WEBVTT

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There's a lot of talk of de-dollarization, as more countries around the world can't and don't want to trade in U.S. dollars.

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But which currency will replace the U.S. dollar?

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Now, some people are asking, could even China's currency make a serious dent on the U.S. dollar?

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My answer to this question for years has been no one currency will replace the U.S. dollar.

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It will be a number of currencies as we have increasing multi-polarity.

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That's true with currencies. It's true with geopolitics.

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It's true when you ask, where's the next place where successful people are going to want to move?

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The answer is there are more options than ever.

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Some people are going to move to Dubai. Some are going to move to Singapore.

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Some are going to move to Belgrade, Serbia. Some are going to move to somewhere really far flung.

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There are so many options out there.

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What we're seeing is the breakdown of these great powers.

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But China wants to capture a slice of those U.S. dollars.

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And I recently came across an article in Hong Kong's South China Morning Post.

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They asked, can China's yuan, now a familiar face around the world, become a must-have currency?

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And one of the numbers in this article is truly shocking.

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They say China's yuan has become more acceptable to foreign countries,

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but authorities still maintain tight control of fund flows under its capital account.

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That is true.

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So the story goes that when China's homegrown ARJ-21 regional jet was delivered to Indonesian airline Transnusa this past May,

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the leasing deal was carried out not in dollars, not in euros through one of the Irish subsidiaries that leases aircraft.

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But using the yuan, with an arrangement that held us a milestone in the internationalization of the Chinese currency.

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So you have a number of countries, a number of companies getting into the aircraft game in a bigger way.

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Partially at the back of Boeing having a lot of problems.

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And partially at the back of these countries want to be bigger players in important industries.

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The article quotes the Shanghai government, who says that this pioneering transaction highlights the high level of openness in the Lingang special area,

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promoting yuan internationalization and strengthening international cooperation.

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The aircraft was exported through the Lingang region, a free trade zone in southeast Shanghai that was set up in 2019,

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promoting foreign investment and financial opening up.

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China's growing economic influence in trade with the rest of the world has made the yuan more acceptable to foreign countries

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compared to 20 years ago when Beijing first began to experiment easing its capital controls.

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Now what have we said was also happening about 20 years ago at the turn of the century?

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About one quarter as many countries in the world were sanctioned by the U.S. government.

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It's been the century of sanctions.

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And what have we also told you in the last 20 or so years?

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Places you never would have lived in, never would have invested in, never would have thought of have now become,

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if not household names, serious contenders.

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Who took Dubai seriously at the turn of the century?

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And before you know it, people are moving there and a lot of things are happening.

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And there's a lot of places that don't get nearly the press that Dubai gets.

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Those are the places that we talk about, those are the places that we share with our clients.

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If you're looking for a place to diversify your assets, lower your taxes, protect your freedom, have a plan B,

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go to nomadcapitalist.com.

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We have more options than anybody.

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I was just next to the CKO, our chief knowledge officer in a flight pops up,

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oh, we got an alert about the corporate tax rate increasing in Eswatini.

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We keep our eye on more places that I think anybody else in the industry.

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And this is why we realize there's more options out there.

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And so the bottom line is there are so many different players in the game now compared to what I was born.

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There were a few geopolitically and financially important countries in the world

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and the rest were just kind of struggling to make it.

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That is a dramatically different situation today.

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That can benefit you if you choose to get your residences and citizenships

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and diversify your money and banks and choose to set up your offshore trust

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and just choose to take advantage of all the world has to offer.

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That's what we help our clients do.

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But China is playing the same game.

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In the first half of 2024, the yuan made up 52% of China's cross-border payments and receipts

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compared with 43% for the US dollar.

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So just this year, 52% of cross-border payments

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are in Chinese, and maybe in the yuan, only 42% of the US dollar.

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That's a 9% delta.

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This is what the article calls the yuan share in China's cross-border payment

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climbing significantly.

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Here's why.

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10 years ago, not 20 years ago, not turn of the century.

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10 years ago, the figures stood at 23 and 67% respectively.

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That's according to Bank ANZ.

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So from 23 to 52%, that's a game changer.

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They didn't just flip.

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They flipped and blew the delta wide open.

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So what you're seeing is countries around the world increasingly

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willing to accept the yuan in trade.

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What does that tell you?

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Well, what it tells you is, you know, I grew up in the United States.

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If you're sitting in the US, if you're sitting in Canada,

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if you're sitting in Australia, the UK, some Western country,

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and you're watching Western TV and you have Western friends,

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and your world is pretty much in the West.

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You would think, who wants this Chinese thing?

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The world tells us China's terrible.

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Who wants to deal with them?

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They're the worst.

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Well, the so-called entire global south, these emerging countries

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that are pretty much non-aligned.

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Africa, increasingly South America, very much increasingly Asia.

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We just saw numbers recently.

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Malaysia, 75% of Malaysians, some of the nicest people,

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they said, if we had to choose between the US and China,

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75% would choose China.

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Now, do you think they're all voting against their best interest?

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Or do you think maybe they know something

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or they think something about China that the West does not?

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And so whether you agree with them or not,

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they're going to be more likely as China offers them better deals.

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And we've seen that.

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It's been a big theme from African countries.

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China gives us a better deal.

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I keep seeing story after story after story,

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not just from the South China Morning Post in Hong Kong,

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but from papers all around the world.

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I follow a lot of news in Africa, the Middle East.

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And hey, China's bringing us a better deal.

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It's not just about the geopolitics.

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It's about the trade.

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So you can like it.

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You can not like it.

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You can say, oh, they're making a mistake.

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Well, this is what's happening.

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From 23% to 52% more than double,

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dramatically flipped it and, you know,

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opened that, you know, closed the delta.

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Article continues in mid-China's pursuit of building

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the world's second largest economy into a financial power.

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A strong currency and infrastructure are key.

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That's one of the things that China didn't have.

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Ah, they get this currency.

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It's controlled.

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Who wants it?

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Well, the countries that have been shut out by the US.

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And again, let's go back to when I was born.

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Turn 40 this year.

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Go back to when I was born,

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before the Berlin Wall fell.

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Very different world in just 40 years.

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The US figured, hey, whomever we don't like,

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we'll use our might and we'll just shut them out.

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And they'll be eating bugs because what's the competition?

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Soviet Union was on its last leg, collapsed.

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I remember being a kid.

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I told it.

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Watching stuff in elementary school.

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Oh, here's the Chinese.

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They're riding bicycles to work.

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They ain't riding bicycles anymore.

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The world has changed.

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And so all those countries that the US used to say,

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we don't like you.

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Maybe we tried to invade your country or topple your regime

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And we couldn't do it.

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So we don't like you.

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You're going in the naughty list and you're just going

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To be written off into the ash heap of history.

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Well, number one, those countries have grown a lot faster

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In the West.

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They've gotten together.

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They've gotten more confident.

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And they've said, okay, what's our solution?

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We're not going to do the US.

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We're not going to involve the US.

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What's the US answer?

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Well, there's a symbiotic relationship between the government

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That people elect and the attitude they take

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And the actual people themselves.

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I'll tell you what we see, even right here on this channel

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Is arrogant people who say, well, if they don't want to do

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Things that way, we don't need them.

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We're better.

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We don't need these hellhole countries.

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Okay, well, what happens all the quote unquote hellhole

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Countries get together and they are more than half

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Of the world's population.

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Look at bricks.

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It's a big chunk of the population.

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You got, you know, 1.3 billion, 1.4 billion.

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There's a couple of new countries, you know, added 6, 7,

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You know, 100 million in each country.

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If something like 3.5 billion countries out of the 10

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That are now in what they call bricks plus.

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You think they don't want to make more money?

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You think they don't see everything with the internet

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And, you know, people are getting wealthier

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And more people are getting to the middle class.

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You think that they just want to stay where they're at?

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Whether you like it or not, you agree with them or not.

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They're going to be there.

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That's a big force to be reckoned with.

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And they're saying it's our time to shine.

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This is the, you know, listen, the internet and global

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Connectivity and global trade wasn't always going to

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Just benefit the U.S. and Germany.

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It was going to benefit everybody.

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But those people, those countries have remained shut out.

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Not all of them have.

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Indonesia is not necessarily shut out.

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But they're saying, hey, let's just be greater friends

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With this party in our region and let's develop more ties

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And let's not involve the drama that comes with the U.S.

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I left the U.S. for a number of reasons.

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Many were personal.

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Well, from a business side, lower regulation, less paperwork,

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Got to save some money and taxes.

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Those are all reasons people go where they're treated best.

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Those are the five magic words.

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Go where you're treated best.

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And it works for countries, too.

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It works for businesses. It works for people.

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If there's a better deal over here, less hassle, less risk,

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Less potential blowback, yeah, we're going to go over here.

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We'll pay for our jet. We'll lease our jet in the Yuan.

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Enough a dollar, not the Euro.

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And when that happens long enough, you're going to see

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The final gasps of a certain level of power

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From the high-tax Western legacy-brained countries.

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She-a-lay, chief economist for Asia at BBVA Bank Research

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That has strong currency means everyone would like to hold it.

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It also means it could be used in financing like the U.S. dollar.

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It's a currency that could be used in multiple venues.

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In July 2024, the Yuan retained its position as the fourth most active currency

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For global payments by value.

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You probably wouldn't think that.

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You know, if you're watching Western media,

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Because they want to tell you, China, they're falling apart.

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Look at the housing crisis. Look at that.

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Listen, I'm not here advocating for China, right?

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I don't-China is irrelevant to me.

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What is relevant to me is you.

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You live in a high-tax, legacy-brained Western country.

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Many of you do.

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And you think that things are going to go on the way they always have.

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Now, you realize that's changing.

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The fault lines, the cracks are showing.

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People like each other's throats in countries like the U.S.

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But you may think, hey, we have more time.

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You may think, I don't have to divorce by my business.

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I don't have to divorce by my money.

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What happens when this big flip gets even bigger

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And happens in more countries?

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And a greater percentage of world trade shifts to the so-called global stuff?

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Well, I'll tell you what happens.

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You see Western powers becoming less and less and less geopolitically relevant.

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That geopolitical relevance always fed into the financial relevance.

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Petrodollar, many other things.

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The hegemony goes down. Relevance goes down.

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Now, forget the ego impact of that because I think a lot of people somehow

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Think that being from a big Western country that's important

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And people know about it is something to be proud of.

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I banish that from your mind.

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You should be proud of yourself and what you've accomplished

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And your impact on the world.

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Not the fact that I'm an American and everybody wants our dollar.

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Who cares?

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But your government is going to have to find more ways

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To not only bring in money but keep its relevance.

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Do you think the kid who had all the toys wants to see other kids

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Taking some of the toys? Do they want to start sharing?

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No. So what do they do? They throw a temper tantrum.

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Like a caged tiger. Like an animal you backed into a corner.

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They come out swinging. They're going to come out swinging financially.

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They're going to raise your taxes. Look at the UK.

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Every day I wake up, I get more headlines.

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They want a new tax. They want this new tax.

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And I'm telling you, I've never seen politicians in all my life

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Doing it with such a smile and with such imperiousness.

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This new labor party in the UK, they hate the successful.

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They're looking at every possible way to screw you.

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And every time it's like, oh, you added sales tax

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And their public school tuition. Yeah, they're jerks.

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How dare they not send their kids to our government schools.

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It was like literally what one guy said.

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They are coming out with great pleasure to take all the money that they can.

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They're going to raise your taxes higher than you've ever seen.

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And it's not just in the UK. It's going to happen in other countries too.

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The playbook will be a little bit different, but it will basically be the same.

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People who had a monopoly on power. People who had a monopoly on a wealth.

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Or alas. Not happy that now they have to share.

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Not happy that now they don't get to call the shots.

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They don't have the heft. You are going to pay the price.

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So what I've told folks in the UK is better years too early than a day too late.

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They're going to roll out all these new taxes.

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You want to find a place to be before that happens if you value your money.

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But it's not just the actual taxes themselves.

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It's the attitude that comes with it.

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And who knows in what other way that manifests itself.

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That all comes from this.

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It all comes from other countries decide to cut out the country you live in.

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The currency you use. And as that becomes less and less relevant.

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I'm not saying it becomes irrelevant. The dollar is not going to toilet paper.

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Now we can look at the last 100-year chart.

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It's effectively toilet paper over 100 years, but it's not toilet paper tomorrow.

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It won't be irrelevant. It will always have a role.

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But it will be sharing the stage with many other players.

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It will be a much smaller player.

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What we know is changes happen at the margins.

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I've told you before I think the U.S. home ownership rate

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pre-global financial crisis was 69%. I think at the trough it was 63%.

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Even in the Great Depression unemployment peaked at 26%.

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It's not like nobody had a job. Three out of four people had a job.

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It's those marginal changes. Look at unemployment when it goes from 4% to 6%.

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Bad stuff happens. Home ownership goes in a few points.

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Foreign direct investment comes out.

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Any of these things. Marginal declines have big impacts.

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We've shared the numbers of how the U.S. dollar has gone from

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the 70s to in the 50s in terms of world reserve currency.

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This is going to keep pushing that in the wrong direction.

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And I think it's a big part of what's happened because the changes

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that you've seen this century. People have more acutely seen them.

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Obviously due to the pandemic, but in the last five and ten years,

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I started Nomad Capitalist in 2012. People thought I was nuts.

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Who would want to leave the West? Why would you want a second passport

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in a Caribbean country if you're an American or Canadian?

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And people now are realizing it. Yeah, I want to move to a country

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no one's heard of. I want a second passport from a smaller country

15:52.670 --> 15:56.710
because we realize this stuff right here is driving the big

15:56.710 --> 15:59.850
governments that have the power and lose it to get angry.

16:00.490 --> 16:03.170
Get a citizenship of a country that never had the power.

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There's no anger to have. Move your assets to a place where

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their business is managing assets. They're not going to be

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imperious to you like Kier Starmer is or Justin Trudeau is

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or what's his name? Tony Albania, Australia.

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Go somewhere where you are treated best. That's what

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Nomad Capitalist helps our clients do. You can go to

16:26.130 --> 16:30.490
nomadcapitalist.com. We help seven, eight and nine figure

16:30.490 --> 16:35.350
entrepreneurs and investors to do that. We also help people

16:35.350 --> 16:38.710
remove the ego of saying that somehow being an American is

16:38.710 --> 16:41.470
an advantage. It's not. It's going to be a disadvantage.

16:42.030 --> 16:45.950
It already is in terms of global business and banking and

16:45.950 --> 16:48.290
all those things. It's going to be a bigger disadvantage.

16:49.090 --> 16:51.970
If not even for yourself, for your kids, have dual

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nationality. Don't be tied to the past.

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Don't be tied to legacy brand countries gasping for air as

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they lose power. Have a second passport, have second

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residence permits, have some money somewhere else when they

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want to come for you. That may sound extreme.

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They've done it time after time after time.

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You want to have a backup plan. And this is why.

