WEBVTT 00:00.000 --> 00:01.420 You ready for another lockdown? 00:01.860 --> 00:02.420 It's here. 00:02.760 --> 00:05.320 This time it's gonna be because of the fuel not COVID 00:05.800 --> 00:06.440 here in Taiwan. 00:06.740 --> 00:08.700 It's not exactly like they're showing you on the news. 00:08.780 --> 00:10.380 There's no mass panic because the fuel, 00:10.660 --> 00:12.320 well, everybody's driving just as normal. 00:12.480 --> 00:14.080 So what are we seeing here? 00:14.380 --> 00:17.420 But you can get ready for more and more restrictions. 00:17.740 --> 00:18.660 Such walk through them, 00:18.700 --> 00:20.980 what you can expect, maybe a timeline going out. 00:21.020 --> 00:23.060 But here's your playbook. 00:31.460 --> 00:33.920 The reason I'm saying this is worldwide 00:33.920 --> 00:36.180 they're talking about working from home again 00:36.180 --> 00:38.300 four day work weeks, driving less. 00:38.540 --> 00:39.340 You're gonna have to carpool. 00:39.500 --> 00:40.940 You're gonna have to not fly as much. 00:41.180 --> 00:41.820 You're gonna, wait a minute, 00:41.920 --> 00:44.600 that checks the boxes of almost all these goals 00:44.600 --> 00:46.900 a little bit further into the future that we're hearing. 00:47.260 --> 00:49.660 You'll have to have permission to drive your car. 00:50.500 --> 00:51.880 Let's dive into it. 00:52.140 --> 00:54.560 Starting with the IEA, 00:55.420 --> 00:56.760 sheltering from oil shocks. 00:56.900 --> 00:58.340 These are the 10 measures right now 00:58.340 --> 01:00.640 to reduce impacts on households and businesses. 01:01.680 --> 01:03.160 With your billion dollar budgets, 01:03.320 --> 01:04.840 could you please do better graphics? 01:05.020 --> 01:05.720 This is horrible. 01:05.720 --> 01:07.540 It's like a third grader put this together. 01:07.840 --> 01:09.540 Just constructive criticism. 01:10.060 --> 01:13.020 Could you not scrape an emoji off the internet 01:13.020 --> 01:15.100 off of Emojipedia or something and at least do, 01:15.680 --> 01:16.520 we'll start on the left. 01:17.480 --> 01:20.580 Alternate day car access in big cities, 01:20.580 --> 01:24.660 meaning even odd license plates or letters, 01:24.940 --> 01:26.920 whatever they're using, going into a city. 01:27.400 --> 01:28.440 Increased car sharing, 01:28.880 --> 01:30.560 drive commercial vehicles efficiently 01:30.560 --> 01:32.160 and then we got lower highway speeds. 01:32.360 --> 01:34.580 We saw that in the 70s, 55 mile an hour. 01:35.200 --> 01:37.080 Avoid air travel on the far right. 01:37.640 --> 01:41.240 A little bit easier for you to read it with this list here. 01:41.620 --> 01:44.920 Work from home when possible, right at the top. 01:45.040 --> 01:46.340 Encourage public transport. 01:47.380 --> 01:50.280 I've been looking for these signs, zero in Taiwan. 01:50.940 --> 01:53.360 Had a friend in Japan driving around for the last two days. 01:53.740 --> 01:56.020 Hasn't seen it up there either, zero in Japan, 01:56.160 --> 01:57.600 but the news would have you believe 01:57.600 --> 02:00.560 every station's closed across the planet in Asia. 02:01.300 --> 02:03.500 Oil dependencies, supply crisis, visualization. 02:04.840 --> 02:07.280 I'm in the red, I'm not seeing any, 02:07.880 --> 02:11.360 fuel prices went up 15%, but that is it here in Taiwan. 02:12.060 --> 02:13.400 Just an on the ground assessment. 02:13.900 --> 02:16.320 I am not seeing what you are being delivered 02:16.320 --> 02:18.460 into the news here as what is happening. 02:19.440 --> 02:22.200 South Korea announces mandatory fuel rationing 02:22.200 --> 02:24.880 and check right on cue vehicles 02:24.880 --> 02:27.660 at public institutions barred from operating one day 02:27.660 --> 02:30.420 each week and a five day license plate rotation. 02:30.420 --> 02:33.520 Hey, that sounded like alternate day car access 02:33.520 --> 02:34.400 in big cities. 02:35.000 --> 02:37.520 Breaking South Korea has started a nationwide energy 02:37.520 --> 02:40.600 saving campaign, urging people to take shorter showers, 02:43.820 --> 02:46.960 bicycles for short trips, charge phones and vehicles, 02:47.500 --> 02:49.380 electric vehicles at night, not to strain the grid 02:49.380 --> 02:50.360 during the middle of the day. 02:51.540 --> 02:52.780 I mean, I had a laugh. 02:54.460 --> 02:56.500 Take a shorter shower, that's going 02:56.500 --> 02:57.880 to save the energy crisis. 02:58.140 --> 02:58.680 Oh, come on. 02:59.220 --> 03:02.240 This is maniacal and absolutely ridiculous, the things. 03:02.820 --> 03:05.440 But again, 2022, what did they ask us to do? 03:05.560 --> 03:08.000 Some of the ridiculousness is being just recycled, 03:08.840 --> 03:11.140 maybe adding a little bit different fabric softener 03:11.140 --> 03:12.900 on it, but it's going through the wash again. 03:14.260 --> 03:17.640 Vietnam, check, work from home, prices spike. 03:18.840 --> 03:20.400 But wait, we've already been trained to work from home. 03:20.440 --> 03:21.480 That'll be super easy. 03:22.200 --> 03:23.020 Just do it again. 03:23.420 --> 03:24.860 COVID gave us hybrid work week. 03:25.420 --> 03:28.360 This war might give us a four day work week permanently. 03:29.280 --> 03:31.920 Oh, wait, that was one of the plans, I guess, 03:32.020 --> 03:33.960 at the end of this decade, wasn't it? 03:33.980 --> 03:35.140 We would all be working from home. 03:35.540 --> 03:38.020 Officers would be closed, so we didn't need to go anywhere. 03:38.900 --> 03:41.120 But let's go back on to the bad graphics here. 03:41.460 --> 03:43.520 Avoid air travel far right at the bottom 03:44.500 --> 03:45.960 if alternatives exist. 03:46.640 --> 03:48.280 Oh, wait, you might get stuck in the Philippines. 03:49.140 --> 03:51.360 Plains grounded, they don't have enough aviation fuel. 03:51.440 --> 03:53.740 If you go to one-way trip, don't you dare travel? 03:53.740 --> 03:55.060 You get stuck at your destination. 03:55.820 --> 03:56.700 Rethink everything. 03:57.080 --> 03:59.360 Yeah, that's what the messaging is here. 04:00.220 --> 04:01.280 And the gamification. 04:01.700 --> 04:03.760 Of course, we have the countdown clock, 04:03.920 --> 04:05.380 or I should say a clown down clock. 04:05.940 --> 04:06.980 Every movie has one. 04:07.680 --> 04:09.760 It's gonna detonate three, two, one. 04:09.960 --> 04:10.720 Oh, there's a timer. 04:10.920 --> 04:11.400 Oh, the release. 04:11.740 --> 04:12.280 Oh, this, that. 04:12.460 --> 04:13.300 They've already trained you 04:13.300 --> 04:14.700 through the movie's countdown clock. 04:15.640 --> 04:16.760 There we go, 42 days. 04:17.740 --> 04:19.740 Critical diesel fuel shortages in New Zealand. 04:20.380 --> 04:22.960 I'm gonna give props to whoever did the API 04:22.960 --> 04:26.160 and created this real-time status 04:26.160 --> 04:29.400 for fuel disruptions and availability in New Zealand. 04:29.900 --> 04:32.060 Unbelievable, you did such an amazing job. 04:32.300 --> 04:36.000 Like I was blown away, the amount of data on this thing 04:36.000 --> 04:38.180 is like, wow, every country needs to do this. 04:38.220 --> 04:39.820 And whoever did it, again, props to you. 04:39.900 --> 04:40.660 This is amazing. 04:41.840 --> 04:43.500 So those supply projections, 04:43.760 --> 04:44.820 and we'll show you the different lines 04:44.820 --> 04:47.080 just like they have with different emissions scenarios 04:47.080 --> 04:48.180 and temperature rises. 04:48.800 --> 04:50.800 It's so easy to copy-paste that, you know? 04:50.860 --> 04:52.580 You've already been trained for 40 years. 04:52.580 --> 04:53.940 Why not use the same data? 04:55.360 --> 04:57.620 If there's no intervention and they don't do rationing, 04:58.020 --> 05:02.300 diesel top right will run out approximately April 17th. 05:03.520 --> 05:05.680 Hey everyone, are you ready to grow 05:05.680 --> 05:07.880 your own fresh, delicious vegetables, 05:08.300 --> 05:10.440 herbs and 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stoplight, 06:25.360 --> 06:27.780 just like the things that we saw in 2022, 06:28.260 --> 06:31.880 red bad days, red extreme danger in the city, yellow. 06:32.120 --> 06:33.680 You know, we've all been trained for these same colors. 06:33.940 --> 06:34.780 So just follow the colors. 06:35.660 --> 06:37.540 You might as well lock down 40% 06:37.540 --> 06:39.680 although they reversed it green good this time. 06:39.780 --> 06:40.760 Well, green bad actually 06:40.760 --> 06:42.560 because it's the lockdown point. 06:42.840 --> 06:44.080 So they can't have it exactly 06:44.080 --> 06:46.760 because you might catch on supply projections. 06:47.460 --> 06:48.820 So the historical current, 06:48.960 --> 06:50.340 well, New Zealand's dropping off a cliff 06:50.340 --> 06:51.640 they're really relying on imports, 06:51.820 --> 06:52.640 obviously they're in Ireland. 06:52.820 --> 06:53.360 Well, so is Taiwan, 06:53.560 --> 06:56.380 but I'm just not seeing this same scenario play out here. 06:56.980 --> 06:58.980 No intervention baseline is red obviously 06:58.980 --> 07:02.780 and this is just the regular car petrol center there, top right. 07:03.600 --> 07:06.340 And the emergency lockdown will take us to 40% 07:06.340 --> 07:08.800 I guess savings and that'll extend itself 07:08.800 --> 07:10.980 from like April 20th all the way up to like, 07:11.300 --> 07:13.500 I don't know, May 14th or something. 07:14.120 --> 07:15.260 A little extra on that. 07:15.260 --> 07:16.680 So we got to go to the jet fuel. 07:16.760 --> 07:18.580 This is the important one that they're really pushing here, 07:18.640 --> 07:19.540 the aviation fuels. 07:20.400 --> 07:21.480 Again, it's very similar. 07:21.700 --> 07:23.660 You might buy yourself a week or two maximum 07:23.660 --> 07:25.860 by going complete draconian style, 07:26.060 --> 07:28.700 but hey, a week of fuels, a week of fuel 07:28.700 --> 07:30.100 got to get you trained again. 07:31.960 --> 07:36.020 Thailand, the fuel prices at station soar 07:36.020 --> 07:40.680 six bottle liter where they were at 32, 33 bottle liter anyway. 07:41.100 --> 07:43.860 So looking about 20% increase, 07:43.860 --> 07:46.960 but hey, in America, we were well over 20% already. 07:47.380 --> 07:50.000 So, you know, the headlines are scarier 07:50.000 --> 07:51.220 than what's truly occurring. 07:52.120 --> 07:56.780 And just a fact, oh, Indian fuel prices up five rupees a liter. 07:57.120 --> 08:01.300 Again, that's within the baseline of just percentages 08:01.300 --> 08:02.940 not doubling or anything. 08:03.020 --> 08:05.840 And then if we go over to Germany limits fuel price hikes, 08:05.840 --> 08:08.880 they're going from 175 euro to 2 euro a liter. 08:09.040 --> 08:09.960 So 25 cents. 08:10.060 --> 08:12.260 So this is equivalent per liter 08:12.260 --> 08:13.920 and you need four liters to make a gallon. 08:14.080 --> 08:15.240 So it's up a buck a gallon. 08:16.820 --> 08:17.900 But here's the interesting part. 08:18.080 --> 08:20.980 On the bottom there, rising fuel cost, hitting haulage. 08:21.860 --> 08:23.880 So diesel accounts for 30% of haulage costs 08:23.880 --> 08:27.000 or haul bills for a better term. 08:27.440 --> 08:30.400 What a cost to get it in a truck from point A to point B. 08:31.000 --> 08:33.760 And now just because that very small increase, 08:33.920 --> 08:36.820 they're already raising rates eight to 10%. 08:37.740 --> 08:40.540 Then for sure those costs are going to be passed on to you and me. 08:40.540 --> 08:43.260 Now remember yesterday's video saying that the Straits and Hormuz 08:43.260 --> 08:47.120 eat on now is going to be charging two to four million dollars 08:47.120 --> 08:49.100 per vessel that's going to transit through. 08:49.140 --> 08:50.980 So that's another additional add on cost. 08:51.640 --> 08:54.080 The inflation involved in this is going to drive prices up. 08:54.460 --> 08:56.400 Now we can see everybody because fuel is going to get more 08:56.400 --> 08:58.000 expensive on the diesel side saying, 08:58.040 --> 09:00.840 hey, we need to charge at least 8, 10% more. 09:01.560 --> 09:05.720 So all of these added up, it's 1,000 cuts for a better term. 09:06.320 --> 09:08.220 And prices are going to quickly start doubling. 09:10.040 --> 09:13.460 Is this or was this sort of in the scenarios 09:13.460 --> 09:16.080 anyway by the end of the decade is the question 09:16.080 --> 09:17.660 because we kept reading about it, 09:17.660 --> 09:20.640 kept hearing about it for the last I don't know, 09:20.680 --> 09:24.980 five or six years, 2018, 19 people were written books about it. 09:25.100 --> 09:26.320 Things are going to reset. 09:26.540 --> 09:27.560 We're coming to a new economy. 09:27.740 --> 09:28.340 They're going to do this, 09:28.400 --> 09:31.480 but it's going to be note because nobody will accept it forced. 09:32.500 --> 09:34.600 So my question again is perfect timing. 09:35.080 --> 09:37.760 Everything's been pre-trained for the first three, four years. 09:38.200 --> 09:39.480 Now it had a, you know, 09:39.520 --> 09:41.360 it's like they had to let off the pressure there for a minute. 09:41.380 --> 09:42.800 Now we're back on high pressure again. 09:43.220 --> 09:45.280 All the training kicks right back in, work from home. 09:45.280 --> 09:46.060 Oh, we already did that. 09:46.140 --> 09:48.960 I've just reset out my cameras and the office kicked the kids out. 09:49.080 --> 09:50.020 They're going to have to live together. 09:50.420 --> 09:51.460 Bedroom turns into the office. 09:51.680 --> 09:52.100 Don't care. 09:52.860 --> 09:53.720 Everybody's under duress. 09:53.880 --> 09:54.840 They got to suffer a little, 09:55.360 --> 09:56.740 little Johnny can't have his own bedroom. 09:57.660 --> 10:00.760 So, you know, we're coming back to this thing exactly again. 10:00.840 --> 10:02.560 And you wonder, you know, 10:02.600 --> 10:04.520 what the ultimate costs are going to be for this 10:04.520 --> 10:06.260 because once the prices get elevated, 10:06.980 --> 10:08.340 they're just not going to come down. 10:08.440 --> 10:11.340 Because remember your 2018 and 19 prices before COVID, 10:11.800 --> 10:14.260 once they reach those maximum levels, 10:14.500 --> 10:15.700 they barely came down. 10:16.120 --> 10:20.840 Our food still substantially more than it was 2017, 18, 19. 10:22.000 --> 10:23.500 This will also be the same, 10:23.660 --> 10:26.060 like substantially up from the COVID up prices 10:26.060 --> 10:28.320 is going to stay there and it'll just hang out 10:28.320 --> 10:29.580 after this event is finished. 10:29.820 --> 10:31.260 Do you think these retailers are going to, 10:31.260 --> 10:34.060 you know, take a hit and bring their prices back down? 10:34.280 --> 10:35.480 Never, never. 10:36.260 --> 10:37.120 This is where it comes in. 10:37.180 --> 10:38.620 You might need some universal basic income 10:38.620 --> 10:40.480 to afford the new high food prices. 10:41.100 --> 10:43.340 Well, that was already baked in the cake too, wasn't it? 10:43.820 --> 10:44.460 AIs here. 10:45.140 --> 10:46.220 It's all too convenient. 10:46.400 --> 10:48.440 This thing wraps into a sweet little package. 10:50.560 --> 10:53.900 Hey, in the European fuel shortages slash rationing, 10:53.980 --> 10:55.640 Slovenia becomes the first. 10:55.860 --> 10:57.680 You're like, oh no, it's in Europe now too. 10:57.860 --> 10:58.860 And it just keeps rolling. 10:59.000 --> 11:00.040 I haven't heard much in South America. 11:00.520 --> 11:02.600 So I'm surfing the news every day hard 11:02.600 --> 11:03.500 looking for these things. 11:04.300 --> 11:07.560 Energy rationing coming to the EU, coming to the UK. 11:08.020 --> 11:09.160 They're already broadcasting. 11:09.480 --> 11:11.040 You are going to have to deal with this because, 11:11.320 --> 11:12.000 well, they say so. 11:13.500 --> 11:16.380 African nations, fuel shortages triggered by the conflict. 11:16.680 --> 11:17.960 Got to be rationing as well. 11:18.040 --> 11:18.880 And they keep mentioning COVID. 11:19.780 --> 11:21.240 Home, work from home measures. 11:21.800 --> 11:23.020 And there's forced measure out. 11:23.300 --> 11:24.380 Fertilizer is going to be next. 11:25.180 --> 11:27.200 So I wanted to dive in Australia here. 11:27.340 --> 11:28.660 This is another one. 11:28.780 --> 11:29.580 They're running out of fuel. 11:29.940 --> 11:31.180 Now again, how much are they 11:31.180 --> 11:33.420 or how much is purposely held back 11:33.420 --> 11:35.700 because you got to realize military's government, 11:35.840 --> 11:36.780 they're going to pull back first 11:36.780 --> 11:38.620 and barely trickle some out to the public. 11:38.900 --> 11:40.480 So fuels there somewhere. 11:41.640 --> 11:43.760 Public's just not getting their full share of it. 11:44.820 --> 11:46.060 Fuel siphoning from cars. 11:46.240 --> 11:47.540 So that means people putting a hose down 11:47.540 --> 11:50.020 and then siphoning fuel out of the cars 11:50.020 --> 11:50.920 to get it for free. 11:51.040 --> 11:53.180 Going to put some locks on your gas tanks. 11:54.060 --> 11:55.440 Now this is back on March 22nd 11:55.440 --> 11:56.680 and we're only at the 26th. 11:56.680 --> 11:58.580 So I'm going to walk you through four days at time. 11:59.700 --> 12:01.860 107 fuel stations are out of diesel. 12:02.260 --> 12:04.040 47 were totally out of fuel. 12:04.760 --> 12:09.360 So I was wondering how many fuel stations are in Australia 12:09.360 --> 12:12.300 because other news comes out and says 12:12.300 --> 12:14.800 there's 500 stations that are out of 12:14.800 --> 12:16.020 at least petrol or diesel. 12:16.580 --> 12:18.820 And then it said there's 600 stations 12:18.820 --> 12:20.840 in addition to the European shortages. 12:21.560 --> 12:25.200 So I jumped on a rock and there's 7,800 service stations 12:25.200 --> 12:27.340 or petrol stations, gas stations in Australia. 12:28.580 --> 12:30.780 And if 47 of those are out of fuel 12:30.780 --> 12:33.580 as based on the March 22nd numbers, 12:33.780 --> 12:38.120 that is 0.6% of the stations are out of fuel. 12:39.980 --> 12:40.820 Here's the gray line. 12:40.960 --> 12:43.280 600 stations are out roughly 8% 12:43.940 --> 12:45.720 are missing at least one type of fuel. 12:45.840 --> 12:47.160 They're not totally out of fuel. 12:47.240 --> 12:48.900 See they're juggling this out of fuel 12:48.900 --> 12:49.880 out of totally out of fuel 12:49.880 --> 12:50.880 out of a type of fuel. 12:51.040 --> 12:51.900 Going to get more. 12:52.160 --> 12:53.200 Got to ration it. 12:53.500 --> 12:57.020 So again the juggling act of the information itself 12:57.760 --> 12:59.140 it was they're out of fuel. 12:59.520 --> 13:00.920 Oh wait, there's only out of fuel some. 13:01.080 --> 13:03.000 There's some out of diesel, some out of gasoline. 13:03.880 --> 13:05.460 And they're going to keep juggling this around. 13:05.620 --> 13:07.020 But the ultimate point is governments 13:07.020 --> 13:08.180 serve governments first. 13:08.480 --> 13:09.720 Like for a continuity of government, 13:09.940 --> 13:11.080 of course you're going to have the fuel. 13:11.760 --> 13:12.860 So what's being trickled down 13:12.860 --> 13:13.820 and given out to the public 13:13.820 --> 13:15.420 is through the government 13:15.420 --> 13:18.060 and its systems of private partnerships 13:18.060 --> 13:20.200 through the refineries, through the distributors, 13:20.320 --> 13:21.840 through the importers and the ports 13:22.540 --> 13:24.640 going out and delivering that to the public. 13:24.780 --> 13:26.680 What's left after governments take there 13:26.680 --> 13:28.260 what they need for continuity for military 13:28.260 --> 13:30.540 obviously you know emergency operations 13:30.540 --> 13:32.340 they're going to need an entire bevy 13:32.340 --> 13:33.620 of fuel needs themselves. 13:34.280 --> 13:35.880 They let the tanks go way low. 13:36.120 --> 13:38.000 They're refilling as this is going on. 13:38.320 --> 13:41.120 So the fuel shortages at least has had 13:41.120 --> 13:43.000 the best I can explain it is. 13:43.680 --> 13:45.360 These are currently artificial 13:45.360 --> 13:47.740 because governments are pulling fuel first 13:47.740 --> 13:49.080 and they're leaving what is left 13:49.080 --> 13:51.200 after their needs back to the public. 13:51.740 --> 13:54.940 So nothing's running out really at 100% everywhere. 13:54.940 --> 13:56.980 It is being restricted because 13:56.980 --> 13:59.240 well the first flows are going elsewhere. 14:00.320 --> 14:02.900 And this whole thing being played out as this 14:03.620 --> 14:06.020 you know juggling numbers game 14:06.020 --> 14:07.840 with juggled bits of information 14:07.840 --> 14:10.420 some of it true some of it 14:11.560 --> 14:13.320 misconstrued to create confusion. 14:13.800 --> 14:15.740 Unless the world we're living in right now 14:15.740 --> 14:18.320 so be very discerning on what you're seeing in the news. 14:20.620 --> 14:22.540 Let's jump on to the hardest hit countries 14:22.540 --> 14:26.280 with quantified station closures slash outages. 14:27.220 --> 14:32.460 And now a thousand stations are out of fuel or closed. 14:32.700 --> 14:34.480 Now again that they didn't dissect it 14:34.480 --> 14:36.380 out of total fuel or only out of diesel 14:36.380 --> 14:38.240 or only out of certain types of fuels. 14:38.780 --> 14:41.440 High octane low octane ethanol blends. 14:41.720 --> 14:43.180 They're not really specific 14:43.800 --> 14:46.920 but about over 40% are affected. 14:47.200 --> 14:49.680 If you got 2500 stations thousand are affected. 14:51.780 --> 14:54.300 Cambodia 364 stations out of their 6300 14:54.300 --> 14:57.060 put you around 6% Philippines. 14:57.540 --> 14:59.220 This is a big one they keep putting the Philippines 14:59.220 --> 15:01.060 everywhere I'm looking Philippine headlines. 15:01.260 --> 15:03.200 I don't know why they're focusing on this place so much. 15:03.740 --> 15:05.820 They would have you believe that you're never getting out of there 15:05.820 --> 15:08.060 ever again because of the jet fuel shortages 15:08.060 --> 15:09.460 and they are the least affected 15:09.460 --> 15:11.060 in the petrol station closures 15:11.060 --> 15:12.280 but they're getting the most news 15:12.280 --> 15:14.000 out of being mostly disrupted. 15:15.820 --> 15:17.920 So other context for affected countries 15:17.920 --> 15:19.940 no precise closure numbers available. 15:20.140 --> 15:23.040 Thailand 10 to 20 percent of the stations 15:23.040 --> 15:25.460 temporarily unavailable at peak demand 15:25.460 --> 15:27.800 meaning rush hour when lines are stretching down the street 15:27.800 --> 15:29.580 they'll just close off pumps we don't have it 15:29.580 --> 15:30.860 government told them to do that 15:30.860 --> 15:34.820 wait for lower acute number or longer lines 15:34.820 --> 15:36.940 or less longer lines and then turn the pumps back on. 15:37.900 --> 15:40.480 It's there it's just not being given to the public 15:40.480 --> 15:41.880 when people are panic buying 15:41.880 --> 15:43.840 you see they're trimming it like this. 15:45.080 --> 15:46.320 Slovenia they're closing 15:46.320 --> 15:47.840 because all these other European nations 15:47.840 --> 15:49.400 are driving in to fill their gas tanks 15:49.400 --> 15:51.000 so there's a lot of foreign plates coming in 15:51.000 --> 15:52.660 they call it fuel tourism there. 15:54.320 --> 15:57.300 Overall Europe, Hungary, Germany I'll come to that in a second 15:57.300 --> 15:59.240 and there's different queues and rashing 15:59.240 --> 16:00.800 across Sri Lanka, Pakistan, Myanmar, 16:01.020 --> 16:03.140 Bangladesh, Vietnam, India and New Zealand. 16:05.040 --> 16:06.740 Over to Germany and Hungary. 16:07.020 --> 16:08.180 Well the Germans are driving over 16:08.180 --> 16:09.440 filling up in Hungary 16:09.440 --> 16:12.240 and when they came back the police are all over the roads 16:12.240 --> 16:13.460 they're not solving crime 16:13.460 --> 16:15.660 they're stopping people on the roads 16:15.660 --> 16:16.820 checking their gas tanks 16:17.300 --> 16:19.700 because if you bought fuel in Hungary from Germany 16:19.700 --> 16:22.560 you have to pay the tax and they get you right on the spot. 16:23.500 --> 16:25.360 Like I said I have an empty tank I rock over 16:25.360 --> 16:28.400 and Hungary cost me 150 bucks to fill up. 16:28.880 --> 16:30.160 I go back and they're like 16:30.160 --> 16:32.280 ah you didn't pay the German tax on that 16:32.280 --> 16:34.240 because Germany is limiting fuel 16:34.940 --> 16:37.660 purchases and you know they're creeping up towards 16:38.180 --> 16:39.780 a good eight dollars a gallon 16:39.780 --> 16:42.280 where it's cheaper in Hungary it's cheaper in Slovenia. 16:42.940 --> 16:45.560 So even this whole thing about the fuel shortages 16:46.120 --> 16:47.340 they can go across the border 16:47.340 --> 16:49.080 but when they come back they're being pulled over 16:50.160 --> 16:52.000 and the ag diesel as well you know there's a 16:52.000 --> 16:54.360 if you got ag diesel that they color it 16:54.360 --> 16:56.940 it's either red ours is green in Tennessee 16:56.940 --> 16:58.220 it's red in other places 16:58.220 --> 17:00.740 so if authorities were wanting to see 17:00.740 --> 17:02.380 if you were running agricultural diesel 17:02.380 --> 17:04.980 which is given it a no-tax discount of farmers 17:05.480 --> 17:07.820 by 500 or a thousand or 5000 gallons 17:07.820 --> 17:08.900 they could sell it off 17:08.900 --> 17:10.320 out the back of the field 17:11.640 --> 17:13.940 and eventually we're going to start checking gas 17:13.940 --> 17:15.140 tanks on diesel vehicles 17:15.140 --> 17:16.860 to see if you're using ag diesel. 17:17.920 --> 17:19.400 This is the world we live at it 17:19.400 --> 17:21.200 oh it's just getting more bizarre 17:21.200 --> 17:22.640 but everything's being tracked 17:23.600 --> 17:25.700 more QR code that definitely this is what 17:25.700 --> 17:27.660 that you know online mobile systems 17:27.660 --> 17:29.240 are about to know exactly where your car 17:29.240 --> 17:30.940 is gone from point A to point B 17:30.940 --> 17:32.820 and in the future when they say you can't drive 17:32.820 --> 17:34.440 there's like they're just going to turn our cars off 17:34.440 --> 17:36.200 so we can't even start them to go anywhere. 17:36.680 --> 17:39.820 Welcome to 2026 oh it's a beautiful world. 17:41.500 --> 17:43.480 So running you down here somebody did a good job 17:43.480 --> 17:45.100 throwing the flags in front of this 17:45.100 --> 17:47.140 not all of them are fuel shortages 17:47.140 --> 17:49.140 but it just gives you kind of an update 17:49.140 --> 17:51.040 as through the week here as I'm doing 17:51.040 --> 17:54.260 but in a shorter fashion Sri Lanka 17:54.880 --> 17:57.060 four-day work week rationing schools closed 17:57.560 --> 17:59.300 can't have all the parents driving the kids 17:59.300 --> 18:01.340 they're using that fuel make them take the bus again 18:02.380 --> 18:03.860 backstand overnight price surge 18:03.860 --> 18:05.400 doesn't show how much but you know 18:05.400 --> 18:07.700 we're talking 15 20 percent but that is 18:08.720 --> 18:10.380 absolutely catastrophic for a lot of people 18:10.380 --> 18:12.680 across the world a 20 percent rise in fuel 18:13.360 --> 18:15.840 India says they have nine days or reserves left 18:15.840 --> 18:18.480 but I'm calling BS times 10 on that one 18:19.360 --> 18:21.500 they're in the top worlds roof 18:21.500 --> 18:23.620 I think they're the fifth in the world for refining 18:24.800 --> 18:27.940 it's just almost impossible that India could be disaffected 18:27.940 --> 18:30.180 I've seen a lot of commentators from India going 18:30.180 --> 18:31.540 how is this even possible 18:32.560 --> 18:34.820 so I'm following their news over in India 18:34.820 --> 18:36.100 of the people that are on that 18:36.100 --> 18:39.080 and explaining that that's not possible unless it's manufactured 18:39.080 --> 18:41.900 so just put that as a feather in your cap 18:41.900 --> 18:42.760 as a piece of information 18:43.380 --> 18:46.900 Japan they lied to said 254 days but actual 95 18:46.900 --> 18:49.580 but again I have somebody up there driving around 18:49.580 --> 18:52.000 currently looking for closed stations 18:52.000 --> 18:53.120 and they're not finding any 18:53.120 --> 18:55.900 so that one picture you saw circulating on the media 18:55.900 --> 18:57.840 that said thanks Trump fuel station closed 18:57.840 --> 19:00.020 that was a well Twitter moment 19:00.020 --> 19:01.740 and there's that can't be found 19:01.740 --> 19:03.260 that stations not findable anymore 19:04.100 --> 19:06.140 UK of course they're warning for it's coming 19:06.140 --> 19:07.800 it's coming Germany gas up 19:07.800 --> 19:09.860 it's going to get in more France paying more 19:10.460 --> 19:12.060 South Africa says everything fine 19:12.060 --> 19:14.140 people showing empty pumps 19:14.140 --> 19:15.960 again this is what I'm saying 19:15.960 --> 19:18.960 it's an information overload here for most people 19:19.920 --> 19:21.300 Brazil nervously watching 19:21.300 --> 19:22.660 but again they're oil producer 19:22.660 --> 19:23.940 why would they be nervously watching 19:23.940 --> 19:25.580 they have refineries down there too 19:25.580 --> 19:27.340 Brazil is going to be well off America 19:27.340 --> 19:30.000 we got refineries India's got refineries 19:30.000 --> 19:31.060 China's got refineries 19:31.060 --> 19:32.780 yet somehow the world's running out of oil 19:32.780 --> 19:34.240 and and finished product 19:34.240 --> 19:35.060 they just don't get it 19:35.560 --> 19:37.780 unless it's being purposely shelved 19:39.000 --> 19:41.940 and China 1.4 billion barrels stockpiled 19:41.940 --> 19:44.300 they banned exports of all fertilizers 19:44.300 --> 19:45.600 and they're still getting oil 19:46.840 --> 19:48.760 and the Southeast Asian nations are turning back 19:48.760 --> 19:50.820 on their coal burning power plants as well 19:50.820 --> 19:52.060 if they can't get the natural gas 19:52.060 --> 19:53.080 we'll go into that tomorrow 19:53.740 --> 19:55.200 they're just gonna they're switched back to coal 19:55.860 --> 19:57.220 like they didn't destroy theirs 19:57.220 --> 19:59.040 Australia boom they blew them all up 19:59.040 --> 20:00.840 Germany boom there's no possible way 20:00.840 --> 20:03.000 they just you know took it to the ground 20:03.000 --> 20:04.680 and scrapped it all well 20:05.580 --> 20:08.560 smartly here they just mothballed those power plants 20:08.560 --> 20:10.200 they're turning them all back on 20:10.880 --> 20:12.240 so the repercussions of this 20:12.240 --> 20:13.440 everybody's going to burn coal 20:13.440 --> 20:16.160 if they can't get whatever the cleanest 20:16.660 --> 20:18.200 anthracite or whatever it might be 20:18.200 --> 20:20.320 they're just going to go back to whatever they can get 20:20.320 --> 20:22.340 I don't care it comes from Pete Bogg 20:22.340 --> 20:24.720 we're burning it because we need electricity 20:24.720 --> 20:26.480 you think these governments are going to get overthrown 20:26.480 --> 20:28.100 because they're concerned about burning 20:28.100 --> 20:30.240 burning a dirtier quality 20:30.240 --> 20:32.600 of coal of course not 20:33.340 --> 20:34.460 that would be insanity 20:35.200 --> 20:38.820 we're going back to the English 1850s smoke in the street 20:38.820 --> 20:41.400 smoggy kind before they'll ever ever 20:41.400 --> 20:43.340 have citizens overthrow them come on 20:43.960 --> 20:46.600 this just twisted everything back on old school again 20:47.360 --> 20:50.500 so all these saves and all this you know 20:50.500 --> 20:53.020 forward movement into renewables 20:53.020 --> 20:54.880 is just backtracked about two decades 20:56.920 --> 20:58.740 so the elephant in the room 20:59.380 --> 21:01.100 top kind of dependence on Middle East 21:01.100 --> 21:03.820 now this is Asia here because all the news 21:03.820 --> 21:05.640 and the world's focusing on Asia they're out of fuel 21:06.600 --> 21:09.520 Japan 93 95 extremely high reliance 21:09.520 --> 21:12.380 whole strategic reserves they're not rationing 21:12.380 --> 21:14.420 to the point yet stations are still open 21:14.420 --> 21:17.220 contrary to what you're seeing of all these signs everywhere 21:17.220 --> 21:19.100 can't find the signs so 21:20.020 --> 21:22.520 what's generating those AI what up 21:23.060 --> 21:25.220 South Korea we saw that in the beginning of the video 21:25.220 --> 21:26.960 they are now telling people work from home 21:26.960 --> 21:27.580 and 21:30.780 --> 21:31.620 spot Singapore 21:32.580 --> 21:34.500 but they are the through point down off the Malacca 21:34.500 --> 21:36.780 straight they have the most oil coming into that place 21:36.780 --> 21:39.220 of any nation on the planet pretty much in a port 21:39.220 --> 21:42.300 scenario how are they again you know this has to be 21:42.300 --> 21:45.540 manufactured India there's some great analysis 21:45.540 --> 21:47.100 I encourage you to look out at people talking about 21:47.100 --> 21:50.320 Indian refinery madness that I can't be 21:50.320 --> 21:53.460 because just the sheer volume of it being 21:53.460 --> 21:54.640 like the fifth in the world 21:55.260 --> 21:56.580 how is that even possible 21:57.200 --> 21:58.960 a China halt on all fertilizer exports 21:58.960 --> 22:00.740 they're keeping all fueling and they got massive 22:00.740 --> 22:03.420 oil fields how they refilled a bunch of fields 22:03.420 --> 22:05.180 and you know their storage is massive 22:05.180 --> 22:06.720 so they're not going to be affected 22:06.720 --> 22:08.240 I'm over in Taiwan at the moment 22:09.300 --> 22:11.800 and significant exposure to Hormuz by the way 22:11.800 --> 22:14.600 they went away from that about five years ago 22:14.600 --> 22:16.200 they're about 30% dependent 22:17.560 --> 22:19.180 and you haven't been hearing about that in the news 22:19.180 --> 22:21.720 have you because everything is floating as normal here 22:21.720 --> 22:24.380 gas prices are not 15% there's no shortages 22:24.380 --> 22:26.860 there's no people hoarding 22:26.860 --> 22:28.720 there's no signs on the gas stations 22:28.720 --> 22:31.200 it's just you're not what you're seeing the news 22:31.200 --> 22:32.700 is not what's really happening 22:33.620 --> 22:36.180 Vietnam are telling people work from home 22:36.180 --> 22:39.120 although they do have offshore oil fields themselves 22:39.120 --> 22:40.820 they don't have the refinery capacity 22:41.600 --> 22:43.300 Thailand has some refineries 22:43.880 --> 22:46.960 noble dependence they might have to start switching imports 22:46.960 --> 22:50.580 and then Malaysia significant Gulf crude imports 22:51.280 --> 22:53.420 so as we look at the overall scheme of it 22:54.000 --> 22:56.660 yeah there are disruptions I agree 22:57.380 --> 22:59.680 but it seems currently the shortages that we're seeing 22:59.680 --> 23:01.820 out to the public again are 23:03.020 --> 23:06.840 somebody's being served first before the scraps are being given to the public 23:08.900 --> 23:10.900 everywhere across all these nations 23:11.740 --> 23:14.340 at that point when reservoirs are full 23:14.340 --> 23:16.600 or strategic reserves have been topped up 23:17.440 --> 23:20.440 that overflow might go or it just might be held 23:20.580 --> 23:23.880 depends on what is trying to be achieved here 23:24.880 --> 23:27.500 and just in a very common sense way 23:27.500 --> 23:31.200 is this organic or is this a plan 23:33.360 --> 23:34.580 hostilities you know 23:34.580 --> 23:38.320 in your right mind you didn't think after going after this nation 23:38.320 --> 23:40.300 putting them into a corner where you're like 23:40.300 --> 23:41.980 we're even going to steal your oil reserves 23:42.500 --> 23:44.080 we're going to replace all your leaders 23:44.080 --> 23:47.500 we're coming in with our form of leadership 23:47.500 --> 23:48.860 that they're like well 23:48.860 --> 23:50.560 that just means we totally die on the vine 23:50.560 --> 23:53.400 and our complete history of civilization just disappears 23:54.000 --> 23:55.540 they're going down to the grandma 23:55.540 --> 23:58.320 with a meat cutting cleaver in the kitchen kind 23:58.320 --> 23:59.840 before you're able to get in there 24:00.780 --> 24:02.860 so if that wasn't already analyzed 24:02.860 --> 24:05.540 and gamed out as a possibility of the straits being closed 24:05.540 --> 24:08.260 like y'all should be fired as analysts 24:08.260 --> 24:12.280 like that you that was already on the baked end of the cake 24:15.120 --> 24:19.740 if the pipeline delivering five million barrels to the red sea gets cut 24:20.360 --> 24:23.220 then we'll be in in some shocks for sure 24:23.220 --> 24:25.460 because i got that alternative route running over the red sea 24:25.460 --> 24:27.900 through the east west pipeline in saudi arabia 24:29.160 --> 24:30.660 be discerning with the news 24:30.660 --> 24:34.100 they are flipping facts they're juggling half truths 24:34.100 --> 24:37.500 it is but it isn't the governments are saying one thing one day 24:37.500 --> 24:39.740 another thing they're different oh the fuel's been released 24:39.740 --> 24:41.080 got to alleviate the shortages 24:41.080 --> 24:46.720 but oh it's just this huge scare campaign to stop everybody from traveling first 24:48.060 --> 24:50.920 get you to get used to staying home and not driving anywhere 24:50.920 --> 24:52.680 get you used to not being able to drive 24:52.680 --> 24:54.080 because in your head it's expensive 24:54.080 --> 24:56.360 the government said don't drive we're not going to drive 24:56.360 --> 24:59.200 there's there's an imagine getting caught on the road 24:59.200 --> 25:01.020 your plate doesn't match for the day 25:01.020 --> 25:03.040 they'll tow your vehicle they're going to be fines 25:03.040 --> 25:04.760 maybe prison time for driving 25:05.340 --> 25:07.960 and now with all the advent of these new vehicles 25:07.960 --> 25:09.000 they just turn them off 25:09.720 --> 25:13.180 so the world we're about to enter is planned already 25:13.180 --> 25:14.900 I mean it was already a futuristic view 25:14.900 --> 25:17.120 of what this scenario is today anyway 25:17.720 --> 25:21.160 already through our you know media and just common 25:21.160 --> 25:24.800 you know water cooler talk for the last five to ten years 25:25.480 --> 25:29.380 now it's here so is it any surprise that it's here 25:30.120 --> 25:32.960 and how long does it take to move to the next step 25:32.960 --> 25:37.740 think about COVID that was what like 20, 21, 22, 23, about four years or so 25:38.160 --> 25:41.420 then they had to let off the gas because too much people were getting insane 25:41.420 --> 25:42.540 and the pressure cooker there 25:42.540 --> 25:46.220 so got solid four years and the first year rolling in that people were untrained 25:46.220 --> 25:47.500 they didn't really know how to behave 25:47.500 --> 25:49.500 you had to teach them all this work from home 25:49.500 --> 25:51.460 teach them you know stand six feet 25:51.460 --> 25:53.280 we got to teach everybody everything right 25:53.700 --> 25:55.900 so let's say three years solid of stress 25:55.900 --> 25:57.820 I had to let that off 25:58.300 --> 26:00.560 because if you do that too much people just quit caring 26:00.560 --> 26:02.580 and it doesn't affect them anymore 26:02.580 --> 26:04.640 like the the the buzz wears off 26:04.640 --> 26:05.560 and they're like whatever 26:05.560 --> 26:06.720 so they just behave differently 26:07.520 --> 26:10.520 let let off the stress people get two years of wow 26:10.520 --> 26:12.660 it's all over now but bam we're right back on it 26:12.660 --> 26:16.280 so if we're looking at any indication of pressure on pressure off 26:16.280 --> 26:17.580 pressure on pressure off 26:18.080 --> 26:19.560 this is going to roll for three years 26:21.300 --> 26:24.000 and by that time we're getting precarious to close to a new decade 26:25.600 --> 26:27.200 seems to fit doesn't it 26:28.260 --> 26:30.080 and I do appreciate your valuable time 26:30.080 --> 26:32.140 but if you're looking for storeable foods for a week 26:32.140 --> 26:34.440 food supply three-day food supply one week 26:34.440 --> 26:35.360 dip your toe in the water 26:35.360 --> 26:36.620 you're not spending an enormous amount 26:36.620 --> 26:38.620 check out my Patriot supply 26:38.620 --> 26:40.100 I like what they have 26:40.100 --> 26:41.600 and also trueleafmarket.com 26:41.600 --> 26:43.380 we're going to need to grow some of our own food 26:44.620 --> 26:45.020 immediately 26:45.580 --> 26:47.560 so this is one of my favorite seed companies 26:47.560 --> 26:48.740 they have a huge selection 26:48.740 --> 26:50.140 and they pull in from other seed companies 26:50.140 --> 26:52.560 all heirloom different grow zones 26:52.560 --> 26:53.960 depending on where you are in the U.S. 26:53.960 --> 26:55.000 or anywhere across the planet 26:55.780 --> 26:57.860 one of my faves I'll stick with them forever 26:57.860 --> 27:01.220 we have good germination rate on everything we planted 27:01.220 --> 27:02.200 very solid 27:02.980 --> 27:04.780 so those are two of my nuggets for you 27:04.780 --> 27:07.000 if you want to just instantly get prepared on 27:07.000 --> 27:08.280 on something I believe in 27:08.280 --> 27:10.140 I've tried and trusted myself already 27:10.740 --> 27:12.180 please share this with your friends and family 27:12.180 --> 27:13.740 this information is really really important 27:13.740 --> 27:15.800 to try to game out 27:15.800 --> 27:16.980 see what's going to happen 27:16.980 --> 27:18.320 we're going to go through a lot of 27:20.180 --> 27:21.760 do this don't do that 27:21.760 --> 27:22.400 jump the rope 27:22.400 --> 27:24.220 jump to that square kind of things here 27:24.220 --> 27:25.060 moving real quick 27:25.060 --> 27:26.360 so get used to it 27:27.420 --> 27:29.340 I already understand it's going to end at some time 27:29.340 --> 27:29.820 in the future 27:29.820 --> 27:31.220 it's not going to be a permanent thing 27:31.760 --> 27:34.080 just get ready for being directed every single day 27:34.080 --> 27:35.700 to do something or restrict something 27:35.700 --> 27:37.160 you know do you have backup plans 27:37.160 --> 27:38.040 if you're going to be at home 27:38.040 --> 27:39.140 do you have something to do there 27:39.140 --> 27:40.120 and work on your garden 27:40.120 --> 27:41.480 and other things like this 27:41.480 --> 27:42.180 if you're working at home 27:42.180 --> 27:43.200 just take it as a 27:43.660 --> 27:46.000 as a gift to be able to grow some of your own food 27:46.000 --> 27:47.620 you know get tight with your family 27:47.620 --> 27:48.760 make this a family activity 27:49.160 --> 27:50.340 and if they're going to make you stay home 27:50.340 --> 27:50.700 great 27:51.100 --> 27:52.400 don't just sit there and tool to your thumbs 27:52.400 --> 27:53.420 and serve media all day 27:53.420 --> 27:54.700 do something productive 27:55.600 --> 27:57.180 like start the community garden 27:57.180 --> 27:58.840 with all the others that are stuck at home too 27:58.840 --> 27:59.580 that would be awesome 27:59.980 --> 28:01.980 that is a way to get off centralized systems 28:01.980 --> 28:03.500 and not have to listen 28:04.000 --> 28:05.840 as much because you're growing your own food 28:05.840 --> 28:07.100 what if you can't get to the supermarket 28:07.100 --> 28:08.220 you're not allowed to drive this week 28:08.220 --> 28:09.080 because they've got really bad 28:09.080 --> 28:10.080 can't drive for two weeks 28:10.080 --> 28:11.340 you have to walk or ride a bike everywhere 28:11.340 --> 28:13.660 a supermarket's 20 miles too bad 28:14.420 --> 28:15.420 take one for the team 28:16.480 --> 28:18.200 so you're going to be push pulled 28:18.200 --> 28:20.240 directed boxed in corners let out 28:20.240 --> 28:22.460 all through this whole thing as it unfolds 28:22.460 --> 28:22.680 so 28:22.680 --> 28:25.900 have a plan and good luck to everybody 28:25.900 --> 28:28.320 I'll bring you natural gas disruptions tomorrow 28:29.460 --> 28:31.360 it's a biggie too and that's why everybody in Asia 28:31.360 --> 28:33.060 is now switching back on the power plants 28:33.060 --> 28:33.840 back to coal 28:33.840 --> 28:35.700 and we'll see how that might play out 28:35.700 --> 28:36.700 until next time 28:36.700 --> 28:37.320 bye for now