OK, we've got some breaking news coming out just now around the UK, France and even potentially
Germany here looking to join in with the Iran War.
Ladies and gents, this is really, really heating up now.
We'll do more of a kind of informal stream today and talk through it because honestly
I started with probably 200 different points that I wanted to talk about because there's
so much going on and I'm going to kind of narrow it down to bring you up today on some
of the most important advancements.
We'll talk about the economic fallout of this and then we'll talk about the real risk that
I see with the UK, well, we'll get on to that, there's some really big risks now, counter-terrorism
and stuff like that are deploying and all sorts, there's a lot going on.
So let's just go through everything.
I want to begin with the news that's just come out, though.
Now there's a lot of conflicting news around the UK.
Are they getting involved or are they not getting involved?
You heard Stammer in the House of Commons today and I was very surprised that he was
criticising Trump, President Trump, I was surprised he was doing that regardless of whether
you agree or not.
The reason I'm surprised he was doing it was because as a world leader, you've
got to be very diplomatic, especially with your allies.
So the things he was saying about Trump, I was very surprised by, let me just say that,
and how he regime change and dropping bombs and all this other stuff and breaking international
law, these were a few of the things that he was talking about today.
So let's go over some of the points then.
So this is out now, the E3 countries, UK, France and Germany, have issued joint statements
condemning Iran's indiscriminate and disproportionate missile and drone attacks on regional countries,
including their Gulf allies.
This was after the initial strikes.
So they've issued this joint statement, they said they are prepared to take necessary
and proportionate defensive action to defend their interests and their allies.
This is potentially by destroying Iran's missile and drone launch capabilities at their source.
Now this is the key sort of three words here at their source.
So they are framing this and it's actually Starmer that's kind of leading it, also
Macron.
So they've framed it as under international law as defensive strikes.
So this is where it gets a kind of tongue-in-cheek sometimes when you listen to these things.
So they're saying that they're going to potentially go to war in order to avoid a war.
And this is where we get into this a lot where you hear this, where countries say they're
going to strike first and they want to avoid war by actually having a war.
So these are some of the things that they're talking about at the moment and they're
predominantly talking about bombing, so doing a bombing campaign in Iran to remove all the
nuclear, sorry, the missiles and other things because there was an update with Cyprus was
actually attacked today.
The UK base in Cyprus was attacked today with, there was three drones, two were intercepted
and one actually struck the base.
No casualties fortunately for the British military there.
So a few specifics then, France's foreign minister has stated the readiness to deploy
to Gulf countries and Jordan.
The UK is authorizing, now they're authorizing, limited United States use of British bases
for targeted defensive ops and France is really pulling out the big guns.
They said they're sending their warships to the Red Sea for what we know what that's for.
Now Germany's actually done a kind of U-turn in the last 20 to 30 minutes here and they've
sort of said no, no, no, hold on, we didn't say we're going to be going full force into this war.
They said they're serious, I've got the quote here, seriously considering direct
involvement but they're not saying they're going to have a full scale war and they say
this is due to limited military resources so they don't want to stretch their
resources too, too thin here.
Now there was, okay we'll go on to this in a moment.
So we've got a map here, this is some of the strikes that have taken place.
This is already got a kind of visual for you.
France, Italy, this was the Cyprian base here.
Syria, Israel, Jordan, Iraq, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar,
Saudi Arabia, UAE and Dubai.
Now this is a big one, the UAE and Dubai at the moment.
You've seen a lot of reports, a lot of videos, I've got a few videos for you
and what surprises me is how many people are saying I just can't believe this,
I can't believe this has happened in the UAE.
Why not?
Why can't you believe this has happened?
This, we've been talking about this for a long, long time at the different
countries that would be pulled in here.
Iran's already said months ago, when I did that video eight months ago,
who they were going to strike if their leader was killed.
They said that where they were going to strike immediately,
they had the plan, all the rockets and missiles were going to be flying the drones
and that's exactly what's happened.
So for all the media outlets and even people saying,
I'm shocked, I'm surprised this has happened.
I'm not sure why when it's been published for almost a year now.
So a couple of other things then.
This was, here we go, this is what's actually taken place then.
So we have had 14 strikes already in one night.
Israel, UAE, Dubai, Bahrain, we had Kuwait.
There was actually a rogue missile that's taken out an apartment block as well now,
unfortunately, in one of these countries.
So this is really, really, this is heating up, this is really heating up.
And if you're ex-military and you're curious what's going to happen here,
you can send an email to your service and they will respond.
I actually sent an email today because I was very curious to know
my reserve liability, what might actually happen with this situation
and they actually sent me an email.
Within 10 minutes, I was shocked.
I don't know, they must just have loads of staff sat around not doing anything.
But they sent me an email back within 10 minutes
and told me what my liability was for all of this.
But it was pretty, pretty surprising.
A few of the things then, from an economic point of view,
oil is up now, well it was up 13% in a day, up to $82.
I'm just going to bring this up, bring you up to speed on this actually.
We've got a live, let's bring up the live chart on this.
So we've got Brent and then we've got the crude.
So Brent now 77.
So it's actually up 10% which is pretty extreme, 10%.
Now where it gets to sort of $100, that's when you really want to panic.
That's when you could see 102.
I think my last forecast that I did for you was going back six, seven months.
But I think I said somewhere between $120, that's when things really would get bad.
$120 a barrel would trigger a global recession.
Like I have zero doubt on that.
It would be a global recession if we got to $120 a barrel.
And this was all around if they close the Strait of Hamoos, which they have now.
And you've also seen a lot of attacks, the Houthis are starting to attack a lot of vessels
and things.
So this is moving very, very quickly.
We're seeing sleeper cells activated.
We saw one in Texas.
We'll come on to that because it links to the UK and some shocking things there.
Crude is at 70.
It was, it was down to 64.
It's at 70 now.
Dropped a little bit because OPEC plus have ramped up production slightly, but still not good.
Even the markets are down, S&Ps down.
But what I found really interesting was if you think about the Iranian Real,
that currency's been, it's been into change, but it's been going since 1798.
Yes, 1798.
Now I want to show you a chart of it right now.
Here we go.
So this is the USD to IRR chart.
This is not a meme coin.
Okay.
This is what's happened to the currency.
You look at this.
It is, this is a flat line.
Let me get my face out of the way.
And then it's took off like a rocket.
That is the value.
That's the exchange.
So one US dollar was previously around 42,000 Rial.
So one US dollar now is 1.3 million Rial to the dollar.
And that just shows you ladies and gents what we've talked about for a long time here.
Look at gold price, $5,320 an ounce.
Now I've been saying this for a while.
Keep an eye on the gold.
Make sure you've got some gold.
Look at the price.
Yes, we had this blip, but this is common.
You always have this.
The graph is trending upwards.
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Okay, so now then let's have a look.
Will petrol and diesel prices go up?
This is the question a lot of people are now asking.
You know, there's a lot of concern over this.
Are these prices going to go up?
And really I would say my base case on this is 10 to 20% maybe something like that
because the production has already ramped up.
So yeah, you could see 10 to 20%,
but you think what's been happening over the last couple of months with fuel prices
at the forecourt, they've come down.
You know, I remember when they were, gosh, they were really high over the last few years
and they've really started to come down.
What are we at the minute?
£1.35 or something a liter?
So the Americans are like watching this going, what a liter?
A gallon or something under $2 a gallon.
Yeah, we pay the same for a liter as you pay for a gallon.
The UK also has the highest energy prices in the world.
And you know, something interesting about all of this
is that Germany has now admitted that it was a huge mistake that they destroyed there.
And notice the word destroyed.
They blew up their nuclear power plants for the whole net zero thing.
And now they are screwed.
And they've actually said this.
Merz actually came out and said, he didn't say the word screwed,
but he said we made a huge mistake doing that and now we need to rebuild.
I'm actually going to do a presentation on Wednesday for the Patreon community.
I'm going to do a really big uranium investing presentation.
So you can watch that on Patreon.
You'll probably be out by Thursday sort of time
because I'm still going to make the whole presentation on Wednesday.
But there's a lot going on there.
Germany's in big trouble.
And I think we're going to see, it's a long term play,
but keep an eye on uranium because they're going to have to go back to uranium,
nuclear, smaller plants, they're going to have to.
So yeah, with fuel, I think maybe 10 to 20% uplift, something like that.
I mean, the worst case scenario would be a sort of 1970s,
you know, where we had the global recession, big shock, but I don't see that.
No, I think we're probably going to see 10 to 20% and then it will settle later on.
Now I wanted to tell you about this, which this is quite shocking.
Check this out.
So this gentleman, shall we say,
this man actually received a UK tolerance grant.
This shows you how broken the UK is.
And now what we are seeing, he's called for,
he's called for people to avenge the leader.
I think we will say.
So this is, and I've had this, I've actually verified this.
I had to check it.
It has been verified.
This is a true story.
So these are one of the two high profile Shiite religious leaders in Iran who have issued these,
certain words I can say, certain words I can't, following the leader's death, shall we say.
So he received a 15,000 pound religious tolerance grant from Brent Council in the UK.
You can't make this up.
And he's now calling for this worldwide.
You honestly, you can't make this up.
And what we're now seeing is we've seen all of these reports.
We've got all of the intel services saying for UK citizens, be careful now because
we're expecting some real big problems.
Britain at risk of terror attacks now from sleeper agents and militias.
I mean, it's not as if there's, there's not a lot of them in the country.
It would be very difficult to actually know who's a sleeper agent.
You, it would be very, very difficult indeed.
So there's a lot of warnings now about this in the UK.
So just be careful, my friends, you know, really be careful with everything going on
because we already saw this take place in Texas.
And I think it's pretty clear that they're still saying the usual.
Oh, well, we're not sure.
We don't know what the motive was.
Did you see the guy's t-shirt?
And they're saying we don't know what the motive was.
I think it's pretty clear what the motive was, you know, when, when this took place
at exactly the same time.
Now there's a really good Iran and region monitor as well for those of you who
are interested in following all this.
And it shows you everything going on.
It's really useful.
The link is here.
If you can see it here, you might need to zoom in on it.
But this is the, this is the link.
It is just nonstop posts.
And you can actually see how it went from a very low score here to now it's at level one.
So this is like, you know, major war kind of threat levels.
Now it's just ramped up.
It's, it's teetered off a little bit, but I think it's going to continue to ramp up.
Now the next thing we talked about this UK RAF airbase in Cyprus was hit by a drone strike.
We covered that.
Trump said he's very disappointed in Starmer over Iran
because Starmer spent so much time.
I'd love to know your thoughts on this as well.
Because there's a few, there's a few points.
I get it from both people's side.
I get it from those of you who support, you know, the war.
I know a lot of you support the war and you're happy it's happening.
And then there's a lot of people who are not happy, not happy.
Don't want to be pulled into it.
So actually it's kind of an interesting one.
I'd love to know your thoughts on this
because I was watching the debates today and was it today?
I think, gosh, I'm losing track of time.
I think it was today while I was watching some of the debates anyway.
And it was just very interesting to see some of the people who wanted the UK
to just go full force into the war, seeing it as an opportunity.
An opportunity for what exactly I'm not 100% sure.
What is it that the UK would gain from it?
There's always a monetary gain, of course, in weapons and war.
But it wouldn't be a gain for the sons and daughters of the country boots on the ground,
which Trump's actually talking about now.
He said he's not rolling out boots on the ground in Iran.
So this could really ramp up.
I'm not positive about the situation.
I think this could be quite a bad situation.
And again, it's contentious.
It's how you look at it.
Do you see the regime being removed as bad?
You probably say, no, I think that's a good thing.
But then you might look at it from the other perspective and say,
well, do I want to be involved in a big war where the country's in a war,
where the country could get struck and mass casualties?
Probably not.
You probably wouldn't want that.
You know, this is the thing with war.
There's never any winners apart from the bankers.
The bankers, the defense companies, these are the ones who win.
It's just a really, really tragic thing.
Yeah, I'm looking at some of the comments here as we're going through.
Yeah, yeah, OK, OK.
We're seeing some mixed comments.
So that's good to see.
OK, so anyway, Trump is very disappointed in Stammer
because Stammer wouldn't authorize the bases to be used.
And Stammer said, well, I needed to.
It wasn't a kind of...
He basically said, if you listen to him,
he said he wanted to check international law
and that he didn't break international law.
And that's typical of a lawyer, which is what he was.
If you ever look into the stuff that he did,
it's pretty shocking, all the law stuff that he used to do.
Just insane the things he used to do.
And now he's the prime minister.
Although I don't think he's going to be remembered
as a great prime minister.
Do you think he'll be remembered as a great prime minister?
Probably not.
I think it's time for a new prime minister.
I'm keeping my fingers crossed
that we're going to have one sooner rather than later.
I'm amazed that he's lasted this long actually so far.
Now there's a couple of other things.
The Japan's made an announcement as well.
They said they've only got 254 days of oil in their reserved
and that it's going to cause a very serious problem
for Japan if the straight isn't opened as soon as possible.
This was a video of Dubai airport as well.
Let me share my screen.
This was Dubai airport just to show you what's happening right now.
I mean, look at these queues.
People trying to rush out the country.
You know, I was thinking about that as well.
But maybe I'm...
What do they call people that don't mind war zones?
Dark tourists or something?
I guess I'm a bit of a dark tourist.
I don't mind that sort of stuff at all.
But I was thinking about this and this is what went through my mind.
Maybe it's a bit of a strange thought,
but all these people or the holiday makers now,
even some that have just arrived, I just leave it.
They're leaving and they're even on the cruise ships and everything.
And they're trying to desperately rush back to the UK and Europe and other countries.
And I was thinking to myself, if I were in that position,
so I'm on a cruise ship or I'm on my holidays, my vacation,
I'm on the beach or something,
am I really going to be rushing to the airport to get back to the UK?
No, I don't think I would.
There's a couple...
Yeah, there's some missiles flying,
but the odds of me being hit are incredibly low,
incredibly low on a cruise ship or on the beach or something.
That's what I was thinking.
Maybe I'm a bit weird with that thought anyway.
Let me know your thoughts.
But I wouldn't be rushing home.
Like, what's the point in rushing home?
You just paid for this holiday.
If you paid for it, you'd need it probably.
You're desperate for a holiday.
And now everyone's rushing home.
I don't get it.
I don't think I'd be doing that myself.
Okay, the other one then.
This was a big one.
I should have probably mentioned this earlier.
So Saudi Arabia's largest oil refinery is on fire.
This is 550,000 barrels of crude per day.
And this was hit by an Iranian drone or missile.
I'm not exactly sure, but it was hit by Iran.
And then here was another interesting article.
So you got all the private jets trying to leave now,
just all the wealthy are.
It says, even people on cruise ships,
what, if you're on a cruise ship
and you're out somewhere in the ocean there,
I wouldn't be overly worried, to be honest.
I'd be, I wouldn't be overly worried actually.
Okay, here's another video.
Let's get some sound on this.
So this is Dubai at the moment.
Okay, I'm not sure what I'm more surprised by.
The video or her accent now, I didn't expect that one.
Yeah, so a lot going on here then.
But we, you know, we've talked about this quite a lot
with preparedness and making sure
that you don't get caught out with these sort of things.
But this is always what happens.
You even see it on the disaster movies,
where people, they all rush to the store
because they've got no supplies.
They've got nothing filtering water.
And this is some of you.
I'm talking some of you as well.
No, no supplies.
Like, I have a friend who I've told you a story before.
He keeps zero food at home.
It's just like two days worth.
He goes to the supermarket every day.
He keeps about two days worth of food in his, in his fridge.
He doesn't keep anything in the freezer.
He hasn't got a pantry.
I just think it's crazy.
I always say to him, you're mad.
Like, he's like, oh, well, there'll always be food and stuff like that.
Not always.
Sometimes you have these emergencies, like, like this one here,
where people are now panicked by him.
And you think, where does all the food come from
that goes to Dubai and goes to the UAE and some of these places?
I haven't, I mean, I don't know about you,
but when I've been there, I haven't seen a lot of farms.
It hasn't been very green.
So I think a lot of it's probably flowing in.
And that would be my assumption.
It's flowing in.
And if the flights are closed,
how are people going to get, how are they going to get food?
You know, there's just a few things I always,
I always mentioned, yeah, a lot of flights now
to the Middle East are canceled.
If you've got plans to go there,
or you're going to be sort of going,
going through that region, you know, just,
you might want to think about that a little bit now,
truly.
But yeah, there's a lot going on, ladies and gents.
I am I worried?
No, I'm not worried,
but I know a lot of people are.
So I want to be respectful to that,
because there's a lot of people
are speaking to people even today.
And they're really worried.
Quite, quite scared.
A lot of people that this might turn into
a major, major war at this, at this rate.
So yeah, I'll keep you updated.
I'm actually building my new studio at the moment.
That's why I'm here, streaming from here,
because I'm building a new studio.
And we're releasing the course this weekend as well,
that we talked about for a long time.
It won't be released to socials until next week,
Monday, Tuesday onwards.
But if you're on the email list,
or you're a current student in the academy,
you'll get the courses this weekend.
But yeah, so that's what's going on.
A lot going on.
Presentation on Wednesday for Uranium.
Yeah, it's just crazy at the minute.
It's a crazy, crazy time.
And this whole thing situation is not helping
for a lot of us, I know.
But okay, thanks for watching today.
Thanks for being a subscriber here, as always.
Take care, God bless.
Stay safe out there wherever you're watching from.