WEBVTT 00:00.590 --> 00:06.570 What I'm seeing is this flashing red light, which is the Iran conflict and we have President Trump come out last night and 00:07.470 --> 00:13.010 Several analysts thought he was going to come out and end the Iran conflict instead. It sounded like this take a look 00:13.630 --> 00:18.010 We're going to hit them extremely hard over the next two to three weeks 00:18.010 --> 00:22.630 We're going to bring them back to the Stone Ages where they belong 00:25.270 --> 00:29.610 That was one of the that was one of the kind of comments that's been going around social media now to 00:29.610 --> 00:35.410 The answer of I thought we were stopping this war obviously there's a lot going on with this conversation 00:35.410 --> 00:37.470 there's a lot of moving parts and 00:37.470 --> 00:39.570 one of the biggest moving parts when it 00:40.150 --> 00:43.150 Comes to this is through the lens of the global economy 00:43.150 --> 00:49.870 We're a highly integrated global economy a just-in-time economy and that's reliant on a lot of 00:50.910 --> 00:57.470 Really function optimally one of the biggest things is the oil the energy roots and fertilizer roots 00:57.470 --> 01:03.750 And what is also in the news right now alongside I the brand conflict is this reporting take a look 01:03.750 --> 01:09.190 Okay, many of the effects of this Iran war being felt right here at home in the straight-of-home news 01:09.190 --> 01:15.530 What's at risk isn't just oil prices at the pump aren't the only place that US consumers are gonna feel the pinch 01:15.530 --> 01:19.070 The economic spillover is going far beyond just gas 01:19.070 --> 01:27.050 The conflict is disrupting global supply chains for other surprising and essential products from fertilizer to helium 01:27.050 --> 01:28.910 To the cost of borrowing money 01:28.910 --> 01:36.210 Roughly a third of the global fertilizer trade moves through the passageway and about half of global food production depends on the synthetic 01:36.210 --> 01:42.130 Nitrogen fertilizer that is mainly produced in the Middle East and when the costs go up for farmers 01:42.130 --> 01:46.250 The price of food cannot be far behind higher fuel prices 01:46.250 --> 01:51.270 Automatically translate into higher food prices higher fertilizer prices 01:51.750 --> 01:54.690 automatically translate into higher food prices 01:55.250 --> 02:02.390 Fertilizer key to corn biggest user of fertilizer and corn forms the foundation of the US food supply 02:02.390 --> 02:08.030 It's also used to make high fruit toast corn syrup. That means cereals flower alcoholic beverages 02:08.030 --> 02:11.550 So bottom line when corn prices go up 02:11.550 --> 02:15.170 It sends a shock through every grocery store aisle in the country 02:15.170 --> 02:22.780 The truth is that American consumers will likely see prices rise no matter what the question some are now asking is by how much I 02:22.780 --> 02:28.500 Think I want to make a statement Jeffrey because this is you know, obviously very volatile issue 02:28.500 --> 02:33.260 We are a nonprofit. We our work is dedicated to eradicating man-made disease 02:33.820 --> 02:38.120 We talk about health all the time you and I you know have thought about this 02:38.780 --> 02:44.960 We're not here to decide whether or not this war is just or right or make this about politics 02:44.960 --> 02:49.340 What we're here to discuss right now is how this is going to affect the health 02:49.340 --> 02:52.480 We are not just a national program. We're an international program 02:52.940 --> 02:57.520 As I say at the beginning of every show wherever you are in the world where there are people in the world 02:57.520 --> 03:00.040 That are having a different experience at this time 03:00.040 --> 03:03.860 And we're really not hearing it here in the United States of America 03:03.860 --> 03:08.460 Which is why we've decided to talk about the issues that are going to definitely affect our health 03:09.020 --> 03:13.100 In many ways worldwide, so I just wanted to make that clear in case it was like Dell where you go 03:13.100 --> 03:16.560 And yeah, I have no intention of diving into the politics of this 03:16.560 --> 03:17.800 That's a totally different story 03:17.800 --> 03:23.860 But what we are going to report on is the world around us and what we may need to think about when it comes to our health 03:23.860 --> 03:29.360 Which is also our energy if you're in winter time in the world right now energy is going to be a very important issue 03:30.540 --> 03:35.800 Right and and also important is we're implanting season time for a lot of crops for farmers 03:35.800 --> 03:38.120 Not just here in America, but in a lot of places around the world 03:38.120 --> 03:44.460 So when you hear oil slowing down you hear fertilizer certainly slowing down think food think farmers 03:44.460 --> 03:51.280 And what's also happening too is there's countries beginning to see the writing on the wall here that aren't America 03:51.280 --> 03:55.580 And they're starting to to prioritize their domestic supplies. So here's russia 03:55.580 --> 04:01.460 This is out of Reuters russia stops ammonium nitrate exports for one month amid global supply crunch analysts say 04:01.460 --> 04:05.000 It's about 40 of the world's supply comes out of russia china as well 04:05.000 --> 04:08.180 China restricts fertilizer exports further crimping war titan supply 04:08.180 --> 04:12.840 And then here's news week u.s. ally declares national emergency due to oil crisis from iran war 04:12.840 --> 04:17.460 And it gives you kind of a picture here. It says asia is the region most exposed to the oil shock 04:17.460 --> 04:22.100 But while china japan and south korea holds strategic reserves that can cover months of demand 04:22.100 --> 04:29.760 Many southeast asian economies operate with far thinner buffers the philippines is in particular dire strait particular dire straits 04:29.760 --> 04:34.440 With the middle east accounting for roughly 95 to 98 percent of its oil imports 04:34.440 --> 04:42.820 And here is now the executive order from philippines. It states a state of national energy emergency is hereby declared in light of the ongoing conflict in the middle east 04:42.840 --> 04:48.760 And the resulting imminent danger posed upon the availability of and stability of the country's energy supply 04:48.760 --> 04:51.060 romania has just followed declaring its 04:51.960 --> 04:57.940 Emergency as well declares an oil market crisis caps fuel margins that goes to june 30th 04:57.940 --> 05:02.500 So i'm painting a picture here. What is what does this look like if this keeps going? 05:03.000 --> 05:07.740 How does this play out and i want to i want to say it's it's very interesting because 05:08.300 --> 05:13.780 For me we can see this through the lens of lockdowns remember the covet lockdowns 05:13.780 --> 05:16.080 Remember the reasoning for those we have 05:16.080 --> 05:21.380 We have the white house's own website from march 16th and it looked like this 05:21.380 --> 05:27.480 2020 white house 15 days to slow the spread. We all remember this and we know what happened afterwards 05:28.160 --> 05:29.600 but what happened is 05:30.200 --> 05:36.620 After that lockdown and the economic destruction and the the loss of movement for people people having to stay at home 05:36.620 --> 05:39.000 Forced to be at home businesses closed 05:39.660 --> 05:46.640 The world economic forum through a forbes article said this emissions fell during lockdown. Let's keep it that way 05:47.600 --> 05:49.400 What what are you talking about? 05:50.140 --> 05:52.380 So what i'm seeing here is 05:52.840 --> 05:56.460 It doesn't really matter if i'm reading this right doesn't really matter the reason 05:56.960 --> 06:03.640 The end goal is seems to be some sort of lockdown and so remember just a month after the white house said 15 days to slow the spread 06:03.640 --> 06:07.840 The who aggressively stepped in with this document 06:08.920 --> 06:14.620 Consideration in adjusting public health and social measures in the context of covet 19 06:14.620 --> 06:20.220 They put out their guidance and that raised lockdowns and it's supercharged them throughout society 06:20.220 --> 06:21.800 So what i'm seeing now 06:21.800 --> 06:28.740 Is a very similar document from the international energy agency talking about public health and social measures 06:28.740 --> 06:31.400 Instead of the covet excuse 06:31.970 --> 06:39.540 Now it's this excuse sheltering from oil shocks measures to reduce impacts on health households and businesses and you go to this infographic here 06:39.540 --> 06:45.100 Here's what they're suggesting. You can see at the top here encourage public transportation use on the right side there 06:45.100 --> 06:46.300 Work from home 06:46.300 --> 06:47.460 Where possible? 06:47.660 --> 06:53.880 Where have I heard that before at the bottom avoid air travel if alternatives exist on the left side alternative day access 06:53.880 --> 06:57.360 Car access in big cities. So don't drive your car as much 06:57.990 --> 07:02.300 To me this looks like net zero by just another name any means necessary 07:02.300 --> 07:04.180 But at the bottom line 07:04.700 --> 07:09.200 That's a forced lockdown because we may not have the energy to to do anything about it 07:09.200 --> 07:15.020 And I want to go back to the conversation about food because this is really the biggest conversation we can talk about 07:15.020 --> 07:22.220 And in the u.s. We are somewhat insulated for I guess a little more time than say the philippines or romania 07:22.220 --> 07:25.900 But we're already seeing headlines like this coming out of the u.s. 07:26.240 --> 07:31.300 U.s. Farmers are shifting acres from coin corn to soybeans in 2026 07:31.300 --> 07:35.360 It says the main reason behind these changes is the rising costs of inputs like fertilizer and fuel 07:35.900 --> 07:42.120 Ongoing global conflicts and trade disruptions have increased these costs making it more expensive for farmers to grow crops like corn and wheat 07:42.120 --> 07:46.080 Soybeans require less fertilizer making them a more affordable option 07:46.560 --> 07:50.700 So already farmers in the u.s. Are taking preventative measures defensive measures 07:50.700 --> 07:54.600 For what they possibly see may come if this conflict 07:55.060 --> 07:56.160 drags on any further 07:56.160 --> 08:00.820 So this is what we're watching here. This is what we want to show people and say 08:00.820 --> 08:05.380 Hey, look out for this this train coming down the tracks looks really similar 08:05.380 --> 08:10.500 And it has the word lockdown on it by just a different name by just a different input overlay 08:10.500 --> 08:16.220 And that that's kind of the idea we're trying to put across here is really keep your eyes open on this one 08:16.220 --> 08:22.740 Well because what we keep seeing jeffrey is you and i have reported we found ourselves over the years getting deeper into territories 08:22.740 --> 08:25.360 We didn't plan on discussing things like ai 08:25.360 --> 08:31.520 But when you start looking at it at the heart of it is still the same globalist mindset, which is preaching 08:32.060 --> 08:36.800 You know, uh, the same, you know sermon, which is we are overpopulated 08:37.320 --> 08:43.900 We have got to reduce our impact on the earth or we're all going to die on one version or another 08:43.900 --> 08:48.680 This idea of 15 minute cities is being represented right here again in 08:48.680 --> 08:54.200 Every other day cars shorten your travel and once again, let's not fly in airplanes 08:54.200 --> 08:59.540 And so what you wonder, you know, what i ponder is, you know, it seemed like donald trump 08:59.540 --> 09:06.280 Was going to break that sort of, you know, authority, you know, authoritative global mindset 09:06.860 --> 09:11.580 And now i wonder is he is he know he's playing right in their hand or is it just that 09:11.580 --> 09:18.300 You know, he's oblivious to the fact that he's creating a situation that those globalists are going to jump on 09:18.300 --> 09:23.500 I was just um communicating with a friend in new zealand about maybe going out there 09:23.500 --> 09:27.180 For a screen even coming and inconvenient study this summer. She's like look 09:28.320 --> 09:35.420 Let's plan it but we may be totally locked down because we have no we we got rid of our oil refinery in the middle of 09:35.420 --> 09:37.200 COVID the only one we had apparently 09:37.720 --> 09:44.020 For the whole green push so they have no way to process their own fuels and now they are really screwed 09:44.020 --> 09:46.240 They're having shortages as we speak 09:46.240 --> 09:52.340 I have a friend in england that just watched the oil that he has to fill for his house double in price 09:52.340 --> 09:56.000 And he said i'll pay it and they said there's also a delay 09:56.000 --> 10:02.060 We're thinking 10 days people's lives are being affected right now as we speak and ironically 10:02.540 --> 10:07.300 It could lead to we can't have you traveling right now. You need to shelter in place 10:08.100 --> 10:13.000 That's why I mean we really do have to keep our eyes on and and and putting that spin on jeffrey. I think 10:13.580 --> 10:16.080 Really important. I mean maybe maybe 10:16.760 --> 10:22.680 Maybe we're overstating it. I hope we are but it sure seems like there's a lot of people in the world 10:22.680 --> 10:27.120 That are being deeply affected. We're right now. We're just we're complaining america about rising costs 10:27.660 --> 10:33.340 Uh, what if you just can't buy it even if you had the money? I think that that's what a lot of other nations are facing right now