:09.920 --> 37:16.280 They're gonna let trump win because they want the economy to collapse. They want a war. They want all these bad things 37:16.940 --> 37:21.380 To happen while he's in office. Well, of course you want bad things to happen when the enemy is in office 37:21.980 --> 37:22.940 but uh 37:23.470 --> 37:25.040 I don't think they want to let go let 37:25.570 --> 37:31.160 Let go of the reins of power and they're afraid he's going to do too much damage. So 37:32.180 --> 37:33.460 I have a money bet 37:34.060 --> 37:35.640 with uh with the brand 37:36.240 --> 37:37.520 100 ounces of silver 37:37.980 --> 37:40.200 Saying that came all is going to be installed 37:40.200 --> 37:44.360 But maybe this is academic because it doesn't matter who's going to win. There are going to be 37:45.120 --> 37:47.380 protests and lawsuits and 37:48.320 --> 37:52.580 Who knows who's going to actually become the president in the in the new year 37:52.940 --> 37:54.300 Although I I think 37:55.040 --> 38:02.680 Anyway, don't believe the polls and that abc poll this is 51 47 for kimala. It's got to be total bullshit 38:03.500 --> 38:05.020 I like that. You're betting in silver 38:07.200 --> 38:08.420 Not dollars 38:09.400 --> 38:13.440 Well, I like to do things with with actual precious metals because 38:14.160 --> 38:14.800 if uh 38:15.280 --> 38:17.500 If I either lose or win the bet 38:18.040 --> 38:23.200 Either my friend is going to have to pay taxes on the winnings or I'll have to pay taxes on the winnings 38:23.200 --> 38:29.620 So what do we need a third party to the bet for but if it's simple silver coins? There's no record. It's discreet 38:29.620 --> 38:31.540 It's better for both of us and 38:31.980 --> 38:33.560 Leaves the state out of the equation 38:36.520 --> 38:40.440 All right, michael, what's what's your third observation for the week? What do you got? 38:42.660 --> 38:43.380 You know 38:45.480 --> 38:49.320 Who is going to be president? I do not know but you know who 38:49.860 --> 38:54.600 Called me almost randomly tonight was I mentioned this before we started was g edward 38:55.520 --> 39:01.220 griffin the author of uh the creature from jackal island and we talked for quite a while and I asked him about that 39:01.220 --> 39:04.520 What did he think was going to be and and 39:05.160 --> 39:11.660 He looks at it the way that I look at it. I think the way we all look at it. So it's a it's a it's an act 39:12.220 --> 39:15.940 I mean a lot of it's an act. I'm not sure if we're all in concordance with that 39:15.940 --> 39:16.680 But I think it's a 39:17.200 --> 39:22.600 You can if you look closely at kamala and trump you can see the strings pulling up their shirts, you know 39:23.360 --> 39:27.360 I mean, I mean, there's somebody else's boy and girl, you know 39:27.360 --> 39:32.520 And so I don't know if that's two different teams or if it's I think it's the same one 39:32.520 --> 39:37.640 You know, that's what it that's what it smells like and and that was clearly what 39:38.500 --> 39:41.640 Mr. Griffin seemed to think actually I should 39:42.380 --> 39:47.180 Ask him to come on with us. I think he would because he greatly respects you 39:47.180 --> 39:50.620 He mentioned I think he would come on and we should ask him 39:51.220 --> 39:53.180 What he does a super idea 39:53.180 --> 39:58.840 I think if you possibly can michael you ought to make that happen. That's great that you talk to him 39:59.540 --> 40:02.440 Yeah, and and he they're going to do a red pill 40:03.660 --> 40:07.320 Sort of conference and he was asking me to speak at it 40:07.880 --> 40:10.580 And um, and I have a feeling he's going to call you 40:13.440 --> 40:15.640 Where's the conference going to be and are you going to have to 40:17.840 --> 40:25.280 It's going to be online. It's going to be uh, so in other words, he would uh, he mentioned getting a uh, a um 40:25.680 --> 40:28.060 You know how you can get a studio when you're downrange? 40:28.580 --> 40:31.420 Just getting a studio like in ba or someplace like that 40:31.880 --> 40:32.240 Yeah 40:32.980 --> 40:36.100 So the lighting's right and the microphones are good and that sort of thing 40:36.100 --> 40:40.160 That sounds like fun so that I'm not looking down. I'm actually looking at the cameras 40:40.840 --> 40:42.780 But I'm looking at you. Yeah 40:43.480 --> 40:46.640 Oh, listen, there's one other thing that I was going to add in 40:46.640 --> 40:49.700 It's that there have been press reports about 40:50.240 --> 40:53.420 uh ballot boxes being um burned 40:54.060 --> 40:55.420 and ballot some 40:56.380 --> 40:59.860 Bomb threats to ballot boxes end up postman 41:00.420 --> 41:03.820 uh was caught uh trying to destroy 41:03.820 --> 41:05.300 ballots from a 41:05.300 --> 41:07.760 Republican area and stuff like that 41:08.380 --> 41:13.460 So these guys um, they're taking it seriously. No this election. Unfortunately 41:16.540 --> 41:22.540 All right, so Doug, uh, we already have michael's prediction with elan unless you've got another one boy elan will 41:22.540 --> 41:27.440 Eventually run for president was michael's and if you have another one, that's we'll hear that too 41:27.440 --> 41:29.220 But uh, what do you got dug for predictions? 41:30.360 --> 41:30.480 uh 41:31.440 --> 41:33.420 There was an article that I read 41:34.000 --> 41:36.020 I think it's kind of an obscure article 41:36.640 --> 41:36.980 but 41:36.980 --> 41:40.220 The point is made that in Puerto Rico 41:40.940 --> 41:44.960 They can't vote for president because they're not um 41:45.840 --> 41:48.620 I forget what the technicality is but um 41:48.620 --> 41:53.940 Puerto Ricans can't vote for president and of course they don't have senators or representatives 41:55.100 --> 41:55.780 so 41:56.780 --> 41:57.460 there's 41:58.100 --> 42:03.460 Long been a movement. There's a movement to make Puerto Rico an independent country. There's a 42:04.100 --> 42:07.440 Movement to make them a state so forth. Anyway, the democrats 42:08.060 --> 42:13.480 Want to see Puerto Rico become a statewide. They'll get two extra senators, which is massive 42:13.980 --> 42:16.700 And I forget how many representatives couple anyway 42:17.440 --> 42:19.500 so that uh on the ballot 42:20.240 --> 42:23.200 In Puerto Rico, although they can't vote for president 42:23.200 --> 42:27.400 They're voting for a lot of other things and one of the things is a referendum 42:28.140 --> 42:31.460 There have been seven referendums in Puerto Rico's history 42:32.260 --> 42:37.600 Dealing with whether or not they should become independent or a state or stay the same 42:38.440 --> 42:40.000 whatever and 42:41.320 --> 42:42.420 This article 42:43.900 --> 42:48.400 Indicates that the democrats have fudged things in a way that 42:48.400 --> 42:48.720 Um 42:49.660 --> 42:53.560 Puerto Ricans who vote on this referendum about statehood 42:54.400 --> 42:54.800 cannot 42:55.600 --> 42:57.000 vote for the status quo 42:57.820 --> 43:02.520 That's not on the table on the so you can vote for be a state or a couple other things 43:03.440 --> 43:05.320 so anyway, uh 43:05.320 --> 43:06.800 the bottom line is 43:07.620 --> 43:12.060 The guy that noticed this the nature of the question on the referendum 43:14.480 --> 43:17.800 Uh says that yeah, it's going to be 43:18.400 --> 43:19.600 put up for statehood 43:20.230 --> 43:28.960 Which won't happen unless kemala is is uh, and and also captures the house and the senate. You need all that stuff for 43:30.120 --> 43:33.800 Becoming a new state and this other stuff too, but anyway 43:34.500 --> 43:36.800 That's what's going on. It's kind of interesting 43:37.820 --> 43:41.440 Puerto Rico as a state that's on the agenda for the dems 43:41.440 --> 43:42.580 One way or another 43:42.580 --> 43:46.700 It is and uh, well, who knows after Puerto Rico 43:47.400 --> 43:54.140 Certainly washington dc two more senators and a rep and uh, then I guess next would be 43:54.700 --> 43:59.040 Ukraine and next would be Haiti might as well make them a state and 43:59.040 --> 44:03.420 Let's go. Let's go for it. Let's go whole log. Let's make israel a state too 44:04.040 --> 44:08.680 You know who's always wanted to be a state or listen since I've noticed philippines 44:09.320 --> 44:15.880 And uh, and they'll say it all the time many many philippines many many and um, and you know 44:16.420 --> 44:20.880 I love philippines and I see philippines all philippines philippinos, you know 44:21.480 --> 44:27.960 People from the philippines all over the world. They're like michael jackson. I mean, I see them and sparrows everywhere 44:28.660 --> 44:33.580 You can be in the deepest part of afghanistan. I'm like, I know there's a philippino around here somewhere 44:35.200 --> 44:37.160 There's one doing something you're like 44:40.060 --> 44:44.120 I'm not looking at a number right now, but I think there's about a hundred million 44:44.960 --> 44:45.460 philippino 44:46.260 --> 44:51.580 Residents that's a lot of people that would increase the population of the us by roughly a third 44:52.170 --> 44:54.860 I told him, you know one time I was with secretary gates 44:55.460 --> 44:57.140 over and at the shangri-la 44:57.960 --> 45:01.420 dialogue over in singapore, right and um 45:01.420 --> 45:07.580 And he flew me to the philippines right in that c17 and he any when we when we dropped off when he dropped 45:07.580 --> 45:08.880 He was a secretary defense, right? 45:08.880 --> 45:12.620 So when he dropped me off, he introduced me to the top leadership there, right? 45:13.080 --> 45:18.540 And so I was out with all these generals and stuff philippinos and the us commander there and all that 45:18.540 --> 45:21.420 And they gave me access to go down and mend the now and all that 45:21.420 --> 45:26.640 But they they often talked about it. They were like, yeah, we'd like to become a state too 45:26.640 --> 45:30.920 And i'm like, yeah, and and in the villager everybody. I mean i've been to philippines 45:31.440 --> 45:35.480 Much more than that but I was talking even top-level people off and I was like 45:35.480 --> 45:37.880 You really would like to be a state? Listen 45:38.440 --> 45:44.200 You would put up with our restaurant inspections for about one month and before you know, you'd be at war with us 45:44.200 --> 45:47.060 I don't want you to become a state because we all like each other now 45:47.060 --> 45:51.320 Yeah, you'd be starting to do terrorism against us like the potter eakins did 45:53.060 --> 45:56.560 Yeah, but you know, we talk about the philippines, but as you're well aware 45:56.560 --> 46:00.580 The philippines is one thing and the southern philippines the uh 46:01.980 --> 46:08.400 Mendenau Mendenau that's a different story. That's where I went down there with I went down there with the special forces guys 46:08.400 --> 46:13.700 They took me out and it was pretty interesting. Yeah, those people down there are really unfriendly if 46:14.280 --> 46:15.700 to to gringos 46:16.380 --> 46:16.900 actually 46:16.900 --> 46:21.060 The places I went they were actually quite friendly, but they 46:21.680 --> 46:26.820 The places that I went but as you know in other places, you'll get definitely get chopped up 46:27.440 --> 46:27.980 Oh, yeah 46:27.980 --> 46:34.540 And and and from the when the u.s. Conquered the philippines back in what 1903 or whatever it was 46:34.540 --> 46:37.180 I think I don't know what the number is 46:37.180 --> 46:42.400 There is no exact number, but I understand that we killed about a hundred thousand 46:44.440 --> 46:47.720 Muslim rebels in Mendenau and environs 46:47.720 --> 46:53.540 That's a lot of people there's a good book on or related called the swish of the chris 46:54.040 --> 47:00.100 Actually a delta force guy told me about it, but the um, but you know, anyway, but the bottom line is um 47:01.000 --> 47:02.680 They still remember the volcano 47:03.660 --> 47:08.360 Massacre, you know our guys wheeled up the canons down into the mouth of the volcano 47:08.360 --> 47:12.060 They were hiding down there and and lit them up and killed everybody in the volcano 47:12.060 --> 47:14.420 They still talk about that like it was yesterday 47:15.060 --> 47:19.560 I mean it's it's they talk about it constantly down in Mendenau. They keep that they keep that 47:19.560 --> 47:20.920 uh alive 47:22.700 --> 47:23.820 You know interestingly 47:24.340 --> 47:28.620 Down in Mendenau those people fight similar in some ways to the taliban 47:29.290 --> 47:33.240 They they do something called a penticasa, which is a cock fight most philippines 47:33.240 --> 47:38.280 I don't think I've heard of that term, but so when you when you get into a firefight down there 47:39.100 --> 47:44.700 Everybody will drop everything they're doing and run to the sound of shooting whether they've got a gun or not, right? 47:45.120 --> 47:49.420 It doesn't matter if they got a shovel and they're out there farming or whatever they all show up 47:49.420 --> 47:50.760 And so eventually 47:51.400 --> 47:55.580 You're going to get outnumbered right because every village if you give them enough time 47:55.580 --> 48:00.360 They're going to keep showing up and showing up and they'll just come as you are try to find a weapon there 48:00.360 --> 48:05.260 Or maybe they'll show up with one and so the people, you know the the let's say the philippino marines 48:05.260 --> 48:10.220 They can you know, you'll run out of ammo eventually if you don't get resupplied or get extracted, right? 48:10.580 --> 48:13.680 It's pretty interesting because that's exactly how the taliban will do it as well 48:13.680 --> 48:17.820 They'll go out there, you know get into a firefight and the longer it goes 48:17.820 --> 48:21.860 Everybody just come as you are and very interesting stories about that 48:21.860 --> 48:26.020 I heard a story about one special forces team and green beret team in afghanistan 48:26.560 --> 48:31.000 Uh, they were they got into a big ambush. I wasn't with them and and then you know 48:31.000 --> 48:35.720 Everybody started showing up and it went I think for maybe maybe one of those green berets is watching this 48:35.720 --> 48:39.800 but it went for about 24 hours or so took some casualties and 48:40.520 --> 48:45.620 Later the green beret team went back to some of the villages and said hey, why were you guys coming to the fight? 48:45.620 --> 48:50.940 Why I mean we've had good relations with people from some of these villages and they're like, yeah 48:50.940 --> 48:56.040 Well, I mean it was a fight. I mean we're friends, but who's going to turn down a fight. I mean, you know 48:57.020 --> 48:57.700 posh tune 48:57.700 --> 48:59.920 That's what we do 49:00.360 --> 49:05.240 It's just like a soccer sport. It's a sport. You know, they're good at it 49:05.240 --> 49:13.520 Plus, I think a lot of these primitive societies take their culture and their religion much more seriously than we do either one 49:14.200 --> 49:18.720 Yeah posh tune. It's it's it's uh old testament and I mean that seriously 49:18.720 --> 49:20.840 I'm not I know that they're muslims 49:20.840 --> 49:24.480 But actually a lot of people think that they're a lost tribe of israel 49:24.480 --> 49:27.320 And you'll see even jewish scholars talking about it 49:27.320 --> 49:31.700 And uh and some of the posh tune believe that too is and so but they're pock tune wali 49:31.700 --> 49:36.360 Which is their basic firmware their cultural firmware that's called the posh tune way, right? 49:36.860 --> 49:39.620 Straight out of the old testament eye for an eye 49:40.100 --> 49:41.220 all that stuff 49:41.900 --> 49:42.780 They're hardcore 49:43.800 --> 49:51.160 Well, maybe we'll find out because uh another movie I saw on the long long flight across the world 49:51.700 --> 49:59.040 Was civil war that the movie produced about a year ago and I thought it was actually quite good as a production and 49:59.620 --> 50:02.380 And everything else. I don't know if you've seen it or not michael 50:02.980 --> 50:05.480 No, I haven't but I keep hearing about it. I need to watch it 50:05.480 --> 50:11.340 Yeah, I watched the jones plantation twice after you said i'm telling everybody should watch the jones plantation 50:11.340 --> 50:13.320 Totally should no question 50:15.320 --> 50:19.220 What was it from the civil war movie that stood out to you? 50:19.460 --> 50:23.660 well, it was really gritty uh in that uh 50:24.120 --> 50:32.640 the uh the rebel states uh were they texas in california, I think uh were assaulting washington dc 50:33.320 --> 50:37.960 And attacking the white house just the way they would in a south american revolution 50:38.560 --> 50:41.700 Captured the president and just blew him away 50:41.700 --> 50:43.480 Executed him on the spot 50:44.100 --> 50:47.500 Now that's pretty radical for an american movie 50:48.160 --> 50:52.060 Capture the white house in a firefight and shoot the president when you capture him 50:53.760 --> 50:57.380 And it was unclear apparently 12 helicopters just landed there 50:57.860 --> 50:59.720 Did you see that somebody sent it to me? 50:59.720 --> 51:03.820 Apparently like 12 helicopters today landed at the white house. I don't know. I just 51:05.100 --> 51:06.960 Why would that happen? 51:07.360 --> 51:13.120 I don't know. I think it was truthful. I just saw it as we were about to go on somebody sent it to me and I was busy and I'm like 51:14.920 --> 51:19.040 Actually matt bracken sent it to me another guy who follows you. I don't know if you know matt bracken 51:19.040 --> 51:21.180 But he's a former navy seal officer 51:22.140 --> 51:26.440 Very smart guy. Uh, he's written books on this like civil war 51:27.020 --> 51:30.280 Very good writer and and and amazingly accurate 51:30.280 --> 51:33.960 And I took him down to the dairy and gap actually and we spent I don't know 51:34.480 --> 51:36.660 two weeks maybe together and uh 51:36.660 --> 51:38.040 and um 51:38.040 --> 51:43.120 He did very well. Well, he's a former navy seal officer. So of course he did well in the dairy and gap 51:43.120 --> 51:47.220 but um, but he uh, he he's the one that sent me that 51:47.220 --> 51:51.740 Video about something that was just helicopters landing at the white house. I don't know what was up 51:51.740 --> 51:53.100 What was up with that? 51:53.740 --> 51:54.140 Hmm 51:55.100 --> 52:01.480 Yeah, Doug, you'd like matt bracken. He's got uh, let's say I've interacted him with a lot over email and I'd say he's somewhat of 52:01.480 --> 52:05.500 He's definitely a renaissance man. Yeah, so you'd get along with him on that side of things. He's 52:07.940 --> 52:11.400 It's too bad all these guys aren't going to be here in Buenos Aires 52:12.220 --> 52:17.560 Next week when we're having a file meeting it'll be nice to meet these guys or a lot of them anyway 52:18.100 --> 52:21.880 Matt would like to come and he's not going to be able to make it because I asked him and um 52:21.880 --> 52:24.800 You know matt made his own boat with his own hands 52:25.480 --> 52:27.740 And uh and sailed it through the Panama Canal 52:29.180 --> 52:31.700 Yeah, he's a pretty hardcore dude 52:32.440 --> 52:35.580 Oh, that's impressive actually like his fiction books, too 52:35.580 --> 52:40.120 He says latest one is doomsday reef. I finished it a couple weeks ago. That's excellent 52:40.660 --> 52:42.840 I didn't read that one yet. So it was good, huh? 52:43.200 --> 52:48.060 Yeah, I've got the the the cover of it on my ipad to remind me to read it 52:48.560 --> 52:52.000 Yeah, it's worth it. All right. Well, I think we'll leave it there for this week guys 52:52.000 --> 52:58.200 We'll be back next week and by then we will I guess the ceremony of the election will have happened 52:58.860 --> 53:01.040 Right because we probably won't record on that Tuesday 53:02.020 --> 53:06.340 Um, uh, but so we'll have maybe we'll know maybe it'll all be over. Maybe it'll be clear 53:06.340 --> 53:10.640 Who's the winner or maybe we'll be mired in a you know months long mess 53:11.260 --> 53:15.280 Yeah, let me get this. I'm sorry, sir. Go ahead. Oh, oh, I'm sorry 53:15.280 --> 53:23.040 Like I was just gonna say that's the way I'm betting it's gonna be a mess that won't probably you won't even be determined by inauguration day 53:24.140 --> 53:30.500 That's what I was gonna ask. I mean, what are the chances that actually we're gonna have a conclusion there, you know 53:30.500 --> 53:33.000 I think slim and not in and slims out of town 53:33.760 --> 53:35.860 I'm gonna take the contrarian bet on this one 53:36.460 --> 53:38.140 I'm gonna say that it's gonna be resolved 53:38.640 --> 53:40.360 Well, I hope you're right 53:40.360 --> 53:44.840 Me just feel it just feels right. It feels like it's everyone expects 53:45.280 --> 53:47.180 There to be enormous problems 53:48.120 --> 53:51.820 And I don't know. I think the unexpected thing is that you get a that there's 53:51.820 --> 53:55.680 So many people that are so pro-trump and so worried about the future 53:56.280 --> 53:57.500 That I don't know if they'd be 53:58.040 --> 54:00.720 I don't think that they could cheat enough their way out of it 54:00.720 --> 54:03.480 And I think that they're just gonna not fight this battle 54:04.320 --> 54:08.540 You know a couple days ago another trump advisor reached out to me which they do 54:08.540 --> 54:10.000 And I'm like once we're in office 54:10.000 --> 54:15.000 I want you to come in and help us on the border policy. I'm like, you know, how much I hate your boss 54:16.120 --> 54:20.800 You know, I will help but I am trustworthy because you know where I'm coming from 54:20.800 --> 54:23.000 I'm not going to be sycophantic, you know 54:23.000 --> 54:27.580 And and if I go down to the border and he actually is closing it 54:27.580 --> 54:32.280 People will believe me because they know I'm gonna tell them the truth. You know what I mean 54:32.280 --> 54:36.600 If it's open, I'm gonna say your boy didn't close the border if it's closed 54:36.600 --> 54:38.380 I'm gonna say well trump closed the border 54:38.820 --> 54:44.320 So how many people you think are piling across the border as we speak daily michael any guesstimate? 54:45.020 --> 54:50.460 I don't know and even when I'm physically on the border. I don't know even when I'm out there with the border patrol 54:50.460 --> 54:52.600 I was just on the phone today with some me and Panama 54:53.260 --> 54:57.180 Uh, we don't know. I mean, I know that there's increased like in september 54:57.180 --> 55:01.180 There was a huge number of people that came to the dairien, but I don't have the actual numbers 55:01.180 --> 55:06.160 I can get them from Cinefront if I call them up Cinefront is like their border patrol 55:07.220 --> 55:11.520 Kind of army Panama doesn't have an army, but they're very professional actually 55:11.520 --> 55:12.840 I'm out with Cinefront quite a lot 55:12.840 --> 55:17.080 But but I don't know how many are coming through dairien right now, but it's dairien gap 55:17.080 --> 55:20.240 I'm talking about and keep in mind dairien gap is just one feeder 55:20.240 --> 55:27.240 They also fly straight to uh, nicaragua because nicaragua lets the uh, venezuelans and the cubans 55:27.240 --> 55:30.040 And some others come straight to nicaragua 55:30.040 --> 55:33.740 And then they start from there and then others will fly like many of the chinese 55:34.420 --> 55:38.540 Will start in ecuador others will start in mexico. They'll like go to cancun on 55:38.540 --> 55:44.580 Vacation actually and then walk over the border in arizona or you know, texas or california 55:45.320 --> 55:50.820 The u.s. Of reported in september 53,881 migrants crossing 55:51.400 --> 55:54.800 Oh, no, it's gonna be more than that for sure. That's nonsense 55:55.300 --> 56:00.840 That was a number for last month that they that they reported. Oh, keep in mind the numbers that they have when you pay attention to them 56:00.840 --> 56:04.540 They'll talk about arrested or you know versus 56:07.120 --> 56:11.080 Yeah, there's all these gotaways and known gotaways and all this stuff 56:11.740 --> 56:13.840 There's no way it's only 53,000 56:13.840 --> 56:16.260 I mean, I'm not down there. So I should be quiet 56:16.260 --> 56:20.340 But I just know that I've seen numbers in the past where they're saying things. I'm like 56:20.900 --> 56:22.340 That's there's no way. That's right 56:24.000 --> 56:29.720 Yeah, and the other thing is just you know, there's so many that are coming that this is in this is in addition though 56:29.720 --> 56:36.000 To the migrants that came through official ports of entry using the cbp app and there were another 48,000 of those 56:36.640 --> 56:37.780 Yeah, yeah, okay 56:37.780 --> 56:44.180 This is where all the obfuscation comes in like if you turn yourself in you okay 56:44.180 --> 56:49.380 You know, they they just they cook the books like a ceo that's about to leave the company, right? 56:49.380 --> 56:56.060 And and and and also they come across the canadian border, of course, as you just mentioned they fly in 24 7 56:56.060 --> 57:01.300 They come across through bahamas. They come across planes trains and automobiles 57:01.940 --> 57:06.900 And but again hugely sponsored as well flying in all over the place 57:07.740 --> 57:14.200 You know one time I checked into a hotel. I found one of the uh in in uh, mcgallin, texas 57:14.820 --> 57:20.640 I knew that that some jets were flying them in and I knew that the the crews were coming through general aviation 57:21.220 --> 57:24.880 And so I just went to general aviation and sat down and had some coffee 57:25.480 --> 57:30.180 And uh, and I waited for you know, you know, uh, one of the jets with the aliens came in 57:30.680 --> 57:34.240 And uh, and you know the the pilots came through general aviation 57:34.860 --> 57:38.440 Is instead of going through the normal small airport there at mcallin 57:38.440 --> 57:44.020 I started talking with them pilot showed me photos of Haitians who had ripped the seat 57:44.020 --> 57:47.380 I didn't know how you could rip seats out of an airplane floor 57:47.840 --> 57:52.320 Rip they when they realized some were being you know repatriated to Haiti at one point 57:52.320 --> 57:56.500 They even tried to break a window and crack part of it. I don't know how they did that 57:56.500 --> 58:01.620 They were on the ground apparently but and he wouldn't let me have the photos but in any case I 58:02.260 --> 58:07.860 I saw what a hotel they were staying in so I checked in and I checked I must have stayed there for about 10 days 58:07.860 --> 58:11.780 And I'll just eat breakfast every day when they're when these crews were coming and going to pick up 58:11.780 --> 58:18.660 What in the world's going on? Where are they coming and going? I mean, they're coming in from Guatemala. They're coming in from, uh, Colombia. They're, you know 58:19.600 --> 58:23.400 Most of most of the aliens are staying only a few are being repatriated 58:23.800 --> 58:30.880 So, I mean, you know, that that's why I like to do a lot of it myself because like like going all the way across the border 58:31.320 --> 58:34.400 It's very difficult for border patrol to be asked me, right? 58:34.400 --> 58:37.140 It's very difficult for the generals to be asked me and 58:37.140 --> 58:43.040 Iraq and Afghanistan and that sort of thing and that's why I like to go talk with the pilots and whatnot 58:45.060 --> 58:51.160 All right, okay, we'll wrap it up for today here guys. Thank you very much for doing it and we'll be back next week 58:51.760 --> 58:55.260 Yeah, I'll look forward to it. I actually enjoy these conversations 58:56.180 --> 59:01.960 Apart from the fact that we're broadcasting and why I love listening to your rap. Michael. It's super 59:02.840 --> 59:06.060 Thank y'all and thank you for inviting me on it's a huge honor 59:06.580 --> 59:09.800 It's giving me huge creds too. People are like, you know, Doug Casey 59:09.800 --> 59:15.180 I'm like, I know Matt Smith too and they're like, yeah, Matt's pretty smart too, but he's younger and 59:17.320 --> 59:22.320 Well, it works both ways Michael. So that's we call a happy relationship 59:22.840 --> 59:27.820 Yeah, we have a good we have a good, uh team for a podcast. It's doing great