WEBVTT

00:02.030 --> 00:05.350
All right, we're back with Doug and Michael Yon.

00:05.970 --> 00:07.750
And again, the format we're using here

00:07.750 --> 00:11.170
is three consequential news events or observations

00:11.170 --> 00:12.850
these guys had within the last week

00:12.850 --> 00:14.930
and a prediction for you.

00:15.130 --> 00:16.390
So Doug, why don't we start with you first?

00:17.070 --> 00:19.570
What's something you observed this week of interest?

00:21.790 --> 00:25.050
Well, as far as things that are happening,

00:25.070 --> 00:27.130
it really is a target rich environment.

00:27.770 --> 00:33.410
And I almost feel driven to talk about this ridiculous selection

00:33.410 --> 00:37.790
coming up on Guy Fawkes Day, November 5th.

00:37.790 --> 00:40.370
Maybe that's for next week when we're closer to it.

00:40.950 --> 00:42.470
So lots of things to talk about.

00:42.730 --> 00:49.230
But before the disasters in Appalachia and Florida

00:49.890 --> 00:54.630
fade from memory and the news cycle drives on,

00:54.830 --> 00:58.090
I thought I'd just draw people's attention to FEMA

00:58.790 --> 01:05.890
because I've had no personal interaction with FEMA,

01:06.150 --> 01:06.890
fortunately.

01:08.310 --> 01:13.150
The only time I've seen them was during the aftermath

01:13.150 --> 01:16.590
of Hurricane Katrina when I was in New Orleans

01:16.590 --> 01:23.850
and rented a car and drove around the affected area.

01:24.350 --> 01:27.630
And one of the most interesting things that I saw there

01:27.970 --> 01:32.750
were about a dozen FEMA guys all wearing their jackets

01:32.750 --> 01:34.690
with FEMA written across the back.

01:35.050 --> 01:38.910
And they were standing around in a circle talking

01:38.910 --> 01:40.230
or being lectured to.

01:41.370 --> 01:43.290
And I watched them for about five minutes.

01:43.810 --> 01:47.030
And I asked myself, what the hell are these people doing here?

01:47.770 --> 01:49.950
I mean, Katrina was a huge disaster.

01:50.710 --> 01:53.250
And here's a dozen FEMA types.

01:54.010 --> 01:56.070
And they're just talking.

01:57.250 --> 01:58.830
So anyway, with this latest thing,

01:59.010 --> 02:00.730
I thought, well, who the hell is FEMA?

02:00.930 --> 02:01.710
What do they do?

02:02.490 --> 02:04.150
They were founded in 1979.

02:04.570 --> 02:06.070
But what do they do?

02:06.710 --> 02:10.790
They're the Federal Emergency Management Administration.

02:11.130 --> 02:12.270
That's what it stands for.

02:12.970 --> 02:19.010
And I went on their website and tried to find out

02:19.010 --> 02:20.090
stuff about them.

02:21.030 --> 02:24.710
And I don't, I'm not very competent.

02:25.350 --> 02:28.790
I must admit, playing with my computer and finding things.

02:28.890 --> 02:31.910
But I spent time and went from one thing to another.

02:32.350 --> 02:34.930
And I think there's a dearth of information.

02:35.610 --> 02:37.450
What I was able to determine is this,

02:37.950 --> 02:39.630
is that they don't actually help,

02:39.630 --> 02:41.990
they're not intended to help people

02:41.990 --> 02:43.230
when there's an emergency.

02:44.370 --> 02:48.410
They're intended to give money to people

02:48.410 --> 02:51.550
that are affected by the emergency after the fact.

02:52.310 --> 02:56.130
Now, I tried to find out how many employees that they have.

02:56.170 --> 02:57.490
And there aren't any current numbers.

02:57.910 --> 03:01.570
As best as I can determine, this agency

03:02.040 --> 03:04.730
has about 6,000 or 8,000 employees.

03:05.430 --> 03:07.150
And they don't do anything,

03:07.750 --> 03:10.290
but distribute a few meals.

03:11.450 --> 03:15.490
They distributed some tarpolines in this last disaster.

03:15.970 --> 03:20.090
But mainly they assist people in giving them money.

03:20.710 --> 03:22.670
Sometimes billions of dollars.

03:23.010 --> 03:26.070
I'm uncertain where it goes because individuals,

03:26.450 --> 03:30.950
they give dribs and drabs of $500 for this

03:30.950 --> 03:32.670
or $750 for that.

03:33.090 --> 03:36.090
And oddly, if you have a funeral,

03:36.510 --> 03:38.830
this is one of the big things that they mentioned on

03:39.810 --> 03:42.970
their website is that

03:44.790 --> 03:47.090
if you've had a COVID death,

03:47.590 --> 03:52.750
they give you like $500 to bury the body.

03:53.190 --> 03:54.770
Well, that's rather odd.

03:56.130 --> 03:57.710
Federal emergency management

03:57.710 --> 04:01.250
and giving funeral money to COVID deaths,

04:01.850 --> 04:03.490
it's very strange.

04:03.490 --> 04:06.010
And it's an insurance agency

04:06.010 --> 04:09.370
where apparently this is something

04:09.370 --> 04:11.270
that they've worked out with developers.

04:12.650 --> 04:15.470
A lot of houses are flooded.

04:15.970 --> 04:17.690
Now, why are these houses flooded?

04:18.570 --> 04:22.590
Don't people realize that if they live in a hurricane zone

04:22.590 --> 04:23.870
or a flood area,

04:24.350 --> 04:27.210
that maybe they should not build a house there,

04:27.710 --> 04:29.270
but FEMA has insurance.

04:29.430 --> 04:31.310
And that's where most of its money goes

04:31.890 --> 04:36.350
towards bailing out people that have been flooded

04:36.350 --> 04:38.090
because they live in flood zones.

04:38.810 --> 04:41.690
So it's a FEMA that seems to me to be a giant scam

04:42.250 --> 04:46.090
that just pays for six or 8,000 FEMA people

04:46.090 --> 04:50.310
to drive around and look like they're doing something.

04:50.810 --> 04:52.530
And in this Appalachia thing,

04:53.770 --> 04:55.550
to pretend they're doing something

04:55.550 --> 04:57.350
since there's nothing they can do,

04:58.010 --> 05:00.090
I mean, they don't have hammers and nails

05:00.090 --> 05:02.710
and shovels and that kind of thing.

05:02.850 --> 05:03.870
They don't build stuff.

05:05.830 --> 05:08.810
So they basically stop things from happening

05:08.810 --> 05:10.110
to show their presence.

05:10.550 --> 05:12.490
They're a totally counterproductive agency.

05:12.850 --> 05:15.030
And I don't want to go on too far,

05:15.250 --> 05:18.230
but I might as well cover this talking about FEMA.

05:18.610 --> 05:20.770
And I'd certainly like to hear from anybody

05:20.770 --> 05:24.430
that's got more boots on the ground experience with them.

05:24.550 --> 05:26.170
But on their website,

05:26.510 --> 05:28.810
one of the most disturbing things about it,

05:29.020 --> 05:32.930
they have four main raison d'etre.

05:33.350 --> 05:37.710
And the two of them are listed as equity,

05:38.030 --> 05:45.430
which means giving money to blacks and homosexuals

05:45.430 --> 05:49.410
and women and other protected classes.

05:49.930 --> 05:51.390
I thought that was pretty unusual

05:51.740 --> 05:54.910
for one of their four reasons for existing.

05:55.430 --> 06:01.990
And one of the other ones was climate response.

06:02.830 --> 06:04.410
It's like they've assigned themselves

06:05.170 --> 06:08.370
the duty of protecting the climate.

06:09.550 --> 06:10.430
This is strange

06:10.430 --> 06:13.730
for the Federal Emergency Management Administration.

06:14.250 --> 06:17.070
The other two things related to helping people

06:17.070 --> 06:18.430
in floods and stuff like that.

06:18.790 --> 06:21.470
But two of the four things were equity

06:21.470 --> 06:22.710
and climate response.

06:23.690 --> 06:26.630
Anyway, I think that's about all I got to say about it.

06:26.910 --> 06:27.710
It's a scam.

06:28.250 --> 06:29.350
It ought to be abolished.

06:29.430 --> 06:31.510
It's one of the agencies should be pulled up

06:31.510 --> 06:33.870
by the roots that was established in 1979.

06:34.730 --> 06:37.570
So I guess that was one of Jimmy Carter's

06:37.570 --> 06:40.330
parting gifts to the country.

06:41.030 --> 06:45.150
And it costs, once again, the numbers are sketchy

06:45.150 --> 06:46.610
and they vary from year to year.

06:47.850 --> 06:50.610
On average, about $6 billion per year,

06:50.990 --> 06:53.510
which goes into God knows whose pockets.

06:54.230 --> 06:55.610
It's all very sketchy.

06:55.790 --> 06:58.850
And yet they have an annual report

06:58.850 --> 07:01.590
but digging through that thing, which I tried to do,

07:01.710 --> 07:03.990
I said, it's just too much brain damage.

07:04.470 --> 07:06.890
And I think I've indicated

07:06.890 --> 07:09.050
it's a gigantic waste of money.

07:09.050 --> 07:10.770
It should be abolished, post-haste.

07:11.290 --> 07:13.990
Anyway, I'm sure you got something to add.

07:14.290 --> 07:18.850
According to chat GTP, the fiscal year 2024 budget

07:18.850 --> 07:21.130
was $32.2 billion.

07:22.530 --> 07:27.350
Oh, well, that's quite possible with,

07:27.850 --> 07:28.990
where did all that money go?

07:29.130 --> 07:31.590
They haven't built any houses.

07:32.110 --> 07:34.470
They haven't, what have they done with all that money?

07:36.590 --> 07:37.110
Just...

07:37.630 --> 07:40.670
You know, it's funny that you start talking about FEMA

07:40.670 --> 07:41.950
because I was just looking them up.

07:42.170 --> 07:43.430
We're on the same wavelength on that.

07:43.810 --> 07:45.870
My battle buddy, Anne Vanderstiel,

07:46.030 --> 07:48.030
we'd gone out into the Darien Gap

07:48.030 --> 07:50.530
and across the US border and all kinds of things together.

07:50.970 --> 07:54.050
She's my partner in Operation Burning Edge.

07:54.550 --> 07:55.730
So she's been in North Carolina

07:55.730 --> 07:57.290
since almost the beginning, right?

07:57.850 --> 08:01.650
And about maybe five days ago or five days ago,

08:01.910 --> 08:04.490
she was at this new FEMA camp that they're building.

08:04.790 --> 08:06.230
And it looks just like a fob,

08:06.250 --> 08:07.650
which is a Ford operating base.

08:08.010 --> 08:11.110
And this video that she made went viral, right?

08:11.570 --> 08:14.030
And so the guards were armed and they started talking.

08:14.270 --> 08:15.610
And so she's got it on video.

08:15.770 --> 08:17.490
They're actually talking and they call it

08:17.490 --> 08:18.310
Supervisor Out.

08:18.750 --> 08:22.610
And these tornado shelters keep going by, right?

08:23.130 --> 08:24.570
And did you see that, Matt?

08:25.370 --> 08:25.750
So the...

08:25.750 --> 08:25.910
Yeah, I did.

08:26.630 --> 08:27.090
Yeah.

08:27.390 --> 08:29.170
And so that was Anne, Anne Vanderstiel.

08:29.630 --> 08:32.750
And she's been out into the Darien Gap

08:32.750 --> 08:34.970
and all the way out in those jungles and stuff.

08:35.350 --> 08:38.090
So she's constantly doing things like this,

08:38.210 --> 08:41.690
but and so I looked up FEMA as well.

08:41.830 --> 08:45.050
And it looks like they were formed on April Fools in 1979,

08:45.930 --> 08:46.450
coincidentally.

08:47.710 --> 08:49.430
And maybe, maybe not.

08:49.690 --> 08:50.590
Jimmy Carter, of course,

08:50.730 --> 08:52.970
the guy who gave away our Panama Canal

08:53.330 --> 08:56.170
and somehow structured that information more

08:56.170 --> 08:58.430
as if we're returning their canal,

08:58.670 --> 08:59.410
returning whose canal?

08:59.610 --> 09:01.290
It was our canal, it was never...

09:01.290 --> 09:03.490
We are the ones who helped make Panama.

09:03.750 --> 09:05.970
Panama didn't exist until we made it

09:05.970 --> 09:08.070
and we cleaved it off from Columbia

09:08.070 --> 09:09.330
so we could make the canal.

09:09.450 --> 09:11.830
But somehow then that became...

09:11.830 --> 09:12.810
Anyway, whatever.

09:13.150 --> 09:14.610
That's the same president, right?

09:14.610 --> 09:17.390
So I just asked Anne just before we came on,

09:17.530 --> 09:20.390
like 20 minutes ago, what's going on?

09:21.410 --> 09:22.610
What should I say?

09:22.670 --> 09:24.270
And she's talking about FEMA, right?

09:24.470 --> 09:25.810
This is a message just came in.

09:26.210 --> 09:28.110
I asked her what's going on in North Carolina.

09:28.170 --> 09:30.670
She said, we need money raised to get campers

09:30.670 --> 09:34.210
for people who have lost all their homes and cars, et cetera.

09:34.570 --> 09:36.790
Clearly there is a long-term federal plan

09:36.790 --> 09:38.710
coordinated with state and local authorities

09:38.710 --> 09:41.730
to drag permitting processes

09:41.730 --> 09:45.710
for those who lost homes in mineral rich areas.

09:46.430 --> 09:50.130
People will not be able to pay mortgages on property

09:50.480 --> 09:53.030
that do not have houses for up to four years

09:53.030 --> 09:55.470
while they wait for the process to be completed.

09:56.030 --> 09:58.370
This will result in the loss of land and ownership

09:58.370 --> 10:01.850
by big corporations that have mineral interest in the area

10:02.140 --> 10:04.570
that people need to be able to stay on their land

10:04.570 --> 10:09.010
so that it will not be eminently domained.

10:09.010 --> 10:11.270
Anyway, that's Anne Vanderstiel on the ground there.

10:11.710 --> 10:12.090
Yeah.

10:12.730 --> 10:13.230
Pretty amazing.

10:13.250 --> 10:16.230
Well, they say there's a big lithium deposit there.

10:19.190 --> 10:24.990
Lithium will take a lot of 5% from their peak.

10:25.390 --> 10:28.030
So there's kind of a glut of lithium,

10:28.470 --> 10:30.110
but who knows what they're up to?

10:30.390 --> 10:32.530
You know, remember when Jesse Ventura was governor

10:32.530 --> 10:35.830
of Minnesota and he did an investigation

10:35.830 --> 10:38.230
or maybe it was after he was governor

10:38.750 --> 10:41.870
and there are these FEMA camps around the US

10:42.350 --> 10:44.930
and I haven't heard anything about them since then,

10:45.150 --> 10:46.190
but they're kind of like,

10:46.510 --> 10:48.110
while you said forward operating bases,

10:48.370 --> 10:49.850
kind of look like federal prisons.

10:50.350 --> 10:51.510
And what the hell are they doing there?

10:51.710 --> 10:53.010
Just empty camps.

10:53.530 --> 10:54.170
Have you heard about this?

10:54.690 --> 10:55.150
Oh yeah.

10:55.550 --> 10:56.590
I mean, I could go on and on.

10:56.910 --> 10:58.430
I mean, Anne and I and our team,

10:58.710 --> 11:00.990
we, I mean, I know people that build those things

11:00.990 --> 11:03.450
like personally know them, spend a lot of time with them.

11:03.630 --> 11:05.830
And same thing in Ireland, by the way.

11:06.730 --> 11:07.950
Ireland's thick with those things.

11:07.950 --> 11:09.630
I had somebody map them out in Ireland.

11:09.890 --> 11:11.670
I've got all kinds of drone footage and whatnot.

11:12.370 --> 11:14.510
Yeah. And Ireland's got them there.

11:14.590 --> 11:15.430
They're all over the place.

11:16.310 --> 11:20.550
They're in Texas, Arizona, New Mexico, of course,

11:20.930 --> 11:22.210
big, big camps.

11:23.750 --> 11:25.010
Yeah. Well,

11:25.190 --> 11:27.310
So who builds where all that money comes from?

11:28.130 --> 11:29.630
It's kind of ominous.

11:30.690 --> 11:32.490
And that's a huge amount of money

11:32.490 --> 11:34.510
that they did her to weigh last year.

11:34.510 --> 11:38.070
I mean, even in today's world,

11:38.270 --> 11:40.210
35 billion is a lot of money.

11:40.690 --> 11:42.290
That agency should be abolished.

11:42.510 --> 11:45.150
And like most, it should be pulled up by the roots.

11:45.350 --> 11:48.530
And Agent Orange should be scattered where it grew.

11:49.290 --> 11:52.610
You know, some of those crazy conservatives years ago

11:52.610 --> 11:55.970
were saying that eventually they would take Walmart's

11:55.970 --> 11:57.390
and put people in them, right?

11:58.810 --> 12:00.630
And they are doing it.

12:01.030 --> 12:03.670
I have physically been to one in Brownsville, Texas

12:04.200 --> 12:05.970
that's operated by Southwest Key.

12:06.330 --> 12:06.910
No kidding.

12:07.390 --> 12:10.170
For sure, 100%, they keep children in there.

12:10.250 --> 12:12.690
They keep boys in there that are coming across the border.

12:13.190 --> 12:13.690
100%.

12:13.690 --> 12:16.290
And so we got it all in the news

12:16.290 --> 12:18.150
and other people have gotten it in the news.

12:18.590 --> 12:20.730
Yeah, operated by Southwest Key.

12:21.530 --> 12:25.470
So it's not just new camps that they build.

12:25.810 --> 12:28.310
They literally take over those Walmart's.

12:28.450 --> 12:29.670
It's right there in the middle of,

12:30.370 --> 12:31.190
you can go see it.

12:31.290 --> 12:32.270
It's a Supercenter Walmart.

12:32.270 --> 12:32.830
Oh, wait a minute.

12:32.950 --> 12:34.970
What do they do with the stuff that was in the Walmart?

12:35.390 --> 12:38.510
Maybe it's a Kmart, which are empty buildings.

12:40.570 --> 12:43.050
No, that one is a former Walmart.

12:43.410 --> 12:44.210
But I mean, it's right there.

12:44.390 --> 12:46.190
You can look up, just look it up online

12:46.190 --> 12:47.730
and you'll see many articles.

12:48.010 --> 12:49.690
You'll see Ann and me and others

12:50.130 --> 12:51.670
that have been there reporting on it.

12:51.890 --> 12:53.270
And many people now,

12:53.370 --> 12:56.210
it's been a documentary by Ryan Matta recently

12:56.650 --> 12:58.270
who just messaged me last night.

12:58.510 --> 13:00.930
Ryan Matta's got at least two.

13:01.470 --> 13:03.010
I haven't seen the second one yet.

13:03.110 --> 13:03.890
I saw the first one,

13:03.990 --> 13:06.670
but he's been tracking these missing children.

13:06.990 --> 13:08.870
There are a lot of missing children.

13:09.230 --> 13:10.790
Like I don't know how many.

13:10.990 --> 13:13.390
I mean, one estimate is over 400,000.

13:13.510 --> 13:14.090
I don't know.

13:14.250 --> 13:16.730
We see them coming across the border every single day

13:16.730 --> 13:17.630
when I'm down there.

13:17.670 --> 13:19.070
Keep in mind, I've spent months

13:19.070 --> 13:20.730
across that Southern border.

13:21.230 --> 13:22.490
Just all, I mean, all the way across

13:22.490 --> 13:24.890
from SpaceX to San Diego.

13:25.210 --> 13:26.970
SpaceX is at the Rio Grande,

13:27.090 --> 13:29.570
the mouth of the Rio Grande in Texas, right?

13:30.430 --> 13:33.450
So people cross right there all the way across,

13:33.650 --> 13:34.690
all the way to San Diego.

13:35.290 --> 13:37.430
We've seen, I mean, I have personally seen

13:37.430 --> 13:39.390
thousands and thousands of children

13:39.390 --> 13:42.210
and the Border Patrol helps load them on the buses.

13:42.770 --> 13:44.030
I mean, these aren't children that are,

13:44.230 --> 13:46.370
I mean, some of them are at night time

13:46.370 --> 13:48.430
coming over the wall and that sort of thing,

13:48.450 --> 13:50.030
but a lot of them are just walking right in

13:50.030 --> 13:51.250
and the Border Patrol help them get on.

13:51.350 --> 13:53.570
I got endless videos that I shot myself.

13:54.070 --> 13:55.350
Where are these children going to?

13:55.870 --> 13:56.830
A lot of them are alone.

13:57.770 --> 13:59.510
Very strange, isn't it?

13:59.510 --> 14:01.970
A lot of strange things going on in the country today

14:01.970 --> 14:04.590
and FEMA is certainly doing its share

14:04.590 --> 14:08.350
to muddy the waters, a great expense of the water.

14:09.250 --> 14:10.950
Mike, what's your first observation

14:10.950 --> 14:11.970
would you like to share?

14:14.610 --> 14:16.110
Well, when I was with Doug,

14:16.810 --> 14:18.950
Misako and I spent a couple of weeks with Doug,

14:19.150 --> 14:20.730
which was, we call it you, Doug, now.

14:20.850 --> 14:22.470
University of Doug, it's like a joke

14:22.470 --> 14:24.250
between Misako, Genaha and me.

14:26.070 --> 14:27.850
That time was so valuable.

14:28.090 --> 14:28.610
We learned a lot.

14:28.790 --> 14:30.490
We watched the Jones Plantation,

14:30.550 --> 14:32.490
but we also met with some interesting people

14:32.490 --> 14:33.830
while we were entirely in together.

14:34.470 --> 14:36.410
And one of the things that I've seen

14:36.410 --> 14:39.310
with those people and others that I keep meeting

14:39.870 --> 14:42.930
is a lot of the people that are the most experienced

14:42.930 --> 14:45.590
traveling around the world, working around the world,

14:45.890 --> 14:48.830
working in places like Hong Kong and China

14:49.210 --> 14:51.690
and just all over the place, Vietnam.

14:52.350 --> 14:53.650
They've been all over the world,

14:53.930 --> 14:56.610
and yet now they're confused about where to go,

14:56.850 --> 14:59.510
which is something that Doug has talked about numerous times.

14:59.750 --> 15:03.490
So at one point, Doug said he made his choices between,

15:03.710 --> 15:06.050
and Doug, you've been to like 150 countries, right?

15:06.530 --> 15:08.430
And so you were having that difficulty,

15:08.710 --> 15:11.910
should it be the antipodes, as you say, Thailand or,

15:12.730 --> 15:14.090
Venezuela, or I'm not Venezuela,

15:14.430 --> 15:17.650
but Argentina or Uruguay, right?

15:18.010 --> 15:19.850
And I see these other people that are very,

15:20.610 --> 15:22.730
they've got basically infinite choices.

15:23.110 --> 15:26.050
They've got, there's money is zero problem for them.

15:26.290 --> 15:28.990
And yet they're not exactly sure where to go.

15:29.410 --> 15:30.810
And they've been all over the world.

15:31.170 --> 15:33.050
I find that fascinating, actually.

15:34.070 --> 15:35.130
Are you finding that?

15:35.230 --> 15:37.170
I know you found it with the people that we met with.

15:38.810 --> 15:42.030
Yeah, well, you go back to what Joe Lewis said,

15:42.130 --> 15:43.470
you can run, but you can't hide.

15:44.050 --> 15:46.870
And the world has become a very small place

15:47.340 --> 15:49.350
in just about every way possible.

15:49.910 --> 15:54.790
So if the United States collapses and it's on its way,

15:55.370 --> 15:58.890
there really is no substantial free country

15:58.890 --> 16:03.450
that will be left, really a bad situation.

16:04.860 --> 16:05.430
That's true.

16:05.670 --> 16:06.410
It's quite clear.

16:08.210 --> 16:08.430
Yeah.

16:08.810 --> 16:08.990
Okay.

16:09.590 --> 16:12.350
So it's not just your average American

16:12.350 --> 16:15.850
that has uncertainty about what to do to prepare.

16:15.850 --> 16:17.830
It's even, it's people at all levels

16:17.830 --> 16:20.070
of the socioeconomic ladder experience

16:20.070 --> 16:21.470
and knowledge ladder as well.

16:22.830 --> 16:24.490
The more sophisticated people,

16:24.610 --> 16:26.210
let's say the ones who have been around more

16:26.210 --> 16:29.630
like Doug and you and these other people that we're meeting,

16:30.370 --> 16:32.290
they're the ones who have the most problems

16:32.290 --> 16:33.030
figuring it out.

16:33.150 --> 16:35.250
The people that know less about the world

16:35.250 --> 16:37.690
are the ones who have a definite answer.

16:37.690 --> 16:38.830
Like I'm going to go to Panama,

16:38.830 --> 16:40.730
which I'll tell you right off the bat is a mistake.

16:40.950 --> 16:42.710
That's a do not do it, right?

16:43.050 --> 16:44.310
Unless you're just going on vacation.

16:44.310 --> 16:46.550
Do not move to Panama.

16:48.490 --> 16:50.930
I mean, or even Costa Rica,

16:51.030 --> 16:52.850
I wouldn't take any of the Central American countries.

16:53.530 --> 16:55.270
Although I've been to all of them,

16:55.850 --> 16:57.650
all the way from Canada to Columbia,

16:57.990 --> 17:00.290
I wouldn't, I mean, and I like Central America.

17:00.670 --> 17:02.430
There's some people that are moving to El Salvador.

17:02.750 --> 17:05.410
I would actually recommend El Salvador for a vacation,

17:05.890 --> 17:07.950
but I'm not sure about the long-term stability

17:07.950 --> 17:08.990
of anywhere there.

17:09.090 --> 17:10.310
I was in El Salvador this year.

17:11.470 --> 17:13.190
I actually liked El Salvador.

17:13.190 --> 17:16.290
Can you imagine just even 10 or 15 years ago

17:16.290 --> 17:18.430
recommending somebody take their family on vacation

17:18.430 --> 17:19.130
in El Salvador?

17:19.570 --> 17:20.230
They think you're completely...

17:20.230 --> 17:21.830
Out of the question, out of the question.

17:22.350 --> 17:22.370
Yeah.

17:22.470 --> 17:24.310
Now I would say take your kids and I'm,

17:24.810 --> 17:27.130
you know, I'm not going to recommend

17:27.130 --> 17:28.310
you do something dangerous.

17:28.770 --> 17:29.930
Take your kids to El Salvador.

17:30.130 --> 17:30.470
It's safe.

17:31.410 --> 17:34.510
The world's, you know, we've seen it change a lot.

17:34.650 --> 17:35.970
It continues to do so.

17:36.470 --> 17:40.230
Well, they've got 65,000 gang members

17:40.230 --> 17:41.610
that are newly imprisoned,

17:42.410 --> 17:44.150
and lots more have run north

17:44.570 --> 17:46.410
to greener pickings in the U.S.

17:46.650 --> 17:48.210
But what's going to happen

17:48.210 --> 17:50.090
with all those criminals that are locked up

17:50.510 --> 17:51.810
and they haven't been tried?

17:52.310 --> 17:54.210
So how long are they going to stay locked up

17:54.210 --> 17:55.550
and what's going to happen?

17:57.470 --> 17:58.070
I don't know.

17:58.710 --> 17:59.170
I don't know.

17:59.190 --> 17:59.630
I don't either.

18:00.330 --> 18:02.670
Seems like things are good now,

18:02.850 --> 18:05.150
but that's an unstable situation

18:05.150 --> 18:06.470
when you've got that many young men

18:06.470 --> 18:08.490
locked up without trial.

18:10.370 --> 18:11.050
Yeah.

18:11.550 --> 18:14.110
All right, Doug, what's your second one for this week?

18:14.690 --> 18:16.770
Well, what have I got here?

18:17.690 --> 18:19.870
When Michael and I were in Phuket,

18:21.650 --> 18:25.010
when we were talking to our lawyer friend there,

18:25.830 --> 18:30.690
he pointed out that there are 94 pot stores.

18:31.290 --> 18:31.550
100.

18:32.190 --> 18:34.370
Licensed pot stores in Phuket.

18:35.510 --> 18:37.190
And not a real big deal.

18:37.190 --> 18:39.330
That seems like a lot of pot stores.

18:39.930 --> 18:41.810
9,400 in the whole country.

18:42.250 --> 18:43.770
9,400 in the country.

18:44.730 --> 18:45.730
And am I correct?

18:45.890 --> 18:47.450
It was 94 in,

18:48.930 --> 18:51.270
or do I have that number in Phuket alone?

18:52.010 --> 18:53.190
Oh, I don't know,

18:53.270 --> 18:56.090
but I could at least 94 in Phuket.

18:56.430 --> 18:57.530
I mean, there was a lot.

18:58.170 --> 18:58.870
No, they were everywhere.

18:59.710 --> 19:00.450
Yeah, they were everywhere.

19:00.450 --> 19:02.030
So we were remarking on the fact,

19:02.270 --> 19:06.950
now I'm all for the legalization of drugs

19:06.950 --> 19:09.550
it's a matter of personal responsibility.

19:12.210 --> 19:15.210
I've tried lots of drugs

19:15.590 --> 19:16.570
because I've always said,

19:16.730 --> 19:19.550
I'll try anything once, twice if I like it.

19:19.950 --> 19:21.710
But the fact is I don't like drugs.

19:22.110 --> 19:23.250
They cloud the mind.

19:23.690 --> 19:26.530
And I don't like operating with the clouded mind.

19:27.070 --> 19:30.330
So in order to know what I'm talking about,

19:30.730 --> 19:32.750
I've tried a number of drugs,

19:33.250 --> 19:35.810
but I disapprove of them,

19:35.810 --> 19:37.450
but I think they should be legal.

19:38.070 --> 19:39.570
And the reason we have a drug problem

19:41.670 --> 19:45.270
is it's a psychological problem

19:45.270 --> 19:46.510
that we have in the U.S.

19:47.150 --> 19:49.110
It's part of the ongoing collapse

19:49.110 --> 19:50.590
of the civilization actually

19:50.590 --> 19:53.250
where people are running away from their problems

19:53.250 --> 19:54.570
and trying to hide from them

19:54.570 --> 19:57.570
by dodging reality via drugs.

19:58.050 --> 19:59.370
Anyway, that's a different story.

19:59.890 --> 20:03.190
But what I wanted to point out was

20:04.970 --> 20:09.210
all these drug, all these pot stores in Thailand,

20:10.530 --> 20:12.770
on the one hand is libertarian,

20:12.910 --> 20:14.450
I say, hey, let people do what they want.

20:14.690 --> 20:15.890
But on the other hand,

20:16.210 --> 20:19.590
if everybody is fucked up with clouded minds

20:20.010 --> 20:21.830
because they're puffing pot all day

20:22.230 --> 20:23.430
or doing other drugs,

20:24.070 --> 20:25.790
this is a very bad thing

20:26.190 --> 20:27.890
from an economic point of view,

20:28.030 --> 20:31.450
a social point of view, all kinds of points of view.

20:32.110 --> 20:35.650
And so I wanted to find out how many pot stores

20:36.390 --> 20:39.310
just are there in the U.S., just in legal states.

20:40.310 --> 20:42.430
And it turns out that at this moment,

20:42.670 --> 20:48.470
there are 12,500 operating pot stores in the U.S.

20:48.810 --> 20:51.470
Well, that's a lot.

20:52.170 --> 20:54.850
I mean, was pot a problem in the 60s?

20:54.890 --> 20:57.570
Yeah, I mean, sure, you'd get some weed I guess

20:57.570 --> 20:58.810
and smoke it with your buddies

20:58.810 --> 21:00.390
and it was like getting drunk.

21:00.910 --> 21:06.030
But it's entirely too easy to get stoned

21:06.610 --> 21:07.930
and whacked out now.

21:08.510 --> 21:11.990
So for what it's worth, that's the pot situation.

21:12.390 --> 21:13.630
And it's not good.

21:13.750 --> 21:15.070
And I speak of somebody that thinks

21:15.070 --> 21:16.750
that everything should be free and easy.

21:18.770 --> 21:22.410
Yeah, I was gonna bring up the weed thing as well

21:22.410 --> 21:26.510
because everywhere I go around Thailand now,

21:26.590 --> 21:27.910
see more and more of these things,

21:28.070 --> 21:29.630
I'm sensitized to them though.

21:29.630 --> 21:31.870
Like last night, I was going to a meeting

21:31.870 --> 21:33.790
and outside the taxi door was,

21:33.970 --> 21:36.530
it literally said weed delivery in English.

21:36.930 --> 21:38.890
So I looked it up quickly online

21:38.890 --> 21:40.890
and there's weed delivery places all over,

21:41.030 --> 21:42.790
look online, if you web search,

21:42.930 --> 21:45.630
you'll see there's weed delivery services

21:45.630 --> 21:46.810
all around Bangkok.

21:47.110 --> 21:50.430
You can order a pizza in dope, you know?

21:51.310 --> 21:53.870
And you know, I was like you and so far, Doug,

21:54.110 --> 21:55.910
and so far as I've always thought

21:55.910 --> 21:57.270
people should be able to do what they want.

21:57.450 --> 21:58.910
It's a matter of personal responsibility.

21:58.910 --> 22:01.370
So like you won't see a history of me

22:01.870 --> 22:04.090
opposing this through the years, it just didn't happen.

22:04.530 --> 22:06.250
It's only as time has gone on

22:06.250 --> 22:08.990
and I've realized how weaponized it is

22:08.990 --> 22:12.850
and more studying brainwashing and that sort of thing

22:12.850 --> 22:14.650
and watching what, for instance,

22:14.850 --> 22:18.030
the Chinese are doing coming through the Darien Gap

22:18.030 --> 22:21.210
and running dope farms all over Maine now.

22:21.370 --> 22:25.910
They've got their own bank that just got busted

22:25.910 --> 22:26.950
according to the news.

22:26.950 --> 22:28.890
Matt and I were talking about it last week.

22:29.970 --> 22:30.690
There's all kinds.

22:30.950 --> 22:34.010
I mean, if I were going to attack your country

22:34.540 --> 22:37.910
and you let me put dope stores all over the place

22:37.910 --> 22:40.490
and grow the dope, oh, of course.

22:41.030 --> 22:44.750
And the Chinese talk about doing things like this

22:44.750 --> 22:46.350
in their book Unrestricted Warfare.

22:46.690 --> 22:47.410
I read the book.

22:47.750 --> 22:48.930
It's a very interesting book,

22:49.230 --> 22:52.610
Unrestricted Warfare written by two Chinese colonels.

22:53.210 --> 22:54.890
And you know, in the book Rape of the Mind,

22:54.890 --> 22:59.650
it's a 1956 book on brainwashing by Juist Merlot.

22:59.890 --> 23:02.590
I read that book very closely, actually.

23:02.730 --> 23:04.870
I studied that book as a more accurate way to put it.

23:05.490 --> 23:06.750
He talks about Juist Merlot,

23:06.850 --> 23:08.470
the Dutch psychologist talks about

23:08.470 --> 23:13.990
how China was running a drug war in the 1960s.

23:14.050 --> 23:16.530
50s or 60s, there was, I'm sorry,

23:16.630 --> 23:17.610
it would have been the 50s

23:17.610 --> 23:19.510
because the book came out in 1956.

23:20.230 --> 23:22.150
But he talked about how in North Thailand,

23:22.150 --> 23:24.170
and the Chinese were running a,

23:24.550 --> 23:28.110
because there was a drug war going in the 60s and 70s up there.

23:28.270 --> 23:29.290
It's quite intense, actually.

23:30.170 --> 23:32.990
And, but how the Chinese were running this drug war

23:32.990 --> 23:37.190
to weaken the ties and also to make money.

23:37.590 --> 23:40.230
And actually I wrote a series of dispatches

23:40.230 --> 23:44.230
from Afghanistan in 2006 called The Perfect Evil.

23:44.750 --> 23:48.710
And I described how the Taliban were using the,

23:49.330 --> 23:50.070
you know, by the way,

23:50.070 --> 23:54.890
how the Taliban got so much poppy going was the,

23:55.070 --> 23:56.410
when the Soviets came in,

23:57.330 --> 24:00.270
the Afghans have these underground aqueduct systems

24:00.270 --> 24:02.850
called Keres, K-A-R-E-Z.

24:03.470 --> 24:05.590
And I would see these Keres all over the place.

24:05.850 --> 24:07.510
They're, it's a very interesting,

24:07.730 --> 24:10.790
very difficult to build a Keres.

24:10.950 --> 24:13.130
Some of the Keres can take generations,

24:13.430 --> 24:14.630
a hundred years to build.

24:14.990 --> 24:17.330
And you'll see that Keres is like an underground,

24:17.690 --> 24:18.870
it's an art and a science,

24:18.870 --> 24:21.710
they can go 10, 20, 30 miles, right?

24:22.130 --> 24:24.630
So it's a water, it's an underground water system

24:25.150 --> 24:27.850
that has to be just the right angle and everything else.

24:28.050 --> 24:30.870
And you'll have all these villages along the Keres

24:30.870 --> 24:32.350
down the way from the mountain.

24:32.410 --> 24:34.310
So they'll dig the Keres on the,

24:34.570 --> 24:35.870
where the water collects underneath.

24:36.230 --> 24:41.250
And so the Mujahideen at the time of the Soviet war,

24:41.710 --> 24:45.410
they were using those to hide weapons in

24:45.410 --> 24:48.130
and to go from place to place to attack the Russians

24:48.130 --> 24:50.790
and go back down like the gopher and caddyshack, right?

24:51.150 --> 24:53.970
So the Russians were blowing those things up, right?

24:54.410 --> 24:56.810
And so they, these Keres systems,

24:57.050 --> 24:59.110
and that's how they made their farms work, right?

24:59.470 --> 25:01.750
So there's huge amounts of farms that depended

25:01.750 --> 25:05.450
like pomegranate farms and every,

25:05.810 --> 25:08.150
especially like grapes and that sort of thing.

25:08.510 --> 25:11.430
And so that's, I found actually a translated Russian

25:11.430 --> 25:13.150
manual on how to blow those up.

25:13.330 --> 25:16.270
Anyway, I wrote about those extensively in Afghanistan,

25:16.650 --> 25:18.930
took a lot of photos of the Kereses.

25:19.030 --> 25:21.570
But once the Russians started destroying that stuff,

25:21.870 --> 25:24.710
because they were destroying the enemy's ability

25:24.710 --> 25:26.870
to hide weapons and move undetected,

25:27.610 --> 25:30.950
then the Mujahideen started growing opium

25:30.950 --> 25:35.990
because opium is much more robust against the weather.

25:36.230 --> 25:37.090
It's a cash crop.

25:37.310 --> 25:39.530
You don't have to, you plant it now

25:39.530 --> 25:42.470
and you harvest it later that year

25:42.470 --> 25:44.110
and you make money immediately, right?

25:44.110 --> 25:46.390
Whereas the grapes and the pomegranates,

25:46.430 --> 25:48.370
it takes years for the trees or the vines, right?

25:49.210 --> 25:54.790
And so, and the poppies require a lot less water as well,

25:54.870 --> 25:55.010
right?

25:55.150 --> 25:58.650
So the Keres, so they started growing a lot of poppy, right?

25:59.530 --> 26:01.570
And when I talked with many of the farmers

26:01.570 --> 26:02.530
that were growing poppy,

26:02.670 --> 26:04.350
I was out in their poppy fields all the time.

26:04.430 --> 26:05.850
There was some, it was like Wizard of Oz,

26:06.190 --> 26:07.450
like straight up Wizard of Oz,

26:07.710 --> 26:09.330
huge fields of poppy, right?

26:09.810 --> 26:10.970
And actually on Wizard of Oz,

26:11.110 --> 26:12.790
those were Papaver, some Nifram.

26:12.790 --> 26:14.150
You see, they fall asleep in the,

26:15.250 --> 26:17.210
Papaver means poppy,

26:17.450 --> 26:20.250
some Nifram means sleeping poppy, sleeping poppy,

26:20.330 --> 26:22.570
like Soma from the book, what's that?

26:23.050 --> 26:24.470
1984 or what?

26:24.610 --> 26:25.190
Oh, brave world.

26:25.990 --> 26:28.070
Brave world, so some Nifram,

26:28.230 --> 26:30.910
Papaver, some Nifram is poppy, sleeping poppies, right?

26:31.370 --> 26:32.690
And you see, they fall asleep in the poppy.

26:32.850 --> 26:35.730
Well, anyway, so they started growing

26:35.730 --> 26:38.790
these poppy and they harvest,

26:39.050 --> 26:40.210
but when I talked with the farmers,

26:40.390 --> 26:41.530
I was out with them all the time

26:41.530 --> 26:44.130
and they would say, no, we would,

26:44.230 --> 26:46.570
all of them would say, I don't like to grow this

26:46.570 --> 26:49.870
because this is much more work and I make less money.

26:50.450 --> 26:52.010
You know, I want to grow grapes.

26:52.230 --> 26:54.670
I want to grow pomegranates.

26:54.710 --> 26:57.650
They make more money and it's easier, right?

26:57.990 --> 27:00.030
But they grow that because their caress systems

27:00.030 --> 27:01.390
and whatnot have been destroyed

27:01.390 --> 27:04.210
or their vineyards have been chopped down

27:04.210 --> 27:05.650
because they, you know, they can hide things.

27:05.990 --> 27:07.430
Anyway, the bottom line is,

27:07.650 --> 27:10.090
is that was how they started funding the war.

27:10.090 --> 27:12.450
And of course, upstream, you know, downrange,

27:13.350 --> 27:18.210
most of the heroin and whatnot that was in UK at the time

27:18.210 --> 27:20.110
was actually coming through Pakistan,

27:20.370 --> 27:21.370
up through Russia and all that

27:21.370 --> 27:24.670
and getting over to United Kingdom in places like that.

27:24.950 --> 27:25.450
It's interesting.

27:25.770 --> 27:28.390
So in other words, drug addicts in the United Kingdom

27:28.390 --> 27:31.070
were funding the war that was blowing up the soldiers,

27:31.290 --> 27:32.870
the British soldiers I was with, right?

27:33.430 --> 27:35.130
It's quite interesting how this,

27:35.230 --> 27:38.030
the drug wars are quite real going in both directions.

27:38.030 --> 27:39.950
There's no way out of this to my knowledge.

27:40.150 --> 27:44.410
And there's no pretty way to have your freedom

27:44.930 --> 27:47.110
and then let the enemy use that freedom

27:47.110 --> 27:50.350
to basically put a hellfire missile through your house, right?

27:50.870 --> 27:52.830
But you know, because I think everybody watching this

27:52.830 --> 27:56.890
will have had at least one alcoholic or one drug addict

27:56.890 --> 27:59.310
or one gambling, you know,

27:59.310 --> 28:00.410
somebody addicted to gambling

28:00.410 --> 28:03.070
within somewhere in their family or friend structure.

28:03.510 --> 28:06.310
And if you have one alcoholic or drug addict

28:06.310 --> 28:09.110
or serious gambler under your roof,

28:09.430 --> 28:11.610
it's like your house guy hit with a hellfire missile.

28:11.990 --> 28:13.470
I mean, the windows are blown out.

28:13.870 --> 28:16.350
Kids don't go to university because of that sort of thing.

28:17.010 --> 28:18.530
And anyway, what I'm getting to is

28:18.530 --> 28:21.810
I'm all about freedom obviously at the same time

28:21.810 --> 28:24.050
I know how our enemies are using that against us.

28:24.630 --> 28:27.630
Yeah, in particular, I'm sorry to go ahead.

28:28.470 --> 28:31.190
I was just gonna say that I heard you

28:31.190 --> 28:34.670
on a podcast with Matt Bracken this morning

28:34.670 --> 28:37.890
and he mentioned a fact, something that I was aware of

28:37.890 --> 28:39.150
but I had forgotten about.

28:39.630 --> 28:43.290
And that is that a lot of us look at George Soros

28:43.290 --> 28:47.530
as the bad guy, you know, we see him funding the migration stuff.

28:47.750 --> 28:49.970
We see him funding local DAs

28:49.970 --> 28:52.130
that are Black Lives Matter supporters.

28:52.470 --> 28:53.850
Well, before all that,

28:54.070 --> 28:57.090
he funded drug decriminalization

28:57.090 --> 28:59.770
and marijuana legalization programs

28:59.770 --> 29:01.850
widely in the U.S. and around the world.

29:02.410 --> 29:04.650
He put the best number I could find

29:04.650 --> 29:06.550
as something like a quarter of a billion dollars

29:06.550 --> 29:08.630
into financing those efforts.

29:09.310 --> 29:12.510
So that in and of itself is suspicious to me.

29:12.790 --> 29:14.410
And he was using drug warfare.

29:14.610 --> 29:15.870
He was using drug warfare.

29:16.070 --> 29:17.090
I mean, straight up hardcore.

29:17.610 --> 29:19.930
And, you know, people have talked about that for years

29:19.930 --> 29:21.910
how Soros was doing that, right?

29:22.090 --> 29:25.410
And also Matt, as you know, Bracken brought it up today

29:25.410 --> 29:27.830
but, you know, they saw like this is,

29:28.290 --> 29:29.750
I mean, again, we want to be free.

29:29.750 --> 29:32.370
We want people to have their own responsibility and whatnot.

29:32.690 --> 29:35.090
But it's also, I mean, it's a straight up weapon.

29:35.330 --> 29:37.610
You know, there's no there's no way around it

29:37.610 --> 29:38.870
that's used as a weapon.

29:39.770 --> 29:41.650
Well, and there's no easy solution

29:41.650 --> 29:44.830
because people will say, well, drugs are bad.

29:45.770 --> 29:47.190
Let's illegalize drugs.

29:47.470 --> 29:49.950
But that is totally counterproductive

29:50.510 --> 29:52.350
because it creates a black market

29:52.350 --> 29:55.510
where it artificially raises the price of drugs

29:56.150 --> 29:57.650
and it makes it profitable

29:58.150 --> 30:00.390
where it might not be in a free market.

30:01.190 --> 30:03.430
So you get these syndicates that are created

30:03.430 --> 30:06.970
just as the mafia was created by illegalizing alcohol

30:07.550 --> 30:09.170
in the 1920s.

30:09.390 --> 30:12.110
All these syndicates in cartels

30:12.750 --> 30:15.150
have been created by illegalizing drugs

30:15.150 --> 30:18.410
because it creates an arbitrage opportunity,

30:18.570 --> 30:19.630
which they take advantage of.

30:19.810 --> 30:22.390
So I don't see any way out of this.

30:22.650 --> 30:25.350
It's part of a collapse in civilization.

30:25.350 --> 30:29.590
You can't illegalize it for moral reasons

30:29.590 --> 30:30.690
and practical reasons.

30:31.050 --> 30:33.170
But at the same time, you don't want the drugs there.

30:33.450 --> 30:35.670
So you've got to change the way people think

30:36.230 --> 30:37.550
and act and perceive.

30:37.930 --> 30:39.450
And that's got to stick.

30:39.790 --> 30:42.710
You got to make a stigma, you know, stigmify it, you know,

30:42.750 --> 30:45.310
like if you do drugs, you know, you're a bad guy.

30:45.490 --> 30:46.010
You know what I mean?

30:46.090 --> 30:48.450
I know people say, well, no, I'm not a bad guy,

30:48.510 --> 30:52.270
but you're going to you got to attack them

30:52.270 --> 30:53.630
with information war, right?

30:54.690 --> 30:56.370
Because otherwise, you know.

30:57.530 --> 31:00.250
And the worse the worse the economy gets,

31:00.630 --> 31:03.070
the more people will try to hide from reality

31:03.070 --> 31:06.190
by clouding their mind and going into a dream world.

31:07.230 --> 31:10.070
So, you know, and by the way, when I was studying

31:11.010 --> 31:15.270
the the poppy issue in Afghanistan and other countries,

31:15.390 --> 31:16.790
I was here in Thailand studying it.

31:16.870 --> 31:19.270
Actually, I was out looking at the royal projects

31:19.270 --> 31:22.310
and in one of the reasons that they sell so many flowers

31:22.310 --> 31:25.710
on the streets in Thailand is because, you know,

31:25.750 --> 31:28.010
in the royal projects that the king Rama the ninth,

31:28.370 --> 31:30.470
who was an incredible king of Thailand,

31:30.810 --> 31:36.370
he did a lot of work to replace the the poppy with coffee.

31:36.550 --> 31:38.950
They didn't used to grow coffee with the hill tribes,

31:39.230 --> 31:40.370
but he got them.

31:40.650 --> 31:42.370
I actually was given a private tour

31:42.370 --> 31:44.370
of a lot of these things years ago because I was

31:44.370 --> 31:47.490
I was trying to figure out what went

31:48.370 --> 31:49.930
wrong in Afghanistan.

31:49.930 --> 31:52.330
And like they like all the farmers I talked with

31:52.330 --> 31:53.890
don't want to do poppy,

31:53.950 --> 31:56.610
but it takes a long time to get their great

31:57.290 --> 31:58.610
vineyards going again, right?

31:59.130 --> 32:00.210
So I came over.

32:00.510 --> 32:03.670
I went to meet with with General

32:04.430 --> 32:05.830
what's his name that we talked about

32:05.830 --> 32:07.130
when we were in Phuket together

32:07.730 --> 32:09.270
that used to run the drug war.

32:09.450 --> 32:09.850
What's his name?

32:10.510 --> 32:12.130
We mean Barry McCaffrey.

32:12.470 --> 32:12.750
Yeah. Yeah.

32:12.830 --> 32:15.090
I had lunch with Barry McCaffrey a couple of times, right?

32:15.510 --> 32:17.010
And I because he used to be the drugs are.

32:17.130 --> 32:18.270
So I wanted to talk with him.

32:18.270 --> 32:21.250
And he first time he actually asked to meet with with me.

32:21.370 --> 32:24.590
And so we were talking and I asked him about Thailand

32:24.590 --> 32:27.990
and he goes, oh, you know, the reason that Thailand was able to nip it

32:27.990 --> 32:30.910
was because King Rama the Knight had so much

32:32.530 --> 32:33.650
moral clout here.

32:33.810 --> 32:37.510
He just came up and said it's untied to grow poppy, right?

32:37.850 --> 32:39.850
So that made a lot of people stop right there.

32:40.030 --> 32:41.910
But a lot of other people continued.

32:42.290 --> 32:44.410
So he started with the Royal Projects up there,

32:44.510 --> 32:45.850
which he did all over Thailand.

32:46.030 --> 32:47.230
But so he started growing.

32:47.230 --> 32:50.050
He got all these scientists out there, got the water going,

32:50.170 --> 32:53.650
started building the roads and and and figuring out which,

32:53.910 --> 32:55.530
you know, what they could grow up there.

32:55.950 --> 32:58.370
And and then so it was a silver led thing.

32:58.510 --> 32:59.950
It's like, we'll help you make money.

33:00.110 --> 33:03.330
If you grow this, that and the other will help you get it to market.

33:03.470 --> 33:05.170
We will guarantee we'll buy it from you.

33:05.790 --> 33:07.870
And if you don't do that, we'll send the army, right?

33:08.090 --> 33:08.810
And so it was.

33:09.010 --> 33:11.410
And so that's why there's not much poppy out there.

33:11.630 --> 33:13.370
I mean, I've been out with the Hill Tribe people.

33:13.670 --> 33:16.390
Some of them still grow up, but it's not it's not like it used to be.

33:17.230 --> 33:18.310
Now it's methamphetamines.

33:20.410 --> 33:23.210
All right, Doug, what's your what's your third reservation for the week?

33:24.650 --> 33:26.490
Well, what do I have here?

33:27.510 --> 33:28.010
It's.

33:29.670 --> 33:33.790
Once again, this may not be current news for this week,

33:33.910 --> 33:37.190
but it's once again, the news cycle is driving on.

33:37.350 --> 33:40.870
And I wanted to mention it before it's lost in the collective memory.

33:41.580 --> 33:48.730
Wasn't so long ago, but these three female presidents of universities,

33:49.190 --> 33:52.850
Harvard, MIT, and what was the other one?

33:53.690 --> 33:55.590
Anyway, all totally work.

33:57.550 --> 34:01.790
Socialist leading type people, and then, of course,

34:03.420 --> 34:07.190
they resigned, Claudine Gay at Harvard and so forth,

34:07.190 --> 34:11.050
a diversity hire of the highest level.

34:12.270 --> 34:14.330
Well, OK, what am I leading up to here?

34:15.130 --> 34:15.750
It's that.

34:16.690 --> 34:21.590
In that environment, promoted by these horrible college presidents

34:21.590 --> 34:24.090
of these highly prestigious universities,

34:26.690 --> 34:30.990
then we have the Palestine, Gaza, Israel thing

34:32.370 --> 34:36.170
where they all want to hang the Jews and riots

34:36.170 --> 34:37.230
and all this type of thing.

34:37.810 --> 34:42.070
So I asked myself, these universities that are the slightest

34:42.750 --> 34:47.170
or horrible people and horrible riots by their students,

34:47.970 --> 34:49.490
how rich are they?

34:50.130 --> 34:53.390
And of course, Harvard, which is the richest of them all,

34:53.610 --> 35:00.270
has been has been described as a hedge fund with an attached university.

35:01.110 --> 35:04.950
It has an endowment of about fifty billion dollars.

35:05.750 --> 35:06.690
That's quite a bit.

35:08.890 --> 35:12.730
And you ask yourself, what are they doing with that money

35:12.730 --> 35:16.470
because it costs an arm and a leg to go to school at Harvard?

35:16.710 --> 35:19.050
And it's the same at Yale, Princeton,

35:20.830 --> 35:24.650
Stanford, they're all in the thirty five billion dollar range.

35:25.230 --> 35:29.670
And you might ask yourself, how come these universities

35:30.510 --> 35:32.790
became so incredibly wealthy?

35:32.790 --> 35:38.670
And of course, all that money probably has had some effect

35:38.670 --> 35:44.090
on the corruption there they can afford to make mistakes

35:45.070 --> 35:46.790
when they have that much money.

35:48.350 --> 35:51.290
Well, it occurred to me that.

35:52.150 --> 35:56.590
A lot of people of good will leave their

35:56.590 --> 35:59.450
estates for the betterment of humanity.

35:59.450 --> 36:02.650
And they think, well, education is the betterment

36:02.650 --> 36:07.650
of humanity and outfits like Harvard and Stanford are the best.

36:07.910 --> 36:09.130
I'll leave all my money there.

36:09.490 --> 36:14.690
And this is incredibly stupid, considering that these universities

36:15.060 --> 36:20.090
have been totally taken over as these scandals with Claudine Gay

36:20.090 --> 36:24.830
and and her pals illustrated by the left.

36:25.290 --> 36:29.530
People that hate capitalism, hate money, hate America.

36:30.230 --> 36:34.210
But, you know, Anne Rand used to apotheosize businessmen.

36:34.550 --> 36:36.390
She thought businessmen were the greatest.

36:36.870 --> 36:40.350
Well, OK, they are the greatest in a way, because they're responsible

36:40.350 --> 36:44.210
for producing real things, and that's wonderful.

36:44.890 --> 36:48.050
All the good things we have are kind of produced by businessmen.

36:48.570 --> 36:53.370
But the fact is that individual businessmen are not to be idealized

36:53.370 --> 36:57.250
the way Rand did, because they have no philosophical bases.

36:57.830 --> 37:02.050
They're good at earning money, but they're not good at giving it away

37:02.050 --> 37:08.270
because they they're in effect buying the left

37:08.810 --> 37:11.630
ropes that will be used to hang them in the future.

37:12.010 --> 37:16.610
And that's why I think the one of the good things going on now

37:16.610 --> 37:20.410
is that enrollment at these top universities is dropping

37:20.410 --> 37:22.950
because people say it's a waste of time and money.

37:24.690 --> 37:28.470
And they're not going to universities, which, of course,

37:29.070 --> 37:34.250
your son Maxim is illustrating excellently and is in his weekly blogs.

37:35.110 --> 37:40.870
Anyway, a bit of a ramble here, but I think that one of the things we're going to say,

37:40.910 --> 37:44.290
and this is kind of a semi-prediction, is these universities

37:44.290 --> 37:48.910
are either going to have to change radically back to what they were 100 years ago

37:50.210 --> 37:53.370
or they're going to dry up and blow away.

37:54.350 --> 37:58.090
They're and they're not going to be getting the money coming in and endowments

37:58.990 --> 38:02.150
from from dead businessmen as much.

38:03.750 --> 38:08.750
So this whole thing with the universities being woke and communist leaning,

38:09.410 --> 38:10.490
it's just got to change.

38:10.690 --> 38:12.090
Reality will reassert itself.

38:12.310 --> 38:15.850
It's anyway, just something I thought I'd point out.

38:16.450 --> 38:18.030
It looks like a stat here.

38:18.150 --> 38:23.610
It says in twenty twenty three universities received a total of fifty eight

38:23.610 --> 38:26.310
billion dollars in philanthropic support.

38:28.390 --> 38:29.770
That's absolutely crazy.

38:30.250 --> 38:34.350
We teach more people more responsible things and they don't do that.

38:34.490 --> 38:35.550
They don't send us a billion.

38:38.310 --> 38:39.350
I mean, it's shocking.

38:39.490 --> 38:42.150
That's a huge number. That's a huge number. Yeah.

38:43.030 --> 38:45.330
All right, Michael, what's your what's your third thing?

38:49.510 --> 38:54.370
Well, I think you're going to talk about Ukraine nine years a day or something like that.

38:54.450 --> 38:56.830
Yeah, today is about the nine hundred and seventy

38:56.830 --> 39:00.870
a day of the short Ukraine war that should be should have been over nine

39:00.870 --> 39:03.790
hundred and sixty days ago, according to the Warhawks.

39:04.130 --> 39:07.750
You know, something that, you know, I mentioned over and over and over again.

39:07.870 --> 39:10.810
If you if you predict three things about every new war,

39:10.950 --> 39:12.730
you're almost always going to be right.

39:13.250 --> 39:14.330
This war is going to grow.

39:14.330 --> 39:16.370
I do this all the time and people think I'm a genius.

39:16.690 --> 39:20.210
It's going to grow and it's going to grow unpredictably

39:20.210 --> 39:22.130
and it's going to go longer than you thought.

39:22.850 --> 39:25.490
And then, you know, a year passes like, wow, you were right again.

39:25.770 --> 39:28.430
I'm like, yeah, it's like dropping an apple.

39:28.590 --> 39:30.550
I think this apple is going to hit the floor, right?

39:30.630 --> 39:31.970
It's like it's that predict.

39:32.670 --> 39:35.370
I mean, this is like cheating, you know, you know,

39:36.310 --> 39:39.110
all the angles of this triangle will add up to 180.

39:39.110 --> 39:44.090
And so and and and so we're in day

39:44.090 --> 39:46.670
number nine seventy approximately in the Ukraine war.

39:46.730 --> 39:49.830
And there's no end in sight, which many of us predicted.

39:50.050 --> 39:51.730
I don't know when it's going to end. I don't know.

39:51.850 --> 39:57.470
I have no idea because wars are unpredictable and wars like fires.

39:57.690 --> 40:00.370
They just you can start it, but you can't turn it off.

40:00.630 --> 40:04.290
And so likewise with Israel, you know,

40:04.290 --> 40:08.310
after the clear false flag attack on Hamas

40:08.310 --> 40:11.950
or using Hamas as useful idiots was actually a green flag attack

40:11.950 --> 40:14.670
on October 7th of two thousand twenty three.

40:16.010 --> 40:18.230
Israel still has not defeated Hamas.

40:18.790 --> 40:21.410
Little Hamas and Gaza, the easiest enemy

40:21.410 --> 40:24.070
while they've widened that other front out with Lebanon.

40:24.490 --> 40:26.410
My alerts were going off all day today.

40:26.590 --> 40:27.510
Israel is under attack.

40:27.810 --> 40:30.870
And I get to have this app where, you know, it, you know,

40:30.930 --> 40:34.270
they're they're getting drone attacks and rocket attacks all day.

40:34.290 --> 40:35.230
And to Israel, right?

40:35.610 --> 40:38.890
So now they got two fronts going and they haven't beat Hamas,

40:39.570 --> 40:43.470
much less has Bala and they obviously want to pick the fight with Israel.

40:43.950 --> 40:45.150
I mean, sorry, with Iran.

40:46.030 --> 40:49.850
And so my prediction is that war will grow

40:49.850 --> 40:51.750
because, you know, I know I'm going to be right.

40:52.370 --> 40:55.270
And and it's just history is going to be right.

40:55.350 --> 40:57.030
It's not me. I'm just channeling history.

40:58.270 --> 41:03.010
And and Israel will be actually increasingly at this point

41:03.010 --> 41:07.670
lucky to survive because they're hanging by this thread called the United States.

41:08.050 --> 41:11.790
And the United States is clearly going into some very, very rough times.

41:12.090 --> 41:16.050
And if we lose focus on Israel, it's goodbye Israel.

41:16.510 --> 41:17.810
I mean, it's that serious.

41:18.110 --> 41:21.390
They've started a war that, you know,

41:22.010 --> 41:24.790
I know people are going crazy when I just said they started the war,

41:24.870 --> 41:27.850
but they are clearly pushing and widening the war.

41:28.090 --> 41:31.930
They could end up ultimately being the end of Israel.

41:31.930 --> 41:34.070
Will that happen? I do not know.

41:34.430 --> 41:36.390
Do I want it to happen? No.

41:37.010 --> 41:39.710
But that doesn't if just because if you're an oncologist,

41:39.930 --> 41:41.730
you don't you don't, you know,

41:41.770 --> 41:43.970
diagnose somebody is not having cancer

41:43.970 --> 41:46.270
just because you don't want them to have cancer, right?

41:46.730 --> 41:49.710
And and I'm just saying as a war correspondent,

41:49.970 --> 41:55.190
I could easily see where Israel could end up dying by their own hand.

41:58.630 --> 41:59.890
Makes sense to me.

41:59.890 --> 42:03.230
I mean, you know, you've got

42:04.130 --> 42:07.390
what's the population of Israel, about 10 million,

42:07.790 --> 42:10.970
of which about three quarters, seven and a half million are Jews.

42:11.510 --> 42:15.630
And there are about 1.5 billion and growing rapidly

42:16.810 --> 42:18.270
Muslims in the world.

42:18.770 --> 42:23.390
And in the Holy Koran, it says many times that

42:24.610 --> 42:26.350
it's the obligation of a

42:27.350 --> 42:31.690
of a of a good Muslim to kill the Jew.

42:33.850 --> 42:35.670
So it can't end well.

42:35.990 --> 42:36.650
It can't end well.

42:36.850 --> 42:38.090
I totally agree with you, Michael.

42:38.950 --> 42:43.550
Yeah, keeping in mind that I think about 12 percent of Israel is Orthodox

42:43.550 --> 42:44.890
and they won't join the army.

42:45.030 --> 42:47.290
They're not going into the IDF unless they're dragged in.

42:47.550 --> 42:49.190
And I think that has come up.

42:50.070 --> 42:52.390
And and a lot of the Israelis

42:52.390 --> 42:55.030
are a lot of the Jews.

42:55.310 --> 42:58.730
And I mean, I'm on a private chat with just me and some Orthodox Jews.

42:58.890 --> 43:00.510
I'm the only non-Jew on there.

43:01.070 --> 43:02.350
They hate Israel.

43:02.610 --> 43:04.970
I mean, they hate Israel more than Hamas does.

43:05.310 --> 43:06.570
I mean, it's really epic.

43:07.230 --> 43:10.470
You know, I didn't realize how deep that hatred goes

43:11.130 --> 43:13.310
between many Jews and the Zionists.

43:13.490 --> 43:14.350
It's quite intense.

43:15.530 --> 43:17.970
Yeah, there's quite a split in the Jewish community

43:17.970 --> 43:20.610
because I'm not on the same group that you are,

43:20.610 --> 43:25.450
but I'm on another group, which are about 30 guys

43:25.450 --> 43:27.350
and they're almost all Jews.

43:27.670 --> 43:31.730
I'm one of two or three Goyim on the, on the chat.

43:31.970 --> 43:35.590
And these people are intensely pro-Israel,

43:35.850 --> 43:37.710
but they're all rich American Jews.

43:38.010 --> 43:41.110
So there's a split within the Jewish community

43:41.110 --> 43:43.110
about the state of Israel, obviously.

43:43.790 --> 43:45.190
Yeah, it makes those together

43:45.190 --> 43:47.650
and they're going to go hyperbolic, right?

43:47.650 --> 43:48.670
Yeah.

43:49.450 --> 43:50.090
That's right.

43:52.070 --> 43:55.470
So insoluble problem and certainly there's no solution

43:55.470 --> 43:56.430
the US can offer.

43:56.730 --> 44:00.730
It's like, it's like joining the feud between the Hatfields

44:00.730 --> 44:01.370
and the McCoys.

44:01.850 --> 44:02.710
It's pointless.

44:03.410 --> 44:05.010
It's just a software conflict.

44:05.370 --> 44:06.790
You know, it's like, you know,

44:06.790 --> 44:09.330
this belief system doesn't mesh with that one.

44:09.610 --> 44:12.790
And they have a conflict and they turn into a tornado

44:12.790 --> 44:13.650
when they get together.

44:14.090 --> 44:14.650
Yeah.

44:14.850 --> 44:16.510
Well, you got to let them sort it out.

44:16.510 --> 44:19.490
We don't have a dog in that fight or we shouldn't anyway.

44:19.870 --> 44:20.630
I agree.

44:21.930 --> 44:23.790
All right, Doug, your prediction for today.

44:24.970 --> 44:29.110
Well, I'm going to make an extremely dangerous prediction.

44:29.870 --> 44:33.530
I think I'm going to be correct, but interest rates

44:33.530 --> 44:39.190
and to introduce my prediction and say why it's dangerous.

44:39.790 --> 44:42.370
I'd like to tell my favorite financial joke.

44:43.130 --> 44:44.850
And here it is.

44:45.890 --> 44:47.970
Einstein dies and goes to heaven.

44:48.690 --> 44:49.990
St. Peter greets him.

44:50.210 --> 44:51.610
Happy to see you, Mr. Einstein.

44:53.690 --> 44:56.330
We're getting your digs in order,

44:57.130 --> 45:04.390
but we have a temporary housing shortage here in heaven

45:04.390 --> 45:08.870
for obvious reasons because we're a centrally managed

45:08.870 --> 45:10.710
economy for obvious reasons.

45:11.490 --> 45:16.450
So Einstein goes to his new digs, temporary digs

45:16.450 --> 45:17.850
with three other guys.

45:18.550 --> 45:20.510
First guy, they're all happy to see him there.

45:21.310 --> 45:23.910
The first guy comes up to him and says, Mr. Einstein,

45:25.210 --> 45:26.890
I'm really pleased to meet you.

45:27.130 --> 45:31.970
I've got an IQ of 130 and I want to get to know you better.

45:32.470 --> 45:34.950
So Einstein says, very good.

45:35.450 --> 45:39.790
After lunch, let's bounce around a few concepts of astrophysics.

45:39.790 --> 45:40.970
I've been thinking about.

45:41.610 --> 45:44.650
Second guy comes up to him and says, Mr. Einstein,

45:44.930 --> 45:46.510
I'm not as smart as that first guy.

45:47.030 --> 45:50.150
I've got an IQ of 100, but I still want to get to know you.

45:50.710 --> 45:52.790
So Einstein says, well, let me put my grip away

45:52.790 --> 45:54.290
and let's play a game of chess.

45:55.050 --> 45:57.190
Third guy comes up to him and says, Mr. Einstein,

45:57.530 --> 45:59.370
I'm not as smart as those other two guys.

45:59.830 --> 46:03.950
I've only got an IQ of 70, but I still want to get to know you.

46:04.370 --> 46:08.510
So Einstein asks him, so where do you think interest rates are going?

46:10.630 --> 46:12.010
I think that's a good joke.

46:12.630 --> 46:17.370
Anyway, with that as a preface, I've got a prediction.

46:18.090 --> 46:19.470
Long-term interest rates,

46:19.610 --> 46:22.710
which the Fed can't really control are going up.

46:23.290 --> 46:25.730
And I say that for a couple of reasons.

46:26.150 --> 46:30.770
One, the last time we really had high interest rates in this

46:30.770 --> 46:32.290
country were in the early 80s,

46:32.490 --> 46:35.930
when the US government was paying over 15%,

46:35.930 --> 46:38.590
almost 20% at one point for money.

46:39.110 --> 46:40.570
Those were high interest rates.

46:42.390 --> 46:46.010
They've gone down, they went down then for the next 40 years

46:46.010 --> 46:50.030
to almost zero in 2022, almost zero.

46:50.670 --> 46:53.890
And then the Fed started raising interest rates,

46:54.090 --> 46:57.650
at least the money that it made available to banks,

46:57.850 --> 46:58.690
commercial banks.

46:59.770 --> 47:01.910
And they went to say, well,

47:01.910 --> 47:05.410
what did they pick out at almost 6%, something like that?

47:06.430 --> 47:09.410
Then they've driven them down and now they're going up again.

47:09.650 --> 47:10.750
Here's the point I want to make.

47:11.430 --> 47:17.890
With the trillions of dollars that the government is spending

47:17.890 --> 47:20.110
above what its income is in taxes,

47:20.730 --> 47:23.970
it has to print money to finance the difference.

47:24.870 --> 47:28.170
And that's to the tune of about $2 trillion per year

47:28.170 --> 47:29.630
being sold to the Fed.

47:29.630 --> 47:31.530
The Fed buys US government paper,

47:31.910 --> 47:33.890
it goes into the commercial banking system

47:34.730 --> 47:41.110
where it's lent out with a fractional reserve multiplier

47:41.630 --> 47:44.050
where a dollar goes into a commercial bank,

47:44.210 --> 47:46.610
theoretically can lend, let's say $10.

47:47.430 --> 47:52.470
So that's why raising interest rates can damp inflation

47:52.470 --> 47:54.230
because when interest rates go up,

47:54.350 --> 47:55.970
people don't want to borrow as much,

47:56.130 --> 47:57.230
the banks don't lend as much.

47:57.530 --> 47:58.790
I don't want to get into all of that.

47:58.790 --> 48:01.890
I'll just say this, that at this point,

48:02.150 --> 48:04.950
inflation is going to start going much higher

48:04.950 --> 48:07.310
because of all this money that's being printed up.

48:11.510 --> 48:15.170
And as interest rates go higher,

48:15.790 --> 48:17.790
a lot of people are going to get hurt

48:17.790 --> 48:21.230
because the country is very, very indebted.

48:21.790 --> 48:25.550
In all ways, consumer debt, student debt,

48:27.270 --> 48:29.850
automobile debt, mortgage debt,

48:30.610 --> 48:33.590
interest rates go up, you're asking for trouble.

48:34.270 --> 48:36.630
And the Fed doesn't want to see that happen.

48:37.010 --> 48:39.830
So it'll lower interest rates at the low end,

48:40.510 --> 48:43.690
but at the top, long-term, 10 years and beyond,

48:44.110 --> 48:45.830
they really can't control that

48:45.830 --> 48:47.430
and that's where the big money is.

48:48.950 --> 48:51.810
So interest rates from here are going higher.

48:52.070 --> 48:54.430
I haven't given a very good explanation

48:54.430 --> 48:57.330
because it's hard to sum up interest rates

48:57.330 --> 48:59.650
where volumes have been written about them

48:59.650 --> 49:02.970
in a two-minute presentation,

49:03.390 --> 49:07.130
but that's my prediction of what it's worth.

49:08.330 --> 49:09.570
It's a fundamental you're saying.

49:09.970 --> 49:11.430
The Fed doesn't really control,

49:12.170 --> 49:14.270
sorry, Doug, the Fed doesn't really control

49:14.270 --> 49:16.250
interest rates on the long end,

49:16.430 --> 49:18.210
like the 10-year plus, is that what you're saying?

49:18.730 --> 49:19.430
That's right.

49:19.590 --> 49:21.010
They can control the short end

49:22.350 --> 49:23.850
through the banking system

49:23.850 --> 49:25.450
by giving the banks more money,

49:25.830 --> 49:30.350
but on the long end, that's controlled by inflation.

49:30.950 --> 49:33.110
And the problem is, is that a lot of banks,

49:34.390 --> 49:35.850
when interest rates were low,

49:37.950 --> 49:41.290
loaded up on government bonds, risk-free asset,

49:42.290 --> 49:45.290
but interest rates go up, bond prices go down,

49:46.190 --> 49:47.670
and bond prices go down.

49:47.670 --> 49:50.310
Those are major assets of the banks.

49:51.230 --> 49:54.030
And so we've got a number of banks in this country

49:54.030 --> 49:57.170
that are on the ragged edge of bankruptcy at this point.

49:57.870 --> 49:58.710
Interest rates go higher.

49:59.370 --> 50:00.870
It's going to go get worse.

50:01.930 --> 50:03.610
And there's nothing that Fed can do

50:03.610 --> 50:04.970
about long-term interest rates.

50:05.750 --> 50:06.910
Let me ask you this.

50:07.590 --> 50:07.770
Sorry.

50:08.730 --> 50:10.490
I was going to say some evidence of that

50:10.490 --> 50:13.650
is the fact that unrealized losses

50:13.650 --> 50:16.910
for banks in the US is something like three times now

50:16.910 --> 50:18.810
what it was during the financial crisis

50:19.650 --> 50:23.910
and the fact that there's risk-free stuff

50:24.610 --> 50:25.770
that they invested in the bond.

50:25.970 --> 50:27.670
So that shows what you're saying.

50:27.790 --> 50:31.470
And also, since the Fed cut rates half a point recently,

50:32.150 --> 50:34.070
the 10-year is up half a point.

50:34.510 --> 50:36.490
So it's gone exactly the wrong direction

50:36.490 --> 50:39.690
that people who think the Fed controls the world would think.

50:41.190 --> 50:42.950
Exactly the opposite direction

50:42.950 --> 50:45.550
of what the Fed was trying to achieve, exactly.

50:46.590 --> 50:49.210
And I can't speak to what's going to happen

50:49.210 --> 50:50.850
next week or next month,

50:51.130 --> 50:54.530
but if we have this conversation next year,

50:54.770 --> 50:57.550
I'm pretty confident interest rates are going to be higher

50:57.550 --> 51:00.170
and it's going to be very unpleasant for a lot of people.

51:02.430 --> 51:03.650
Let me ask you this.

51:04.350 --> 51:07.350
What do you think will be the first major bank,

51:07.710 --> 51:10.430
let's say the next major bank to close its doors

51:10.430 --> 51:12.770
or something bad happened to it?

51:13.810 --> 51:16.970
The bank they talk about most in that regard

51:16.970 --> 51:18.110
is Bank of America.

51:19.730 --> 51:22.150
My bank, it's got problems.

51:22.350 --> 51:24.170
I can feel it.

51:24.330 --> 51:29.370
I don't know what bank you should use to keep your money.

51:29.570 --> 51:32.490
It would take analyzing the balance sheets

51:33.470 --> 51:37.070
of these banks to see where they've put their assets

51:37.070 --> 51:38.370
and what form they are.

51:39.070 --> 51:40.790
So I haven't done that.

51:40.790 --> 51:43.290
And I suppose I should,

51:45.110 --> 51:47.830
but that's the type of thing of professional accountant

51:47.830 --> 51:50.090
that's interested in that type of thing should do.

51:50.510 --> 51:52.150
I've got other fish to fry.

51:53.930 --> 51:54.430
Yeah.

51:54.650 --> 51:57.210
Porter Stansbury has done a lot of work on Bank of America.

51:57.530 --> 51:59.670
He definitely has pointed that out

51:59.670 --> 52:03.330
is like you pointed out GM in the past.

52:03.870 --> 52:05.590
He thinks that's the first one to fall.

52:06.130 --> 52:08.850
So he's going to get a call on those things.

52:08.850 --> 52:12.190
Well, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway

52:12.190 --> 52:16.350
has been selling gigantic amounts of Bank of America

52:16.350 --> 52:17.310
at this point.

52:19.190 --> 52:20.130
The sign.

52:21.190 --> 52:21.710
That's a sign.

52:21.930 --> 52:22.010
Okay.

52:22.190 --> 52:24.090
So just so I got this straight, Michael,

52:24.590 --> 52:28.870
your prediction was that the Israeli war will expand

52:28.870 --> 52:33.770
and that Israel's odds of surviving

52:33.770 --> 52:36.210
kind of decrease the longer this goes on.

52:36.770 --> 52:37.270
Yeah.

52:37.370 --> 52:39.810
The longer it goes on, definitely the odds decrease.

52:40.610 --> 52:43.190
They may survive, but you know how wars are there.

52:43.270 --> 52:43.730
Incredibly.

52:43.970 --> 52:46.890
It's a complex system of complex systems.

52:47.590 --> 52:49.890
You know, nobody really knows which way it'll go,

52:49.990 --> 52:53.090
but you can feel the energy is not in their favor.

52:53.210 --> 52:54.370
The longer it drags out.

52:55.530 --> 52:56.470
Well, yeah.

52:56.610 --> 52:57.670
And in addition to that,

52:57.790 --> 53:01.230
it's basically a citizen soldier army.

53:01.750 --> 53:03.850
And those guys that are in the army

53:03.850 --> 53:07.770
aren't working at their regular jobs and investors

53:07.770 --> 53:12.150
are a little bit loath to put money into businesses

53:12.150 --> 53:14.110
in a country that could be in trouble.

53:14.670 --> 53:18.430
So this war is going to become unaffordable for Israel

53:18.430 --> 53:18.870
in addition.

53:20.410 --> 53:22.530
That's an incredibly important point.

53:23.810 --> 53:24.650
All right.

53:25.450 --> 53:26.010
Okay.

53:26.090 --> 53:27.370
So I think we got it for this week, guys.

53:27.970 --> 53:31.670
We will be back next week with more consequential

53:31.670 --> 53:33.830
observations and predictions from you.

53:34.010 --> 53:35.370
So thank you both for joining us again.

53:35.530 --> 53:35.990
This is awesome.

53:36.170 --> 53:36.790
I appreciate it.

53:38.090 --> 53:39.050
Thank you from Bangkok.

53:40.090 --> 53:42.490
And thank you from Columbus, Sri Lanka,

53:42.750 --> 53:43.910
where I've been for the last week.

53:44.330 --> 53:46.270
That's another story for the future.

53:47.290 --> 53:48.050
We'll have to get that.

53:48.290 --> 53:48.430
Okay.

53:48.510 --> 53:48.710
Awesome.

53:48.790 --> 53:49.170
Thanks guys.

53:49.330 --> 53:49.750
Appreciate it.

