We are now preparing for the worst case scenario.
This was a quote that I heard earlier today.
And you might think, well,
a lot of people are saying this at the moment,
but when I actually started to look into
who these people were that were saying these big statements
and why there were so many TV cameras on them,
I kind of thought this is a bigger story
than anybody is really giving it the credit for
or paying enough attention on it.
So who was it that was saying this?
Well, it was the WHO, the World Health Organization,
but really they were the same people
that were part of the UN, the United Nations.
So we've now got these massive statements
and I'll tell you the preparations in a moment,
but we've got these massive statements coming out
with the preparations behind it,
which took a bit of digging,
but they are actually preparing for,
get this, are you ready for this?
They think either Iran or the, sorry,
Israel or the US is going to drop a nuclear weapon,
I can't believe I'm saying this,
a nuclear weapon in Iran.
This is absolutely true.
This has been, I've had to verify this
because I couldn't even believe this was true.
And it's now hitting all the media outlets,
although not a lot of the main ones at the moment.
And this is just the tip of the iceberg.
We've got so much to talk about today
and the new studio is finally set up.
I had time to finish it all today.
So we are good to stream from here going forward.
So let me go to the shared screen a moment
because I really don't think you're going to believe
some of the stuff that we're going to go over.
So let's begin with this one.
This is the worst case scenario,
Middle East nuclear concern, haunt the top health officials.
So this is a lot of these people, by the way,
that have come together to discuss all of this.
And they really think there's a nuclear catastrophe
on the way and they think that it's either going to be
the US or Israel that's going to do this to Iran
and Iran may retaliate or it's just like,
it's just crazy the stuff they're talking about.
So they say the worst case scenario
is a nuclear incident and that's what worries us the most.
As much as we prepare, there's nothing
that can prevent the harm that will come the region's way.
And globally, if this actually happens
and the consequences are going to last for decades,
staff are prepared, you can see it here,
staff are prepared for a nuclear incident
in its broadest sense and including an attack
on a nuclear facility or the use of a weapon.
So what they're actually saying is they're not saying
that they think the US or Israel
is going to actually drop one,
although they think that is one of their scenarios.
They think that if you listen to the whole thing,
they think that what might happen is a deliberate strike
on a nuclear facility that Iran has,
although Trump said that it's all been 100% destroyed,
but I guess some people don't believe that
within the UN and the WHO.
Not that I give those organizations too much credit anyway.
They are not my favorite organizations
if you get what I mean there,
but this is what they're saying,
that they really think and they put all these plans together.
They've even done a refresh,
it says they've refreshed their staff
on how to respond in the event of a nuclear incident,
how it's all gonna be handled, what precautions,
they're looking to provide equipment and meds
and all sorts of things for this scenario.
I mean, this is crazy, ladies and gents.
And it's kind of funny because when it,
sorry, not funny, ironic,
I keep getting these comments all the time
and I keep talking about them every stream
where people say, ha, you said oil's here
and now it's dropped by another $5.
Ladies and gents, I think this is the fourth time
I've said it now.
Don't listen to what the market's doing.
Okay, at any time anyone says,
and it doesn't have to be Trump,
it can be anyone with some power says,
oh, this has just happened, we've just done this,
oil prices are gonna come back down.
The market, I don't know what they're thinking
but they just believe it
and then all of a sudden the price drops again
and you can see it on the chart, let's open it up.
And there's a reason I'm showing you this in a moment.
You can see it, it just goes up and it goes down,
it goes up, another announcement, another announcement.
Well, look where it was today, $109 a barrel.
We still at $106 now, $106 a barrel
and we can look at it on the year as well
is absolutely taking off like a rocket.
Usually it's good when you see this.
This is usually our investments that we talk about
on the channel or more accurately on the Patreon
but you can see normally you'd say,
yes, look, I've made 60% this month.
No, this is a bad green.
This is crude at 46 and a half on the month.
Brent is up 50% on the month, $106.95.
I mean, ladies and gents, this is not positive, okay?
I've just got to re-emphasize this
and I want to tell you all about the knock-on effects.
I did a little bit more forecasting for you today
and the other thing I've done is I've updated
all of that software.
Well, I've given you all these forecasts since
right back to early 2020, late 2019, all the forecasts,
I've actually finally now integrated my software with AI
and it's really quite scary.
Some of the forecasts it's given going right the way forward.
I'm only up to about 2032 at the moment
but a lot of the forecasts I've been giving you
since 2020 haven't really changed
even with the AI bringing in thousands more data points.
So it is a little bit concerning.
One point I will mention is we've heard
a lot of announcements today.
Trump's even talking about maybe there'll be a breakaway
from NATO, we don't need NATO and things like that.
Now I was trying to forecast that,
what would that even look like?
I mean, that would be 75 years of that coalition
sort of over and done with.
You would see, you'd probably see a lot more conflict
and I was trying to forecast that today
and it's not looking good but we'll talk about that
a little more on another day
because I want to get into how this is going to affect you
and if you didn't see Monday stream,
definitely watch Monday stream.
But I did mention I finished creating for you now
digital income mastery which I'm so, so excited
that so many of you are taking it.
We're still doing only 25 spots a day at the moment
while it's on the pre-launch and then this weekend
you'll have two more modules.
So you'll have half of the digital income blueprint
and this is gonna show you in effect.
You can watch this video, I'll put the link below.
But this is gonna show you,
I think you're really gonna find this useful
and it is, it's a massive discount right now
and you see the price, you'll be like,
I think you'll be surprised by it
and I'm getting as many people onboarded per day as possible
but it's such a big program, there's a lot to do,
a lot of moving parts.
But what it's really gonna do for you
if you think about all the crises we're seeing
and how, and it's interesting,
I was even speaking to a client in Dubai
and I said, when this first started,
I said, if I were you, I would think about
getting out of the region
because if they're gonna be doing all of this,
it's only gonna get worse.
You think Dubai is very different from some other cities.
It's like, it's just, it's beauty
and a lot of glass and all the buildings
and it's not designed for what is happening right now.
It's really not.
And even when I said, don't go to the international airport,
that's the worst possible place you can sit
and wait and what happened yesterday on Monday?
A rocket hit the airport.
So, I'm not saying all this stuff to be alarmist.
I'm trying to help you or those of you who are
in these areas, you just gotta be so, so careful.
So why did I create this program then?
Because when I created all these backup systems
for myself, additional visas, additional residencies,
income that isn't dependent on a fixed location,
which is why I stream from wherever I am in the world
and I can still bring you the information.
I did that and then I wanted to create something similar,
a kind of blueprint that you could follow
and you could model.
That's really what I was trying to do with the program.
And I think it's worked because people are already saying
they can actually see the stuff.
We've had loads of people that went through the trial
over the last nine months who are making money as well
and really simply what it is,
we are simply making digital products and services
in this new digital economy that people are searching for
every day that don't exist.
And it's so, so simple with AI now.
We're just, there's so many things that don't exist
that people want and need that it's crazy.
Absolutely crazy.
I can't even keep up.
I've got so many of these products now that are online.
AI is doing a lot of it.
The agents are doing a lot of it.
It's, so that's what it is so that you don't need to worry
if there's conscription and there's bombs dropping
and there's war in wherever you are.
That's what it's about.
Okay, so now you understand the kind of background
behind it.
So now let's talk about,
I wanna go on to the five main countries that we cover
and the link's below in the description
before I forget that.
So UK, USA, EU, Canada, Australia, New Zealand.
I did a forecast today of the impact of this $109
or $107 now, oil price for you.
So as of today, if the price sort of stays at this level
and we don't see any improvements
with the straight opening up,
yes, those are the pipelines
and they're working things out different routes now
but it's gonna take a long time to go through.
The United Kingdom is a net importer of oil.
I think we all know this.
It's a net importer.
We talked to you the other day
about what they said about the North Sea.
Okay, open the floodgates, get it going
because they don't understand their politicians.
Six months plus to get this going
and that's just to get it going.
So it's a long way out.
So what do I think you could see £1.60,
well £1.70 a liter at the pumps on petrol.
You could see just massive,
probably half a point off GDP as well I think this year
and that's gonna probably tip us into recession.
So the UK is likely to go into recession
especially if we go further to 125
which is the next level on the forecast.
I still see that.
I think we're gonna see some inflation shocks.
And the other thing with the inflation shocks
I think is a kind of issue
is that you're gonna have this perfect storm
hitting at the same time.
So you're gonna have the inflation
at the same time as the shortages
and I know they kind of go hand in hand
but you're gonna see the shortages,
you're gonna see the inflation
at the same time that they've cut back on all the energy
and there's gonna be a lot of knock on effects.
I wanna cover that maybe on Friday's walk and talk
because everyone's focused on the wrong thing.
We're focused on the energy which is important
like I said, follow the oil price
and it'll tell you everything else.
But I really wanna get into on another video
the impact that a lot of people aren't seeing.
Fertilizer, it's already down massively
and it depends on different regions, 30 to 50%.
We're seeing some, and this is just before
the planting season, okay?
Any farmer watching will verify what I'm saying,
please leave a comment.
Just before the planting season,
if the fertilizers double the price
than what it was before
and just think what it was back in 2020
before the Russia-Ukraine conflict kicked off,
this is gonna hit farmers hard.
Will they still plant?
Yeah, I think most of them probably will
but there's gonna be difficulties.
What if there isn't enough
at the time when they need to plant?
You might not get the crop down in time.
There's a lot of issues around food,
fertilizer and other things come in.
I won't get into too much of that today,
I'll get into it on another video.
But UK is probably one of the worst
that's gonna get hit.
USA is not gonna be hit very much at all,
there might be some inflation,
that's why Trump's trying to get power
to drop rates at the moment
but you're not gonna see too much of an impact,
they'll probably ramp up the oil production
and other things.
So I don't see too many issues,
there might be some inflation on consumers.
In terms of the US as a whole,
I think it can weather the storm,
same with Canada.
Canada's actually in their exporter as well.
So they might even do better.
They might actually increase.
If you're in Canada,
I think it's probably one of the only positive good news
for you on the economy.
You could see half a percentage point
to one percentage point rise in your GDP
as a result of all of the energy outflows.
The European Union is where it's not looking good.
So the price shocks
are staggering.
And I was looking as well at,
where was it?
Okay, yeah, here we go.
I was looking at the price of jet fuel.
Let me show you on the shared screen.
So I was looking at the price of jet fuel as well
and someone did the chart for me
so they did me a big favor here.
But you look at where it's gone.
It is incredible at the moment,
1,800 per metric ton.
This has just exploded.
Absolutely exploded up.
That isn't the live price today, by the way,
but this is just to show you an example
of where prices are at the moment.
This is exploding.
So if you're thinking,
you're gonna have a European holiday vacation,
you're gonna be taking some flights,
book either,
if you can book them now
and they're still low enough, do it.
Otherwise you're just gonna have to wait
or if it's that crazy, the prices.
And there might be fuel shortages everywhere,
then you might wanna start thinking about that now.
I know a lot of people are already thinking
about their vacations and holidays at the moment.
Some people know obviously not going to Dubai
and things like that this year,
that those holidays have been canceled.
But even people that are traveling
to the other side of the world,
you know, you're Asia and you're New Zealand,
Australia, we'll talk about that in a moment.
People are canceling these trips at the moment as well
because of all the instability.
So the European Union,
they're gonna have massive shocks with fuel.
I also think consumer spending
is gonna erode quite heavily
because of the increased base costs,
energy intensive industries as well.
So I've got autos, chemicals, manufacturing,
hit very hard.
And then this is gonna cause a challenge
for the European Central Bank
because they're gonna be in this dilemma.
What is the dilemma then?
Higher rates to fight inflation,
if they actually raise rates,
then we'll create a double-edged sword
because the higher the rates go,
that will sort of cut spending in the economy.
Businesses are not gonna be hiring,
doing R&D or anything like that.
They're gonna cut back just to survive.
So this is gonna be a double-edged sword for the EU.
I'm not seeing good things at all.
Australia, New Zealand not looking good either.
They're both massive oil importers.
They're gonna get hit very, very hard there.
Transport-heavy economies.
This is not gonna be good for Australia and New Zealand.
So those are the main points from that aspect of it.
Now I wanna go on to mortgage rates,
and here we go.
So this was a big shock.
Do you remember last week
I sort of warned you about mortgage rates
and, oh, sorry, it's about 10 days ago now
on The Walk and Talk.
And I said, just be really careful with these rates
because look, all of these sub 4% rates now have vanished.
They have gone.
So this was from Money Facts.
This is where the data came from.
The average two-year fixed mortgage is 5.3% now.
That's what it is, 5.3%.
The average five-year fixed is 5.35%.
And it says up from this yesterday,
but that's not what we're looking at.
Before, there were these sub 4% deals.
So now they're all the way up to 5.35%.
So really, if you haven't locked in your rate
and you're looking for a new mortgage,
you might have to wait for a long time
before these rates come back down.
And if they do, I mean, that's the dilemma.
That's really what you've gotta think about.
Do you lock in now at this rate,
or do you wait?
But the problem is if you wait,
and this gets worse, which I think it could do,
you're gonna be sat waiting and waiting
as rates go to five and a half, five, seven, five, 6%.
They could go a lot higher.
You could see 7%.
Do you remember back in the 70s and 80s,
you had mortgage rates, 14, 16, 18,
some of them 20% or more.
This, and what we're seeing is a very similar pattern
to the 70s and 80s oil shock.
It's not the same pattern as 2008,
like you keep hearing on the news.
It's not.
They're completely different.
One was demand-driven.
One is a war situation with a closure.
So again, it's just something for you to think about.
What would I do?
I'm not sure, because I'm not in that situation.
But I do think that these rates
are probably gonna keep going up
if you don't see an end to the crisis.
And you've gotta think about that.
How do you see an end to this crisis?
I think it's kind of a checkmate at the moment.
The only thing I could really see
is the US pulling out and saying,
look, we achieved our objective there
and that's it, it's done.
But how's that gonna open the straight?
How, I don't see a solution there.
It's gonna take time to reroute all the oil
and that adds cost to the oil
which is gonna hit the consumer.
So I, honestly, ladies and gentlemen,
I don't see a solution for this.
I can't see, and I'm usually very clear
to see it a way out of it.
I can't see a way out of this situation right now.
I think it's a massive stalemate.
We're gonna have to wait for things to move and shift.
And only then we're gonna be able
to come up with a forecast for this.
But I just don't see it right now.
I think it's worrying.
And then, yeah, let's go on.
Let's keep going.
I was gonna end the stream there,
but let's do a longer one today.
What happened over the last 24 hours then?
Well, Iran's intelligence minister was taken out.
This was the third key figure within the last 24 hours.
It was the IDF that actually did, hold on.
Yeah, it was the IDF that did that.
The head of security as well, Iranian security.
The head of the parliamentary,
I'm sorry, the paramilitary force
was also taken out, all of these things.
So what was the response?
I thought, I don't know if you've seen this.
I wanna just show you this video that I saw.
It was quite incredible actually.
Let's go to the shared screen.
Okay, so what they're finding now
is that Iran has these missiles
and they are underneath the desert.
And you think how big,
so when they've been trying to,
the US and Israel have been trying to hit these launch sites
because that's what was happening before.
Let's play the video, sorry.
So what was happening was when Iran launched
from their static launchers,
they would just get blown up right away.
They were taken out.
But now they've got these launchers under the desert.
And they're actually saying that
even though they've been striking some of these
positions, what would happen is another missile
would come from a different location.
So what they actually think now,
this is the latest from the intelligence anyway,
they think that Iran has built these missile launchers
that are on some sort of roller system.
So it isn't just coming up and launching
and going back down.
They think it sort of comes down
and goes through a corridor
and there's just loads of these tunnels
that go all over the place
because they're hitting them
and then it's just popping up in another place.
So it is not, this is some of the US intel.
They're saying this is a real challenge now
to deal with this situation.
And you think what is it, 930 miles?
That's something like 930 miles.
Yeah, I think it is of coastline.
This is crazy.
And then there was another strike
on a Australian base.
It actually came out in the UK news
saying that it was a British base.
It's actually not a British base.
This is an Australian base in the UAE.
And the Guardian talked about it.
So it actually hit near the base
and it was the second time
that it's actually taken place.
No soldiers were injured,
but I thought it was really interesting
listening to his response around this.
He was asked, was anyone injured?
He said, no, it hit an accommodation block
in a medical facility.
But he said, he was asked directly
if Australia was now at war.
And he said, no.
And he refused to elaborate.
But then later on, he said things along,
you know, we don't want any trouble here.
You know, Iran is not our enemy.
We don't want any hassle, any trouble.
We also had the German Defense Minister as well.
I want to show you what he had to say.
I'll read it out and then we've got a short clip.
A lot of European leaders,
if you watch them and listen to their press conferences,
they're all saying the same thing.
So at the start, they were,
or even before the whole war started,
they were all saying,
yeah, you know, it was like fighting took,
you know, tough guy took,
oh yeah, Iran and this and that.
Now have you seen what they're doing?
None of them are doing it.
They're all backtracking.
We don't want any trouble.
Iran's not our enemy, et cetera.
And I think this is becoming harder
as Trump is making comments on NATO.
Do we even need them?
We don't need them.
They didn't come to our defense.
They didn't come to our call,
the rally call for the Strait of Hamuz.
So you can kind of see where this is going.
Europe's kind of breaking away.
And if that happens,
it's only going to make the U.S. or Trump,
whichever you want to say,
potentially think more clearly about,
well, do I just pull out of NATO?
And that would really separate everything.
You would have all these new alliances forming,
which maybe the EU's planned for this,
because remember what Ursula said,
they want to move closer to China.
You heard Canada, we want to move closer to China.
The U.S. wants to move closer to India.
You know, you've got all these new alliances
that are still in the early stages.
But what's going to happen if Europe no longer has the U.S.
and they've been waging the proxy war
with Ukraine against Russia?
Like there's so many things here, ladies and gents,
there's so, this is why I said years back,
as we get closer to 2027,
things are going to get crazy
because it's so difficult to forecast.
Everything's going to be fragmented.
And this is where everything's changing.
At the exact same time,
the AI robotics are coming in for jobs.
And I've talked about the white color.
I don't want to go over all that again.
But even the blue color,
I don't think I've been clear enough
because people think, oh, my job's safe.
I'm a blue collar worker.
I'm completely safe for the rest of my life.
No, I actually think by probably 2031, 2032,
a lot of the blue collar jobs
are going to be gone as well.
I know this is a crazy thing to say,
but I genuinely think a lot of the blue collar jobs
are going to be hit as well.
Because you look at the robots,
they are advancing so fast now,
especially with the AI integration.
They are, the things they're doing,
they're already going up to these,
where there's electrical cables,
it's flying around and it's live.
And they have these robots going up
and they're with these things
and they're dealing with it and everything.
They're already doing it with a controller, obviously.
They're not doing it on their own.
But you think how long it's going to be
before they get up to speed on some basic stuff.
And then as AI keeps speeding up,
the robots will get better.
Eventually they'll be able to do all sorts of things.
Are they going to be able to go into like,
my house is a very complex build,
but are they going to be able to do
what my plumber was doing today,
which was a complex, complex joint?
Probably not, probably not at this stage.
Will they do it in three or four years?
Probably not, but eventually they'll get there.
So these are all the things to think about.
There's a lot going on.
So let me play what the German Defense Minister
had to say there.
In fact, it's actually in German, so I'll just...
Here we go.
Let's just...
So he's saying that, oh, let's go back.
Safe passage through the Strait of Hamuz
is not possible, he said.
And as the Federal Minister of Defense
already pointed out yesterday,
if the American armed forces
are not able to provide military security,
then the European forces will probably
not be able to do so either.
Therefore, I stand by my second opinion
that at the end of the day,
we do need agreements with the Gulf States
and with a certain involvement of Iran.
So there you go.
What a U-turn this has been.
This has been an absolutely massive,
massive U-turn now, truly.
From all this fighting talk, this is now...
I mean, I'm not surprised by any of this.
I'm really not surprised by a lot of the things
that's taking place here.
I've got a few more things to talk about,
but I think now that's good.
I never like to go over 30 minutes with these streams
because people say, oh, they're too long.
People, I don't think they're too long.
Please let me know in the comments.
I don't think these streams are too long.
There's so much to talk about all the time,
but you'll see, if I go over 30 minutes,
the view count cuts by half,
and if I go to 40 minutes, it's like a quarter.
So I'd rather more people get the news
and see what's going on than not.
But yeah, let me know what you think
in the comments below, ladies and gents,
and check out the link to the digital income program as well.
I really think it's going to help you with this situation.
I don't see any other solutions
rather than getting ahead of everything.
Get ahead of the walls, get ahead of the AI,
get ahead of the robotics,
just get ahead of it with the new digital economy.
You don't even need to be smart for this stuff, really.
You really don't.
I don't know how to code.
I don't.
I've never done coding.
I learned a bit of HTML or something like that
10 to 15 years ago.
Forgot all that now.
But look, I don't know how to code.
I don't know how to do most of this stuff.
And if I can do it, not being a techie guy,
I'm sure a lot of you can do it as well, really.
And again, I won't go into all just talks about it earlier,
but check it out.
Thanks for being a subscriber here.
Take care, God bless.
I'll see you on Friday.
Let's all pray for good weather on Friday
for a good walk and talk on the islands.
Okay, take care.
Bye for now.