All right, we're back with Michael Jan and Doug Casey, of course, and the idea here is three
Observations from the past week in one prediction. This is our third week doing it. So we'll see how it goes
So Doug, what's your first observation for the week?
Well
I'm happy to observe this
From my apartment Buenos Aires. I really loved being in the mysterious orient for the last month really did
but I'm glad to be back home frankly so
Having said that now the only thing that
Is important well
Is widely recognized as being important, let me put it that way and this last week is the stamped election which is coming up in a week
That's what everybody's talking about so I've got a few anecdotal observations about the election and
First thing on my list was it's interesting what Elon Musk is doing
with
Offering a million dollars a day
To somebody that pledges to vote for Trump and what is it a hundred dollars to be anyway?
The thing is is that at least one attorney general
One of the states of
Pennsylvania or is it Philadelphia? It doesn't matter because there's gonna be a bunch of them that are going to sue him for
bribery
Of the
Public I mean you're not supposed to pay people for their votes is the bottom line on this
So I think
That's kind of a big deal
The fact that musk is throwing all that money out there and taking a severe
risk because it could be adjudicated as
Manipulating through cash distributions. So anyway
And as it just is an addendum to that thought
I'd like to say that these elections should not be important at all
At all and the reason I say that is that the government since its coercion
I've said this before but it's worth saying many times because it doesn't sink in the government is forced
It's pure coercion and therefore it should be limited to protecting people from coercion
that means the military for coercion from abroad police coercion within and
A court system to allow you to adjudicate disputes without resorting to coercion now
If that's all
Elections were just to
elect the warm bodies
That would do those things
Most of the problems of the world would go away and we wouldn't have any of this going on and nobody would care to
bribe somebody
Bribe the voters to elect somebody because these are just administrative possessions
so
anyway
this could be a big deal with
A case of no good deed going unpunished with Elon Musk trying to help Trump out and to come
Yeah, he's kind of got a Willy Wonka, you know the chocolate factory kind of vibe about him right now
You know, he's just like the wizard solving the problems. He can make your dreams come true
It's yeah, I've always liked Trump. I live a lot. Good heart of guy. I excuse me Elon, right? Good heart of guy
All right, my interesting
Oh, actually, I'll sit in here taking some notes is as Doug is talking like that like well first of all paying for votes some funny anecdotes
When I was a kid my father would throw away a lot of junk mail and I would like to open mail because you know, I'm like nine
You know and so I was going through mail one time and I opened it up and there was a dollar in it
And I ran to my dad and I was like there's money in them in the you know, you know, I was like nine. That's big bucks
And
Plus it was way back then
It was almost an ounce of gold
Well, not that much, but you know what I'm saying and so
Any guys it was amounts of silver back then
was it
Yeah, because up until uh up until
Let me get this right 1965
silver was price controlled by the u.s. government because we had silver coins and uh
So that would have been about an ounce of silver back then because we had silver coins
And if you had four quarters a dollar they added up to well not quite
I think 0.77 of an ounce
anyway
Yeah, I
I ran to my father with that dollar and I was like wow I can't believe it and uh
and he goes
I said why why did they put money in the letter and and he said because the somebody's trying to buy a vote
It's a politician and that was the I was a little kid and I was like wow they actually pay you to vote for them
You know, I I actually recognized something was wrong with that. I remember that he goes. Yeah, that's it's it's illegal
but they're you know, anyway, they do it and uh, and so that's one way they get you to open their letters in any case
You know, I lived in thailand for a spell
And you you'll find that there's no alcohol allowed on thai election day
And they don't allow alcohol on election day because people would pay people to come to the voting booths with whiskey
So they'll you know after you vote they'll give you whiskey right free whiskey
Another thing is uh, they would before the elections
They would go out and hand out one shoe
To all the huts and village, you know in the village and that sort of thing
And then when you came to vote they would give you the other shoe
All these sorts of clever bribes, you know, you just can't make up this stuff
Yeah, anyway, when you when you talked about paying for the votes this stuff it never ends, obviously
You know, let me say one thing about elan
I just get this idea that he's going to be running for president next time and people are going to beg for that constitution to be thrown out
And let him, you know, the wizard of oz
Uh, you know totally just blatantly violate the constitution like, you know, obama
I thought did as well, uh, but I I I just get that feeling maybe i'm wrong, but I would uh
I would ascribe, I don't know 60 chance that he'll end up running for
For president or being
appointed anointed
I don't think that's that far out of prediction michael and the reason is that
For years they've talked about a constitutional convention
to
Actually come up with a new constitution
And they might do it yet
certainly if camala is
elected
that
Movement to rewrite the constitutional wholesale throw it out and get a new one and uh, yeah
That would be one of the changes probably anybody can do it you know often always said that uh, eventually
Americans will demand a general, you know, it'll be somebody to take charge and fix it
But maybe it's not exactly a general this time. Maybe it's someone else in the pub. Maybe it's elan
Maybe it says someone in that public eye that can lead that can command
effectively armies
Well, the only
No, go ahead michael
I was gonna say it would be elan and then the next election someone straight from televive, you know
That sort of thing. I mean, you know, I mean, let's be honest. I mean, it's it's there's something's not right
You know, every they're all going to pay their respects at auschwitz in advance and that sort of thing
I mean, it's it's really over the top
They're really flagrant about what's going on on some levels
Yeah
Yeah, I
I completely agree
will it be a
Will it be a general I I think since we're going into a time of warfare
People will like a general more than elan who doesn't have a particularly military background
I think that's an important consideration
And also the problem with elan running for president, even if it was possible under a new constitution if you would
is that
he's kind of a libertarian oriented guy and is
Michael more has pointed out to us in the past
The average american is now so corrupt that
They'll want to go for somebody with socialist instincts not free market instincts
Yeah, it's true. Okay, michael. I think we got your prediction already here about elan being president
Is there another an observation that you wanted to share before we go back to dug?
Yeah, you know, I'll tell you
Another anecdote and and to observe you mean in regard to politics or in regard to the last week things that you saw that were
Noteworthy this week in particular. They want to bring to people's attention
You know, um misako, and I had just I had just flown to um from thailand to
to okinawa
To to meet with somebody on on okinawa, right?
So I went to get a haircut in advance with with with misako
And misako kanaha and the barber was so interesting
He had these fishing lures up on the wall and I started talking, you know, there must be 10,000 ways to fish, right?
I've told you before I get along with farmers all over the world. I don't care if they're tally man
I get along with them and and
Likewise with fishermen for some reason I get along with them
So we started talking about fishing and he had this lure for squid and all these sorts of things
And then it come come to find out he had taken set soil samples
All over okinawa because he's thinking about buying a farm, right?
And he knows there's going to be food problems in advance coming, right?
And so he showed us a map of all these places. He's been taking soil
This is the barber, right?
And then he started talking about gold and these sorts of things
And so we invited him to dinner. We invited the barber to dinner
He closed the shop and we went to dinner
And and we talked with him for hours. This is the kind of thing that you see in japan
I mean, you'll run into like a barber that you'll actually just like can you close the shop and come to dinner?
And and we talked about all sorts of things like this that are going on with the food issues
The energy issues and he weirdly is tracking all this stuff
You just you know, it's japan. I mean you and he's been deep diving you can tell isn't that interesting? That is interesting
That is interesting and incidentally
Flying from
Sri Lanka back to Buenos Aires here
One of the movies that I watched was that clinti I watched two clinti's would war movies
Flags of our fathers and
Letters
Letters from anyway it was about it was about Iwo Jima and
it occurs to me that
Since okinawa was even a
worse battle than Iwo Jima
Maybe there's maybe he shouldn't be trying to farm there so soon because there's undoubtedly
Thousands and thousands of unexploded ordinance all around that island
Might be dangerous to be farming
Let me tell you flags of our fathers. You just mentioned that that's written by
My friend James Bradley. He just sent me a note about you
Two hours ago and um, so he apparently pays close. I know he pays close. He said
Doug Casey is the Elvis Presley of commodities investing
Oh, I like that. Yeah, he said I'm he said I'm a little choir boy
Who can uh, who can hum a tune I was asking him about some gold issues actually
Michael tell him I tell him. Thank you. Thank you very much. Oh, I will I will he
Anyway, he said he said uh, you are with the genius if you are with Doug
And I would be interested in what he would have to say he is a gold related stuff
I was asking him about because he tracks gold quite
Oh
Do you think oh, that's it's dangerous to be a farmer there
or
For for for ux oh, uh unexploded ordinance. Um, no
I haven't I haven't heard about anybody getting blown up now when it comes to ux
Oh, I mean that's something I've come across a lot in the world
Uh, just but whether it's a act of combat zones or just you know
I mean it's out there by the unbelievable
Amounts I was talking with one eod guy some years ago and uh, he was from belgium
And uh, and and we were talking about low
low magnetic uh signature mines and that sort of thing
And uh, and he said they're still finding glass mines from world war one
in
In and in belgium, you know
Mines made of glass so that they have low mag they had metal detectors way back then by the way
But there is so much ux so out there unexploded ordinance that it's going to be everywhere
And by the way, you know urney pile, which would be probably america's most famous and serious war
Correspondent was killed on he would g or not ewo jima at um
Okinawa on a little island called yoshie and I went there some months ago
Uh, in in fact, he was shot. Uh, you know, he had done very well over in the european theater
And then he was there for the you know invasion of okinawa, which was an incredibly bloody
Battle, you know hacksaw ridge and all that and uh, and he was killed there actually
You know, what's interesting about urney pile though. I read
His books after I became a war correspondent. I never imagined becoming one, but after I became one
Uh, people would talk about urney pile all the time and then I started so I read his work
And to see what he had done and what was very interesting was urney piles experiences were extremely similar to mine
Except his wars were bigger his wars were much bigger, but the experiences the he was having were like parallel for instance
You know when you got when you come to a new battle zone when when you know when the flagpole hasn't been planted yet
You can do anything you want like when I first showed up to iraq
Here comes a helicopter landing. I would literally just go get on it and see where they're going to
And they'd let me on you know and and uh, or you know, uh, I would go off on one mission with some combat troops
Literally introduced myself like hey, you know, I got a camera. Can we take who are you? Yeah, you're a reporter guy
Yeah, kind of let's go then I remember coming back to a base in bakuba after having gone on a combat mission
Came right back to base. There was another unit lined up to go out
I jumped out for those vehicles and jumped in the other one
Never said anything to the commander went back on into combat, right? I mean
Ernie pile talked about that sort of stuff
But then when the flagpole catches up it's time to move on
Because he said it would be hard to get on a boat hard to get in a jeep. But you know
Experiences like that were were the same. He said every new unit that rotated in american troops. Anyway
Uh, I think he was specific about that as I recall when american troops a new unit would come in
They always had new equipment like a new sort of canteen cup
new
You know uniform new boots
Which was exactly true
You could always see the new troops because they would always have a considerable amount of new gear
Which was pretty it was pretty, you know
Interesting when it comes to the military industrial complex. I mean not only new gear they could show up with like, you know new
Armored vehicles that you'd never seen before, you know, I mean it was just you know
And he was going through the same experiences back in world war two. That's pretty interesting, isn't it?
That really is actually one more thing that he said it was very very interesting
When he would go back to the united states everybody wanted to see him
Everybody wanted him to go do this that and the other and finally he just like he wanted to just go home and be alone
Like it was the same with me because I would do really intense combat
You know, I would go with the combat troops and being actually a lot of come
So when I went back one time I was with my grandmother
I just wanted to be with my grandmother like unplug everything and that's it
I just wanted to hang out with granny, you know and everybody wants you to come see him
And it's really like no seriously. I'm not even going across town. I'm not coming to washington. I'm not going to new york
I'm being with my grandmother. Don't call me again, right and
And and finally I would leave the wars and just go off to nipal and walk up in the mountains, right?
And he talked about the same thing
He didn't even want to go home because people are just bothering too much. That's pretty interesting, isn't it?
same well, you know the the french have a praise for that
which
You're giving testimony to michael and that's
La pluça change la pluça rest la mem the more things change the more than the same
Yep
Same stuff
All right, Doug. What's uh, what's your second observation on the election this week?
well
once again, I will
With a degree of shame
Uh
Tell people that yes, I'm a subscriber to
the fag hag rag
Wapo the washington post
my excuse for that is that
Down here in south america. I don't pay their I don't know what they charge americans 125 bucks or something like that
but if you
Are signing up from a foreign address at least down here. It's 10 bucks a year. I figured okay
Uh, just to keep an eye on what these idiots are saying it's worth it. So I I subscribe to the post
Uh, and I read it every day. Some of the articles are actually interesting, but they're all ultra ultra ultra left
I'm trying to figure out which is the most left-wing publication
major publication in the u.s. And
To my knowledge and I'm sure I'm missing many possibilities. It's either the wapo or um
The atlantic monthly which is just criminally left us to anyway. That's a tangent. That's not what I wanted to talk about
exactly, but since
Jeff Bezos
A nixed wapo endorsing a candidate
The numbers seem to have come up from reliable sources that 200,000
Subscribers to wapo have canceled their subscriptions
That's a lot
And I presume most of them are paying a hundred bucks a year or whatever they charge in the u.s
and
That's about eight percent of their paid online subscriptions. That's what they say anyway
so
You know these lefties really take this stuff seriously and the one interesting thing about that is
We know that
Elon musk has become he's an intelligent guy, obviously
Has become libertarian oriented
More and more this time has gone by but we don't really know for a fact what bezels
Political and philosophical views are he's a money guy. He's made
A huge amount of money, but he's never talked about philosophy or this type of thing
And I actually think he's a little bit like musk. He's interested in space exploration. I mean not
Grumbling in the dirt dirt for politics
but you know as an intelligent guy he's seen that
Wapo's policy is running counter to reality. In fact, that's even the phrase he used
And that's why he's not endorsing and interestingly three
Of the post editors
Have just resigned because they're not endorsing kamala
And I'm wondering if at this point since
Bezos has focused his attention on the publication he owns
I'm wondering whether he might not replace those three editors
with three at least middle of the road or perhaps
Right-leaning or libertarian leading people, but
Anyway, the subscribership of the post absolutely had a shit-fit with the fact that it didn't endorse
Kamala, I mean
I mean, it's crazy and not that it makes any difference who pays attention to what a newspaper says
Endorsement wise anyway, but anyway these statistics about wapo and what's happening with bezels relative to it
I think they're rather interesting
Somebody's got to be on like lsd to think kamala here should be president. I mean
I'm not seeing how that works out. You know
But not not that I like trump and in a lot of people know my my thoughts on trump, but but kamala Harris. I mean, seriously
I mean, she's stupid. She's a vapid. She's unknowledgeable
She can't put together a sentence much less a
Cogent lot
It it's
I'm just dumbfounded at the fact that these stupid democrats have are running her
They're also the same who thought that thought that biden was of sound mind this whole time, right? Yeah
Yeah, so they they diluted themselves or turned that into that belief
They're showing a total lack of respect for the american republic, which is well deserved. I've got to say
I mean, they're right on about that, but
Still i'm shocked
You know, new york times you brought them up. They're interesting that they just came up this week again
somebody put a video together of my
sort of semi-analysis of that gunshot during, you know, the ear thing with trump and and and um
Now let me set the table with what i'm about preface it with what i'm about to say
Years ago. I used to subscribe to new york times until they did the jason blair thing
Jason blair was caught doing a lot of fraud
and uh, he was a
Diversity hire obviously and he was a black man and he was completely unqualified. He got caught. He was doing cocaine and all sorts of things
and he was
Publishing stories fraudulently. He got caught
Then it came out that at least two editors knew about it, but let him slide and that was when I cancelled
I was like that's enough. You know, I can see where you can have one fraudulent
A journalist, but if you caught him and you fired him, I would have just kept the subscription and said well, that was stupid
But I'm not gonna you know unsubscribe
But they didn't they let him stay on anyway
Later during the iraq war
New york times wrote a glowing piece about me actually
So this would be hurtful with what was to happen next
I mean, I think they were trying to hire me. It was kind of obvious like they I was taking a break from the war
Flew back to florida. They flew a journalist down from new york and interviewed me and it was a glowing piece, right?
and um, and I thought
Such a beautiful piece. They must want to hire me and anyway later
They asked me to write a piece for him, but I never did but
But the but point is then when I saw that gunshot happened, you know
We all saw the the thing with trump and you saw the bullet trace photo, right?
And and I thought something's not right now keep in mind
I'm a professional photographer. I mean my skills are quite good, right?
And I was a special forces weapons
Specialist and I grew up with guns and and I was in a lot of combat and I've seen a lot of combat photography
I have never seen somebody catch a bullet trace
And so that immediately caught and then so I was like, what was the shutter speed?
I found the shutter speed was one eight thousandth of a second, right?
And I'm like now keep in mind
I'm familiar with this camera because it's the camera. I'm looking at right now. It's a sony alpha one
It's the exact same camera. It's the camera. I use it's the best camera money combined is the one
I'm talking into right and so and and that's the camera that he was using and I'm like
Why did he have it on one eight thousandth of a second and would that still catch?
It was just very bizarre, right?
And and people are saying are you saying he photoshopped it? I'm saying
What I'm saying is
It doesn't feel right, right based on my knowledge of weapons based on my knowledge of cameras
And based on my knowledge of doing a tremendous amount of combat photography where I actually caught a bullet this far away
Splashing off a wall right by a lieutenant's head. I've got the photo
Bam of the wall going right by his and it's 50 millimeter lens. I'm this close, right?
I've got all kinds of stuff like that people getting shot while I'm shooting the photos
I mean literally getting shot while I'm shooting the photos like the cent com commander now got shot right in front of me
while I was photographing him and
That sort of thing so I'm very experienced with this
So I happen to be the wrong guy that written a glowing article about me
So it's kind of hard to just throw that out and also
I just had the right skill set and I'm like this doesn't seem right and people are like well, how could they do that?
How could they photoshop it so fast? Well, like well, let me tell you I know about that camera
You can shoot a photo with that camera and it will upload immediately to your office
There's a device you can buy from sony go to sony.com and look for the wi-fi device
And or you can you can literally I can shoot a photo right now
And go right and it would be in new york in one minute. And if you had made a bullet trace
Layer, you know photoshop layer in advance and you did all the math, right? You could photo downloads and
You could put it on a skilled
You know photoshop guy to do that in a minute or two, right?
Especially if they were planning to do that in advance. I am not saying that that's what they did
So what I said was what I've said for years always shoot your photos in raw at some raw format, right?
because it's very hard to
To uh manipulate a raw without leaving artifacts that are easy to see, right?
So I mean you can you know, if you if you provide that raw format photo to people
They'll be able to detect that. Hey, this has been messed with so the first thing I said
And by the way, there's times when people said my photos were fake and I'm like, here's the raw photos, right?
Have fun, right?
And now, you know, I'm giving you the raw photos now if you say that again
I'll give you a lawsuit for defamation
But here's the raw photos because these are the ones that will be in the courtroom, right? So so in any case
You know people will back off always shoot in raw for one thing you get higher quality and secondly
It's your insurance when people say it's fake, right?
So I said just all he has to do is release the raw photos
Which he wouldn't do, right?
And so interestingly a lot of people started calling the new york times photographer out as named dug mills
And somebody got him and interviewed him about those and I just saw that video a few days ago
And they they took my video saying he should release the raws and this is you know
The this is the problem set that I see with that photo and he wouldn't come off with the raw photos
Something doesn't smell right. That's like, you know, where are the ballots type thing, you know?
I'm not saying he did it, but I'm saying
It quacks like a duck
That's very interesting
When you talk about raw
Not being a photographer
What's the distinction you're making with that word?
Raw is a format you have all these different formats like
JPEG, right?
Most people will shoot in JPEG
Always shooting raw and I know people you'll talk to your photographer friend, you know say no, no
I shoot in JPEG. He doesn't know what he's talking about. Okay. Don't listen to him again. Listen to me shoot him raw, right?
So always shoot in raw raw is all the data that comes off the sensor and on my
Sony cameras, it's ARW, right? That's the raw format, right?
So anyway, but all that the raw is all of the data or actually tiff is all of the data, right?
But tiff is like these massive files and but raw is much larger files, right?
But they have so much more data
So it gives the photographer a lot of room later to play with the light and that sort of thing
If you manipulate the light like make it darker or lighter
That's not actually cheating or doing anything unethical or or illegal because sometimes, you know
You're shooting the if you're in a light room doing it with the with the you know film
You would you know change the way that you develop it and make it lighter or darker
And you can do the same thing
When you're using raw you have a lot more flexibility on your ability to
Actually manipulate the photos to get the colors right when they come out of the camera and raw
They don't actually look good actually because they're they're really just they're flat, right?
But so it takes a little bit extra time
So some people's camera like this camera here
The one that he was shooting with you can shoot in raw and jpeg simultaneously, right?
You can shoot and it'll save one to each right and it'll save one of each file
But he should have absolutely shot in raw. It would be hard for me to imagine that he was not shooting in raw
Very very difficult unless he just made, you know a terrible mistake as a photographer and somehow left it on jpeg
Which would be like a soldier accidentally shooting his foot or something, right? I just don't see him doing that
Anyway, nobody uses
Silver film anymore in cameras. That's decades out of
Out of time, isn't it? But you know those photos
From the film those are better. Those are better. This I'm looking at the best digital camera in the world
That's what I'm talking with you on right now. I mean DSLR right or it's not DSLR
But anyway, it's a it's a it's sony alpha one, right?
This is unbelievable camera
But the phone that the uh the film cameras like that they took to the moon and that sort of stuff
You look at those photos those photos. I think are objectively better than what can come through this $8,000 camera
6,000. I think it's not as much as it used to be
Yeah
Interesting, but I'll tell you what I was always getting the top of the line cameras because I needed that
Low low light and fast focus were the two main things for me. So if they they would come out with a new model that was
Low do a little bit better low light and a little bit faster focus and I'll jump right on it
So in other words when I saw that bullet going by I'm like
Speed and low light. That's that's my world in combat. I need to get you know speed and low light
But still it was very odd that he would be shooting on
One eight thousandth of a second some people came out and defended him and say no, it's not odd
Okay, so let's just say it was one eight thousandth of a second. I still find it extremely odd that he caught a bullet trace
Could I kind of figure that?
Although they'd like to take them out before the elections
Can they be so bold is to try?
A third time. I hope that the third time was a charm
I
Don't know. I don't know. I mean this is you know me. I think is there's big k-fabe going on
I think there's a lot of but I don't know. I mean, we're talking about people that run Hollywood that can do anything
You know, so I mean it's easy. I'm not saying it was faked
But I am not discounting it at all
And uh, and again, I'm not trying to prove one thing or the other, you know, let me let me say one thing
Years ago. I was watching 60 minutes
And there was this north korean guy. There's a book called escape from camp 14 or something like that
Or it's camp 21 or something and this north korean guy had escaped now
He's famous and he's running around the world doing these speeches
I think he got an honorary degree from some big university and that sort of thing
There was a best-selling book called escape from camp 21 or 14 or whatever some people watching this will
Probably have read it, but I watched that guy. I watched the interview was on 60 minutes
And uh, and I'm like that guy's a fraud
And and I could tell he was a fraud and immediately and I immediately published it
Like and I said you can find this online. You could just
Type my name in and north korean fraud, right?
And you'll see that I open up with something like now
I'm taking a chance with the defamation lawsuit here
But I'm saying this to demonstrate my ability to suss out certain frauds
And there were certain things about him that were just not right
One is people like that never know their birthdays
Ever right, they don't know their birthdays. Uh, they don't know how to read a map
They don't know there were certain things that you know, I was putting a few things together
His body language was way off like body language for guys like that
Or just it was just off, you know what I mean? I'm not saying it was deceptive with this body language
I'm just saying that people that grew up in those sorts of places their body language is it's always more like this
It's not like he's his body language is like an italian, right?
You know what I mean?
So I took a chance and I put and I made it, you know, I said a few other things
I'm like I'm going to take a chance and I'm going to lose everything that I have
This is how confident that I am that that guy is a fraud that he's on 60 minutes
He's a superhero now and all this stuff and about two two and a half years later
Boom, he admitted to it, right?
So you could look that up and you'll see that not only was he caught he admitted to it
And everybody's apologizing and I'm like how in the world did the new york times and all these other guys write all these articles
Washington put long list, right the guy that wrote his book
Forgotten his name, but he was somebody that wrote for nat geo. I think washington post. I think uh
It's all the big ones. I remember looking at this pedigree like this is a guy
Who should have done his due diligence? He didn't even pick up on the birthday thing
He didn't pick up on the body language. He didn't pick up on
I picked it up and I just watched like 15 or 20 minutes of 60 minutes
These frauds are not always difficult to pick out. You just have to just go like
No, I know everybody's buying off on the bullet trace thing, but I'm not and I'm a combat photographer and uh
Smells like bullshit
All right, what's your what's your third observation?
Well, um
polls
polls who's
Who who do they quote unquote?
link is going to win and
I read these things. I don't of course
For a long time. I just don't believe anything. I mean anything that I read absolutely not anything that people say absolutely even pictures
You know, it's um, I don't believe anything but
ABC has a poll with some other group. I forget their name. It says it's 51 to 47 for Kamala
well, I don't believe it but
The reason that that I think a lot of these polls are
Said to be so close is because if Kamala steals the election
You have to have plausible deniability. Yeah, it was really really close
And yeah, we won we squeaked it out when I think the average American
in the heartland is going to work
Is going to vote overwhelmingly for trump, but then again in 2020
Even though I uh handicapped biden to win I published an article as to why
basically theft
but uh
I thought that that
There was so much enthusiasm for trump and so many people who were really
Going on but but biden won and that was anyway
Uh, none of these all these polls are unreliable. They're highly politicized. I don't believe any of them
Uh, I guess the bottom line for the uh election next week is
uh
Trump will get a lot more votes, but I still think
Uh, Kamala is going to be installed
And I know there are arguments
I mean
I've talked to some friends. They say no
They're gonna let trump win because they want the economy to collapse. They want a war. They want all these bad things
To happen while he's in office. Well, of course you want bad things to happen when the enemy is in office
but uh
I don't think they want to let go let
Let go of the reins of power and they're afraid he's going to do too much damage. So
I have a money bet
with uh with the brand
100 ounces of silver
Saying that came all is going to be installed
But maybe this is academic because it doesn't matter who's going to win. There are going to be
protests and lawsuits and
Who knows who's going to actually become the president in the in the new year
Although I I think
Anyway, don't believe the polls and that abc poll this is 51 47 for kimala. It's got to be total bullshit
I like that. You're betting in silver
Not dollars
Well, I like to do things with with actual precious metals because
if uh
If I either lose or win the bet
Either my friend is going to have to pay taxes on the winnings or I'll have to pay taxes on the winnings
So what do we need a third party to the bet for but if it's simple silver coins? There's no record. It's discreet
It's better for both of us and
Leaves the state out of the equation
All right, michael, what's what's your third observation for the week? What do you got?
You know
Who is going to be president? I do not know but you know who
Called me almost randomly tonight was I mentioned this before we started was g edward
griffin the author of uh the creature from jackal island and we talked for quite a while and I asked him about that
What did he think was going to be and and
He looks at it the way that I look at it. I think the way we all look at it. So it's a it's a it's an act
I mean a lot of it's an act. I'm not sure if we're all in concordance with that
But I think it's a
You can if you look closely at kamala and trump you can see the strings pulling up their shirts, you know
I mean, I mean, there's somebody else's boy and girl, you know
And so I don't know if that's two different teams or if it's I think it's the same one
You know, that's what it that's what it smells like and and that was clearly what
Mr. Griffin seemed to think actually I should
Ask him to come on with us. I think he would because he greatly respects you
He mentioned I think he would come on and we should ask him
What he does a super idea
I think if you possibly can michael you ought to make that happen. That's great that you talk to him
Yeah, and and he they're going to do a red pill
Sort of conference and he was asking me to speak at it
And um, and I have a feeling he's going to call you
Where's the conference going to be and are you going to have to
It's going to be online. It's going to be uh, so in other words, he would uh, he mentioned getting a uh, a um
You know how you can get a studio when you're downrange?
Just getting a studio like in ba or someplace like that
Yeah
So the lighting's right and the microphones are good and that sort of thing
That sounds like fun so that I'm not looking down. I'm actually looking at the cameras
But I'm looking at you. Yeah
Oh, listen, there's one other thing that I was going to add in
It's that there have been press reports about
uh ballot boxes being um burned
and ballot some
Bomb threats to ballot boxes end up postman
uh was caught uh trying to destroy
ballots from a
Republican area and stuff like that
So these guys um, they're taking it seriously. No this election. Unfortunately
All right, so Doug, uh, we already have michael's prediction with elan unless you've got another one boy elan will
Eventually run for president was michael's and if you have another one, that's we'll hear that too
But uh, what do you got dug for predictions?
uh
There was an article that I read
I think it's kind of an obscure article
but
The point is made that in Puerto Rico
They can't vote for president because they're not um
I forget what the technicality is but um
Puerto Ricans can't vote for president and of course they don't have senators or representatives
so
there's
Long been a movement. There's a movement to make Puerto Rico an independent country. There's a
Movement to make them a state so forth. Anyway, the democrats
Want to see Puerto Rico become a statewide. They'll get two extra senators, which is massive
And I forget how many representatives couple anyway
so that uh on the ballot
In Puerto Rico, although they can't vote for president
They're voting for a lot of other things and one of the things is a referendum
There have been seven referendums in Puerto Rico's history
Dealing with whether or not they should become independent or a state or stay the same
whatever and
This article
Indicates that the democrats have fudged things in a way that
Um
Puerto Ricans who vote on this referendum about statehood
cannot
vote for the status quo
That's not on the table on the so you can vote for be a state or a couple other things
so anyway, uh
the bottom line is
The guy that noticed this the nature of the question on the referendum
Uh says that yeah, it's going to be
put up for statehood
Which won't happen unless kemala is is uh, and and also captures the house and the senate. You need all that stuff for
Becoming a new state and this other stuff too, but anyway
That's what's going on. It's kind of interesting
Puerto Rico as a state that's on the agenda for the dems
One way or another
It is and uh, well, who knows after Puerto Rico
Certainly washington dc two more senators and a rep and uh, then I guess next would be
Ukraine and next would be Haiti might as well make them a state and
Let's go. Let's go for it. Let's go whole log. Let's make israel a state too
You know who's always wanted to be a state or listen since I've noticed philippines
And uh, and they'll say it all the time many many philippines many many and um, and you know
I love philippines and I see philippines all philippines philippinos, you know
People from the philippines all over the world. They're like michael jackson. I mean, I see them and sparrows everywhere
You can be in the deepest part of afghanistan. I'm like, I know there's a philippino around here somewhere
There's one doing something you're like
I'm not looking at a number right now, but I think there's about a hundred million
philippino
Residents that's a lot of people that would increase the population of the us by roughly a third
I told him, you know one time I was with secretary gates
over and at the shangri-la
dialogue over in singapore, right and um
And he flew me to the philippines right in that c17 and he any when we when we dropped off when he dropped
He was a secretary defense, right?
So when he dropped me off, he introduced me to the top leadership there, right?
And so I was out with all these generals and stuff philippinos and the us commander there and all that
And they gave me access to go down and mend the now and all that
But they they often talked about it. They were like, yeah, we'd like to become a state too
And i'm like, yeah, and and in the villager everybody. I mean i've been to philippines
Much more than that but I was talking even top-level people off and I was like
You really would like to be a state? Listen
You would put up with our restaurant inspections for about one month and before you know, you'd be at war with us
I don't want you to become a state because we all like each other now
Yeah, you'd be starting to do terrorism against us like the potter eakins did
Yeah, but you know, we talk about the philippines, but as you're well aware
The philippines is one thing and the southern philippines the uh
Mendenau Mendenau that's a different story. That's where I went down there with I went down there with the special forces guys
They took me out and it was pretty interesting. Yeah, those people down there are really unfriendly if
to to gringos
actually
The places I went they were actually quite friendly, but they
The places that I went but as you know in other places, you'll get definitely get chopped up
Oh, yeah
And and and from the when the u.s. Conquered the philippines back in what 1903 or whatever it was
I think I don't know what the number is
There is no exact number, but I understand that we killed about a hundred thousand
Muslim rebels in Mendenau and environs
That's a lot of people there's a good book on or related called the swish of the chris
Actually a delta force guy told me about it, but the um, but you know, anyway, but the bottom line is um
They still remember the volcano
Massacre, you know our guys wheeled up the canons down into the mouth of the volcano
They were hiding down there and and lit them up and killed everybody in the volcano
They still talk about that like it was yesterday
I mean it's it's they talk about it constantly down in Mendenau. They keep that they keep that
uh alive
You know interestingly
Down in Mendenau those people fight similar in some ways to the taliban
They they do something called a penticasa, which is a cock fight most philippines
I don't think I've heard of that term, but so when you when you get into a firefight down there
Everybody will drop everything they're doing and run to the sound of shooting whether they've got a gun or not, right?
It doesn't matter if they got a shovel and they're out there farming or whatever they all show up
And so eventually
You're going to get outnumbered right because every village if you give them enough time
They're going to keep showing up and showing up and they'll just come as you are try to find a weapon there
Or maybe they'll show up with one and so the people, you know the the let's say the philippino marines
They can you know, you'll run out of ammo eventually if you don't get resupplied or get extracted, right?
It's pretty interesting because that's exactly how the taliban will do it as well
They'll go out there, you know get into a firefight and the longer it goes
Everybody just come as you are and very interesting stories about that
I heard a story about one special forces team and green beret team in afghanistan
Uh, they were they got into a big ambush. I wasn't with them and and then you know
Everybody started showing up and it went I think for maybe maybe one of those green berets is watching this
but it went for about 24 hours or so took some casualties and
Later the green beret team went back to some of the villages and said hey, why were you guys coming to the fight?
Why I mean we've had good relations with people from some of these villages and they're like, yeah
Well, I mean it was a fight. I mean we're friends, but who's going to turn down a fight. I mean, you know
posh tune
That's what we do
It's just like a soccer sport. It's a sport. You know, they're good at it
Plus, I think a lot of these primitive societies take their culture and their religion much more seriously than we do either one
Yeah posh tune. It's it's it's uh old testament and I mean that seriously
I'm not I know that they're muslims
But actually a lot of people think that they're a lost tribe of israel
And you'll see even jewish scholars talking about it
And uh and some of the posh tune believe that too is and so but they're pock tune wali
Which is their basic firmware their cultural firmware that's called the posh tune way, right?
Straight out of the old testament eye for an eye
all that stuff
They're hardcore
Well, maybe we'll find out because uh another movie I saw on the long long flight across the world
Was civil war that the movie produced about a year ago and I thought it was actually quite good as a production and
And everything else. I don't know if you've seen it or not michael
No, I haven't but I keep hearing about it. I need to watch it
Yeah, I watched the jones plantation twice after you said i'm telling everybody should watch the jones plantation
Totally should no question
What was it from the civil war movie that stood out to you?
well, it was really gritty uh in that uh
the uh the rebel states uh were they texas in california, I think uh were assaulting washington dc
And attacking the white house just the way they would in a south american revolution
Captured the president and just blew him away
Executed him on the spot
Now that's pretty radical for an american movie
Capture the white house in a firefight and shoot the president when you capture him
And it was unclear apparently 12 helicopters just landed there
Did you see that somebody sent it to me?
Apparently like 12 helicopters today landed at the white house. I don't know. I just
Why would that happen?
I don't know. I think it was truthful. I just saw it as we were about to go on somebody sent it to me and I was busy and I'm like
Actually matt bracken sent it to me another guy who follows you. I don't know if you know matt bracken
But he's a former navy seal officer
Very smart guy. Uh, he's written books on this like civil war
Very good writer and and and amazingly accurate
And I took him down to the dairy and gap actually and we spent I don't know
two weeks maybe together and uh
and um
He did very well. Well, he's a former navy seal officer. So of course he did well in the dairy and gap
but um, but he uh, he he's the one that sent me that
Video about something that was just helicopters landing at the white house. I don't know what was up
What was up with that?
Hmm
Yeah, Doug, you'd like matt bracken. He's got uh, let's say I've interacted him with a lot over email and I'd say he's somewhat of
He's definitely a renaissance man. Yeah, so you'd get along with him on that side of things. He's
It's too bad all these guys aren't going to be here in Buenos Aires
Next week when we're having a file meeting it'll be nice to meet these guys or a lot of them anyway
Matt would like to come and he's not going to be able to make it because I asked him and um
You know matt made his own boat with his own hands
And uh and sailed it through the Panama Canal
Yeah, he's a pretty hardcore dude
Oh, that's impressive actually like his fiction books, too
He says latest one is doomsday reef. I finished it a couple weeks ago. That's excellent
I didn't read that one yet. So it was good, huh?
Yeah, I've got the the the cover of it on my ipad to remind me to read it
Yeah, it's worth it. All right. Well, I think we'll leave it there for this week guys
We'll be back next week and by then we will I guess the ceremony of the election will have happened
Right because we probably won't record on that Tuesday
Um, uh, but so we'll have maybe we'll know maybe it'll all be over. Maybe it'll be clear
Who's the winner or maybe we'll be mired in a you know months long mess
Yeah, let me get this. I'm sorry, sir. Go ahead. Oh, oh, I'm sorry
Like I was just gonna say that's the way I'm betting it's gonna be a mess that won't probably you won't even be determined by inauguration day
That's what I was gonna ask. I mean, what are the chances that actually we're gonna have a conclusion there, you know
I think slim and not in and slims out of town
I'm gonna take the contrarian bet on this one
I'm gonna say that it's gonna be resolved
Well, I hope you're right
Me just feel it just feels right. It feels like it's everyone expects
There to be enormous problems
And I don't know. I think the unexpected thing is that you get a that there's
So many people that are so pro-trump and so worried about the future
That I don't know if they'd be
I don't think that they could cheat enough their way out of it
And I think that they're just gonna not fight this battle
You know a couple days ago another trump advisor reached out to me which they do
And I'm like once we're in office
I want you to come in and help us on the border policy. I'm like, you know, how much I hate your boss
You know, I will help but I am trustworthy because you know where I'm coming from
I'm not going to be sycophantic, you know
And and if I go down to the border and he actually is closing it
People will believe me because they know I'm gonna tell them the truth. You know what I mean
If it's open, I'm gonna say your boy didn't close the border if it's closed
I'm gonna say well trump closed the border
So how many people you think are piling across the border as we speak daily michael any guesstimate?
I don't know and even when I'm physically on the border. I don't know even when I'm out there with the border patrol
I was just on the phone today with some me and Panama
Uh, we don't know. I mean, I know that there's increased like in september
There was a huge number of people that came to the dairien, but I don't have the actual numbers
I can get them from Cinefront if I call them up Cinefront is like their border patrol
Kind of army Panama doesn't have an army, but they're very professional actually
I'm out with Cinefront quite a lot
But but I don't know how many are coming through dairien right now, but it's dairien gap
I'm talking about and keep in mind dairien gap is just one feeder
They also fly straight to uh, nicaragua because nicaragua lets the uh, venezuelans and the cubans
And some others come straight to nicaragua
And then they start from there and then others will fly like many of the chinese
Will start in ecuador others will start in mexico. They'll like go to cancun on
Vacation actually and then walk over the border in arizona or you know, texas or california
The u.s. Of reported in september 53,881 migrants crossing
Oh, no, it's gonna be more than that for sure. That's nonsense
That was a number for last month that they that they reported. Oh, keep in mind the numbers that they have when you pay attention to them
They'll talk about arrested or you know versus
Yeah, there's all these gotaways and known gotaways and all this stuff
There's no way it's only 53,000
I mean, I'm not down there. So I should be quiet
But I just know that I've seen numbers in the past where they're saying things. I'm like
That's there's no way. That's right
Yeah, and the other thing is just you know, there's so many that are coming that this is in this is in addition though
To the migrants that came through official ports of entry using the cbp app and there were another 48,000 of those
Yeah, yeah, okay
This is where all the obfuscation comes in like if you turn yourself in you okay
You know, they they just they cook the books like a ceo that's about to leave the company, right?
And and and and also they come across the canadian border, of course, as you just mentioned they fly in 24 7
They come across through bahamas. They come across planes trains and automobiles
And but again hugely sponsored as well flying in all over the place
You know one time I checked into a hotel. I found one of the uh in in uh, mcgallin, texas
I knew that that some jets were flying them in and I knew that the the crews were coming through general aviation
And so I just went to general aviation and sat down and had some coffee
And uh, and I waited for you know, you know, uh, one of the jets with the aliens came in
And uh, and you know the the pilots came through general aviation
Is instead of going through the normal small airport there at mcallin
I started talking with them pilot showed me photos of Haitians who had ripped the seat
I didn't know how you could rip seats out of an airplane floor
Rip they when they realized some were being you know repatriated to Haiti at one point
They even tried to break a window and crack part of it. I don't know how they did that
They were on the ground apparently but and he wouldn't let me have the photos but in any case I
I saw what a hotel they were staying in so I checked in and I checked I must have stayed there for about 10 days
And I'll just eat breakfast every day when they're when these crews were coming and going to pick up
What in the world's going on? Where are they coming and going? I mean, they're coming in from Guatemala. They're coming in from, uh, Colombia. They're, you know
Most of most of the aliens are staying only a few are being repatriated
So, I mean, you know, that that's why I like to do a lot of it myself because like like going all the way across the border
It's very difficult for border patrol to be asked me, right?
It's very difficult for the generals to be asked me and
Iraq and Afghanistan and that sort of thing and that's why I like to go talk with the pilots and whatnot
All right, okay, we'll wrap it up for today here guys. Thank you very much for doing it and we'll be back next week
Yeah, I'll look forward to it. I actually enjoy these conversations
Apart from the fact that we're broadcasting and why I love listening to your rap. Michael. It's super
Thank y'all and thank you for inviting me on it's a huge honor
It's giving me huge creds too. People are like, you know, Doug Casey
I'm like, I know Matt Smith too and they're like, yeah, Matt's pretty smart too, but he's younger and
Well, it works both ways Michael. So that's we call a happy relationship
Yeah, we have a good we have a good, uh team for a podcast. It's doing great