WEBVTT

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OK, we've got some breaking news coming out just now around the UK, France and even potentially

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Germany here looking to join in with the Iran War.

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Ladies and gents, this is really, really heating up now.

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We'll do more of a kind of informal stream today and talk through it because honestly

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I started with probably 200 different points that I wanted to talk about because there's

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so much going on and I'm going to kind of narrow it down to bring you up today on some

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of the most important advancements.

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We'll talk about the economic fallout of this and then we'll talk about the real risk that

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I see with the UK, well, we'll get on to that, there's some really big risks now, counter-terrorism

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and stuff like that are deploying and all sorts, there's a lot going on.

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So let's just go through everything.

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I want to begin with the news that's just come out, though.

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Now there's a lot of conflicting news around the UK.

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Are they getting involved or are they not getting involved?

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You heard Stammer in the House of Commons today and I was very surprised that he was

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criticising Trump, President Trump, I was surprised he was doing that regardless of whether

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you agree or not.

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The reason I'm surprised he was doing it was because as a world leader, you've

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got to be very diplomatic, especially with your allies.

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So the things he was saying about Trump, I was very surprised by, let me just say that,

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and how he regime change and dropping bombs and all this other stuff and breaking international

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law, these were a few of the things that he was talking about today.

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So let's go over some of the points then.

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So this is out now, the E3 countries, UK, France and Germany, have issued joint statements

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condemning Iran's indiscriminate and disproportionate missile and drone attacks on regional countries,

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including their Gulf allies.

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This was after the initial strikes.

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So they've issued this joint statement, they said they are prepared to take necessary

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and proportionate defensive action to defend their interests and their allies.

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This is potentially by destroying Iran's missile and drone launch capabilities at their source.

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Now this is the key sort of three words here at their source.

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So they are framing this and it's actually Starmer that's kind of leading it, also

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Macron.

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So they've framed it as under international law as defensive strikes.

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So this is where it gets a kind of tongue-in-cheek sometimes when you listen to these things.

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So they're saying that they're going to potentially go to war in order to avoid a war.

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And this is where we get into this a lot where you hear this, where countries say they're

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going to strike first and they want to avoid war by actually having a war.

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So these are some of the things that they're talking about at the moment and they're

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predominantly talking about bombing, so doing a bombing campaign in Iran to remove all the

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nuclear, sorry, the missiles and other things because there was an update with Cyprus was

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actually attacked today.

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The UK base in Cyprus was attacked today with, there was three drones, two were intercepted

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and one actually struck the base.

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No casualties fortunately for the British military there.

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So a few specifics then, France's foreign minister has stated the readiness to deploy

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to Gulf countries and Jordan.

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The UK is authorizing, now they're authorizing, limited United States use of British bases

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for targeted defensive ops and France is really pulling out the big guns.

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They said they're sending their warships to the Red Sea for what we know what that's for.

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Now Germany's actually done a kind of U-turn in the last 20 to 30 minutes here and they've

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sort of said no, no, no, hold on, we didn't say we're going to be going full force into this war.

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They said they're serious, I've got the quote here, seriously considering direct

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involvement but they're not saying they're going to have a full scale war and they say

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this is due to limited military resources so they don't want to stretch their

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resources too, too thin here.

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Now there was, okay we'll go on to this in a moment.

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So we've got a map here, this is some of the strikes that have taken place.

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This is already got a kind of visual for you.

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France, Italy, this was the Cyprian base here.

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Syria, Israel, Jordan, Iraq, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar,

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Saudi Arabia, UAE and Dubai.

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Now this is a big one, the UAE and Dubai at the moment.

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You've seen a lot of reports, a lot of videos, I've got a few videos for you

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and what surprises me is how many people are saying I just can't believe this,

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I can't believe this has happened in the UAE.

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Why not?

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Why can't you believe this has happened?

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This, we've been talking about this for a long, long time at the different

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countries that would be pulled in here.

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Iran's already said months ago, when I did that video eight months ago,

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who they were going to strike if their leader was killed.

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They said that where they were going to strike immediately,

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they had the plan, all the rockets and missiles were going to be flying the drones

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and that's exactly what's happened.

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So for all the media outlets and even people saying,

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I'm shocked, I'm surprised this has happened.

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I'm not sure why when it's been published for almost a year now.

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So a couple of other things then.

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This was, here we go, this is what's actually taken place then.

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So we have had 14 strikes already in one night.

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Israel, UAE, Dubai, Bahrain, we had Kuwait.

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There was actually a rogue missile that's taken out an apartment block as well now,

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unfortunately, in one of these countries.

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So this is really, really, this is heating up, this is really heating up.

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And if you're ex-military and you're curious what's going to happen here,

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you can send an email to your service and they will respond.

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I actually sent an email today because I was very curious to know

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my reserve liability, what might actually happen with this situation

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and they actually sent me an email.

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Within 10 minutes, I was shocked.

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I don't know, they must just have loads of staff sat around not doing anything.

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But they sent me an email back within 10 minutes

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and told me what my liability was for all of this.

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But it was pretty, pretty surprising.

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A few of the things then, from an economic point of view,

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oil is up now, well it was up 13% in a day, up to $82.

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I'm just going to bring this up, bring you up to speed on this actually.

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We've got a live, let's bring up the live chart on this.

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So we've got Brent and then we've got the crude.

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So Brent now 77.

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So it's actually up 10% which is pretty extreme, 10%.

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Now where it gets to sort of $100, that's when you really want to panic.

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That's when you could see 102.

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I think my last forecast that I did for you was going back six, seven months.

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But I think I said somewhere between $120, that's when things really would get bad.

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$120 a barrel would trigger a global recession.

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Like I have zero doubt on that.

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It would be a global recession if we got to $120 a barrel.

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And this was all around if they close the Strait of Hamoos, which they have now.

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And you've also seen a lot of attacks, the Houthis are starting to attack a lot of vessels

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and things.

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So this is moving very, very quickly.

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We're seeing sleeper cells activated.

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We saw one in Texas.

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We'll come on to that because it links to the UK and some shocking things there.

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Crude is at 70.

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It was, it was down to 64.

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It's at 70 now.

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Dropped a little bit because OPEC plus have ramped up production slightly, but still not good.

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Even the markets are down, S&Ps down.

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But what I found really interesting was if you think about the Iranian Real,

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that currency's been, it's been into change, but it's been going since 1798.

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Yes, 1798.

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Now I want to show you a chart of it right now.

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Here we go.

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Here we go.

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So this is the USD to IRR chart.

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This is not a meme coin.

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Okay.

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This is what's happened to the currency.

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You look at this.

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It is, this is a flat line.

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Let me get my face out of the way.

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And then it's took off like a rocket.

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That is the value.

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That's the exchange.

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So one US dollar was previously around 42,000 Rial.

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So one US dollar now is 1.3 million Rial to the dollar.

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And that just shows you ladies and gents what we've talked about for a long time here.

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Look at gold price, $5,320 an ounce.

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Now I've been saying this for a while.

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Keep an eye on the gold.

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Make sure you've got some gold.

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Look at the price.

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Yes, we had this blip, but this is common.

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You always have this.

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The graph is trending upwards.

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And in fact, I'll tell you about today's video sponsor as well.

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Okay, so now then let's have a look.

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Will petrol and diesel prices go up?

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This is the question a lot of people are now asking.

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You know, there's a lot of concern over this.

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Are these prices going to go up?

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And really I would say my base case on this is 10 to 20% maybe something like that

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because the production has already ramped up.

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So yeah, you could see 10 to 20%,

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but you think what's been happening over the last couple of months with fuel prices

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at the forecourt, they've come down.

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You know, I remember when they were, gosh, they were really high over the last few years

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and they've really started to come down.

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What are we at the minute?

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£1.35 or something a liter?

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So the Americans are like watching this going, what a liter?

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A gallon or something under $2 a gallon.

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Yeah, we pay the same for a liter as you pay for a gallon.

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The UK also has the highest energy prices in the world.

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And you know, something interesting about all of this

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is that Germany has now admitted that it was a huge mistake that they destroyed there.

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And notice the word destroyed.

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They blew up their nuclear power plants for the whole net zero thing.

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And now they are screwed.

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And they've actually said this.

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Merz actually came out and said, he didn't say the word screwed,

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but he said we made a huge mistake doing that and now we need to rebuild.

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I'm actually going to do a presentation on Wednesday for the Patreon community.

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I'm going to do a really big uranium investing presentation.

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So you can watch that on Patreon.

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You'll probably be out by Thursday sort of time

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because I'm still going to make the whole presentation on Wednesday.

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But there's a lot going on there.

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Germany's in big trouble.

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And I think we're going to see, it's a long term play,

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but keep an eye on uranium because they're going to have to go back to uranium,

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nuclear, smaller plants, they're going to have to.

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So yeah, with fuel, I think maybe 10 to 20% uplift, something like that.

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I mean, the worst case scenario would be a sort of 1970s,

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you know, where we had the global recession, big shock, but I don't see that.

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No, I think we're probably going to see 10 to 20% and then it will settle later on.

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Now I wanted to tell you about this, which this is quite shocking.

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Check this out.

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So this gentleman, shall we say,

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this man actually received a UK tolerance grant.

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This shows you how broken the UK is.

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And now what we are seeing, he's called for,

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he's called for people to avenge the leader.

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I think we will say.

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So this is, and I've had this, I've actually verified this.

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I had to check it.

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It has been verified.

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This is a true story.

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So these are one of the two high profile Shiite religious leaders in Iran who have issued these,

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certain words I can say, certain words I can't, following the leader's death, shall we say.

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So he received a 15,000 pound religious tolerance grant from Brent Council in the UK.

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You can't make this up.

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And he's now calling for this worldwide.

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You honestly, you can't make this up.

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And what we're now seeing is we've seen all of these reports.

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We've got all of the intel services saying for UK citizens, be careful now because

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we're expecting some real big problems.

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Britain at risk of terror attacks now from sleeper agents and militias.

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I mean, it's not as if there's, there's not a lot of them in the country.

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It would be very difficult to actually know who's a sleeper agent.

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You, it would be very, very difficult indeed.

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So there's a lot of warnings now about this in the UK.

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So just be careful, my friends, you know, really be careful with everything going on

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because we already saw this take place in Texas.

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And I think it's pretty clear that they're still saying the usual.

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Oh, well, we're not sure.

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We don't know what the motive was.

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Did you see the guy's t-shirt?

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And they're saying we don't know what the motive was.

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I think it's pretty clear what the motive was, you know, when, when this took place

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at exactly the same time.

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Now there's a really good Iran and region monitor as well for those of you who

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are interested in following all this.

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And it shows you everything going on.

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It's really useful.

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The link is here.

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If you can see it here, you might need to zoom in on it.

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But this is the, this is the link.

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It is just nonstop posts.

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And you can actually see how it went from a very low score here to now it's at level one.

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So this is like, you know, major war kind of threat levels.

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Now it's just ramped up.

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It's, it's teetered off a little bit, but I think it's going to continue to ramp up.

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Now the next thing we talked about this UK RAF airbase in Cyprus was hit by a drone strike.

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We covered that.

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Trump said he's very disappointed in Starmer over Iran

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because Starmer spent so much time.

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I'd love to know your thoughts on this as well.

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Because there's a few, there's a few points.

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I get it from both people's side.

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I get it from those of you who support, you know, the war.

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I know a lot of you support the war and you're happy it's happening.

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And then there's a lot of people who are not happy, not happy.

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Don't want to be pulled into it.

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So actually it's kind of an interesting one.

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I'd love to know your thoughts on this

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because I was watching the debates today and was it today?

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I think, gosh, I'm losing track of time.

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I think it was today while I was watching some of the debates anyway.

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And it was just very interesting to see some of the people who wanted the UK

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to just go full force into the war, seeing it as an opportunity.

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An opportunity for what exactly I'm not 100% sure.

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What is it that the UK would gain from it?

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There's always a monetary gain, of course, in weapons and war.

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But it wouldn't be a gain for the sons and daughters of the country boots on the ground,

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which Trump's actually talking about now.

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He said he's not rolling out boots on the ground in Iran.

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So this could really ramp up.

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I'm not positive about the situation.

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I think this could be quite a bad situation.

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And again, it's contentious.

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It's how you look at it.

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Do you see the regime being removed as bad?

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You probably say, no, I think that's a good thing.

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But then you might look at it from the other perspective and say,

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well, do I want to be involved in a big war where the country's in a war,

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where the country could get struck and mass casualties?

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Probably not.

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You probably wouldn't want that.

18:55.380 --> 18:56.740
You know, this is the thing with war.

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There's never any winners apart from the bankers.

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The bankers, the defense companies, these are the ones who win.

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It's just a really, really tragic thing.

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Yeah, I'm looking at some of the comments here as we're going through.

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Yeah, yeah, OK, OK.

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We're seeing some mixed comments.

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So that's good to see.

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OK, so anyway, Trump is very disappointed in Stammer

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because Stammer wouldn't authorize the bases to be used.

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And Stammer said, well, I needed to.

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It wasn't a kind of...

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He basically said, if you listen to him,

19:33.300 --> 19:35.500
he said he wanted to check international law

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and that he didn't break international law.

19:37.540 --> 19:42.480
And that's typical of a lawyer, which is what he was.

19:42.900 --> 19:44.460
If you ever look into the stuff that he did,

19:44.500 --> 19:48.060
it's pretty shocking, all the law stuff that he used to do.

19:48.200 --> 19:51.020
Just insane the things he used to do.

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And now he's the prime minister.

19:52.900 --> 19:55.320
Although I don't think he's going to be remembered

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as a great prime minister.

19:57.100 --> 19:59.860
Do you think he'll be remembered as a great prime minister?

20:00.040 --> 20:00.940
Probably not.

20:01.680 --> 20:04.520
I think it's time for a new prime minister.

20:04.840 --> 20:06.420
I'm keeping my fingers crossed

20:06.420 --> 20:09.840
that we're going to have one sooner rather than later.

20:10.000 --> 20:12.660
I'm amazed that he's lasted this long actually so far.

20:13.240 --> 20:14.640
Now there's a couple of other things.

20:17.520 --> 20:20.360
The Japan's made an announcement as well.

20:20.440 --> 20:24.840
They said they've only got 254 days of oil in their reserved

20:25.380 --> 20:27.980
and that it's going to cause a very serious problem

20:27.980 --> 20:32.520
for Japan if the straight isn't opened as soon as possible.

20:33.080 --> 20:36.440
This was a video of Dubai airport as well.

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Let me share my screen.

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This was Dubai airport just to show you what's happening right now.

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I mean, look at these queues.

20:50.380 --> 20:52.080
People trying to rush out the country.

20:57.730 --> 20:59.750
You know, I was thinking about that as well.

21:00.510 --> 21:02.030
But maybe I'm...

21:02.030 --> 21:05.150
What do they call people that don't mind war zones?

21:05.350 --> 21:06.510
Dark tourists or something?

21:06.890 --> 21:08.430
I guess I'm a bit of a dark tourist.

21:08.910 --> 21:11.330
I don't mind that sort of stuff at all.

21:11.330 --> 21:14.530
But I was thinking about this and this is what went through my mind.

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Maybe it's a bit of a strange thought,

21:15.850 --> 21:18.650
but all these people or the holiday makers now,

21:18.850 --> 21:21.250
even some that have just arrived, I just leave it.

21:21.810 --> 21:24.810
They're leaving and they're even on the cruise ships and everything.

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And they're trying to desperately rush back to the UK and Europe and other countries.

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And I was thinking to myself, if I were in that position,

21:33.630 --> 21:40.250
so I'm on a cruise ship or I'm on my holidays, my vacation,

21:40.730 --> 21:42.270
I'm on the beach or something,

21:42.890 --> 21:48.510
am I really going to be rushing to the airport to get back to the UK?

21:48.970 --> 21:50.750
No, I don't think I would.

21:51.430 --> 21:51.890
There's a couple...

21:51.890 --> 21:53.030
Yeah, there's some missiles flying,

21:53.190 --> 21:57.250
but the odds of me being hit are incredibly low,

21:57.570 --> 22:00.770
incredibly low on a cruise ship or on the beach or something.

22:01.250 --> 22:02.210
That's what I was thinking.

22:02.350 --> 22:04.050
Maybe I'm a bit weird with that thought anyway.

22:04.670 --> 22:05.750
Let me know your thoughts.

22:05.990 --> 22:07.850
But I wouldn't be rushing home.

22:08.310 --> 22:09.630
Like, what's the point in rushing home?

22:09.630 --> 22:10.810
You just paid for this holiday.

22:10.970 --> 22:13.150
If you paid for it, you'd need it probably.

22:13.330 --> 22:14.510
You're desperate for a holiday.

22:14.870 --> 22:16.130
And now everyone's rushing home.

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I don't get it.

22:17.670 --> 22:19.430
I don't think I'd be doing that myself.

22:20.210 --> 22:21.150
Okay, the other one then.

22:21.570 --> 22:22.630
This was a big one.

22:23.010 --> 22:24.350
I should have probably mentioned this earlier.

22:25.010 --> 22:30.550
So Saudi Arabia's largest oil refinery is on fire.

22:30.650 --> 22:35.290
This is 550,000 barrels of crude per day.

22:35.590 --> 22:39.010
And this was hit by an Iranian drone or missile.

22:39.010 --> 22:41.670
I'm not exactly sure, but it was hit by Iran.

22:42.570 --> 22:45.490
And then here was another interesting article.

22:46.090 --> 22:50.210
So you got all the private jets trying to leave now,

22:50.350 --> 22:51.710
just all the wealthy are.

22:52.170 --> 22:54.250
It says, even people on cruise ships,

22:54.810 --> 22:56.030
what, if you're on a cruise ship

22:56.030 --> 22:58.370
and you're out somewhere in the ocean there,

22:58.690 --> 23:00.450
I wouldn't be overly worried, to be honest.

23:00.690 --> 23:03.430
I'd be, I wouldn't be overly worried actually.

23:03.650 --> 23:04.630
Okay, here's another video.

23:04.870 --> 23:06.030
Let's get some sound on this.

23:09.150 --> 23:10.790
So this is Dubai at the moment.

23:16.880 --> 23:18.880
Okay, I'm not sure what I'm more surprised by.

23:19.520 --> 23:22.420
The video or her accent now, I didn't expect that one.

24:01.790 --> 24:04.950
Yeah, so a lot going on here then.

24:05.390 --> 24:07.770
But we, you know, we've talked about this quite a lot

24:07.770 --> 24:10.830
with preparedness and making sure

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that you don't get caught out with these sort of things.

24:13.050 --> 24:14.410
But this is always what happens.

24:14.510 --> 24:17.150
You even see it on the disaster movies,

24:17.790 --> 24:20.130
where people, they all rush to the store

24:20.130 --> 24:21.730
because they've got no supplies.

24:21.730 --> 24:24.070
They've got nothing filtering water.

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And this is some of you.

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I'm talking some of you as well.

24:26.910 --> 24:28.130
No, no supplies.

24:28.950 --> 24:31.710
Like, I have a friend who I've told you a story before.

24:32.110 --> 24:33.850
He keeps zero food at home.

24:33.930 --> 24:35.890
It's just like two days worth.

24:36.030 --> 24:37.490
He goes to the supermarket every day.

24:37.870 --> 24:40.490
He keeps about two days worth of food in his, in his fridge.

24:41.050 --> 24:42.730
He doesn't keep anything in the freezer.

24:43.250 --> 24:44.290
He hasn't got a pantry.

24:44.870 --> 24:46.050
I just think it's crazy.

24:46.430 --> 24:49.350
I always say to him, you're mad.

24:49.990 --> 24:52.750
Like, he's like, oh, well, there'll always be food and stuff like that.

24:52.970 --> 24:53.610
Not always.

24:53.790 --> 24:56.530
Sometimes you have these emergencies, like, like this one here,

24:56.750 --> 24:58.590
where people are now panicked by him.

24:58.690 --> 25:00.410
And you think, where does all the food come from

25:00.410 --> 25:03.690
that goes to Dubai and goes to the UAE and some of these places?

25:04.230 --> 25:06.270
I haven't, I mean, I don't know about you,

25:06.290 --> 25:08.710
but when I've been there, I haven't seen a lot of farms.

25:09.050 --> 25:10.090
It hasn't been very green.

25:10.610 --> 25:13.070
So I think a lot of it's probably flowing in.

25:13.570 --> 25:14.870
And that would be my assumption.

25:15.110 --> 25:15.990
It's flowing in.

25:16.350 --> 25:17.490
And if the flights are closed,

25:17.490 --> 25:20.330
how are people going to get, how are they going to get food?

25:20.810 --> 25:23.010
You know, there's just a few things I always,

25:23.270 --> 25:25.590
I always mentioned, yeah, a lot of flights now

25:25.590 --> 25:27.010
to the Middle East are canceled.

25:27.070 --> 25:29.310
If you've got plans to go there,

25:29.310 --> 25:31.290
or you're going to be sort of going,

25:31.490 --> 25:34.550
going through that region, you know, just,

25:35.510 --> 25:37.650
you might want to think about that a little bit now,

25:38.790 --> 25:39.190
truly.

25:39.650 --> 25:41.370
But yeah, there's a lot going on, ladies and gents.

25:41.710 --> 25:43.410
I am I worried?

25:43.910 --> 25:45.650
No, I'm not worried,

25:45.650 --> 25:47.290
but I know a lot of people are.

25:47.770 --> 25:49.850
So I want to be respectful to that,

25:49.930 --> 25:51.610
because there's a lot of people

25:51.610 --> 25:53.270
are speaking to people even today.

25:53.370 --> 25:54.870
And they're really worried.

25:55.350 --> 25:56.550
Quite, quite scared.

25:56.730 --> 25:58.890
A lot of people that this might turn into

25:58.890 --> 26:02.110
a major, major war at this, at this rate.

26:02.550 --> 26:04.770
So yeah, I'll keep you updated.

26:05.010 --> 26:06.990
I'm actually building my new studio at the moment.

26:07.130 --> 26:09.590
That's why I'm here, streaming from here,

26:09.590 --> 26:11.430
because I'm building a new studio.

26:11.430 --> 26:16.050
And we're releasing the course this weekend as well,

26:16.170 --> 26:18.030
that we talked about for a long time.

26:18.990 --> 26:22.230
It won't be released to socials until next week,

26:22.310 --> 26:23.430
Monday, Tuesday onwards.

26:23.850 --> 26:25.110
But if you're on the email list,

26:25.170 --> 26:27.030
or you're a current student in the academy,

26:27.190 --> 26:29.290
you'll get the courses this weekend.

26:30.050 --> 26:32.150
But yeah, so that's what's going on.

26:32.430 --> 26:33.290
A lot going on.

26:33.810 --> 26:35.910
Presentation on Wednesday for Uranium.

26:36.550 --> 26:38.010
Yeah, it's just crazy at the minute.

26:38.170 --> 26:39.310
It's a crazy, crazy time.

26:39.310 --> 26:43.030
And this whole thing situation is not helping

26:43.030 --> 26:44.150
for a lot of us, I know.

26:44.810 --> 26:46.310
But okay, thanks for watching today.

26:46.670 --> 26:48.670
Thanks for being a subscriber here, as always.

26:49.010 --> 26:49.790
Take care, God bless.

26:50.310 --> 26:52.390
Stay safe out there wherever you're watching from.

